Randers vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Jan 2015

Tip-off: 18:15

Final 87-111

18-28 18-26 32-23 19-34

Position#6

Record8-10

FormLLLLL

Points / game87.9

Allowed / game89.6

Randers

Bakken Bears 🏆

Position#2

Record15-2

FormWWWLW

Points / game95.4

Allowed / game81.6

BasketligaenRound 19

Other2014-15

Meetings · Randers v Bakken Bears

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Randers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bakken Bears winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Randers

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Svendborg

93-92 OT

A01/12

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

103-96

103

H04/12

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

87-77

+10

A12/12

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

84-99

-15

A18/12

Basketligaen

Horsens

72-81

-9

H30/12

Basketligaen

Sisu

100-123

100

123

-23

A05/01

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

76-91

-15

H12/01

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

71-97

-26

H15/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

62-100

100

-38

H18/01

Denmark Cup

Svendborg

60-95

-35

A21/01

Basketligaen

25-17

19-25

23-25

18-18

17-34

27-13

23-29

36-20

19-13

16-16

25-33

27-15

20-21

25-31

25-19

14-28

15-13

24-18

20-20

13-30

34-32

17-39

29-27

20-25

21-27

28-16

16-31

11-17

19-23

15-35

17-17

20-22

–

13-22

11-34

14-25

22-14

175.9Avg total

80.8Scored

95.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	87.9	89.6	177.5	-1.7	44%
Season at home (8)	90.5	90.2	180.8	+0.2	38%
Season away (10)	85.8	89.1	174.9	-3.3	50%
Last 10 (10)	80.8	95.1	175.9	-14.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	73.8	101.2	175.0	-27.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	83.8	95.3	179.1	-11.5	13%
vs Similar (11)	91.7	90.5	182.2	+1.3	73%
vs Weaker (3)	94.0	68.0	162.0	+26.0	100%

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bakken Bears Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsholm

123-80

123

+43

A15/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

88-75

+13

H24/11

Basketligaen

Randers

85-89

-4

H27/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

86-81

A11/12

Basketligaen

Sisu

106-86

106

+20

H19/12

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

111-52

111

+59

H30/12

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

88-66

+22

H04/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

95-93

A12/01

Basketligaen

Horsholm

69-107

107

-38

A14/01

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

77-58

+19

A22/01

Basketligaen

32-24

37-14

25-29

29-13

19-20

24-26

16-16

29-13

13-11

23-36

21-18

28-24

22-23

19-21

30-14

15-23

31-20

22-26

25-27

28-13

41-2

26-23

31-16

13-11

22-22

22-14

28-15

16-15

29-20

24-28

24-21

18-24

21-29

15-23

24-24

9-31

18-17

20-12

22-9

17-20

171.5Avg total

92.8Scored

78.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	95.4	81.6	177.1	+13.8	88%
Season at home (9)	93.9	76.1	170.0	+17.8	89%
Season away (8)	97.1	87.9	185.0	+9.2	88%
Last 10 (10)	92.8	78.7	171.5	+14.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	88.0	75.2	163.2	+12.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	89.5	79.0	168.5	+10.5	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	95.1	81.7	176.8	+13.4	85%

This opponent (Randers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RandersBakken Bears

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.6	22.5	44.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	23.2	44.5	-2.0	54%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	21.8	43.7	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.3	22.4	42.8	-2.1	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.4	43.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.2	22.9	43.1	-2.7	21%	-
vs Similar (11)	23.2	22.8	46.0	+0.4	73%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	16.5	37.5	+4.5	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	19.7	43.8	+4.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.8	17.4	41.2	+6.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.6	22.2	46.8	+2.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	18.8	43.6	+6.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	18.0	44.2	+8.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	24.4	19.5	43.9	+5.0	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.9	22.8	44.6	-0.9	46%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.5	21.9	45.4	+1.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	23.5	44.0	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.2	25.2	45.4	-5.0	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	28.4	47.4	-9.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	22.1	23.4	45.5	-1.4	43%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.5	23.5	44.9	-2.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	20.9	44.2	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.7	21.1	43.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.9	20.8	44.6	+3.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	22.3	45.5	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	18.0	21.5	39.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	24.0	20.6	44.6	+3.3	56%	-

RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Svendborg

44-42

A01/12

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

44-47

-3

H04/12

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

35-29

A12/12

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

45-52

-7

A18/12

Basketligaen

Horsens

39-31

H30/12

Basketligaen

Sisu

51-71

-20

A05/01

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

49-43

H12/01

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

34-58

-24

H15/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

24-56

-32

A21/01

Basketligaen

88.2Avg total

40.6Scored

47.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	43.5	45.2	88.7	-1.8	46%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.7	45.2	89.8	-0.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.4	45.3	87.7	-2.9	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.6	47.7	88.2	-7.1	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	51.8	91.2	-12.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	42.3	46.4	88.6	-4.1	36%	-
vs Similar (11)	44.6	46.3	90.9	-1.6	45%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.5	35.5	76.0	+5.0	100%	-

