Quilmes vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Oct 2014

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 82-81

18-20 25-12 17-18 22-31

Position#8

Record3-1

FormLWLWW

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game73.0

Quilmes 🏆

Boca Juniors

Position#14

Record0-1

FormLLWWL

Points / game66.0

Allowed / game76.0

Liga A

Other2014-15

Meetings · Quilmes v Boca Juniors

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quilmes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Boca Juniors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Quilmes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sionista

#12

85-80

A12/04

Liga A

Sionista

#12

89-79

+10

H16/04

Liga A

Penarol

85-82 OT

A25/04

Liga A

Penarol

68-88

-20

A27/04

Liga A

Penarol

68-80

-12

H30/04

Liga A

Penarol

70-80

-10

H02/05

Liga A

Penarol

68-64

A30/09

Liga A

Penarol

72-74

-2

H02/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

83-78

H05/10

Liga A

Lanus

#17

92-76

+16

H11/10

Liga A

16-12

15-24

25-23

29-21

26-11

22-20

14-19

27-29

21-16

28-16

6-24

17-16

14-27

16-21

17-18

21-22

19-19

20-18

16-19

13-24

18-19

23-18

17-23

12-20

13-17

20-22

20-14

15-11

14-15

18-21

14-12

26-26

14-21

21-20

21-13

27-24

24-14

22-15

30-19

16-28

156.1Avg total

78.0Scored

78.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	78.8	73.0	151.8	+5.8	75%
Season at home (3)	82.3	76.0	158.3	+6.3	67%
Season away (1)	68.0	64.0	132.0	+4.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	78.0	78.1	156.1	-0.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	74.4	151.4	+2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	72.6	81.3	153.9	-8.8	22%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	78.1	77.8	155.9	+0.3	50%
vs Weaker (3)	88.7	86.7	175.3	+2.0	67%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

61-82

-21

A30/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

60-72

-12

A02/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

89-83

H05/05

Liga A

Penarol

79-81

-2

A09/05

Liga A

Penarol

67-81

-14

A11/05

Liga A

Penarol

73-83

-10

H13/05

Liga A

Atenas

66-76

-10

H02/10

Liga A

Tinguiririca

#11

68-65

H07/10

South American League

Carabobo

#14

70-58

+12

A08/10

South American League

Comunikt

82-90

-8

A10/10

South American League

22-18

2-16

21-25

16-23

16-17

15-24

12-13

17-18

20-23

21-14

28-23

19-14

14-11

25-30

21-26

19-16

20-19

11-34

17-12

7-21

19-17

30-15

17-30

20-19

7-21

21-18

18-18

18-20

15-22

22-15

13-8

24-21

14-10

18-14

14-13

16-31

21-24

26-14

19-21

148.6Avg total

71.5Scored

77.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	66.0	76.0	142.0	-10.0	0%
Season at home (1)	66.0	76.0	142.0	-10.0	0%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	71.5	77.1	148.6	-5.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	71.8	74.4	146.2	-2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	74.0	76.0	150.0	-2.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	75.2	77.1	152.2	-1.9	54%
vs Weaker (15)	80.7	71.3	152.0	+9.3	80%

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

QuilmesBoca Juniors

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.7	37.8	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.3	18.2	37.5	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	17.1	35.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	17.2	33.8	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.4	19.3	37.8	-0.9	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.9	17.7	36.6	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	23.3	44.7	-2.0	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	19.5	37.2	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	19.6	37.2	-2.0	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	19.4	37.1	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	20.0	38.1	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.4	39.4	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (15)	18.0	20.9	38.9	-2.9	20%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.7	38.1	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.1	18.4	38.5	+1.8	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.4	17.0	37.4	+3.4	78%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.6	39%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	20.7	40.7	-0.7	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	16.6	35.2	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	16.1	34.7	+2.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	17.1	35.8	+1.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.7	18.7	33.4	-4.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	18.8	34.0	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	9.0	20.5	29.5	-11.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	17.2	17.9	35.1	-0.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.2	14.9	36.1	+6.3	80%	-

QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sionista

#12

31-36

-5

A12/04

Liga A

Sionista

#12

48-31

+17

H16/04

Liga A

Penarol

49-32

+17

A25/04

Liga A

Penarol

30-48

-18

A27/04

Liga A

Penarol

39-37

H30/04

Liga A

Penarol

41-37

H02/05

Liga A

Penarol

33-39

-6

A30/09

Liga A

Penarol

32-36

-4

H02/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

35-41

-6

H05/10

Liga A

Lanus

#17

46-29

+17

H11/10

Liga A

75.0Avg total

38.4Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	37.5	75.9	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.4	36.6	76.0	+2.8	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.1	38.6	75.7	-1.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	36.6	75.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	36.4	73.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.9	36.3	75.2	+2.6	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	37.7	36.9	74.6	+0.7	39%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.3	44.0	85.3	-2.7	33%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

