Quimsa vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Apr 2015

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 97-74

18-15 20-9 31-20 28-30

Position#1

Record40-7

FormWWWWL

Points / game83.7

Allowed / game71.6

Quimsa 🏆

Penarol

Position#7

Record27-17

FormLWLLW

Points / game80.6

Allowed / game76.0

Liga A

Other2014-15

Meetings · Quimsa v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quimsa winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Quimsa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

70-92

-22

A08/03

Liga A

Regatas

70-66

H19/03

Liga A

Libertad

#15

83-76

H24/03

Liga A

Argentino

86-62

+24

H26/03

Liga A

Lanus

#17

93-68

+25

A31/03

Liga A

Argentino

85-64

+21

A02/04

Liga A

Ciclista

#18

104-79

104

+25

A04/04

Liga A

Libertad

#15

80-69

+11

A14/04

Liga A

Sionista

#16

85-77

A16/04

Liga A

Estudiantes

#12

56-67

-11

A18/04

Liga A

18-25

15-19

13-23

24-25

21-13

21-20

12-12

16-21

20-18

15-15

26-15

22-28

26-19

21-12

19-13

20-18

26-13

15-20

30-15

22-20

23-18

12-17

27-16

23-13

28-18

19-28

34-22

23-11

28-15

13-17

23-12

16-25

22-10

16-21

20-23

27-23

12-14

11-22

6-19

27-12

153.2Avg total

81.2Scored

72.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (47)	83.7	71.6	155.3	+12.1	85%
Season at home (22)	85.0	69.9	154.9	+15.2	95%
Season away (25)	82.5	73.1	155.6	+9.4	76%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	72.0	153.2	+9.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	71.2	153.2	+10.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	83.2	72.2	155.3	+11.0	83%

This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quilmes

68-76

-8

H23/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

68-70

-2

H25/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

81-61

+20

H28/03

Liga A

Estudiantes

#12

65-75

-10

A31/03

Liga A

Sionista

#16

79-75 OT

A02/04

Liga A

Libertad

#15

84-88

-4

A04/04

Liga A

La Union

#11

89-77

+12

H14/04

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

67-75

-8

H15/04

Liga A

Atenas

77-88

-11

A18/04

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

97-80

+17

A21/04

Liga A

14-13

17-30

14-20

23-13

22-12

12-18

22-22

19-17

18-13

25-18

19-13

20-11

14-22

18-23

13-19

23-14

21-21

14-18

12-17

26-20

18-16

21-26

19-26

32-21

15-18

18-24

24-14

11-15

21-12

18-25

17-23

20-22

14-19

23-23

20-24

28-25

29-10

21-25

19-20

154.0Avg total

77.5Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (44)	80.6	76.0	156.6	+4.7	61%
Season at home (25)	82.1	73.9	156.0	+8.2	68%
Season away (19)	78.6	78.7	157.3	-0.1	53%
Last 10 (10)	77.5	76.5	154.0	+1.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	81.6	164.4	+1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	72.5	88.0	160.5	-15.5	0%
vs Similar (13)	78.6	72.8	151.5	+5.8	69%
vs Weaker (13)	85.9	78.2	164.1	+7.8	77%

This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

QuimsaPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	16.9	38.1	+4.4	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	16.8	38.4	+4.9	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	16.9	37.8	+3.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	16.3	38.7	+6.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	15.0	37.6	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	21.2	16.9	38.1	+4.4	77%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	18.9	40.2	+2.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.6	18.1	39.6	+3.5	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+1.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	17.0	38.5	+4.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.6	44.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	15.8	23.5	39.2	-7.8	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.8	17.2	38.1	+3.6	77%	-
vs Weaker (13)	23.6	19.1	42.7	+4.5	85%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.4	36.5	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	16.0	36.6	+4.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	18.6	36.3	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	19.1	34.9	-3.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	21.0	35.2	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	19.1	17.4	36.5	+1.7	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.7	36.5	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.0	18.3	37.3	+0.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.4	16.8	35.2	+1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	17.9	35.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	15.0	34.4	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.1	18.0	36.1	+0.1	54%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.6	16.5	36.1	+3.2	54%	-

QuimsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

33-44

-11

A08/03

Liga A

Regatas

42-33

H19/03

Liga A

Libertad

#15

35-33

H24/03

Liga A

Argentino

47-31

+16

H26/03

Liga A

Lanus

#17

41-33

A31/03

Liga A

Argentino

35-35

A02/04

Liga A

Ciclista

#18

47-46

A04/04

Liga A

Libertad

#15

41-32

A14/04

Liga A

Sionista

#16

38-31

A16/04

Liga A

Estudiantes

#12

23-36

-13

A18/04

Liga A

73.6Avg total

38.2Scored

35.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	34.2	74.6	+6.1	80%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.3	32.8	75.1	+9.5	93%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.6	35.5	74.1	+3.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	35.4	73.6	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	36.0	72.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	40.3	34.2	74.6	+6.1	80%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quilmes

