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Quimsa vs Ferro Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Projected 86-75
Projected total 161.0
Scheduled
Position#1
Record7-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game75.8
Vs
82%
18%
■ QUIM 82%■ FERR 18%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#16
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game85.6
ArgentinaLiga A· Ciudad de Santiago del Estero
Other2026-27
Meetings · Quimsa v Ferro
21 Nov 2026
QUIM v FERR
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
QUIM115
FERR73
07 Dec 2024
QUIM81
FERR73
20 Apr 2024
QUIM112
FERR64
10 Oct 2022
QUIM91
FERR64
15 Jan 2022
QUIM97
FERR91
22 Dec 2020
QUIM78
FERR67
04 Mar 2020
QUIM96
FERR92
21 May 2019
QUIM v FERR
upcoming
20 Jan 2019
QUIM84
FERR90
08 Mar 2018
QUIM106
FERR91
23 Jan 2017
QUIM89
FERR90
14 Dec 2015
QUIM101
FERR61
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Quimsa host Ferro in the Liga A. Pythia makes Quimsa the favourite at 82% and projects 86-75, about 161 points in all. Overtime chance: 3%. Quimsa are 7-1 this season (85.2 scored, 75.8 allowed a game), form WWWWL; Ferro are 2-6 this season (81.5 scored, 85.6 allowed a game), form LWLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quimsa win
82.4%fair 1.21
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ferro win
17.6%fair 5.67
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QuimsaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQuimsa
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
W
88-60
88
60
+28
92avg 76
H18/06
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
56-68
56
68
-12
41avg 76
A21/06
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
94-67
94
67
+27
89avg 76
H04/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 76
H06/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
W
105-96
105
96
+9
98avg 76
H11/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
W
78-76
78
76
+2
65avg 76
A24/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
68-54
68
54
+14
63avg 76
A25/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
H31/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
88-71
88
71
+17
no box
H07/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
no box
H08/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-9
22-21
21-21
25-9
10-18
21-20
12-13
13-17
22-14
25-14
31-13
16-26
16-21
27-23
23-13
17-20
23-33
26-21
31-21
25-21
20-23
26-15
14-20
18-18
17-16
19-8
14-16
18-14
15-19
23-11
21-20
19-23
18-19
27-22
29-11
14-19
28-18
23-23
13-16
17-24
156.0Avg total
82.6Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.275.8161.0+9.588%
Season at home (6)89.379.3168.7+10.083%
Season away (2)73.065.0138.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.673.4156.0+9.280%
Last 5 (5)80.073.2153.2+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)81.778.8160.4+2.958%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)83.575.2158.7+8.372%
This opponent (Ferro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFerro
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
W
81-73
81
73
+8
73avg 73
H30/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
54-88
54
88
-34
46avg 73
A03/06
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
68-79
68
79
-11
53avg 73
A01/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
W
97-92
97
92
+5
88avg 73
A09/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
83avg 73
A10/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
86-91
86
91
-5
79avg 73
A13/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
86-81
86
81
+5
81avg 73
H21/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
61-73
61
73
-12
49avg 73
A29/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
H11/11
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
H13/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
26-17
26-20
19-17
19-21
14-30
13-20
8-17
17-21
20-23
22-14
9-21
33-28
14-23
27-23
23-18
17-12
22-20
12-22
22-19
20-16
28-24
18-24
20-27
30-20
20-17
19-14
17-30
14-23
19-22
15-11
13-17
20-18
26-12
19-21
19-36
20-22
19-13
18-15
19-35
163.3Avg total
78.7Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.585.6167.1-4.125%
Season at home (3)82.084.3166.3-2.333%
Season away (5)81.286.4167.6-5.220%
Last 10 (10)78.784.6163.3-5.930%
Last 5 (5)78.683.4162.0-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)82.887.6170.4-4.820%
vs Similar (24)78.280.0158.3-1.846%
vs Weaker (1)100.074.0174.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 152.5
Over 152.5
69.4%
Under 152.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157.5
Over 157.5
57.9%
Under 157.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 162.5
Over 162.5
45.7%
Under 162.5
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Quimsa total 76
Over 76
84.3%
Under 76
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Quimsa total 80
Over 80
72.6%
Under 80
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Quimsa total 84
Over 84
57.3%
Under 84
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferro total 73
Over 73
58.2%
Under 73
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferro total 77
Over 77
42.1%
Under 77
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferro total 81
Over 81
27.4%
Under 81
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Quimsa -3
QUIM -3
76.6%
FERR +3
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
QUIM
No market prices yet.
