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Quimsa vs Real Esteli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:40
Final 94-95
24-25 26-26 20-22 24-22
Position#3
Record4-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#8
Record3-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game88.4
EuropeChampions League AmericasChampions League Americas - Quarter-finals· Estadio Ciudad
Other2023-24
Meetings · Quimsa v Real Esteli
12 Mar 2024
QUIM99
REAL69
10 Mar 2024
QUIM94
REAL95
11 Mar 2023
QUIM103
REAL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quimsa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Esteli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QuimsaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQuimsa
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#6
L
84-87
84
87
-3
77avg 83
H28/01
Champions League Americas
Regatas
#10
W
98-93
98
93
+5
97avg 83
H01/02
Liga A
Platense
#8
W
93-84
93
84
+9
88avg 83
H04/02
Liga A
Riachuelo
#14
W
85-73
85
73
+12
81avg 83
H08/02
Liga A
Nacional
#7
L
72-78
72
78
-6
70avg 83
A12/02
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
L
82-94
82
94
-12
75avg 83
A13/02
Champions League Americas
San Lorenzo
#5
L
82-85
82
85
-3
73avg 83
H19/02
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#18
W
90-86
90
86
+4
85avg 83
A01/03
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#19
W
97-93
97
93
+4
96avg 83
A02/03
Liga A
Real Esteli
#8
W
98-68
98
68
+30
102avg 83
A07/03
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
20-23
22-23
20-21
25-20
19-27
33-17
21-29
20-18
14-22
24-21
35-23
22-25
18-20
25-12
20-16
23-20
20-18
13-18
16-22
15-23
19-28
21-15
27-28
25-15
20-13
19-28
18-29
23-17
18-28
31-27
18-14
27-29
28-28
26-17
16-19
20-20
22-19
34-20
22-9
172.2Avg total
88.1Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.678.3166.9+10.357%
Season at home (3)94.076.7170.7+17.367%
Season away (4)84.579.5164.0+5.050%
Last 10 (10)88.184.1172.2+4.060%
Last 5 (5)89.885.2175.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)76.274.5150.8+1.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)88.980.6169.4+8.384%
This opponent (Real Esteli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real EsteliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsteli
Date
Competition
Libertadores
#4
L
90-101
90
101
-11
no box
H09/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
86-94
86
94
-8
no box
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
67-103
67
103
-36
no box
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
80-70
80
70
+10
75avg 72
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
85avg 72
H19/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
L
63-71
63
71
-8
50avg 72
A21/01
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
79-104
79
104
-25
77avg 72
H22/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
89-84
89
84
+5
84avg 72
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
75-100
75
100
-25
70avg 72
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
68-98
68
98
-30
60avg 72
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
29-24
19-23
21-24
20-28
13-28
22-14
31-24
13-31
14-26
22-29
18-17
15-18
22-15
16-20
27-17
19-16
29-26
20-27
18-17
18-21
16-16
22-14
7-20
22-33
21-25
16-14
20-32
25-14
19-27
22-19
23-24
20-26
25-23
21-25
9-26
20-20
19-22
20-34
9-22
171.1Avg total
79.4Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.788.4167.1-9.743%
Season at home (4)81.091.0172.0-10.050%
Season away (3)75.785.0160.7-9.333%
Last 10 (10)79.491.7171.1-12.330%
Last 5 (5)74.891.4166.2-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)80.789.9170.6-9.129%
vs Similar (9)82.483.2165.7-0.867%
vs Weaker (7)92.183.7175.9+8.471%
This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -4.0-4.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -4.0-4.0
QuimsaReal Esteli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QuimsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H28/01
Champions League Americas
Regatas
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H01/02
Liga A
Platense
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H04/02
Liga A
Riachuelo
#14
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H08/02
Liga A
Nacional
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A12/02
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A13/02
Champions League Americas
San Lorenzo
#5
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H19/02
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#18
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A01/03
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#19
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A02/03
Liga A
Real Esteli
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A07/03
