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Quilmes vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 78-61
28-12 13-19 15-14 22-16
Position#14
Record16-19
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#15
Record15-23
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game78.7
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2016-17
Meetings · Quilmes v Penarol
17 Jan 2019
QUIL101
PENA105
20 Oct 2018
QUIL83
PENA89
17 Feb 2018
QUIL96
PENA98
28 Oct 2017
QUIL94
PENA86
29 Sep 2017
QUIL88
PENA73
03 Mar 2017
QUIL78
PENA61
28 Nov 2016
QUIL69
PENA60
30 Apr 2016
QUIL81
PENA78
23 Sep 2015
QUIL61
PENA77
09 May 2015
QUIL73
PENA82
03 Dec 2014
QUIL60
PENA84
01 Oct 2014
QUIL72
PENA74
01 May 2014
QUIL70
PENA80
29 Apr 2014
QUIL68
PENA80
29 Jan 2014
QUIL82
PENA85
19 Nov 2013
QUIL79
PENA82
15 Jan 2012
QUIL79
PENA91
06 Nov 2011
QUIL72
PENA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quilmes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QuilmesArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#12
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H16/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#11
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H23/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#8
L
87-94
87
94
-7
H27/01
Liga A
Ferro
#5
L
88-99
88
99
-11
H31/01
Liga A
Estudiantes
#3
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A03/02
Liga A
Atletico Echague Parana
#20
W
90-62
90
62
+28
A05/02
Liga A
Libertad
#9
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A07/02
Liga A
Hispano Americano
#17
W
100-83
100
83
+17
H10/02
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#7
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H18/02
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#19
W
102-100 OT
102
100
+2
H02/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-23
24-23
24-13
24-19
24-23
16-17
26-19
30-29
18-25
14-20
20-22
35-27
22-24
12-26
23-29
31-20
17-18
18-20
26-22
17-19
16-19
22-9
25-11
27-23
22-21
12-17
18-16
21-24
26-26
24-29
24-15
26-13
26-15
19-17
4-26
26-10
24-16
16-16
21-29
27-27
170.1Avg total
87.2Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)78.580.0158.5-1.546%
Season at home (19)83.278.5161.7+4.674%
Season away (16)72.981.8154.6-8.912%
Last 10 (10)87.282.9170.1+4.360%
Last 5 (5)88.078.2166.2+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.280.4154.6-6.220%
vs Similar ◀ (24)78.880.2159.0-1.350%
vs Weaker (1)90.062.0152.0+28.0100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#8
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H25/01
Liga A
Atenas
#16
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A28/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#8
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A30/01
Liga A
Ferro
#5
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H02/02
Liga A
Hispano Americano
#17
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H08/02
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#7
L
58-80
58
80
-22
H16/02
Liga A
Estudiantes
#3
L
71-89
71
89
-18
A19/02
Liga A
Atletico Echague Parana
#20
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A21/02
Liga A
Libertad
#9
L
66-85
66
85
-19
A23/02
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#19
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H28/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
17-17
20-23
26-26
22-17
18-25
10-10
27-33
24-22
20-31
21-19
20-24
24-23
21-16
14-15
14-21
21-16
21-17
19-22
15-26
8-23
9-18
24-19
17-20
23-21
13-23
15-27
20-18
15-17
16-23
19-18
19-13
16-22
9-29
18-18
23-16
28-16
18-19
19-20
24-16
156.7Avg total
75.2Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)74.878.7153.5-4.039%
Season at home (19)79.676.2155.8+3.563%
Season away (19)69.981.3151.2-11.416%
Last 10 (10)75.281.5156.7-6.320%
Last 5 (5)70.679.2149.8-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.088.3160.3-16.317%
vs Similar ◀ (23)73.977.8151.7-3.935%
vs Weaker (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: -0.8-0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: -0.8-0.8
QuilmesPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#12
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H16/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H23/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#8
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H27/01
Liga A
Ferro
#5
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H31/01
Liga A
Estudiantes
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A03/02
Liga A
Atletico Echague Parana
#20
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A05/02
Liga A
Libertad
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A07/02
Liga A
Hispano Americano
#17
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H10/02
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#7
