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Michigan vs Purdue Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 72-80
38-38 34-42
Position#6
Record31-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game68.9
Michigan
USA
vs
Purdue 🏆
USA
Position#31
Record26-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game70.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Michigan v Purdue
08 Jan 2027
MICH v PURD
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
MICH72
PURD80
14 Mar 2025
MICH86
PURD68
11 Feb 2025
MICH75
PURD73
25 Feb 2024
MICH76
PURD84
26 Jan 2023
MICH70
PURD75
10 Feb 2022
MICH82
PURD58
09 Jan 2020
MICH84
PURD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#251
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A12/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
86-56
86
56
+30
H14/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A17/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H25/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A28/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A06/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H08/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-44
52-31
40-38
46-18
48-32
43-48
33-35
30-33
32-28
45-39
38-31
46-39
30-30
41-38
42-41
48-39
39-35
32-32
28-28
40-37
148.4Avg total
78.8Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)87.368.9156.2+18.494%
Season at home (20)90.667.3157.9+23.295%
Season away (13)82.271.2153.4+10.992%
Last 10 (10)78.869.6148.4+9.290%
Last 5 (5)76.870.0146.8+6.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)82.766.3149.0+16.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)87.468.5155.9+18.996%
This opponent (Purdue) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#81
W
78-57
78
57
+21
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H17/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
93-64
93
64
+29
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H27/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A01/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A05/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
93-97
93
97
-4
H07/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H12/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
74-58
74
58
+16
A13/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-25
42-32
32-48
48-43
46-29
47-35
39-36
35-40
31-36
43-46
25-34
45-32
47-52
46-45
45-21
36-47
41-28
33-30
34-27
39-39
151.5Avg total
79.0Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)81.770.1151.8+11.676%
Season at home (21)84.671.0155.6+13.676%
Season away (13)77.168.6145.7+8.577%
Last 10 (10)79.072.5151.5+6.560%
Last 5 (5)78.271.0149.2+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)69.086.0155.0-17.00%
vs Similar (7)79.069.1148.1+9.971%
vs Weaker (21)82.668.6151.1+14.081%
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +2.5+2.5
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +2.5+2.5
MichiganPurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#251
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H14/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A17/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A21/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A28/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A06/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H14/03
NCAA
70.7Avg total
36.5Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.032.975.9+10.077%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.231.876.1+12.489%-
Last 30 away (12)41.134.675.7+6.558%-
Last 10 (10)36.534.270.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)35.433.068.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)41.331.773.0+9.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.133.176.2+10.178%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#81
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H17/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H27/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A01/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A05/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H12/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A13/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A14/03
NCAA
71.2Avg total
37.6Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.632.472.0+7.273%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.533.474.9+8.178%-
Last 30 away (12)36.730.967.6+5.767%-
Last 10 (10)37.633.671.2+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.470.8+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)31.541.573.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (7)39.930.370.1+9.686%-
vs Weaker (21)40.232.272.5+8.076%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Michigan wins
5
Purdue wins
DateGameScore
17/02/26Purdue v Michigan80-91
15/03/25Michigan v Purdue86-68
12/02/25Michigan v Purdue75-73
25/01/25Purdue v Michigan91-64
25/02/24Michigan v Purdue76-84
24/01/24Purdue v Michigan99-67
27/01/23Michigan v Purdue70-75
11/02/22Michigan v Purdue82-58
05/02/22Purdue v Michigan82-76
23/01/21Purdue v Michigan53-70
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HWisconsin68-65
13/03/26HOhio State71-67
08/03/26HMichigan State90-80
06/03/26AIowa71-68
28/02/26AIllinois84-70
25/02/26HMinnesota77-67
21/02/26ADuke63-68
17/02/26APurdue91-80
14/02/26HUCLA86-56
12/02/26ANorthwestern87-75
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26AUCLA73-66
13/03/26ANebraska74-58
12/03/26HNorthwestern81-68
07/03/26HWisconsin93-97
05/03/26ANorthwestern70-66
01/03/26AOhio State74-82
27/02/26HMichigan State74-76
21/02/26HIndiana93-64
17/02/26HMichigan80-91
14/02/26AIowa78-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayWWLWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games332013
Win %94%95%92%
Points / game87.390.682.2
Allowed / game68.967.371.2
Point differential+18.4+23.2+10.9
Avg total156.2157.9153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%75%69%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)80% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Purdue
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeLWLLW76%
AwayWLWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games342113
Win %76%76%77%
Points / game81.784.677.1
Allowed / game70.171.068.6
Point differential+11.6+13.6+8.5
Avg total151.8155.6145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%52%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan3331294%87.368.9+18.4
2 Nebraska3226681%77.366.2+11.1
3 Michigan State3225778%78.968.4+10.5
4 Purdue3426876%81.770.1+11.6
5 Illinois3224875%84.469.8+14.6
6 Wisconsin34241071%83.075.9+7.1
7 UCLA34231168%77.771.0+6.7
8 Iowa33211264%75.266.0+9.2
9 Ohio State33211264%79.872.8+7.0
10 Indiana32181456%78.272.2+6.0
11 USC32181456%78.677.9+0.7
12 Washington33161748%77.173.6+3.5
13 Minnesota32151747%70.068.5+1.5
14 Northwestern34151944%73.172.0+1.2
15 Rutgers33141942%70.675.1-4.5
16 Oregon32122038%70.873.9-3.1
17 Penn State32122038%73.779.3-5.7
18 Maryland33122136%69.776.6-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan383472
Purdue384280
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