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Valga vs Rakvere Tarvas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-84
26-20 25-14 21-23 18-27
Position#8
Record8-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game86.8
Valga 🏆
Estonia
vs
Position#5
Record11-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game79.7
EstoniaKorvpalli Meistriliiga
Other2015-16
Meetings · Valga v Rakvere Tarvas
04 Apr 2017
VALG100
RAKV70
22 Nov 2016
VALG89
RAKV106
11 Mar 2016
VALG90
RAKV84
05 Dec 2015
VALG82
RAKV104
31 Mar 2015
VALG71
RAKV83
09 Jan 2015
VALG85
RAKV97
04 Feb 2014
VALG60
RAKV87
15 Oct 2013
VALG68
RAKV84
19 Feb 2013
VALG66
RAKV59
04 Dec 2012
VALG67
RAKV69
17 Feb 2012
VALG59
RAKV89
11 Oct 2011
VALG74
RAKV100
13 Apr 2011
VALG79
RAKV88
06 Apr 2011
VALG71
RAKV70
04 Mar 2011
VALG93
RAKV95
02 Nov 2010
VALG72
RAKV81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rakvere Tarvas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValgaEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jekabpils
#5
W
97-87
97
87
+10
H06/02
LBL
Audentese
#9
W
103-75
103
75
+28
A09/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera/ORDO
#1
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A12/02
LBL
VEF Riga
#3
L
64-82
64
82
-18
H16/02
LBL
Jelgava
#9
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A20/02
LBL
Tal Tech
#7
L
96-103 OT
96
103
-7
A23/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H26/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Barons Kvartals
#8
L
89-98
89
98
-9
H02/03
LBL
Jurmala
#6
L
86-98
86
98
-12
A05/03
LBL
Parnu
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A08/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
19-25
28-26
33-24
29-19
30-12
25-19
19-25
18-27
20-15
20-19
18-14
10-18
14-22
24-25
16-17
24-24
15-13
14-16
18-16
21-18
13-20
21-27
35-25
19-19
20-19
23-21
28-18
18-21
16-26
31-23
24-28
23-21
14-23
23-20
26-34
10-25
23-22
26-19
19-23
170.3Avg total
85.0Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.086.8170.8-2.936%
Season at home (12)81.886.6168.3-4.833%
Season away (10)86.687.1173.7-0.540%
Last 10 (10)85.085.3170.3-0.350%
Last 5 (5)87.893.0180.8-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)78.790.4169.1-11.819%
vs Similar (11)82.283.2165.4-1.055%
vs Weaker (3)92.376.7169.0+15.7100%
This opponent (Rakvere Tarvas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rakvere TarvasEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#4
L
81-103
81
103
-22
H02/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H05/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Liepaja
#6
L
50-74
50
74
-24
H10/02
Baltic League
Audentese
#9
W
124-57
124
57
+67
H12/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A16/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#4
L
103-104 OT
103
104
-1
A19/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Liepaja
#6
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A23/02
Baltic League
Tal Tech
#7
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H26/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
A04/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Audentese
#9
W
108-68
108
68
+40
A08/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
15-33
28-23
17-33
25-23
18-19
15-21
17-26
17-16
13-28
12-17
8-13
34-12
29-20
33-9
28-16
26-20
16-17
16-4
21-33
24-36
29-14
20-9
16-30
21-25
19-17
24-21
23-30
20-20
15-19
31-10
22-18
23-23
20-21
31-23
15-22
24-19
25-14
29-21
30-14
173.7Avg total
89.9Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)86.779.7166.4+7.050%
Season at home (12)82.177.2159.3+4.850%
Season away (10)92.382.6174.9+9.750%
Last 10 (10)89.983.8173.7+6.140%
Last 5 (5)98.088.2186.2+9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.781.0146.7-15.30%
vs Similar (9)76.286.8163.0-10.611%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.473.1162.5+16.378%
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +8.1+8.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.8-3.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +8.1+8.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.8-3.8
ValgaRakvere Tarvas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jekabpils
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H06/02
LBL
Audentese
#9
W
59-31
59
31
+28
A09/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera/ORDO
#1
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A12/02
LBL
VEF Riga
#3
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H16/02
LBL
Jelgava
#9
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A20/02
LBL
Tal Tech
#7
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A23/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H26/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Barons Kvartals
#8
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H02/03
LBL
Jurmala
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/03
LBL
Parnu
#6
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A08/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
77.4Avg total
37.3Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.582.2-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.143.082.1-3.933%-
Last 30 away (12)40.641.882.3-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.177.4-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.442.878.2-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.943.781.6-5.812%-
vs Similar (11)39.342.581.8-3.345%-
vs Weaker (3)51.036.087.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Rakvere Tarvas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rakvere TarvasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#4
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H02/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H05/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Liepaja
#6
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H10/02
Baltic League
Audentese
#9
W
63-32
63
32
+31
H12/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A16/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A19/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Liepaja
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A23/02
Baltic League
Tal Tech
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H26/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A04/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Audentese
#9
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A08/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
84.4Avg total
43.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.539.081.5+3.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.539.280.7+2.340%-
Last 30 away (15)43.538.882.3+4.753%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.084.4+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.685.6+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.040.078.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (9)36.641.077.6-4.422%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.237.884.1+8.467%-
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valga wins
9
Rakvere Tarvas wins
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/16AParnu78-89
05/03/16AJurmala86-98
02/03/16HBarons Kvartals89-98
26/02/16HRapla90-77
23/02/16ATal Tech96-103 OT
20/02/16AJelgava71-69
16/02/16HVEF Riga64-82
12/02/16AValmiera/ORDO76-75
09/02/16AAudentese103-75
06/02/16HJekabpils97-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/16AAudentese108-68
04/03/16ATartu Ulikool104-109 OT
26/02/16HTal Tech88-67
23/02/16ABK Liepaja87-93
19/02/16ATallinna Kalev103-104 OT
16/02/16ARapla79-74
12/02/16HAudentese124-57
10/02/16HBK Liepaja50-74
05/02/16HTartu Ulikool75-89
02/02/16HTallinna Kalev81-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL36%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayLLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %36%33%40%
Points / game84.081.886.6
Allowed / game86.886.687.1
Point differential-2.9-4.8-0.5
Avg total170.8168.3173.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %9%8%10%
Rakvere Tarvas
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game86.782.192.3
Allowed / game79.777.282.6
Point differential+7.0+4.8+9.7
Avg total166.4159.3174.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo16160100%89.468.7+20.7
2 Tartu Ulikool2116576%84.173.0+11.0
3 Tallinna Kalev2214864%88.685.3+3.3
4 Rapla2314961%78.276.3+2.0
5 Rakvere Tarvas22111150%86.779.7+7.0
6 Parnu22111150%77.277.0+0.2
7 Valga2281436%84.086.8-2.9
8 Tal Tech2591636%74.780.8-6.0
9 Audentese250250%67.592.6-25.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valga2625211890
Rakvere Tarvas2014232784
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