Queens Royals host Wofford on 14 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names the Royals as the clear favourite, rating them 86% to win largely because their season record of 2-2 is paired with an average of 87.2 points scored and 102.2 points allowed, while Wofford's 2-2 record comes with 80.0 points scored and 78.2 points allowed; the Royals' single home game shows a 1-0 record with 103.0 points for and 98.0 against, giving the model confidence that the Royals will outpace Wofford's 64.5 points for and 99.5 against in road play. Both teams have identical 5-game records of 2-3, but the Royals' recent loss to Brigham Young 82-98 and to Oklahoma State 68-118 contrast with a 96-95 win over Loyola Marymount, whereas Wofford's recent 91-47 and 100-67 home victories are offset by a 70-109 loss to North Carolina; the model therefore projects a 90-77 score and a total of 167.3 points, with the Royals covering the -7.5 line 67% of the time and the over on the 172.5 line only 37% of the time, and a 3% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 87.2 | 102.2 | 189.5 | -15.0 | 50% |
| Season at home (1) | 103.0 | 98.0 | 201.0 | +5.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 82.0 | 103.7 | 185.7 | -21.7 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 85.4 | 91.5 | 176.9 | -6.1 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.0 | 102.6 | 186.6 | -18.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 85.8 | 97.8 | 183.6 | -12.0 | 36% |
| vs Similar (13) | 82.2 | 80.8 | 162.9 | +1.4 | 69% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 90.2 | 75.5 | 165.7 | +14.7 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 80.0 | 78.2 | 158.2 | +1.8 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 95.5 | 57.0 | 152.5 | +38.5 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 64.5 | 99.5 | 164.0 | -35.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.2 | 80.1 | 159.3 | -0.9 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.4 | 77.6 | 156.0 | +0.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 75.8 | 89.6 | 165.4 | -13.9 | 25% |
| vs Similar (14) | 76.4 | 75.5 | 151.9 | +0.9 | 57% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (6) | 86.5 | 72.2 | 158.7 | +14.3 | 83% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.5 | 40.8 | 81.3 | -0.3 | 50% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (12) | 46.6 | 38.4 | 85.0 | +8.2 | 83% | 58% |
| Last 30 away (18) | 36.4 | 42.4 | 78.8 | -5.9 | 28% | 39% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.0 | 42.2 | 81.2 | -3.2 | 30% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.2 | 48.4 | 90.6 | -6.2 | 20% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 40.3 | 45.4 | 85.6 | -5.1 | 27% | 73% |
| vs Similar (13) | 40.0 | 39.5 | 79.5 | +0.5 | 54% | 38% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 42.0 | 35.2 | 77.2 | +6.8 | 83% | 17% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.4 | 35.9 | 73.4 | +1.5 | 43% | 13% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 38.3 | 33.9 | 72.3 | +4.4 | 47% | 7% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 36.5 | 37.9 | 74.5 | -1.4 | 40% | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.4 | 35.7 | 73.1 | +1.7 | 30% | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.4 | 31.8 | 70.2 | +6.6 | 40% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 36.4 | 43.8 | 80.1 | -7.4 | 0% | 38% |
| vs Similar (14) | 35.1 | 36.3 | 71.4 | -1.2 | 43% | 7% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (6) | 41.0 | 30.3 | 71.3 | +10.7 | 83% | 0% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queens Royals -6.5 | 70.5% | 1.86 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.90 | 1.83 | 1.73 | +22.5pp | Lost |
| Queens Royals -6 | 72.8% | 1.80 | 1.91 | 1.86 | 1.77 | 1.68 | - | +22.4pp | Lost |
| Queens Royals -3.5 | 79.5% | 1.57 | 1.65 | 1.60 | 1.47 | - | - | +21.6pp | Won |
| Queens Royals -3 | 81.3% | 1.50 | 1.59 | 1.41 | - | - | - | +21.5pp | Won |
| Queens Royals -5 | 75.9% | 1.69 | 1.75 | 1.74 | 1.57 | - | - | +20.8pp | Push |
| Queens Royals -5.5 | 73.6% | 1.77 | 1.87 | 1.82 | 1.81 | 1.78 | 1.73 | +20.6pp | Lost |
| Queens Royals (regulation) | 84.4% | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.41 | 1.36 | - | - | +20.2pp | Won |
| Queens Royals -4 | 78.9% | 1.56 | 1.62 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +19.8pp | Won |
| Queens Royals -4.5 | 76.6% | 1.66 | 1.72 | 1.70 | 1.68 | 1.54 | - | +19.5pp | Won |
| Under 176 | 71.1% | 1.76 | 1.79 | 1.78 | 1.71 | - | - | +18.1pp | Lost |
| Under 177 | 73.2% | 1.69 | 1.72 | 1.70 | 1.64 | - | - | +18.0pp | Lost |
| Under 176.5 | 71.7% | 1.72 | 1.76 | 1.74 | 1.70 | 1.68 | - | +17.7pp | Lost |
| Queens Royals -2.5 | 81.7% | 1.44 | 1.50 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +17.5pp | Won |
| Queens Royals +1.5 | 87.5% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +17.2pp | Won |
| Queens Royals -1.5 | 84.5% | 1.38 | 1.42 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +17.1pp | Won |
| Queens Royals win | 86.2% | 1.36 | 1.41 | 1.39 | 1.39 | 1.38 | 1.38 | +16.5pp | Won |
| Under 177.5 | 73.7% | 1.63 | 1.66 | 1.62 | 1.60 | - | - | +16.4pp | Lost |
| Under 178 | 75.2% | 1.57 | 1.57 | - | - | - | - | +16.3pp | Lost |
| Under 178.5 | 75.7% | 1.55 | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | +16.2pp | Lost |
| Under 179 | 77.1% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +15.9pp | Lost |
| Under 179.5 | 77.5% | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +15.5pp | Lost |
| Under 180 | 78.9% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +15.5pp | Lost |
