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Puerto Montt vs U. De Concepcion Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 87-92
22-19 22-18 15-32 28-23
Position#7
Record14-18
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Position#1
Record29-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game76.9
ChileLNB· Gimnasio Municipal Puerto Montt
Other2026-27
Meetings · Puerto Montt v U. De Concepcion
02 Oct 2026
PUER87
U. D92
14 Apr 2024
PUER66
U. D84
23 Mar 2023
PUER72
U. D108
13 May 2022
PUER63
U. D84
16 Jan 2022
PUER62
U. D77
11 Jan 2020
PUER76
U. D83
16 Dec 2017
PUER70
U. D77
15 Dec 2016
PUER83
U. D73
02 Nov 2014
PUER78
U. D99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Puerto Montt winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
U. De Concepcion winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Puerto MonttChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMontt
Date
Competition
Valdivia
#3
L
74-80
74
80
-6
66avg 73
A09/08
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#6
W
82-79
82
79
+3
75avg 73
H11/08
LNB
Ancud
#10
W
88-66
88
66
+22
81avg 73
A15/08
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#12
W
92-72
92
72
+20
91avg 73
H18/08
LNB
Colo Colo
#13
W
74-67
74
67
+7
68avg 73
H03/09
LNB
Colo Colo
#13
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
72avg 73
A06/09
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#9
W
81-68
81
68
+13
76avg 73
A15/09
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#9
W
82-78
82
78
+4
72avg 73
H16/09
LNB
Ancud
#10
W
94-83
94
83
+11
94avg 73
A24/09
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
59-87
59
87
-28
50avg 73
A27/09
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
17-11
16-17
15-30
21-25
24-21
18-20
19-13
23-23
15-11
28-17
22-15
18-14
30-28
25-16
19-14
16-7
27-14
16-16
15-30
20-16
18-26
23-15
15-19
23-14
27-20
6-23
25-11
19-22
15-15
20-18
28-23
30-16
22-24
19-25
23-18
18-16
19-26
15-19
7-26
157.6Avg total
81.2Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.082.1161.0-3.144%
Season at home (15)81.983.4165.3-1.547%
Season away (17)76.480.9157.3-4.541%
Last 10 (10)81.276.4157.6+4.880%
Last 5 (5)80.480.0160.4+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.586.7158.2-15.210%
vs Similar (16)80.877.9158.7+2.862%
vs Weaker (4)86.583.0169.5+3.550%
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
U. De ConcepcionChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormConcepcion
Date
Competition
Puente Alto
#5
W
97-89
97
89
+8
96avg 79
H31/07
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
63avg 79
A04/08
LNB
Colo Colo
#13
W
93-72
93
72
+21
94avg 79
A09/08
LNB
Catolica
#11
W
79-54
79
54
+25
74avg 79
A09/08
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
97-76
97
76
+21
96avg 79
H13/08
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
103-80
103
80
+23
101avg 79
A15/08
LNB
Puente Alto
#5
W
97-96 OT
97
96
+1
86avg 79
A14/09
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
65avg 79
A15/09
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
89avg 79
H24/09
LNB
Puerto Montt
#7
W
87-59
87
59
+28
70avg 79
H27/09
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
22-24
32-22
18-22
18-26
22-17
22-21
12-22
26-18
22-18
23-20
22-16
27-12
20-15
14-16
18-11
25-21
21-26
21-16
30-13
33-29
21-23
28-10
21-18
16-27
19-28
24-18
27-13
16-17
14-19
22-23
20-20
19-23
26-10
26-25
25-18
16-18
26-19
19-15
26-7
166.2Avg total
89.5Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)95.076.9171.9+18.185%
Season at home (18)101.276.7177.9+24.689%
Season away (16)87.977.2165.1+10.881%
Last 10 (10)89.576.7166.2+12.880%
Last 5 (5)91.078.0169.0+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)95.078.1173.1+16.883%
This opponent (Puerto Montt) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +5.9+5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +5.9+5.9
Puerto MonttU. De Concepcion
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Puerto MonttLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valdivia
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A09/08
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H11/08
LNB
Ancud
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A15/08
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#12
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H18/08
LNB
Colo Colo
#13
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H03/09
LNB
Colo Colo
#13
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A06/09
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#9
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A15/09
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#9
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H16/09
LNB
Ancud
#10
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A24/09
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A27/09
LNB
79.9Avg total
42.8Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.681.3+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.038.980.9+3.150%-
