Bakken Bears vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2015

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 88-66

22-22 22-14 28-15 16-15

Position#2

Record12-1

FormWLWWW

Points / game99.5

Allowed / game81.8

Bakken Bears 🏆

Vaerlose

Position#8

Record3-11

FormLLWLL

Points / game72.4

Allowed / game78.9

BasketligaenRound 15

Other2014-15

Meetings · Bakken Bears v Vaerlose

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bakken Bears winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vaerlose winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bakken Bears Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

77-105

105

-28

A22/10

Denmark Cup

Aalborg

#10

122-97

122

+25

A29/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

95-89

H01/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

100-70

100

+30

H07/11

Basketligaen

Horsholm

123-80

123

+43

A15/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

88-75

+13

H24/11

Basketligaen

Randers

85-89

-4

H27/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

86-81

A11/12

Basketligaen

Sisu

106-86

106

+20

H19/12

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

111-52

111

+59

H30/12

Basketligaen

24-25

14-28

20-26

19-26

28-21

35-16

31-26

28-34

24-25

23-24

21-17

27-23

22-16

24-16

33-18

21-20

32-24

37-14

25-29

29-13

19-20

24-26

16-16

29-13

13-11

23-36

21-18

28-24

22-23

19-21

30-14

15-23

31-20

22-26

25-27

28-13

41-2

26-23

31-16

13-11

181.7Avg total

99.3Scored

82.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	99.5	81.8	181.3	+17.6	92%
Season at home (8)	94.6	77.4	172.0	+17.2	88%
Season away (5)	107.2	89.0	196.2	+18.2	100%
Last 10 (10)	99.3	82.4	181.7	+16.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	95.2	76.6	171.8	+18.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	89.5	79.0	168.5	+10.5	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	97.2	81.9	179.1	+15.3	89%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

66-74

-8

H03/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

70-100

100

-30

A07/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

84-93

-9

A12/11

Denmark Cup

Herlev Wolfpack

73-84

-11

H16/11

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

93-62

+31

A19/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

69-73

-4

H27/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

68-76

-8

H04/12

Basketligaen

Sisu

82-79

A11/12

Basketligaen

Horsholm

90-92 OT

-2

A17/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

60-86

-26

H30/12

Basketligaen

16-19

13-22

18-17

19-16

16-22

16-24

18-33

20-21

–

22-24

18-21

15-23

18-16

28-17

26-12

25-16

14-17

18-15

20-23

14-17

17-18

24-15

22-17

11-21

11-23

15-14

27-22

20-27

20-16

18-20

18-16

20-19

30-31

11-23

18-22

19-21

12-20

157.4Avg total

75.5Scored

81.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	72.4	78.9	151.4	-6.5	21%
Season at home (7)	67.9	79.0	146.9	-11.1	14%
Season away (7)	77.0	78.9	155.9	-1.9	29%
Last 10 (10)	75.5	81.9	157.4	-6.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	73.8	81.2	155.0	-7.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	75.2	87.6	162.8	-12.4	5%
vs Similar (6)	77.3	80.0	157.3	-2.7	33%
vs Weaker (1)	93.0	62.0	155.0	+31.0	100%

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Bakken BearsVaerlose

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.0	19.1	43.1	+5.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.7	17.0	40.7	+6.7	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	24.5	22.2	46.7	+2.3	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.6	18.7	44.3	+6.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	15.2	40.4	+10.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	24.3	18.8	43.1	+5.5	74%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.8	21.3	42.1	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	21.8	40.7	-2.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	20.8	43.4	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.7	18.8	37.4	-0.1	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.4	34.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	21.0	21.9	43.0	-0.9	45%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.2	19.4	37.6	-1.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (1)	28.0	17.0	45.0	+11.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	21.3	45.6	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.9	21.9	45.8	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	24.8	20.5	45.2	+4.2	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	23.0	47.7	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	26.4	49.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	18.0	21.5	39.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	25.1	21.1	46.1	+4.0	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.2	20.5	39.7	-1.4	39%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	21.4	40.3	-2.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	19.6	39.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.1	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	19.3	21.4	40.7	-2.0	36%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.2	18.6	35.8	-1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	12.0	38.0	+14.0	100%	-

Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

38-53

-15

A22/10

Denmark Cup

Aalborg

#10

63-37

+26

A29/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

47-49

-2

H01/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

46-32

+14

H07/11

Basketligaen

Horsholm

69-38

+31

A15/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

43-46

-3

H24/11

Basketligaen

Randers

36-47

-11

H27/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

41-44

-3

A11/12

Basketligaen

Sisu

53-46

H19/12

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

67-25

+42

H30/12

Basketligaen

92.0Avg total

50.3Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.3	40.4	88.7	+7.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	47.6	38.9	86.5	+8.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	49.2	42.7	91.9	+6.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.3	41.7	92.0	+8.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	41.6	89.6	+6.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	38.5	41.0	79.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	49.4	39.9	89.3	+9.5	74%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