| Queens Royals -2 | 84.1% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +15.1pp | Won |
| Under 180.5 | 79.3% | 1.44 | 1.45 | 1.43 | - | - | - | +15.1pp | Lost |
| Under 181 | 80.6% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | +14.9pp | Lost |
| Queens Royals -1 | 85.9% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +14.2pp | Won |
| Queens Royals +2.5 | 89.4% | 1.23 | 1.26 | 1.20 | - | - | - | +14.0pp | Won |
| Queens Royals +7.5 | 95.0% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 97.1% | 1.04 | 1.05 | 1.03 | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Queens Royals +12.5 | 97.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Queens Royals over 70.5 | 97.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Queens Royals over 71.5 | 96.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Queens Royals over 73.5 | 94.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Queens Royals under 99.5 | 83.4% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Queens Royals over 75.5 | 92.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Queens Royals under 97.5 | 78.0% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Queens Royals over 79.5 | 85.0% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Queens Royals under 95.5 | 71.5% | 1.33 | 1.34 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Lost |
| Queens Royals over 77.5 | 89.2% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Queens Royals over 81.5 | 79.9% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Queens Royals over 80.5 | 82.6% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Queens Royals over 83.5 | 73.9% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +1.5pp | Won |
| Queens Royals over 84.5 | 70.5% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Wofford over 63.5 | 91.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -2.2pp | Won |
| Wofford over 65.5 | 87.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -3.6pp | Won |
| Wofford +22.5 | 81.4% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -6.6pp | Won |
| Wofford over 67.5 | 83.5% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -6.8pp | Won |
| Wofford over 69.5 | 78.0% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -10.3pp | Won |
| Wofford over 71.5 | 71.7% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -13.4pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | Brigham Young | 82-98 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Oklahoma State | 68-118 |
| 05/11/26 | A | Loyola Marymount | 96-95 |
| 02/11/26 | H | Winthrop | 103-98 |
| 20/03/26 | A | Purdue | 71-104 |
| 08/03/26 | A | Central Arkansas | 98-93 OT |
| 08/03/26 | A | Austin Peay | 90-83 |
| 07/03/26 | H | West Georgia | 71-63 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Central Arkansas | 79-84 |
| 26/02/26 | A | Eastern Kentucky | 96-79 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Voorhees | 91-47 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Allen | 100-67 |
| 07/11/26 | A | North Carolina | 70-109 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Tennessee | 59-90 |
| 07/03/26 | H | NC Greensboro | 72-75 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Citadel | 90-93 OT |
| 26/02/26 | A | East Tennessee St | 72-69 |
| 22/02/26 | H | Furman | 67-76 |
| 18/02/26 | H | VMI | 82-76 |
| 14/02/26 | A | NC Greensboro | 89-99 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLL | 50% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | WLL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 33% |
| Points / game | 87.2 | 103.0 | 82.0 |
| Allowed / game | 102.2 | 98.0 | 103.7 |
| Point differential | -15.0 | +5.0 | -21.7 |
| Avg total | 189.5 | 201.0 | 185.7 |
| Over 175 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWW | 50% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 80.0 | 95.5 | 64.5 |
| Allowed / game | 78.2 | 57.0 | 99.5 |
| Point differential | +1.8 | +38.5 | -35.0 |
| Avg total | 158.2 | 152.5 | 164.0 |
| Over 175 | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 97.0 | 66.5 | +30.5 | |
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 86.7 | 65.7 | +21.0 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 84.5 | 70.0 | +14.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 74.8 | 78.5 | -3.8 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 69.8 | 79.0 | -9.2 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 87.2 | 102.2 | -15.0 | |
| 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 61.7 | 88.7 | -27.0 | |
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 84.0 | 83.0 | +1.0 | |
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 72.0 | 86.8 | -14.8 | |
| 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 60.3 | 74.7 | -14.3 | |
| 11 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 60.5 | 83.0 | -22.5 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 94.5 | 68.0 | +26.5 | |
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 94.3 | 61.3 | +33.0 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 97.0 | 74.3 | +22.7 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 77.8 | 70.4 | +7.4 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 81.0 | 70.8 | +10.2 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 84.2 | 79.5 | +4.8 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 80.0 | 78.2 | +1.8 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 78.2 | 80.6 | -2.4 | |
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 77.3 | 78.7 | -1.3 | |
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 65.3 | 68.3 | -3.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 51 | 97 | |
| 40 | 52 | 92 |
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