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Promitheas vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 61-83
16-21 14-15 14-32 17-15
Position#18
Record4-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Position#2
Record8-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game84.5
EuropeEurocupRound 16
European cup2021
Meetings · Promitheas v Virtus Bologna
23 Mar 2022
PRO61
VIR83
21 Nov 2018
PRO85
VIR95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Promitheas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PromitheasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPromitheas
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#6
L
62-81
62
81
-19
53avg 72
A26/01
Eurocup
Peristeri
#9
W
82-77
82
77
+5
83avg 72
H30/01
Basket League
JL Bourg
#17
W
84-77
84
77
+7
86avg 72
H02/02
Eurocup
PAOK
#17
W
100-86
100
86
+14
no box
H05/02
Greek Cup
Bursaspor
#11
L
76-87
76
87
-11
72avg 72
A08/02
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
L
68-85
68
85
-17
no box
H18/02
Greek Cup
Ulm
#15
W
79-68
79
68
+11
no box
H08/03
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
L
84-98
84
98
-14
68avg 72
A10/03
Eurocup
Buducnost
#10
L
77-90
77
90
-13
70avg 72
A16/03
Eurocup
Apollon Patras
#11
W
80-60
80
60
+20
85avg 72
H20/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
26-22
7-24
17-21
18-15
19-23
21-14
24-25
22-19
17-15
21-21
24-22
31-18
29-17
18-27
22-24
17-23
26-21
19-26
14-17
27-13
12-25
11-20
18-27
19-17
17-11
22-10
21-30
15-27
28-21
15-36
26-14
16-26
23-20
18-21
20-23
25-18
21-15
15-7
19-20
160.1Avg total
79.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.982.9156.9-9.027%
Season at home (7)74.778.3153.0-3.643%
Season away (8)73.287.0160.2-13.812%
Last 10 (10)79.280.9160.1-1.750%
Last 5 (5)77.680.2157.8-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)73.384.9158.2-11.722%
vs Similar (7)81.076.7157.7+4.371%
vs Weaker (4)79.563.8143.2+15.8100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
81-80
81
80
+1
78avg 85
A06/02
Lega A
Valencia
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 85
A09/02
Eurocup
Brindisi
#6
W
93-81
93
81
+12
no box
H17/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#2
L
82-94
82
94
-12
no box
A19/02
Italian Cup
Bursaspor
#11
W
98-94
98
94
+4
102avg 85
H03/03
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#13
W
86-75
86
75
+11
no box
H06/03
Lega A
Venezia
#14
W
83-72
83
72
+11
no box
A09/03
Eurocup
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
85-82
85
82
+3
80avg 85
A13/03
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
L
74-86
74
86
-12
no box
H16/03
Eurocup
Venezia
#6
W
81-77
81
77
+4
80avg 85
H20/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
16-32
28-12
12-20
17-24
21-16
25-12
14-31
26-20
25-22
19-18
23-21
18-24
23-26
15-30
26-14
14-23
37-21
27-29
20-21
27-17
20-15
25-22
14-21
19-13
18-16
22-27
24-16
25-19
21-24
22-14
17-25
24-31
20-20
14-17
16-18
12-27
19-17
27-19
23-14
166.4Avg total
84.0Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.184.5169.6+0.553%
Season at home (8)85.182.4167.5+2.862%
Season away (7)85.087.0172.0-2.043%
Last 10 (10)84.082.4166.4+1.670%
Last 5 (5)81.878.4160.2+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)89.492.1181.5-2.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)84.278.7162.9+5.686%
This opponent (Promitheas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
PromitheasVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PromitheasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#6
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A26/01
Eurocup
Peristeri
#9
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H30/01
Basket League
JL Bourg
#17
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H02/02
Eurocup
PAOK
#17
W
60-35
60
35
+25
H05/02
Greek Cup
Bursaspor
#11
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A08/02
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H18/02
Greek Cup
Ulm
#15
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H08/03
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A10/03
Eurocup
Buducnost
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A16/03
Eurocup
Apollon Patras
#11
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H20/03
Basket League
80.0Avg total
42.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.679.3+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.136.976.0+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)40.442.683.0-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)42.038.080.0+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.679.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.741.278.9-3.528%-
vs Similar (7)40.039.479.4+0.657%-
vs Weaker (4)43.033.576.5+9.575%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A06/02
