Quinnipiac hosts Monmouth on 12 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Quinnipiac the favourite with an 85% chance of winning, reflecting their 2-1 record, 68.0 points per game and 76.0 allowed per game, and a single home win at 66.0 points scored and 56.0 allowed. Monmouth, meanwhile, is 0-3 with 56.7 points scored and 82.3 allowed, and has lost all three road games, including a 66-84 loss to Rhode Island, a 41-85 loss to Bradley and a 63-78 loss to St. John's (N.Y.). The two teams have met seven times, with Monmouth winning five and Quinnipiac two, the last meeting ending 85-75 for Quinnipiac on 17 December 2025. Pythia projects a 80-68 score, a total of 147.9, and gives Quinnipiac a 83% chance to cover the home line of -1.5; the over on a 147.5 line has a 51% probability, and the game has a 3% chance of overtime. The most recent result for Quinnipiac was a 79-76 win over Vermont, while Monmouth's last game was a 66-84 loss to Rhode Island.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Quinnipiac winLost
84.5%fair 1.18
Best odds1.92
Implied50.1%
Edge+34.4pp
Monmouth winWon
15.5%fair 6.47
Best odds2.00
Implied49.9%
Edge-34.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:02 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Quinnipiac) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 144.5Actual: Under 144.5
Over 144.5
57.9%
@ 1.91+8.2pp
Under 144.5
42.1%
@ 1.90-8.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.89
Betano
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
Under
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.89
SBO
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 149.5 · main lineActual: Under 149.5
Over 149.5
45.7%
@ 2.60+7.3pp
Under 149.5
54.3%
@ 1.83-7.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.40
1xBet
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.45
Over/Under 154.5Actual: Under 154.5
Over 154.5
34.0%
@ 3.75+9.3pp
Under 154.5
66.0%
@ 1.23-9.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Under
Bet365
1.23
📊 3. Team Totals
Quinnipiac total 68.5Actual: Quinnipiac over 68.5
Over 68.5
no forecast
@ 1.39
Under 68.5
no forecast
@ 3.20
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.31
Under
Bet365
3.20
Betano
2.60
Quinnipiac total 73 · main lineActual: Quinnipiac under 73
Over 73
76.0%
@ 1.87+26.3pp
Under 73
24.0%
@ 1.85-26.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Quinnipiac total 77Actual: Quinnipiac under 77
Over 77
61.4%
Under 77
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monmouth total 69Actual: Monmouth over 69
Over 69
46.0%
Under 69
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monmouth total 73 · main lineActual: Monmouth over 73
Over 73
30.7%
@ 1.85-19.3pp
Under 73
69.3%
@ 1.85+19.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
Monmouth total 77Actual: Monmouth under 77
Over 77
18.4%
Under 77
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Quinnipiac -4Actual: Monmouth +4
QUIN -4
76.7%
@ 2.22+35.1pp
MONM +4
23.3%
@ 1.58-35.1pp
Best 5 market prices
QUIN
Bet365
2.22
MONM
Bet365
1.58
Spread Quinnipiac -1 · main lineActual: Monmouth +1
QUIN -1
84.3%
@ 1.96+35.2pp
MONM +1
15.7%
@ 1.94-35.2pp
Best 5 market prices
QUIN
Pinnacle
1.96
Marathon Be
1.85
Bet365
1.85
MONM
Bet365
1.94
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.86
Spread Quinnipiac +2Actual: Monmouth -2
QUIN +2
87.8%
@ 1.72+32.2pp
MONM -2
12.2%
@ 2.17-32.2pp
Best 5 market prices
QUIN
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
1.64
MONM
Bet365
2.17
Pinnacle
2.16
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
QuinnipiacMonmouth
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Quinnipiac -3
79.3%
2.19
Pinnacle
2.33
Bet365
2.05
-
-
-
+38.1pp
Lost
Quinnipiac -2
82.2%
1.98
Pinnacle
2.12
Marathon Bet
1.98
Bet365
1.96
SBO
1.88
-
+37.0pp
Lost
Quinnipiac -2.5
79.8%
2.10
Pinnacle
2.22
Betano
2.07
Bet365
2.01
-
-
+36.7pp
Lost
Quinnipiac -1.5
82.8%
1.92
Pinnacle
2.02
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.93
SBO
1.93
Marathon Bet
1.92
+35.2pp
Lost
Quinnipiac -1
84.3%
1.89
Pinnacle
1.96
Marathon Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.85
-
-
+35.2pp
Lost
Quinnipiac -4
76.7%
2.22
Bet365
2.22
-
-
-
-
+35.1pp
Lost
Quinnipiac -5
73.5%
2.40
Bet365
2.40
-
-
-
-
+34.8pp
Lost
Quinnipiac -6
70.2%
2.62
Bet365
2.62
-
-
-
-
+34.8pp
Lost
Quinnipiac -4.5
74.4%
2.33
Betano
2.35
Bet365
2.30
-
-
-
+34.6pp
Lost
Quinnipiac -5.5
71.2%
2.54
Betano
2.57
Bet365
2.50
-
-
-
+34.5pp
Lost
Quinnipiac -3.5
77.4%
2.15
Betano
2.18
Bet365
2.12
-
-
-
+34.4pp
Lost
Quinnipiac win
84.5%
1.80
Pinnacle
1.92
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
+34.4pp
Lost
Quinnipiac (regulation)
82.6%
1.87
Betano
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.86
-
-
-
+34.4pp
Lost
Quinnipiac +1
85.8%
1.76
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
1.74
Marathon Bet
1.72
-
-
+33.5pp
Lost
Quinnipiac +1.5
86.0%
1.75
SBO
1.81
Pinnacle
1.79
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.68
-
+32.4pp
Lost
Quinnipiac +2
87.8%
1.68
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
1.64
-
-
-
+32.2pp
Lost
Quinnipiac +2.5
88.1%
1.61
Pinnacle
1.67
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.57
-
-
+30.7pp
Lost
Quinnipiac +3
89.4%
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