24-34

-10

A30/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

31-41

-10

A02/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

40-46

-6

H05/05

Liga A

Penarol

33-25

A09/05

Liga A

Penarol

39-35

A11/05

Liga A

Penarol

26-38

-12

H13/05

Liga A

Atenas

27-40

-13

H02/10

Liga A

Tinguiririca

#11

33-42

-9

H07/10

South American League

Carabobo

#14

38-31

A08/10

South American League

Comunikt

37-55

-18

A10/10

South American League

71.5Avg total

32.8Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	36.1	72.4	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.2	35.8	71.9	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.5	36.4	72.9	+0.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.8	38.7	71.5	-5.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	41.2	73.4	-9.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	29.0	39.5	68.5	-10.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	34.2	35.9	70.1	-1.8	54%	-
vs Weaker (15)	39.2	35.7	74.9	+3.5	67%	-

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.1	39.2	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.5	18.9	38.4	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.6	21.5	40.2	-2.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.4	36.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.2	36.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.3	22.3	38.7	-6.0	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.4	19.3	38.7	+0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.7	17.7	43.3	+8.0	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.4	38.3	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	16.7	39.3	+5.9	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.6	20.4	37.1	-3.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	15.2	38.6	+8.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.0	15.0	38.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.7	20.0	39.7	-0.3	46%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.5	17.5	37.1	+2.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.9	41.5	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.0	23.7	43.7	-3.7	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	22.1	42.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.9	21.6	37.4	-5.7	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.1	21.6	42.6	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	25.0	46.7	-3.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.8	39.3	+1.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	18.4	38.6	+1.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	19.2	37.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.0	34.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.5	20.8	41.3	-0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.2	16.7	36.9	+3.5	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	42.0	80.6	-3.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.5	42.6	82.1	-3.2	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.6	41.1	78.7	-3.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	40.5	78.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	38.0	77.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	32.2	43.9	76.1	-11.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	40.4	40.9	81.3	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	47.3	42.7	90.0	+4.7	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	37.2	77.5	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	35.9	79.1	+7.4	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.9	38.8	75.7	-1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	38.4	77.1	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	33.2	72.8	+6.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	45.0	36.5	81.5	+8.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	40.2	40.8	81.0	-0.5	54%	-
vs Weaker (15)	39.7	34.3	74.0	+5.5	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Quilmes wins

Boca Juniors wins

Date	Game	Score
22/02/14	Quilmes v Boca Juniors	65-70
06/12/13	Boca Juniors v Quilmes	96-81
02/11/13	Boca Juniors v Quilmes	58-60
26/10/13	Quilmes v Boca Juniors	70-68 OT
18/02/12	Quilmes v Boca Juniors	67-47
09/12/11	Boca Juniors v Quilmes	77-66
15/10/11	Boca Juniors v Quilmes	86-85
08/10/11	Quilmes v Boca Juniors	86-69

Quilmeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/10/14	H	Lanus	92-76
05/10/14	H	Weber Bahia	83-78
02/10/14	H	Penarol	72-74
30/09/14	A	Penarol	68-64
02/05/14	H	Penarol	70-80
30/04/14	H	Penarol	68-80
27/04/14	A	Penarol	68-88
25/04/14	A	Penarol	85-82 OT
16/04/14	H	Sionista	89-79
12/04/14	A	Sionista	85-80

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/10/14	A	Comunikt	82-90
08/10/14	A	Carabobo	70-58
07/10/14	H	Tinguiririca	68-65
02/10/14	H	Atenas	66-76
13/05/14	H	Penarol	73-83
11/05/14	A	Penarol	67-81
09/05/14	A	Penarol	79-81
05/05/14	H	Gimnasia	89-83
02/05/14	A	Gimnasia	60-72
30/04/14	A	Gimnasia	61-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quilmes

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWW	75%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	3	1
Win %	75%	67%	100%
Points / game	78.8	82.3	68.0
Allowed / game	73.0	76.0	64.0
Point differential	+5.8	+6.3	+4.0
Avg total	151.8	158.3	132.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	L	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	0%	0%	-
Points / game	66.0	66.0	-
Allowed / game	76.0	76.0	-
Point differential	-10.0	-10.0	-
Avg total	142.0	142.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Obras Sanitarias	4	4	0	100%	80.5	59.8	+20.8
2	Estudiantes	3	3	0	100%	81.7	67.3	+14.3
3	Libertad	2	2	0	100%	82.0	72.5	+9.5
4	Regatas	4	4	0	100%	86.0	76.8	+9.2
5	Penarol	4	3	1	75%	82.5	71.5	+11.0
6	Quilmes	4	3	1	75%	78.8	73.0	+5.8
7	Argentino	3	2	1	67%	77.7	73.3	+4.3
8	Olimpico	3	2	1	67%	84.7	82.0	+2.7
9	Quimsa	5	3	2	60%	78.8	75.4	+3.4
10	Weber Bahia	6	3	3	50%	81.3	83.7	-2.3
11	Gimnasia	3	1	2	33%	79.3	77.0	+2.3
12	La Union	4	1	3	25%	71.2	75.0	-3.8
13	Sionista	4	1	3	25%	75.5	80.5	-5.0
14	Atenas	4	1	3	25%	74.0	83.2	-9.2
15	Ciclista	5	1	4	20%	66.6	75.8	-9.2
16	Boca Juniors	1	0	1	0%	66.0	76.0	-10.0
17	San Martin	4	0	4	0%	70.8	81.2	-10.5
18	Lanus	5	0	5	0%	69.2	91.2	-22.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Quilmes	18	25	17	22	82
Boca Juniors	20	12	18	31	81

← all games of the day

Quilmes vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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