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Purdue vs Oakland Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 91-66
Projected total 157.3
Scheduled
Position#126
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game69.0
Vs
98%
■ PURD 98%■ OAKL 2%
Pythia win probability
Position#344
Record1-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game91.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Purdue v Oakland
20 Nov 2026
PURD v OAKL
upcoming
07 Nov 2025
PURD87
OAKL77
01 Dec 2020
PURD93
OAKL50
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Purdue host Oakland in the NCAA. Pythia makes Purdue the favourite at 98% and projects 91-66, about 157 points in all. Overtime chance: 0%. Purdue are 3-1 this season (78.5 scored, 69.0 allowed a game), form LWLWW; Oakland are 1-5 this season (70.8 scored, 91.8 allowed a game), form LLLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Purdue win
98.2%fair 1.02
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oakland win
1.8%fair 54.38
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A14/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A15/03
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
104-71
104
71
+33
H20/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H22/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H26/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
64-79
64
79
-15
A29/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#272
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H03/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#165
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
H06/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#300
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H10/11
NCAA
Ohio
#170
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-27
39-39
38-38
42-34
45-33
59-38
38-40
41-29
39-35
40-42
38-31
26-48
36-33
42-39
32-20
26-38
36-28
40-31
37-28
43-34
150.3Avg total
79.3Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.569.0147.5+9.575%
Season at home (4)78.569.0147.5+9.575%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.371.0150.3+8.380%
Last 5 (5)75.671.0146.6+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.780.7155.3-6.033%
vs Similar (9)77.869.8147.6+8.078%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)80.872.2152.9+8.672%
This opponent (Oakland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OaklandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H22/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A25/02
NCAA
Detroit
#184
L
89-95
89
95
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Michigan
#163
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A02/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A07/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#44
L
67-90
67
90
-23
A07/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
68-109
68
109
-41
A10/11
NCAA
Boise State
#1
L
79-111
79
111
-32
A12/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#255
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-34
40-36
43-33
43-41
42-49
47-46
31-37
53-48
36-47
32-37
33-38
30-43
27-38
40-52
29-56
39-53
42-52
37-59
46-42
34-34
164.0Avg total
76.5Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)70.891.8162.7-21.017%
Season at home (1)80.076.0156.0+4.0100%
Season away (5)69.095.0164.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)76.587.5164.0-11.030%
Last 5 (5)71.493.4164.8-22.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.885.3160.1-10.527%
vs Similar (9)86.782.3169.0+4.367%
vs Weaker (6)83.378.3161.7+5.067%
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 147
Over 147
74.5%
Under 147
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152
Over 152
63.3%
Under 152
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157
Over 157
50.8%
Under 157
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Purdue total 82
Over 82
83.6%
Under 82
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Purdue total 86
Over 86
71.3%
Under 86
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Purdue total 90
Over 90
55.6%
Under 90
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oakland total 62
Over 62
66.0%
Under 62
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oakland total 66
Over 66
49.8%
Under 66
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oakland total 70
Over 70
33.5%
Under 70
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Purdue -3
PURD -3
97.3%
OAKL +3
2.7%
Best 5 market prices
PURD
No market prices yet.
OAKL
No market prices yet.
Spread Purdue 0
PURD 0
98.2%
OAKL 0
1.8%
Best 5 market prices
PURD
No market prices yet.
OAKL
No market prices yet.
Spread Purdue +3
PURD +3
98.9%
OAKL -3
1.1%
Best 5 market prices
PURD
No market prices yet.
OAKL
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: -5.6-5.62nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -5.4-5.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: -5.6-5.62nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -5.4-5.4
PurdueOakland
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A14/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A15/03
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H20/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H22/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H26/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A29/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#272
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H03/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#165
W
32-20
32
20
+12
H06/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#300
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H10/11
NCAA
Ohio
#170
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H14/11
NCAA
68.6Avg total
37.3Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.333.271.4+5.170%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.534.273.8+5.376%-
Last 30 away (13)36.631.868.4+4.862%-
Last 10 (10)37.331.368.6+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)35.828.063.8+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.039.075.0-3.033%-
vs Similar (9)37.831.969.7+5.978%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)38.932.871.7+6.172%-
This opponent (Oakland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OaklandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H22/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A25/02
NCAA
Detroit
#184
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H05/03
NCAA
Michigan
#163
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A02/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A07/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#44
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A07/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A10/11
NCAA
Boise State
#1
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A12/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#255
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H14/11
NCAA
79.6Avg total
37.0Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.779.4-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.240.780.8-0.538%-
Last 30 away (17)37.640.678.3-3.041%-
Last 10 (10)37.042.679.6-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.445.280.6-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.942.578.3-6.620%-
vs Similar (9)40.941.482.3-0.644%-
vs Weaker (6)42.735.077.7+7.783%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Purdue wins
0
Oakland wins
DateGameScore
08/11/25Purdue v Oakland87-77
01/12/20Purdue v Oakland93-50
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOhio80-62
10/11/26HIllinois State76-59
06/11/26HValparaiso80-83 OT
03/11/26HGonzaga78-72
29/03/26AArizona64-79
26/03/26HTexas79-77
22/03/26HMiami (FL)79-69
20/03/26HQueens Royals104-71
15/03/26AMichigan80-72
14/03/26AUCLA73-66
Oaklandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HNorthern Iowa80-76
12/11/26ABoise State79-111
10/11/26AAlabama68-109
07/11/26AUC Santa Barbara67-90
07/11/26AStanford63-81
02/11/26AMichigan68-84
05/03/26HNorthern Kentucky84-85
28/02/26HDetroit89-95
25/02/26AIU Indy86-74
22/02/26HWisc. Milwaukee81-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Purdue
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWLWW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game78.578.5-
Allowed / game69.069.0-
Point differential+9.5+9.5-
Avg total147.5147.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%25%-
Oakland
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %17%100%0%
Points / game70.880.069.0
Allowed / game91.876.095.0
Point differential-21.0+4.0-26.0
Avg total162.7156.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wright State440100%91.269.0+22.2
2 Wisc. Green Bay53260%75.266.8+8.4
3 Youngstown State42250%74.080.5-6.5
4 Cleveland State42250%75.288.0-12.8
5 Wisc. Milwaukee52340%76.077.4-1.4
6 Northern Kentucky52340%74.693.4-18.8
7 IPFW31233%77.774.7+3.0
8 Oakland61517%70.891.8-21.0
9 Robert Morris3030%52.780.3-27.7
10 Detroit3030%53.092.7-39.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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