Champions League Americas
85.3Avg total
42.0Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.280.3+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.437.178.6+4.350%-
Last 30 away (16)40.941.081.9-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.043.385.3-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.444.087.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)36.835.872.5+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)42.039.981.9+2.048%-
This opponent (Real Esteli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real EsteliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertadores
#4
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H09/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
33-56
33
56
-23
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
27-57
27
57
-30
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H19/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A21/01
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H22/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H07/03
Champions League Americas
86.9Avg total
40.0Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.444.384.7-3.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.844.185.9-2.244%-
Last 30 away (14)38.844.583.3-5.736%-
Last 10 (10)40.046.986.9-6.930%-
Last 5 (5)41.045.486.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.146.385.4-7.229%-
vs Similar (9)41.242.283.4-1.056%-
vs Weaker (7)42.042.984.9-0.943%-
This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Quimsatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Quimsa: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.3
52.6%
52.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.4
38.6%
33.2%28.3
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.7%
73.9%16.0
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Estelitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Esteli: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.7
52.2%
52.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.75.9
25.8%
33.2%17.6
🏀 Free throws25.416.9
66.3%
73.9%16.9
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Quimsa
WWWLLLWWWL
Real Esteli
LLWLLWWLLL
#3
League position
#8
+14.7
Net rating
-11.9
117.7
Offensive rating
98.2
103.0
Defensive rating
110.1
54.9%
Effective FG%
47.4%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
14.3%
Turnover %
17.6%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.40
38.6%
3-point %
25.8%
67.9%
Assist %
65.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.7 · 98.2Defence103.0 · 110.1Shooting54.9% · 47.4%3-point %38.6% · 25.8%Ball care14.3% · 17.6%Off. rebounds26.4% · 27.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Quimsa   ■ Real Esteli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Quimsa wins
0
Real Esteli wins
DateGameScore
07/03/24Real Esteli v Quimsa68-98
11/03/23Quimsa v Real Esteli103-67
07/03/23Real Esteli v Quimsa86-94
Quimsalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24AReal Esteli98-68
02/03/24AUnion De Santa Fe97-93
01/03/24AIndependiente de Oliva90-86
19/02/24HSan Lorenzo82-85
13/02/24ASao Paulo82-94
12/02/24ANacional72-78
08/02/24HRiachuelo85-73
04/02/24HPlatense93-84
01/02/24HRegatas98-93
28/01/24HSao Paulo84-87
Real Estelilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24HQuimsa68-98
10/02/24AHalcones de Xalapa75-100
09/02/24AGladiadores89-84
22/01/24HHalcones de Xalapa79-104
21/01/24AGladiadores63-71
19/12/23HGladiadores97-92 OT
17/12/23HHalcones de Xalapa80-70
11/03/23AQuimsa67-103
07/03/23HQuimsa86-94
09/02/23HLibertadores90-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quimsa
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW57%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game88.694.084.5
Allowed / game78.376.779.5
Point differential+10.3+17.3+5.0
Avg total166.9170.7164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Esteli
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL43%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game78.781.075.7
Allowed / game88.491.085.0
Point differential-9.7-10.0-9.3
Avg total167.1172.0160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo87188%86.074.5+11.5
2 Franca96367%96.684.9+11.7
3 Halcones de Xalapa85362%89.582.5+7.0
4 Quimsa74357%88.678.3+10.3
5 Obras Sanitarias84450%86.688.5-1.9
6 Nacional84450%83.585.8-2.2
7 Sao Paulo63350%84.288.2-4.0
8 Hebraica y Macabi94544%80.386.9-6.6
9 Real Esteli73443%78.788.4-9.7
10 Boca Juniors62433%72.773.5-0.8
11 Gladiadores62433%81.784.7-3.0
12 U. De Concepcion6060%70.890.5-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Quimsa2426202494
Real Esteli2526222295
← all games of the day
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