-
+29.1pp
Lost
Quinnipiac over 71.5
79.7%
1.77
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.70
-
-
-
+28.0pp
Lost
Quinnipiac over 72.5
76.7%
1.86
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Bet
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
+27.9pp
Lost
Quinnipiac +3.5
89.5%
1.51
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50
-
-
-
+27.9pp
Lost
Quinnipiac +4
90.8%
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
-
+27.0pp
Push
Quinnipiac over 73
76.0%
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+26.3pp
Lost
Quinnipiac +4.5
91.0%
1.43
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
+25.9pp
Won
Quinnipiac +5
92.2%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+25.5pp
Won
Quinnipiac +5.5
92.3%
1.36
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.35
-
-
-
+24.6pp
Won
Quinnipiac +6
93.3%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+23.5pp
Won
Quinnipiac over 73.5
73.6%
1.88
Betano
1.98
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
+22.9pp
Lost
Quinnipiac +6.5
93.4%
1.31
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
+22.8pp
Won
Quinnipiac over 74
72.7%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
-
+22.7pp
Lost
Quinnipiac over 74.5
70.2%
1.97
Betano
2.10
Pinnacle
1.96
Bet365
1.86
-
-
+22.3pp
Lost
Quinnipiac +7.5
94.4%
1.26
Betano
1.26
-
-
-
-
+21.1pp
Won
Quinnipiac +8.5
95.2%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+19.9pp
Won
Monmouth under 73.5
70.4%
1.78
Bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
1.81
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.67
-
+18.3pp
Lost
Monmouth under 75.5
76.7%
1.48
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.45
-
-
-
+14.8pp
Won
Monmouth under 74.5
73.6%
1.52
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+13.5pp
Won
Monmouth under 77.5
82.0%
1.33
Bet365
1.35
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
+13.0pp
Won
Quinnipiac +13.5
97.9%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+12.9pp
Won
Monmouth under 78.5
84.4%
1.27
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
+12.2pp
Won
Monmouth under 76.5
79.5%
1.36
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+12.0pp
Won
Monmouth under 79.5
86.5%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+11.2pp
Won
Quinnipiac +18.5
99.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+9.7pp
Won
Monmouth under 80.5
88.4%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+7.9pp
Won
Quinnipiac +23.5
99.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+7.4pp
Won
Overtime: no
96.9%
1.04
WilliamHill
1.06
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
+7.2pp
Won
Over 138
73.1%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+6.1pp
Won
Over 138.5
71.6%
1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+6.0pp
Won
Over 139
71.0%
1.43
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
-
+6.0pp
Won
Over 137.5
73.6%
1.36
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+5.7pp
Won
Over 137
75.1%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+5.1pp
Won
Over 136.5
75.6%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+4.2pp
Won
Over 134.5
79.3%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+3.2pp
Won
Over 124.5
92.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.8pp
Won
Over 129.5
87.0%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+1.5pp
Won
Under 169.5
90.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-1.0pp
Won
Monmouth over 54.5
91.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.7pp
Won
Monmouth over 55.5
89.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.4pp
Won
Quinnipiac under 92.5
90.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.7pp
Won
Monmouth over 56.5
87.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-3.7pp
Won
Under 164.5
84.5%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-4.5pp
Won
Quinnipiac under 90.5
86.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-5.5pp
Won
Quinnipiac under 91.5
88.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-5.6pp
Won
Monmouth over 57.5
85.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-5.9pp
Won
Monmouth over 58.5
82.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-6.5pp
Won
Quinnipiac under 89.5
83.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-7.8pp
Won
Under 159.5
76.3%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-8.1pp
Won
Quinnipiac under 88.5
81.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-8.6pp
Won
Monmouth over 59.5
80.2%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-8.8pp
Won
Monmouth +21.5
81.0%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-9.2pp
Won
Monmouth over 60.5
77.3%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-9.9pp
Won
Monmouth over 61.5
74.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-11.4pp
Won
Quinnipiac under 87.5
78.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-12.0pp
Won
Monmouth over 62.5
70.8%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-12.2pp
Won
Quinnipiac under 86.5
75.2%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-12.8pp
Won
Quinnipiac under 85.5
71.9%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-16.4pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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