31-43

-12

H23/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

34-30

H25/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

37-30

H28/03

Liga A

Estudiantes

#12

34-33

A31/03

Liga A

Sionista

#16

44-35

A02/04

Liga A

Libertad

#15

44-36

A04/04

Liga A

La Union

#11

47-39

H14/04

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

32-27

H15/04

Liga A

Atenas

34-41

-7

A18/04

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

57-35

+22

A21/04

Liga A

74.3Avg total

39.4Scored

34.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	36.6	76.7	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	40.6	36.4	76.9	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.5	36.8	76.3	+2.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	34.9	74.3	+4.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	35.6	78.4	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	34.0	44.2	78.2	-10.2	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.9	35.2	74.2	+3.7	69%	-
vs Weaker (13)	43.2	35.5	78.8	+7.7	85%	-

This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.7	39.5	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	18.3	40.2	+3.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	17.0	38.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	20.7	18.7	39.5	+2.0	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.8	20.3	40.1	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.1	21.1	41.2	-1.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	22.0	40.4	-3.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	24.6	44.8	-4.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	15.2	23.8	39.0	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.3	18.6	38.9	+1.7	54%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	17.9	38.7	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	16.8	40.0	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	20.8	17.9	38.7	+2.9	63%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.4	20.3	41.8	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.7	18.2	35.8	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	23.2	20.0	43.2	+3.2	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	46%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.5	19.8	39.2	-0.3	46%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	36.6	78.2	+4.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.8	37.0	75.8	+1.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.9	36.3	80.2	+7.6	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	36.6	79.6	+6.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	35.2	80.4	+10.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	41.5	36.6	78.2	+4.9	63%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	40.1	79.9	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	41.3	40.6	81.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	37.8	39.2	77.0	-1.5	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	41.1	78.3	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	46.0	86.0	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	38.5	43.8	82.2	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.7	37.6	77.3	+2.1	54%	-
vs Weaker (13)	40.5	41.4	81.8	-0.9	46%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Quimsa wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
11/02/15	Penarol v Quimsa	62-87
18/12/14	Quimsa v Penarol	81-66
10/02/14	Quimsa v Penarol	69-93
04/02/14	Penarol v Quimsa	97-85
21/12/13	Quimsa v Penarol	76-82
07/04/13	Quimsa v Penarol	77-81
05/04/13	Quimsa v Penarol	88-77
01/04/13	Penarol v Quimsa	70-67
30/03/13	Penarol v Quimsa	92-80
26/01/13	Quimsa v Penarol	94-60

Quimsalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/04/15	A	Estudiantes	56-67
16/04/15	A	Sionista	85-77
14/04/15	A	Libertad	80-69
04/04/15	A	Ciclista	104-79
02/04/15	A	Argentino	85-64
31/03/15	A	Lanus	93-68
26/03/15	H	Argentino	86-62
24/03/15	H	Libertad	83-76
19/03/15	H	Regatas	70-66
08/03/15	A	Regatas	70-92

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/04/15	A	Olimpico	97-80
18/04/15	A	Atenas	77-88
15/04/15	H	Boca Juniors	67-75
14/04/15	H	La Union	89-77
04/04/15	A	Libertad	84-88
02/04/15	A	Sionista	79-75 OT
31/03/15	A	Estudiantes	65-75
28/03/15	H	Gimnasia	81-61
25/03/15	H	Obras Sanitarias	68-70
23/03/15	H	Quilmes	68-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quimsa

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	85%
Home	WWWWW	95%
Away	WWWWL	76%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	47	22	25
Win %	85%	95%	76%
Points / game	83.7	85.0	82.5
Allowed / game	71.6	69.9	73.1
Point differential	+12.1	+15.2	+9.4
Avg total	155.3	154.9	155.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	59%	56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	75% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	4%	5%	4%

Penarol

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	61%
Home	LLWWL	68%
Away	LWLLW	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	44	25	19
Win %	61%	68%	53%
Points / game	80.6	82.1	78.6
Allowed / game	76.0	73.9	78.7
Point differential	+4.7	+8.2	-0.1
Avg total	156.6	156.0	157.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	34%	52%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (11)	0% (3)	75% (8)
Overtime %	9%	4%	16%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	47	40	7	85%	83.7	71.6	+12.1
2	Regatas	48	34	14	71%	80.0	73.4	+6.7
3	Obras Sanitarias	49	32	17	65%	79.8	74.8	+5.0
4	Penarol	44	27	17	61%	80.6	76.0	+4.7
5	Gimnasia	47	28	19	60%	78.9	74.3	+4.5
6	San Martin	48	27	21	56%	79.2	80.4	-1.2
7	Atenas	46	25	21	54%	78.6	77.8	+0.8
8	Argentino	46	24	22	52%	80.1	80.8	-0.7
9	Quilmes	46	24	22	52%	78.0	78.8	-0.9
10	Olimpico	49	22	27	45%	79.5	81.5	-1.9
11	Weber Bahia	49	22	27	45%	76.9	79.1	-2.1
12	Estudiantes	47	20	27	43%	74.2	75.5	-1.3
13	Boca Juniors	50	21	29	42%	77.4	78.7	-1.3
14	Libertad	46	17	29	37%	79.7	82.8	-3.1
15	Sionista	46	17	29	37%	73.4	76.6	-3.2
16	La Union	46	17	29	37%	81.2	85.1	-3.9
17	Lanus	46	16	30	35%	80.1	84.6	-4.5
18	Ciclista	48	11	37	23%	72.9	82.4	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Quimsa	18	20	31	28	97
Penarol	15	9	20	30	74

← all games of the day

Quimsa vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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