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Varese vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 80-81
16-25 32-16 12-28 20-12
Position#12
Record6-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game88.4
vs
Position#2
Record14-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game79.1
ItalyLega ARound 19
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Varese v Virtus Bologna
27 Sep 2026
VAR69
VIR90
04 Nov 2025
VAR77
VIR83
10 Nov 2024
VAR104
VIR95
21 Jan 2024
VAR69
VIR81
04 Dec 2022
VAR100
VIR108
06 Feb 2022
VAR80
VIR81
24 Oct 2020
VAR73
VIR85
27 Feb 2020
VAR v VIR
upcoming
13 Jan 2019
VAR79
VIR86
26 Dec 2017
VAR85
VIR90
22 Nov 2015
VAR82
VIR75
14 Dec 2014
VAR83
VIR73
26 Dec 2013
VAR98
VIR89
17 Feb 2013
VAR78
VIR61
04 Mar 2012
VAR86
VIR63
28 Nov 2010
VAR91
VIR81
15 Nov 2009
VAR68
VIR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#10
L
71-84
71
84
-13
55avg 71
H07/11
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
86-70
86
70
+16
74avg 71
A14/11
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
85-76
85
76
+9
86avg 71
H20/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
75-94
75
94
-19
64avg 71
A05/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
L
89-98 OT
89
98
-9
no box
H12/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
99-104
99
104
-5
92avg 71
A19/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
94-101
94
101
-7
95avg 71
A09/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
76-68
76
68
+8
64avg 71
H15/01
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
90-84
90
84
+6
76avg 71
A28/01
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
90-89
90
89
+1
75avg 71
H30/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
19-25
16-19
18-22
22-15
21-21
16-23
27-11
25-20
18-18
23-14
19-24
19-25
18-28
22-23
16-18
23-28
18-28
21-20
21-7
27-28
23-20
27-21
22-35
20-25
28-31
25-14
21-31
14-19
14-21
21-17
27-11
24-23
18-19
22-22
26-20
28-18
10-23
29-24
23-24
172.3Avg total
85.5Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.588.4168.9-7.938%
Season at home (8)79.084.4163.4-5.450%
Season away (8)82.092.5174.5-10.525%
Last 10 (10)85.586.8172.3-1.350%
Last 5 (5)89.889.2179.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)77.986.3164.2-8.431%
vs Similar (14)83.585.1168.6-1.650%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
76-70
76
70
+6
77avg 85
H19/12
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#6
L
80-100
80
100
-20
78avg 85
A22/12
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
99-102 OT
99
102
-3
no box
A05/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
90-81
90
81
+9
96avg 85
A09/01
Lega A
JL Bourg
#17
W
83-82
83
82
+1
85avg 85
H12/01
Eurocup
Treviso
#11
W
84-66
84
66
+18
no box
H15/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
83-76
83
76
+7
148avg 85
A23/01
Lega A
Ulm
#15
L
68-84
68
84
-16
57avg 85
A25/01
Eurocup
Cremona
#16
W
79-71
79
71
+8
no box
H29/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
L
62-68
62
68
-6
56avg 85
H01/02
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
19-15
19-20
19-15
24-26
21-21
20-24
15-29
21-24
24-30
20-21
30-20
19-23
23-26
27-16
21-16
22-17
21-25
17-11
23-29
29-13
16-12
21-15
18-26
19-16
17-23
26-9
21-28
15-22
19-23
17-18
17-21
25-12
7-13
22-24
25-22
13-19
17-15
17-16
15-18
160.4Avg total
80.4Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)89.679.1168.7+10.582%
Season at home (8)88.874.9163.6+13.9100%
Season away (9)90.382.9173.2+7.467%
Last 10 (10)80.480.0160.4+0.460%
Last 5 (5)75.273.0148.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.077.5158.5+3.5100%
vs Similar (5)96.494.8191.2+1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.378.4164.7+7.978%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
VareseVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H07/11
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A14/11
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H20/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A05/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H12/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A19/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A09/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H15/01
Lega A
Trento
#14
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A28/01
Lega A
Trento
#14
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H30/01
Lega A
86.0Avg total
40.7Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.882.5-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.940.779.6-1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)40.544.985.4-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)40.745.386.0-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.245.486.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.843.682.4-4.838%-
vs Similar (14)40.642.082.6-1.436%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H19/12
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A22/12
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A05/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A09/01
Lega A
JL Bourg
#17
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H12/01
Eurocup
Treviso
#11
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H15/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A23/01
Lega A
Ulm
#15
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A25/01
Eurocup
Cremona
#16
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H29/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H01/02
Eurocup
78.5Avg total
39.0Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.141.385.4+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.138.182.2+6.171%-
Last 30 away (16)44.144.288.2-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.578.5-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.433.669.0+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.033.072.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (5)51.448.8100.2+2.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.040.483.4+2.557%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.1
49.1%
51.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.9
36.3%
35.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.813.5
71.8%
74.7%13.5
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.5
55.3%
51.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.5
33.7%
35.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.512.3
70.3%
74.7%12.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWWLLLLWWL
Virtus Bologna
LWLWWWWLLW
#12
League position
#2
-3.2
Net rating
+4.0
110.5
Offensive rating
104.2
113.7
Defensive rating
100.2
51.2%
Effective FG%
53.4%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
14.2%
Turnover %
19.3%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.3%
3-point %
33.7%
50.7%
Assist %
78.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 104.2Defence113.7 · 100.2Shooting51.2% · 53.4%3-point %36.3% · 33.7%Ball care14.2% · 19.3%Off. rebounds30.3% · 28.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Varese wins
8
Virtus Bologna wins
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/22HTrento90-89
28/01/22ATrento90-84
15/01/22HVenezia76-68
09/01/22AFortitudo Bologna94-101
19/12/21ASassari99-104
12/12/21HBasket Napoli89-98 OT
05/12/21APesaro75-94
20/11/21HTortona85-76
14/11/21ATrieste86-70
07/11/21HBrindisi71-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/22HBuducnost62-68
29/01/22HCremona79-71
25/01/22AUlm68-84
23/01/22ABrindisi83-76
15/01/22HTreviso84-66
12/01/22HJL Bourg83-82
09/01/22AReggiana90-81
05/01/22AOlimpia Milano99-102 OT
22/12/21AGran Canaria80-100
19/12/21HFortitudo Bologna76-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW38%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game80.579.082.0
Allowed / game88.484.492.5
Point differential-7.9-5.4-10.5
Avg total168.9163.4174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game89.688.890.3
Allowed / game79.174.982.9
Point differential+10.5+13.9+7.4
Avg total168.7163.6173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %12%12%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1715288%82.469.9+12.4
2 Virtus Bologna1714382%89.679.1+10.5
3 Brescia1811761%83.478.6+4.8
4 Trieste1710759%78.179.2-1.1
5 Tortona189950%80.981.3-0.4
6 Trento189950%80.380.7-0.4
7 Brindisi189950%81.282.7-1.6
8 Reggiana178947%81.580.5+0.9
9 Sassari178947%83.183.7-0.6
10 Basket Napoli178947%82.683.9-1.3
11 Treviso178947%79.482.6-3.3
12 Venezia1771041%78.479.3-0.9
13 Pesaro1871139%80.584.2-3.7
14 Varese1661038%80.588.4-7.9
15 Cremona1851328%80.784.3-3.7
16 Fortitudo Bologna1851328%81.184.8-3.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1632122080
Virtus Bologna2516281281
← all games of the day
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