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Quilmes vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 May 2015
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 73-82
20-30 15-14 17-20 21-18
Position#8
Record25-26
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Penarol 🏆
Argentina
Position#7
Record29-22
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game78.0
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2014-15
Meetings · Quilmes v Penarol
17 Jan 2019
QUIL101
PENA105
20 Oct 2018
QUIL83
PENA89
17 Feb 2018
QUIL96
PENA98
28 Oct 2017
QUIL94
PENA86
29 Sep 2017
QUIL88
PENA73
03 Mar 2017
QUIL78
PENA61
28 Nov 2016
QUIL69
PENA60
30 Apr 2016
QUIL81
PENA78
23 Sep 2015
QUIL61
PENA77
09 May 2015
QUIL73
PENA82
03 Dec 2014
QUIL60
PENA84
01 Oct 2014
QUIL72
PENA74
01 May 2014
QUIL70
PENA80
29 Apr 2014
QUIL68
PENA80
29 Jan 2014
QUIL82
PENA85
19 Nov 2013
QUIL79
PENA82
15 Jan 2012
QUIL79
PENA91
06 Nov 2011
QUIL72
PENA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quilmes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QuilmesArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber Bahia
#10
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A07/04
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
83-95 OT
83
95
-12
A09/04
Liga A
Ciclista
#18
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
A11/04
Liga A
La Union
#11
L
95-98
95
98
-3
H16/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#14
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H18/04
Liga A
Atenas
#6
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
A23/04
Liga A
Libertad
#15
L
90-92
90
92
-2
A25/04
Liga A
Sionista
#16
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
A27/04
Liga A
Estudiantes
#12
L
91-93
91
93
-2
A29/04
Liga A
Sionista
#16
W
78-56
78
56
+22
H02/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
17-23
19-26
13-21
14-26
18-11
26-21
18-18
18-23
25-19
17-22
23-19
19-21
20-23
30-21
26-33
18-25
20-6
22-13
23-17
23-21
23-17
15-27
19-15
25-25
18-28
22-21
25-18
15-24
19-14
26-19
24-27
24-26
20-26
28-17
19-24
18-8
18-20
14-12
28-16
173.0Avg total
86.1Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)78.879.4158.3-0.649%
Season at home (25)81.377.2158.4+4.168%
Season away (26)76.581.6158.1-5.131%
Last 10 (10)86.186.9173.0-0.820%
Last 5 (5)87.084.6171.6+2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.981.4154.2-8.525%
vs Similar ◀ (18)81.881.9163.7-0.139%
vs Weaker (4)93.085.2178.2+7.875%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#14
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H15/04
Liga A
Atenas
#6
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A18/04
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
97-80
97
80
+17
A21/04
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
74-97
74
97
-23
A23/04
Liga A
La Union
#11
L
93-100
93
100
-7
A27/04
Liga A
Regatas
#2
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A29/04
Liga A
San Martin
#5
L
87-100
87
100
-13
A01/05
Liga A
Sionista
#16
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H04/05
Liga A
Ciclista
#18
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A06/05
Liga A
Argentino
#9
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A08/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-15
21-12
18-25
17-23
20-22
14-19
23-23
20-24
28-25
29-10
21-25
19-20
15-18
9-20
20-31
30-28
21-25
16-28
28-26
28-21
25-33
18-19
23-19
18-22
22-23
19-29
25-27
21-21
24-19
20-19
23-13
20-32
17-19
20-25
24-17
12-19
24-17
22-19
20-24
18-23
170.2Avg total
82.3Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)81.078.0159.0+3.057%
Season at home (26)82.374.2156.5+8.169%
Season away (25)79.681.9161.5-2.444%
Last 10 (10)82.387.9170.2-5.630%
Last 5 (5)83.087.8170.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.889.8162.6-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.678.3157.9+1.445%
vs Weaker (14)86.881.1167.9+5.764%
This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -3.0-3.0
QuilmesPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber Bahia
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A07/04
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A09/04
Liga A
Ciclista
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/04
Liga A
La Union
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H16/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#14
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H18/04
Liga A
Atenas
#6
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A23/04
Liga A
Libertad
#15
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A25/04
