Boca Juniors vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 May 2014

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 73-83

7-21 19-17 30-15 17-30

Position#3

Record32-19

FormLLWLL

Points / game76.6

Allowed / game72.7

Boca Juniors

Penarol 🏆

Position#2

Record38-12

FormWWWWW

Points / game84.7

Allowed / game77.4

Liga ALiga A - Semi-finals

Other2013-14

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#13

83-72

+11

H22/03

Liga A

Lanus

#15

97-84

+13

A28/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

93-88 OT

A06/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

86-79

H23/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

76-70

H26/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

61-82

-21

A30/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

60-72

-12

A02/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

89-83

H05/05

Liga A

Penarol

79-81

-2

A09/05

Liga A

Penarol

67-81

-14

A11/05

Liga A

16-18

28-15

24-17

15-22

25-31

27-18

22-18

23-17

16-21

16-23

20-23

31-16

18-22

24-17

20-19

24-21

14-16

25-18

19-18

18-18

22-18

2-16

21-25

16-23

16-17

15-24

12-13

17-18

20-23

21-14

28-23

19-14

14-11

25-30

21-26

19-16

20-19

11-34

17-12

158.3Avg total

79.1Scored

79.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (51)	76.6	72.7	149.3	+3.9	63%
Season at home (25)	80.4	70.9	151.3	+9.5	84%
Season away (26)	72.9	74.5	147.3	-1.6	42%
Last 10 (10)	79.1	79.2	158.3	-0.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	79.8	151.0	-8.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	82.0	76.0	158.0	+6.0	100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	74.5	75.7	150.2	-1.2	54%
vs Weaker (16)	77.9	71.3	149.2	+6.6	75%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sionista

#12

84-92

-8

A20/03

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

90-93

-3

A22/03

Liga A

Quilmes

86-59

+27

H02/04

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

93-91

H03/04

Liga A

Quilmes

82-85 OT

-3

H25/04

Liga A

Quilmes

88-68

+20

H27/04

Liga A

Quilmes

80-68

+12

A30/04

Liga A

Quilmes

80-70

+10

A02/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

81-79

H09/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

81-67

+14

H11/05

Liga A

22-23

20-23

9-16

33-30

21-23

14-19

21-31

34-20

15-17

12-15

25-12

34-15

24-25

15-23

26-16

28-27

16-21

16-28

24-6

16-17

27-14

21-16

18-17

22-21

19-19

18-20

19-16

24-13

19-18

18-23

23-17

20-12

14-19

11-14

30-25

26-21

16-19

19-20

34-11

12-17

161.7Avg total

84.5Scored

77.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (50)	84.7	77.4	162.0	+7.3	76%
Season at home (26)	87.3	75.9	163.3	+11.4	88%
Season away (24)	81.8	79.0	160.7	+2.8	62%
Last 10 (10)	84.5	77.2	161.7	+7.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	70.4	152.4	+11.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	77.5	75.8	153.2	+1.8	50%
vs Weaker (26)	88.8	80.4	169.2	+8.4	81%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	19.1	36.3	-1.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	19.6	37.7	-1.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.3	18.5	34.9	-2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	17.7	18.1	35.8	-0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (16)	16.7	19.9	36.6	-3.2	19%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.6	42.7	+1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	19.6	42.7	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	21.5	42.7	-0.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.8	39.1	-0.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	0%	-
vs Weaker (26)	22.8	20.5	43.3	+2.3	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	16.1	34.8	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	15.5	34.9	+3.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	16.7	34.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	18.6	32.8	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	11.0	20.0	31.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	17.3	17.5	34.8	-0.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.3	14.8	35.1	+5.6	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	20.1	38.9	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	17.4	36.7	+1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	20.1	36.5	-3.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.6	36.0	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	17.0	14.8	31.8	+2.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (26)	19.3	19.4	38.7	-0.0	38%	-

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#13

44-33

+11

H22/03

Liga A

Lanus

#15

52-49

A28/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

32-44

-12

A06/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

42-39

H23/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

39-34

H26/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

24-34

-10

A30/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

31-41

-10

A02/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

40-46

-6

H05/05

Liga A

Penarol

33-25

A09/05

Liga A

Penarol

39-35

A11/05

Liga A

75.6Avg total

37.6Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.9	35.2	71.1	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.5	35.1	72.7	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.3	35.3	69.6	-0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	38.0	75.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	36.2	69.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	31.0	39.0	70.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	35.0	35.6	70.6	-0.6	62%	-
vs Weaker (16)	37.0	34.6	71.6	+2.4	56%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sionista