Last 30 away (16)41.440.381.7+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.837.179.9+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.081.2+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.640.879.4-2.240%-
vs Similar (16)42.837.680.4+5.256%-
vs Weaker (4)44.844.889.5+0.050%-
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puente Alto
#5
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H31/07
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A04/08
LNB
Colo Colo
#13
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A09/08
LNB
Catolica
#11
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A09/08
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H13/08
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A15/08
LNB
Puente Alto
#5
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A14/09
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A15/09
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#9
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H24/09
LNB
Puerto Montt
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H27/09
LNB
84.5Avg total
43.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.942.089.9+5.966%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.440.791.1+9.875%-
Last 30 away (13)44.843.688.4+1.254%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.184.5+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.683.8-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)47.942.089.9+5.966%-
This opponent (Puerto Montt) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Puerto Montttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Puerto Montt: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.722.2
49.7%
52.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.2
32.9%
31.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.411.2
68.3%
71.0%11.2
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.0
52.8%
52.2%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.7
33.9%
31.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.615.7
72.7%
71.0%15.7
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Puerto Montt
LWWWWWWWWL
U. De Concepcion
WWLWWWWWLW
#7
League position
#1
+11.3
Net rating
+14.7
91.9
Offensive rating
96.8
80.6
Defensive rating
82.1
49.6%
Effective FG%
52.0%
43.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
14.8%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.9%
3-point %
33.9%
58.9%
Assist %
61.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence91.9 · 96.8Defence80.6 · 82.1Shooting49.6% · 52.0%3-point %32.9% · 33.9%Ball care14.8% · 14.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Puerto Montt   ■ U. De Concepcion
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Puerto Montt wins
10
U. De Concepcion wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26AU. De Concepcion59-87
24/09/26AAncud94-83
16/09/26HCD Puerto Varas82-78
15/09/26ACD Puerto Varas81-68
06/09/26AColo Colo86-84 OT
03/09/26HColo Colo74-67
18/08/26HNaviera Ulloa92-72
15/08/26AAncud88-66
11/08/26HEspanol Osorno82-79
09/08/26AValdivia74-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26HPuerto Montt87-59
24/09/26HCD Puerto Varas96-76
15/09/26ALeones Quilpue72-79
14/09/26APuente Alto97-96 OT
15/08/26AEspanol de Talca103-80
13/08/26HLeones Quilpue97-76
09/08/26ACatolica79-54
09/08/26AColo Colo93-72
04/08/26ALeones Quilpue74-86
31/07/26HPuente Alto97-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Puerto Montt
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL44%
HomeWWWWW47%
AwayWWWWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %44%47%41%
Points / game79.081.976.4
Allowed / game82.183.480.9
Point differential-3.1-1.5-4.5
Avg total161.0165.3157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)60% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %6%7%6%
U. De Concepcion
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW85%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWWWL81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %85%89%81%
Points / game95.0101.287.9
Allowed / game76.976.777.2
Point differential+18.1+24.6+10.8
Avg total171.9177.9165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%78%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 U. De Concepcion3429585%95.076.9+18.1
2 Leones Quilpue41311076%82.276.6+5.5
3 Valdivia3627975%85.975.2+10.8
4 Espanol Osorno40231757%80.378.0+2.3
5 Las Animas35201557%84.479.5+4.9
6 Puente Alto35191654%82.780.4+2.3
7 CD Puerto Varas42212150%79.080.8-1.8
8 Boston C. C.1881044%82.393.7-11.4
9 Puerto Montt32141844%79.082.1-3.1
10 Ancud31131842%81.183.1-2.0
11 Catolica2982128%76.283.3-7.1
12 Colo Colo3082227%76.381.1-4.8
13 Naviera Ulloa3182326%76.888.8-12.0
14 Espanol de Talca282267%74.989.4-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Puerto Montt2222152887
U. De Concepcion1918322392
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