Liga A
Sionista
#16
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A27/04
Liga A
Estudiantes
#12
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A29/04
Liga A
Sionista
#16
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H02/05
Liga A
79.8Avg total
39.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.938.476.3-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.437.675.9+0.857%-
Last 30 away (16)37.639.176.7-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)39.040.879.8-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.882.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.135.267.4-3.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.839.478.3-0.644%-
vs Weaker (4)45.540.085.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#14
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H15/04
Liga A
Atenas
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A18/04
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A21/04
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A23/04
Liga A
La Union
#11
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A27/04
Liga A
Regatas
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A29/04
Liga A
San Martin
#5
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A01/05
Liga A
Sionista
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H04/05
Liga A
Ciclista
#18
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A06/05
Liga A
Argentino
#9
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A08/05
Liga A
81.1Avg total
39.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.477.9+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.237.177.3+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.839.978.6-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.681.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.244.486.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.043.075.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.937.876.7+1.164%-
vs Weaker (14)42.837.179.9+5.671%-
This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Quilmes wins
7
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
23/03/15Penarol v Quilmes68-76
04/12/14Quilmes v Penarol60-84
02/12/14Penarol v Quilmes88-74
02/10/14Quilmes v Penarol72-74
30/09/14Penarol v Quilmes64-68
02/05/14Quilmes v Penarol70-80
30/04/14Quilmes v Penarol68-80
27/04/14Penarol v Quilmes88-68
25/04/14Penarol v Quilmes82-85 OT
02/04/14Penarol v Quilmes86-59
Quilmeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/15HSionista78-56
29/04/15AEstudiantes91-93
27/04/15ASionista95-98 OT
25/04/15ALibertad90-92
23/04/15AAtenas81-84 OT
18/04/15HBoca Juniors83-61
16/04/15HLa Union95-98
11/04/15ACiclista98-100 OT
09/04/15AArgentino83-95 OT
07/04/15AWeber Bahia67-92
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/15AArgentino84-83
06/05/15ACiclista73-80
04/05/15HSionista87-83
01/05/15ASan Martin87-100
29/04/15ARegatas84-93
27/04/15ALa Union93-100
23/04/15AQuimsa74-97
21/04/15AOlimpico97-80
18/04/15AAtenas77-88
15/04/15HBoca Juniors67-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quilmes
Liga A 2014-15
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW49%
HomeLLLWW68%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512526
Win %49%68%31%
Points / game78.881.376.5
Allowed / game79.477.281.6
Point differential-0.6+4.1-5.1
Avg total158.3158.4158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (18)70% (10)12% (8)
Overtime %10%0%19%
Penarol
Liga A 2014-15
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW57%
HomeLWWLW69%
AwayLLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %57%69%44%
Points / game81.082.379.6
Allowed / game78.074.281.9
Point differential+3.0+8.1-2.4
Avg total159.0156.5161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)25% (4)78% (9)
Overtime %8%4%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa5142982%83.672.2+11.4
2 Regatas51371473%80.673.9+6.7
3 Obras Sanitarias52341865%80.275.4+4.8
4 Gimnasia51312061%79.474.7+4.6
5 Atenas51302159%79.377.3+2.0
6 San Martin51302159%79.980.1-0.3
7 Penarol51292257%81.078.0+3.0
8 Quilmes51252649%78.879.4-0.6
9 Weber Bahia51242747%77.578.5-1.0
10 Argentino51242747%79.781.1-1.5
11 Estudiantes51232845%75.375.9-0.6
12 Olimpico51232845%80.081.8-1.8
13 Boca Juniors51213041%77.278.8-1.6
14 La Union51213041%82.085.1-3.2
15 Libertad51193237%80.683.4-2.8
16 Sionista51183335%73.877.7-3.9
17 Lanus52173533%80.185.9-5.8
18 Ciclista51123924%73.082.6-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Quilmes2015172173
Penarol3014201882
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