FERR
No market prices yet.
Spread Quimsa 0
QUIM 0
82.4%
FERR 0
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
QUIM
No market prices yet.
FERR
No market prices yet.
Spread Quimsa +3
QUIM +3
87.7%
FERR -3
12.3%
Best 5 market prices
QUIM
No market prices yet.
FERR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -6.8-6.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -6.8-6.8
QuimsaFerro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QuimsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H18/06
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A21/06
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H04/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H06/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H11/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A24/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A25/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H31/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H07/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H08/11
Liga A
79.6Avg total
42.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.979.9+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.236.479.6+6.873%-
Last 30 away (15)38.941.380.2-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)42.836.879.6+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.234.878.0+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)40.239.880.1+0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.638.279.8+3.361%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H30/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A03/06
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A01/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A09/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A10/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A13/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H21/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A29/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H11/11
Liga A
Penarol
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H13/11
Liga A
80.9Avg total
40.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.382.6+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (11)45.337.082.3+8.382%-
Last 30 away (19)40.542.382.7-1.842%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.180.9+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.480.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)41.240.681.8+0.660%-
vs Similar (24)41.840.582.2+1.354%-
vs Weaker (1)59.036.095.0+23.0100%-
This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Quimsatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Quimsa: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.816.3
49.7%
54.4%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.1
38.3%
32.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.515.8
77.1%
72.7%15.8
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferro: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.9
55.8%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.47.5
25.5%
32.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.717.2
75.8%
72.7%17.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Quimsa
LWWWWWWWLW
Ferro
LLLWLLWLLW
#1
League position
#16
+8.5
Net rating
-4.4
113.1
Offensive rating
107.2
104.6
Defensive rating
111.6
53.1%
Effective FG%
47.6%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.3%
3-point %
25.5%
47.3%
Assist %
51.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 107.2Defence104.6 · 111.6Shooting53.1% · 47.6%3-point %38.3% · 25.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Quimsa   ■ Ferro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Quimsa wins
0
Ferro wins
DateGameScore
06/03/26Quimsa v Ferro115-73
16/12/25Ferro v Quimsa89-92
21/04/25Ferro v Quimsa77-93
07/12/24Quimsa v Ferro81-73
21/04/24Quimsa v Ferro112-64
08/11/23Ferro v Quimsa64-74
03/04/23Ferro v Quimsa70-89
11/10/22Quimsa v Ferro91-64
15/01/22Quimsa v Ferro97-91
19/12/21Ferro v Quimsa76-80
Quimsalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HInstituto de Cordoba88-92 OT
07/11/26HLanus88-71
31/10/26HPenarol78-73
25/10/26ARacing de Chivilcoy68-54
24/10/26AArgentino78-76
11/10/26HBoca Juniors105-96
06/10/26HAtenas83-77
04/10/26HPlatense94-67
21/06/26AGimnasia56-68
18/06/26HGimnasia88-60
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HPenarol76-85
11/11/26HSan Martin84-87
29/10/26AGimnasia61-73
21/10/26HPlatense86-81
13/10/26AAtenas86-91
10/10/26AInstituto de Cordoba94-97 OT
09/10/26AIndependiente de Oliva97-92
01/10/26AArgentino68-79
03/06/26AGimnasia54-88
30/05/26HGimnasia81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quimsa
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %88%83%100%
Points / game85.289.373.0
Allowed / game75.879.365.0
Point differential+9.5+10.0+8.0
Avg total161.0168.7138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%17%0%
Ferro
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%33%20%
Points / game81.582.081.2
Allowed / game85.684.386.4
Point differential-4.1-2.3-5.2
Avg total167.1166.3167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %12%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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