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H18/02
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#19
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H02/03
Liga A
78.7Avg total
38.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.439.575.9-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.339.977.2-2.641%-
Last 30 away (13)35.338.874.2-3.523%-
Last 10 (10)38.340.478.7-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)41.437.078.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.440.474.8-6.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)36.839.876.5-3.033%-
vs Weaker (1)38.028.066.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#8
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H25/01
Liga A
Atenas
#16
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A28/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#8
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A30/01
Liga A
Ferro
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H02/02
Liga A
Hispano Americano
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H08/02
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#7
L
17-41
17
41
-24
H16/02
Liga A
Estudiantes
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A19/02
Liga A
Atletico Echague Parana
#20
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A21/02
Liga A
Libertad
#9
L
25-51
25
51
-26
A23/02
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#19
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H28/02
Liga A
77.9Avg total
36.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.338.874.1-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.436.472.8+0.171%-
Last 30 away (16)34.340.975.2-6.612%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.177.9-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)31.042.273.2-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.843.876.7-11.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)36.137.473.5-1.348%-
vs Weaker (1)31.040.071.0-9.00%-
This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Quilmes wins
7
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
29/11/16Quilmes v Penarol69-60
23/09/16Penarol v Quilmes95-65
01/05/16Quilmes v Penarol81-78
09/04/16Penarol v Quilmes102-96 OT
07/11/15Penarol v Quilmes85-79
24/09/15Quilmes v Penarol61-77
09/05/15Quilmes v Penarol73-82
23/03/15Penarol v Quilmes68-76
04/12/14Quilmes v Penarol60-84
02/12/14Penarol v Quilmes88-74
Quilmeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/17HBoca Juniors102-100 OT
18/02/17HWeber Bahia75-68
10/02/17HHispano Americano100-83
07/02/17ALibertad73-78
05/02/17AAtletico Echague Parana90-62
03/02/17AEstudiantes78-79
31/01/17HFerro88-99
27/01/17HInstituto de Cordoba87-94
23/01/17HGimnasia96-88
16/01/17HQuimsa83-78
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/17HBoca Juniors89-71
23/02/17ALibertad66-85
21/02/17AAtletico Echague Parana69-71
19/02/17AEstudiantes71-89
16/02/17HWeber Bahia58-80
08/02/17HHispano Americano76-81
02/02/17HFerro73-75
30/01/17AInstituto de Cordoba85-96
28/01/17AAtenas77-85
25/01/17HInstituto de Cordoba88-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quilmes
Liga A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW46%
HomeLLWWW74%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351916
Win %46%74%12%
Points / game78.583.272.9
Allowed / game80.078.581.8
Point differential-1.5+4.6-8.9
Avg total158.5161.7154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%32%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)100% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %11%11%12%
Penarol
Liga A 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW39%
HomeWLLLW63%
AwayLLLLL16%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %39%63%16%
Points / game74.879.669.9
Allowed / game78.776.281.3
Point differential-4.0+3.5-11.4
Avg total153.5155.8151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%26%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)60% (10)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Martin36261072%82.675.6+7.0
2 San Lorenzo36251169%83.673.5+10.1
3 Estudiantes39261367%81.076.9+4.1
4 Ferro35231266%80.177.3+2.9
5 Weber Bahia34211362%77.175.6+1.4
6 Regatas33201361%85.982.4+3.6
7 Instituto de Cordoba38231561%81.680.8+0.7
8 Quimsa35201557%81.877.5+4.3
9 Olimpico38201853%80.376.4+3.9
10 Gimnasia37191851%80.980.6+0.3
11 Libertad36181850%80.378.4+1.9
12 Obras Sanitarias38182047%82.381.7+0.6
13 Quilmes35161946%78.580.0-1.5
14 Argentino35161946%73.575.9-2.4
15 La Union35161946%75.379.2-3.9
16 Penarol38152339%74.878.7-4.0
17 Atenas34122235%79.281.2-2.0
18 Hispano Americano39122731%78.784.5-5.8
19 Boca Juniors38112729%75.281.7-6.5
20 Atletico Echague Parana3763116%75.889.5-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Quilmes2813152278
Penarol1219141661
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