Lega A
Valencia
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A09/02
Eurocup
Brindisi
#6
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H17/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#2
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A19/02
Italian Cup
Bursaspor
#11
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H03/03
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#13
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H06/03
Lega A
Venezia
#14
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A09/03
Eurocup
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A13/03
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H16/03
Eurocup
Venezia
#6
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H20/03
Lega A
85.0Avg total
42.7Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.641.485.0+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.838.982.8+4.969%-
Last 30 away (14)43.344.387.6-1.043%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.385.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.880.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)47.548.195.6-0.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.738.980.6+2.962%-
This opponent (Promitheas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Promitheastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Promitheas: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.9
54.6%
52.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.3
35.3%
35.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.011.0
68.8%
74.8%11.0
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.1
53.5%
52.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.5
32.2%
35.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.913.7
72.5%
74.8%13.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Promitheas
WLLWLLWWWL
Virtus Bologna
WLWWWWLWLW
#18
League position
#2
-0.8
Net rating
+3.2
106.3
Offensive rating
107.3
107.1
Defensive rating
104.1
54.0%
Effective FG%
51.6%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.6%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.3%
3-point %
32.2%
68.8%
Assist %
70.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 107.3Defence107.1 · 104.1Shooting54.0% · 51.6%3-point %35.3% · 32.2%Ball care16.5% · 15.6%Off. rebounds24.0% · 28.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Promitheas   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Promitheas wins
3
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
15/12/21Virtus Bologna v Promitheas91-72
06/02/19Virtus Bologna v Promitheas98-91 OT
21/11/18Promitheas v Virtus Bologna85-95
Promitheaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/22HApollon Patras80-60
16/03/22ABuducnost77-90
10/03/22ACedevita Olimpija84-98
08/03/22HUlm79-68
18/02/22HPanathinaikos68-85
08/02/22ABursaspor76-87
05/02/22HPAOK100-86
02/02/22HJL Bourg84-77
30/01/22HPeristeri82-77
26/01/22AGran Canaria62-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/22HVenezia81-77
16/03/22HCedevita Olimpija74-86
13/03/22AFortitudo Bologna85-82
09/03/22AVenezia83-72
06/03/22HBasket Napoli86-75
03/03/22HBursaspor98-94
19/02/22ATortona82-94
17/02/22HBrindisi93-81
09/02/22AValencia77-83
06/02/22AVarese81-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Promitheas
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL27%
HomeLLLWW43%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %27%43%12%
Points / game73.974.773.2
Allowed / game82.978.387.0
Point differential-9.0-3.6-13.8
Avg total156.9153.0160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %7%14%0%
Virtus Bologna
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL53%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%62%43%
Points / game85.185.185.0
Allowed / game84.582.487.0
Point differential+0.5+2.8-2.0
Avg total169.6167.5172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Joventut Badalona1512380%81.569.5+12.0
2 Gran Canaria1511473%82.877.7+5.1
3 Partizan1611569%85.577.6+7.9
4 Valencia1611569%86.581.1+5.4
5 Lokomotiv Kuban128467%90.485.8+4.7
6 Boulogne-Levallois159660%83.381.7+1.5
7 Buducnost159660%79.178.3+0.8
8 MoraBanc Andorra169756%80.879.8+1.1
9 Lietkabelis158753%78.575.4+3.1
10 Cedevita Olimpija158753%86.085.1+0.9
11 Virtus Bologna158753%85.184.5+0.5
12 Venezia157847%76.075.9+0.1
13 Turk Telekom157847%75.179.5-4.3
14 Ulm167944%83.381.8+1.6
15 Bursaspor167944%81.284.6-3.4
16 Hamburg146843%84.588.7-4.2
17 JL Bourg1651131%79.581.8-2.2
18 Promitheas1541127%73.982.9-9.0
19 Slask Wroclaw1531220%73.182.5-9.5
20 Trento151147%72.584.7-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Promitheas1614141761
Virtus Bologna2115321583
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