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Rakvere Tarvas vs Valga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 95-87
25-23 26-25 23-26 21-13
Position#5
Record12-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#8
Record9-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game86.5
Meetings · Rakvere Tarvas v Valga
11 Mar 2017
RAKV76
VALG97
07 Oct 2016
RAKV85
VALG86
23 Mar 2016
RAKV95
VALG87
30 Oct 2015
RAKV81
VALG86
06 Mar 2015
RAKV101
VALG73
05 Oct 2014
RAKV95
VALG93
14 Mar 2014
RAKV78
VALG70
05 Dec 2013
RAKV79
VALG64
05 Feb 2013
RAKV75
VALG74
26 Oct 2012
RAKV90
VALG72
20 Jan 2012
RAKV92
VALG78
04 Nov 2011
RAKV100
VALG64
11 Apr 2011
RAKV101
VALG76
01 Apr 2011
RAKV94
VALG80
07 Jan 2011
RAKV91
VALG75
22 Nov 2010
RAKV95
VALG82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rakvere Tarvas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rakvere TarvasEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Audentese
#9
W
124-57
124
57
+67
H12/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A16/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#4
L
103-104 OT
103
104
-1
A19/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Liepaja
#6
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A23/02
Baltic League
Tal Tech
#7
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H26/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
A04/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Audentese
#9
W
108-68
108
68
+40
A08/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valga
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A11/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A15/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#7
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A19/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-12
29-20
33-9
28-16
26-20
16-17
16-4
21-33
24-36
29-14
20-9
16-30
21-25
19-17
24-21
23-30
20-20
15-19
31-10
22-18
23-23
20-21
31-23
15-22
24-19
25-14
29-21
30-14
20-26
14-25
23-21
27-18
14-16
15-19
26-22
13-16
20-23
23-16
20-21
22-16
174.1Avg total
93.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.879.7165.5+6.148%
Season at home (12)82.177.2159.3+4.850%
Season away (13)89.281.9171.2+7.346%
Last 10 (10)93.081.1174.1+11.950%
Last 5 (5)89.883.2173.0+6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.781.0146.7-15.30%
vs Similar (9)76.286.8163.0-10.611%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.974.7164.7+15.272%
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValgaEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
64-82
64
82
-18
H16/02
LBL
Jelgava
#9
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A20/02
LBL
Tal Tech
#7
L
96-103 OT
96
103
-7
A23/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H26/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Barons Kvartals
#8
L
89-98
89
98
-9
H02/03
LBL
Jurmala
#6
L
86-98
86
98
-12
A05/03
LBL
Parnu
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A08/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rakvere Tarvas
#5
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H11/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A16/03
LBL
Rapla
#3
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A18/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
14-22
24-25
16-17
24-24
15-13
14-16
18-16
21-18
13-20
21-27
35-25
19-19
20-19
23-21
28-18
18-21
16-26
31-23
24-28
23-21
14-23
23-20
26-34
10-25
23-22
26-19
19-23
26-20
25-14
21-23
18-27
12-21
22-8
27-28
21-22
13-17
11-26
20-18
21-22
167.3Avg total
81.1Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.486.5170.0-3.138%
Season at home (13)82.486.4168.8-4.038%
Season away (11)84.686.7171.4-2.136%
Last 10 (10)81.186.2167.3-5.140%
Last 5 (5)80.286.6166.8-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.989.9168.8-10.924%
vs Similar (9)79.683.4163.0-3.944%
vs Weaker (4)89.877.2167.0+12.5100%
This opponent (Rakvere Tarvas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +9.2+9.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
Rakvere TarvasValga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rakvere TarvasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Audentese
#9
W
63-32
63
32
+31
H12/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A16/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A19/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Liepaja
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A23/02
Baltic League
Tal Tech
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H26/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A04/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Audentese
#9
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A08/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valga
#8
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A11/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A15/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#7
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A19/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
83.3Avg total
43.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.982.0+2.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.639.180.8+2.543%-
Last 30 away (16)42.640.583.1+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)43.140.283.3+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.480.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.040.078.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (9)36.641.077.6-4.422%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.739.384.9+6.467%-
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H16/02
LBL
Jelgava
#9
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A20/02
LBL
Tal Tech
#7
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A23/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H26/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Barons Kvartals
#8
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H02/03
LBL
Jurmala
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/03
LBL
Parnu
#6
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A08/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rakvere Tarvas
#5
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H11/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A16/03
LBL
Rapla
#3
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A18/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
74.6Avg total
34.9Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.380.3-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.242.682.7-2.439%-
Last 30 away (12)37.239.576.7-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)34.939.774.6-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.475.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.243.281.4-5.018%-
vs Similar (9)37.041.078.0-4.044%-
vs Weaker (4)46.834.281.0+12.5100%-
This opponent (Rakvere Tarvas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Rakvere Tarvas wins
2
Valga wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/16ATal Tech85-76
15/03/16AParnu68-73
11/03/16AValga84-90
08/03/16AAudentese108-68
04/03/16ATartu Ulikool104-109 OT
26/02/16HTal Tech88-67
23/02/16ABK Liepaja87-93
19/02/16ATallinna Kalev103-104 OT
16/02/16ARapla79-74
12/02/16HAudentese124-57
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/16ARapla65-83
16/03/16ALatvijas Universitate82-79
11/03/16HRakvere Tarvas90-84
08/03/16AParnu78-89
05/03/16AJurmala86-98
02/03/16HBarons Kvartals89-98
26/02/16HRapla90-77
23/02/16ATal Tech96-103 OT
20/02/16AJelgava71-69
16/02/16HVEF Riga64-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rakvere Tarvas
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW48%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLWLLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %48%50%46%
Points / game85.882.189.2
Allowed / game79.777.281.9
Point differential+6.1+4.8+7.3
Avg total165.5159.3171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%33%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %8%0%15%
Valga
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeLLWWW38%
AwayLWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %38%38%36%
Points / game83.482.484.6
Allowed / game86.586.486.7
Point differential-3.1-4.0-2.1
Avg total170.0168.8171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%23%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo16160100%89.468.7+20.7
2 Tartu Ulikool2216673%83.173.5+9.6
3 Tallinna Kalev2516964%88.283.9+4.4
4 Rapla26161062%78.776.0+2.7
5 Parnu25131252%77.077.4-0.4
6 Rakvere Tarvas25121348%85.879.7+6.1
7 Valga2491538%83.486.5-3.1
8 Tal Tech27101737%75.580.9-5.4
9 Audentese260260%67.492.2-24.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rakvere Tarvas2526232195
Valga2325261387
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