PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Qatar vs Iraq Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-73
19-15 22-25 22-17 14-16
Position-
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Qatar 🏆
vs
Iraq
Position-
Record-
FormLWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International· Lusail Sports Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Qatar v Iraq
01 Aug 2025
QATA77
IRAQ73
20 Feb 2023
QATA70
IRAQ75
02 Jul 2018
QATA84
IRAQ79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Qatar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iraq winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQatar
Date
Competition
Japan
#8
L
63-95
63
95
-32
no box
A26/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
64-76
64
76
-12
no box
H28/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#15
W
74-67
74
67
+7
no box
A30/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
41-80
41
80
-39
no box
A02/10
Asian Games
Iran
#3
L
74-76 OT
74
76
-2
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
L
68-73
68
73
-5
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
69-53
69
53
+16
62avg 75
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
W
78-77 OT
78
77
+1
67avg 75
H25/11
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
92-71
92
71
+21
91avg 75
A21/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
81-61
81
61
+20
79avg 75
H24/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-33
21-23
7-18
22-21
13-22
16-21
18-24
17-9
14-18
19-19
21-19
20-11
14-33
9-24
7-16
11-7
13-20
19-15
16-12
19-20
12-19
25-14
13-15
18-25
17-14
19-17
14-8
19-14
16-14
15-22
17-15
20-17
20-13
25-16
29-23
18-19
17-18
25-4
17-19
22-20
143.3Avg total
70.4Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.472.9143.3-2.550%
Last 5 (5)77.667.0144.6+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)58.585.6144.1-27.16%
vs Similar (7)65.969.6135.4-3.743%
vs Weaker (7)76.165.3141.4+10.986%
IraqLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraq
Date
Competition
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
H21/02
Asia Cup
Oman
#27
W
82-65
82
65
+17
no box
H22/02
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
L
58-64
58
64
-6
no box
H23/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A26/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
64-73
64
73
-9
52avg 64
A22/11
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
L
58-66
58
66
-8
43avg 64
A25/11
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
71-59
71
59
+12
67avg 64
H21/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
67-73
67
73
-6
62avg 64
H24/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
L
77-97
77
97
-20
71avg 64
H21/03
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
85-72
85
72
+13
92avg 64
A23/03
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-13
14-25
17-17
24-19
19-18
17-10
29-17
17-20
13-17
16-10
16-17
13-20
25-23
12-13
19-17
19-19
18-23
21-13
7-19
18-18
16-9
20-20
10-16
12-21
19-15
16-29
12-10
24-5
29-13
15-20
13-18
10-22
30-30
8-14
19-32
20-21
30-22
23-13
18-25
14-12
143.4Avg total
71.9Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.971.5143.4+0.450%
Last 5 (5)71.673.4145.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)66.273.1139.3-6.920%
vs Similar (9)76.878.8155.6-2.044%
vs Weaker (10)75.776.8152.5-1.140%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
QatarIraq
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QatarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Japan
#8
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A26/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H28/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#15
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A30/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
23-57
23
57
-34
A02/10
Asian Games
Iran
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A23/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H26/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H25/11
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A21/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H24/02
Asia Cup
72.1Avg total
34.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.237.470.7-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.636.768.3-5.123%-
Last 30 away (17)34.538.072.5-3.541%-
Last 10 (10)34.237.972.1-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.230.268.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)30.741.572.2-10.812%-
vs Similar (7)33.036.369.3-3.314%-
vs Weaker (7)39.329.368.6+10.0100%-
IraqLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/02
Asia Cup
Oman
#27
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H22/02
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H23/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A26/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/11
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A25/11
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H21/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H24/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H21/03
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A23/03
Asia Cup
73.8Avg total
38.8Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.736.873.6-0.155%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.537.172.7-1.653%-
Last 30 away (14)38.036.574.5+1.557%-
Last 10 (10)38.835.073.8+3.880%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.078.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.334.971.2+1.470%-
vs Similar (9)36.937.774.6-0.856%-
vs Weaker (10)37.038.075.0-1.040%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Qatartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qatar: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.420.6
49.8%
55.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.65.8
28.2%
34.4%17.4
🏀 Free throws26.818.2
67.9%
74.1%18.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iraqtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraq: 68.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.0
48.9%
55.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.25.2
24.7%
34.4%15.8
🏀 Free throws22.914.6
63.9%
74.1%14.6
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/8 games with a box score before 01 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Qatar
WWWWLLLWLL
Iraq
WLLWLLWLWW
+14.2
Net rating
-3.6
103.0
Offensive rating
93.4
88.8
Defensive rating
97.0
47.3%
Effective FG%
44.7%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
44.8%
17.1%
Turnover %
19.8%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.38
28.2%
3-point %
24.7%
57.6%
Assist %
69.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 93.4Defence88.8 · 97.0Shooting47.3% · 44.7%3-point %28.2% · 24.7%Ball care17.1% · 19.8%Off. rebounds32.6% · 30.5%Free throws0.43 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Qatar   ■ Iraq
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Qatar wins
2
Iraq wins
DateGameScore
20/02/23Qatar v Iraq70-75
02/07/18Qatar v Iraq84-79 OT
22/02/18Iraq v Qatar66-77
09/08/17Iraq v Qatar75-66
Qatarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25HIndia81-61
21/02/25AKazakhstan92-71
25/11/24HIran78-77 OT
22/11/24AIndia69-53
26/02/24HKazakhstan68-73
23/02/24AIran74-76 OT
02/10/23APhilippines41-80
30/09/23AIndonesia74-67
28/09/23HSouth Korea64-76
26/09/23AJapan63-95
Iraqlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25ABahrain85-72
21/03/25HIndia77-97
24/02/25HJordan67-73
21/02/25HPalestine71-59
25/11/24ASaudi Arabia58-66
22/11/24AJordan64-73
26/02/24APalestine75-72
23/02/24HSaudi Arabia58-64
22/02/23HOman82-65
21/02/23HUnited Arab Emirates82-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Qatar
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Iraq
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Qatar1922221477
Iraq1525171673
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.