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Quimsa vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:10
Final 84-87
22-20 20-23 22-23 20-21
Position#3
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game73.7
Quimsa
vs
Sao Paulo 🏆
Position#6
Record0-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game100.5
EuropeChampions League Americas· Palacio Penarol
Other2023-24
Meetings · Quimsa v Sao Paulo
28 Jan 2024
QUIM84
SAO 87
16 Dec 2023
QUIM112
SAO 65
13 Dec 2021
QUIM74
SAO 83
02 Feb 2021
QUIM72
SAO 75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quimsa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Paulo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QuimsaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQuimsa
Date
Competition
San Lorenzo
#5
W
75-67
75
67
+8
65avg 83
A07/12
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
W
72-67
72
67
+5
73avg 83
A09/12
Liga A
Sao Paulo
#6
W
112-65
112
65
+47
119avg 83
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
81avg 83
H18/12
Champions League Americas
Gimnasia
#2
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
H21/12
Super Cup
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
99-85
99
85
+14
103avg 83
H11/01
Liga A
La Union
#16
W
86-85
86
85
+1
80avg 83
A16/01
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#20
W
96-89
96
89
+7
95avg 83
A18/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#2
W
74-68
74
68
+6
65avg 83
A23/01
Liga A
Nacional
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
81avg 83
A27/01
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
13-17
25-11
19-22
15-20
18-19
20-14
19-14
24-12
24-24
39-10
25-19
18-18
13-24
28-13
27-23
22-20
16-15
24-19
24-17
29-16
30-17
24-21
16-31
20-28
25-20
21-17
20-20
20-29
24-14
32-24
20-22
21-16
14-20
20-15
19-17
23-19
18-18
25-20
20-21
162.5Avg total
87.2Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)94.773.7168.3+21.0100%
Season at home (2)99.071.5170.5+27.5100%
Season away (1)86.078.0164.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.275.3162.5+11.9100%
Last 5 (5)88.281.0169.2+7.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)76.274.5150.8+1.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.475.0161.4+11.496%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Nacional
#7
L
84-89 OT
84
89
-5
67avg 69
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Cerrado
#17
L
74-82
74
82
-8
66avg 69
A21/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
72-63
72
63
+9
66avg 69
A23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
78-74
78
74
+4
73avg 69
H27/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
61-63
61
63
-2
52avg 69
H29/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
no box
H06/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
84-98
84
98
-14
73avg 69
H08/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
84-107
84
107
-23
79avg 69
A11/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
81-75
81
75
+6
74avg 69
A13/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
90-71
90
71
+19
92avg 69
H23/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-17
23-26
24-21
21-12
16-19
18-25
17-21
23-17
13-17
15-20
28-12
16-14
20-30
21-16
20-16
17-12
16-9
16-19
15-16
14-19
21-23
17-24
33-21
13-16
21-24
26-25
15-22
22-27
13-24
26-29
23-31
22-23
18-20
25-16
20-22
18-17
31-12
16-16
26-24
17-19
161.2Avg total
79.7Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.5100.5175.0-26.00%
Season at home (1)84.089.0173.0-5.00%
Season away (1)65.0112.0177.0-47.00%
Last 10 (10)79.781.5161.2-1.840%
Last 5 (5)85.688.8174.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)80.789.6170.3-8.929%
vs Similar (11)78.280.4158.5-2.236%
vs Weaker (5)75.271.2146.4+4.080%
This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +9.4+9.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +9.4+9.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
QuimsaSao Paulo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QuimsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Lorenzo
#5
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A07/12
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A09/12
Liga A
Sao Paulo
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#7
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H18/12
Champions League Americas
Gimnasia
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H21/12
Super Cup
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H11/01
Liga A
La Union
#16
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A16/01
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#20
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A18/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A23/01
Liga A
Nacional
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A27/01
Champions League Americas
78.8Avg total
40.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.836.277.0+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.534.976.3+6.673%-
Last 30 away (15)40.137.577.6+2.767%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.378.8+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.839.484.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)36.835.872.5+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.636.377.8+5.372%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#7
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Cerrado
#17
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A21/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H27/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H29/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H06/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H08/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A11/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A13/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H23/01
NBB
79.1Avg total
38.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.942.080.0-4.123%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.542.481.9-2.927%-
Last 30 away (15)36.341.778.0-5.320%-
Last 10 (10)38.041.179.1-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.685.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.143.083.1-2.929%-
vs Similar (11)36.543.680.2-7.19%-
vs Weaker (5)35.035.870.8-0.840%-
This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Quimsatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Quimsa: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.716.3
57.0%
52.9%32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.08.3
43.9%
33.2%25.0
🏀 Free throws20.716.3
79.0%
73.9%16.3
They take 47.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.318.7
57.9%
52.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.5
29.7%
33.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.014.1
70.5%
73.9%14.1
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Quimsa
WWWWWWWWWW
Sao Paulo
WWLLLLWWLL
#3
League position
#6
+39.3
Net rating
-7.3
136.2
Offensive rating
104.2
96.9
Defensive rating
111.5
60.5%
Effective FG%
51.6%
45.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
10.8%
Turnover %
16.3%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.33
43.9%
3-point %
29.7%
63.5%
Assist %
55.9%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence136.2 · 104.2Defence96.9 · 111.5Shooting60.5% · 51.6%3-point %43.9% · 29.7%Ball care10.8% · 16.3%Off. rebounds30.1% · 21.5%Free throws0.43 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)100% · 40%
■ Quimsa   ■ Sao Paulo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Quimsa wins
4
Sao Paulo wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Quimsa v Sao Paulo112-65
11/03/22Sao Paulo v Quimsa95-73
02/02/22Sao Paulo v Quimsa86-69
13/12/21Quimsa v Sao Paulo74-83
05/03/21Sao Paulo v Quimsa65-73
02/02/21Quimsa v Sao Paulo72-75 OT
Quimsalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24ANacional86-78
23/01/24AOlimpico74-68
18/01/24AComunicaciones Mercedes96-89
16/01/24ALa Union86-85
11/01/24HObras Sanitarias99-85
21/12/23HGimnasia86-71
18/12/23HNacional86-78
16/12/23HSao Paulo112-65
09/12/23ABoca Juniors72-67
07/12/23ASan Lorenzo75-67
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/24HPaulistano90-71
13/01/24ACearense81-75
11/01/24AUnifacisa84-107
08/01/24HFranca84-98
06/01/24HBauru89-93 OT
29/12/23HMogi61-63
27/12/23HSao Jose78-74
23/12/23ABrasilia72-63
21/12/23ACerrado74-82
17/12/23HNacional84-89 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quimsa
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.799.086.0
Allowed / game73.771.578.0
Point differential+21.0+27.5+8.0
Avg total168.3170.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sao Paulo
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.584.065.0
Allowed / game100.589.0112.0
Point differential-26.0-5.0-47.0
Avg total175.0173.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %50%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa330100%94.773.7+21.0
2 Franca440100%99.881.8+18.0
3 Flamengo43175%74.273.5+0.8
4 Halcones de Xalapa42250%85.578.8+6.8
5 Obras Sanitarias42250%92.588.5+4.0
6 Hebraica y Macabi42250%75.874.0+1.8
7 Gladiadores42250%79.882.0-2.2
8 Real Esteli42250%79.884.2-4.5
9 Nacional31233%81.785.3-3.7
10 Boca Juniors41325%67.069.5-2.5
11 U. De Concepcion4040%72.094.0-22.0
12 Sao Paulo2020%74.5100.5-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Quimsa2220222084
Sao Paulo2023232187
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