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsholm

69-38

+31

A15/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

43-46

-3

H24/11

Basketligaen

Randers

36-47

-11

H27/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

41-44

-3

A11/12

Basketligaen

Sisu

53-46

H19/12

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

67-25

+42

H30/12

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

44-36

H04/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

53-48

A12/01

Basketligaen

Horsholm

36-52

-16

A14/01

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

38-29

A22/01

Basketligaen

89.1Avg total

48.0Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.4	40.6	88.0	+6.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.5	38.5	85.0	+8.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	48.4	43.0	91.4	+5.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.0	41.1	89.1	+6.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	38.0	85.6	+9.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	38.5	41.0	79.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	48.4	40.1	88.5	+8.3	70%	-

This opponent (Randers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.8	22.4	43.1	-1.6	32%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.7	21.0	40.7	-1.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	23.5	45.3	-1.8	27%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.3	25.1	46.4	-3.8	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	24.0	43.2	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.7	22.4	41.1	-3.7	14%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.7	22.5	45.2	+0.3	45%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	22.5	44.5	-0.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	19.0	42.3	+4.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	18.8	41.6	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.9	19.2	43.1	+4.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	18.9	43.5	+5.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	17.0	42.8	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	29.5	18.5	48.0	+11.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.0	18.8	41.7	+4.2	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	23.0	21.2	44.2	+1.8	61%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.2	21.2	44.4	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.8	21.3	44.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.1	21.0	41.1	-0.9	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.6	38.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	22.1	23.1	45.2	-1.1	57%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.8	20.5	43.3	+2.4	55%	-
vs Weaker (2)	29.0	13.0	42.0	+16.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.3	19.7	43.0	+3.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	23.9	44.4	-3.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	20.2	34.8	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.1	21.6	43.8	+0.5	52%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	43.8	43.6	87.4	+0.2	46%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.9	42.2	85.1	+0.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.5	44.8	89.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	41.4	46.1	87.6	-4.7	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	45.6	82.0	-9.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	40.8	45.6	86.4	-4.8	21%	-
vs Similar (11)	45.5	42.9	88.5	+2.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (2)	51.0	35.5	86.5	+15.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.3	40.6	85.9	+4.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.1	38.5	84.6	+7.6	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.4	43.1	87.5	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	37.6	82.4	+7.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	37.2	77.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	51.0	38.0	89.0	+13.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	45.1	40.4	85.5	+4.7	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Randers wins

Bakken Bears wins

Date	Game	Score
27/11/14	Bakken Bears v Randers	85-89
22/10/14	Randers v Bakken Bears	105-77
09/10/14	Randers v Bakken Bears	110-112 OT
05/05/14	Randers v Bakken Bears	81-91
01/05/14	Bakken Bears v Randers	115-107 OT
28/04/14	Randers v Bakken Bears	80-99
24/04/14	Bakken Bears v Randers	99-82
13/03/14	Bakken Bears v Randers	97-84
09/01/14	Randers v Bakken Bears	87-84
06/10/13	Bakken Bears v Randers	89-82

Randerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/01/15	A	Svendborg	60-95
18/01/15	H	Horsens	62-100
15/01/15	H	Team FOG Naestved	71-97
12/01/15	H	Vaerlose	76-91
05/01/15	A	Sisu	100-123
30/12/14	H	Horsens	72-81
18/12/14	A	Herlev Wolfpack	84-99
12/12/14	A	Aalborg	87-77
04/12/14	H	Horsholm	103-96
01/12/14	A	Svendborg	93-92 OT

Bakken Bearslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/01/15	A	Team FOG Naestved	77-58
14/01/15	A	Horsholm	69-107
12/01/15	A	Svendborg	95-93
04/01/15	H	Vaerlose	88-66
30/12/14	H	Aalborg	111-52
19/12/14	H	Sisu	106-86
11/12/14	A	Horsens	86-81
27/11/14	H	Randers	85-89
24/11/14	H	Team FOG Naestved	88-75
15/11/14	A	Horsholm	123-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Randers

Basketligaen 2014-15

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	44%
Home	LWLLL	38%
Away	WWLLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	44%	38%	50%
Points / game	87.9	90.5	85.8
Allowed / game	89.6	90.2	89.1
Point differential	-1.7	+0.2	-3.3
Avg total	177.5	180.8	174.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	25%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Bakken Bears

Basketligaen 2014-15

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	88%
Home	WLWWW	89%
Away	WWWLW	88%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	88%	89%	88%
Points / game	95.4	93.9	97.1
Allowed / game	81.6	76.1	87.9
Point differential	+13.8	+17.8	+9.2
Avg total	177.1	170.0	185.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	59%	67%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	50% (2)	100% (3)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	17	15	2	88%	95.4	81.6	+13.8
2	Horsens	18	15	3	83%	85.4	74.1	+11.3
3	Herlev Wolfpack	17	12	5	71%	89.8	80.7	+9.1
4	Svendborg	19	12	7	63%	84.6	80.7	+3.9
5	Team FOG Naestved	19	10	9	53%	80.1	79.2	+0.9
6	Sisu	20	9	11	45%	87.0	87.5	-0.5
7	Randers	18	8	10	44%	87.9	89.6	-1.7
8	Vaerlose	20	6	14	30%	73.7	80.0	-6.3
9	Horsholm	19	5	14	26%	82.2	87.6	-5.4
10	Aalborg	19	1	18	5%	74.8	96.6	-21.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Randers	18	18	32	19	87
Bakken Bears	28	26	23	34	111

← all games of the day

Randers vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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