#12

42-46

-4

A20/03

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

35-42

-7

A22/03

Liga A

Quilmes

27-32

-5

H02/04

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

39-48

-9

H03/04

Liga A

Quilmes

32-49

-17

H25/04

Liga A

Quilmes

48-30

+18

H27/04

Liga A

Quilmes

37-39

-2

A30/04

Liga A

Quilmes

37-41

-4

A02/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

25-33

-8

H09/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

35-39

-4

H11/05

Liga A

75.6Avg total

35.7Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	39.3	80.5	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	39.7	81.6	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	38.9	79.4	+1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	39.9	75.6	-4.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	36.4	72.8	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	34.8	35.8	70.5	-1.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (26)	42.2	39.9	82.0	+2.3	54%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.5	37.3	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	17.0	38.5	+4.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	20.0	36.1	-3.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.1	40.6	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	23.2	41.2	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	12.0	37.0	+13.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.4	20.3	38.7	-1.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (16)	18.8	17.4	36.2	+1.3	69%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.1	42.7	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.4	19.7	45.1	+5.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.5	40.3	-0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	16.7	39.6	+6.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	17.2	42.0	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	23.5	20.2	43.8	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (26)	22.5	20.1	42.6	+2.4	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	26.0	25.0	51.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.9	54%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	19.9	43.0	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	19.7	42.5	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	20.1	43.6	+3.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	19.3	44.2	+5.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	16.8	37.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (26)	23.7	19.9	43.7	+3.8	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	37.3	76.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	35.7	78.5	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.9	39.0	74.9	-3.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	40.7	81.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	43.6	81.4	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	51.0	37.0	88.0	+14.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	38.7	39.7	78.4	-1.0	46%	-
vs Weaker (16)	39.2	35.4	74.7	+3.8	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.8	40.0	85.8	+5.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.1	39.5	87.6	+8.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.4	40.5	83.9	+2.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.8	36.0	83.8	+11.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	34.0	79.6	+11.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	42.8	40.0	82.8	+2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (26)	46.2	40.0	86.2	+6.2	65%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
11/05/14	Penarol v Boca Juniors	81-67
09/05/14	Penarol v Boca Juniors	81-79
02/03/14	Boca Juniors v Penarol	77-72
16/12/13	Penarol v Boca Juniors	78-71
23/11/13	Penarol v Boca Juniors	91-81
29/10/13	Boca Juniors v Penarol	84-75
02/03/13	Boca Juniors v Penarol	83-70
19/01/13	Penarol v Boca Juniors	97-78
18/10/12	Boca Juniors v Penarol	65-73
14/09/12	Penarol v Boca Juniors	58-70

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/05/14	A	Penarol	67-81
09/05/14	A	Penarol	79-81
05/05/14	H	Gimnasia	89-83
02/05/14	A	Gimnasia	60-72
30/04/14	A	Gimnasia	61-82
26/04/14	H	Gimnasia	76-70
23/04/14	H	Gimnasia	86-79
06/04/14	A	Gimnasia	93-88 OT
28/03/14	A	Lanus	97-84
22/03/14	H	Olimpico	83-72

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/05/14	H	Boca Juniors	81-67
09/05/14	H	Boca Juniors	81-79
02/05/14	A	Quilmes	80-70
30/04/14	A	Quilmes	80-68
27/04/14	H	Quilmes	88-68
25/04/14	H	Quilmes	82-85 OT
03/04/14	H	Weber Bahia	93-91
02/04/14	H	Quilmes	86-59
22/03/14	A	Estudiantes	90-93
20/03/14	A	Sionista	84-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	63%
Home	LWWWW	84%
Away	WLLLL	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	51	25	26
Win %	63%	84%	42%
Points / game	76.6	80.4	72.9
Allowed / game	72.7	70.9	74.5
Point differential	+3.9	+9.5	-1.6
Avg total	149.3	151.3	147.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	36%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	47% (19)	50% (8)	45% (11)
Overtime %	12%	8%	15%

Penarol

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	76%
Home	WLWWW	88%
Away	LLLWW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	50	26	24
Win %	76%	88%	62%
Points / game	84.7	87.3	81.8
Allowed / game	77.4	75.9	79.0
Point differential	+7.3	+11.4	+2.8
Avg total	162.0	163.3	160.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	54%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	69% (16)	71% (7)	67% (9)
Overtime %	2%	4%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	51	43	8	84%	84.3	75.1	+9.1
2	Penarol	50	38	12	76%	84.7	77.4	+7.3
3	Boca Juniors	51	32	19	63%	76.6	72.7	+3.9
4	Gimnasia	53	29	24	55%	77.9	76.1	+1.8
5	Atenas	48	25	23	52%	80.4	80.8	-0.4
6	Libertad	48	25	23	52%	77.6	78.3	-0.7
7	Argentino	54	28	26	52%	76.5	75.5	+1.0
8	Quilmes	51	26	25	51%	78.4	80.6	-2.2
9	Quimsa	52	25	27	48%	79.1	80.0	-0.9
10	Obras Sanitarias	48	23	25	48%	73.6	74.4	-0.7
11	Estudiantes	44	20	24	45%	73.8	74.7	-0.9
12	Sionista	47	21	26	45%	75.9	76.6	-0.7
13	Olimpico	47	19	28	40%	79.6	81.4	-1.9
14	Weber Bahia	44	16	28	36%	76.1	79.5	-3.5
15	Lanus	44	9	35	20%	74.4	81.3	-6.9
16	La Union	44	9	35	20%	77.6	84.7	-7.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Boca Juniors	7	19	30	17	73
Penarol	21	17	15	30	83

← all games of the day

Boca Juniors vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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