29-41

-12

H03/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

32-46

-14

A07/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

40-45

-5

H16/11

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

54-29

+25

A19/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

38-38

H27/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

46-32

+14

H04/12

Basketligaen

Sisu

42-36

A11/12

Basketligaen

Horsholm

36-36

A17/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

29-45

-16

H30/12

Basketligaen

77.1Avg total

38.4Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	40.0	41.8	81.8	-1.9	36%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.8	43.2	81.0	-5.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.1	40.4	82.6	+1.7	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.4	38.7	77.1	-0.2	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	37.4	75.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	40.4	43.3	83.6	-2.9	36%	-
vs Similar (5)	35.4	38.0	73.4	-2.6	20%	-
vs Weaker (1)	54.0	29.0	83.0	+25.0	100%	-

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	19.4	43.0	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.7	19.5	43.2	+4.2	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	23.3	19.3	42.7	+4.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.3	20.7	46.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	18.2	42.8	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	29.5	18.5	48.0	+11.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.2	19.3	42.5	+4.0	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.6	21.4	38.9	-3.8	36%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.8	21.4	37.1	-5.6	21%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	21.4	40.7	-2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.8	21.6	39.3	-3.8	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	21.0	37.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	17.0	22.1	39.1	-5.0	27%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	16.0	41.0	+9.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	21.6	44.4	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.2	20.5	43.7	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.2	23.2	45.4	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	20.0	43.7	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	16.8	39.4	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.1	21.6	44.6	+1.5	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.1	21.1	39.2	-3.0	32%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	20.5	38.9	-2.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	21.8	39.6	-4.0	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.9	19.8	37.7	-1.9	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.6	39.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	17.5	21.8	39.4	-4.3	27%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	17.0	31.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.4	41.0	87.4	+5.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	46.9	40.0	86.9	+6.9	83%	-
Last 30 away (12)	45.6	42.5	88.1	+3.1	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.0	40.7	89.7	+8.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	35.0	82.2	+12.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	51.0	38.0	89.0	+13.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	46.3	40.8	87.1	+5.5	74%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	35.7	42.5	78.2	-6.8	14%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.2	41.9	76.1	-7.6	21%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	43.1	80.3	-6.0	7%	-
Last 10 (9)	35.7	41.3	77.0	-5.7	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	42.6	77.4	-7.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	34.6	43.9	78.5	-9.3	5%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.8	38.2	78.0	+1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	33.0	72.0	+6.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bakken Bears wins

Vaerlose wins

Date	Game	Score
07/11/14	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	100-70
22/02/14	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	76-103
15/02/14	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	108-88
29/09/13	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	74-85
27/01/13	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	107-65
29/11/12	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	82-62
21/10/12	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	69-87
16/02/12	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	93-69
18/01/12	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	66-79
09/10/11	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	64-75

Bakken Bearslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/12/14	H	Aalborg	111-52
19/12/14	H	Sisu	106-86
11/12/14	A	Horsens	86-81
27/11/14	H	Randers	85-89
24/11/14	H	Team FOG Naestved	88-75
15/11/14	A	Horsholm	123-80
07/11/14	H	Vaerlose	100-70
01/11/14	H	Herlev Wolfpack	95-89
29/10/14	A	Aalborg	122-97
22/10/14	A	Randers	77-105

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/12/14	H	Svendborg	60-86
17/12/14	A	Horsholm	90-92 OT
11/12/14	A	Sisu	82-79
04/12/14	H	Horsens	68-76
27/11/14	H	Team FOG Naestved	69-73
19/11/14	A	Aalborg	93-62
16/11/14	H	Herlev Wolfpack	73-84
12/11/14	A	Sisu	84-93
07/11/14	A	Bakken Bears	70-100
03/11/14	H	Randers	66-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bakken Bears

Basketligaen 2014-15

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	92%
Home	WWLWW	88%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	8	5
Win %	92%	88%	100%
Points / game	99.5	94.6	107.2
Allowed / game	81.8	77.4	89.0
Point differential	+17.6	+17.2	+18.2
Avg total	181.3	172.0	196.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	62%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	50% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	8%	0%	20%

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2014-15

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	21%
Home	LLLLL	14%
Away	LLWWL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	21%	14%	29%
Points / game	72.4	67.9	77.0
Allowed / game	78.9	79.0	78.9
Point differential	-6.5	-11.1	-1.9
Avg total	151.4	146.9	155.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	0%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	0% (1)	25% (4)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	13	12	1	92%	99.5	81.8	+17.6
2	Horsens	14	11	3	79%	83.7	75.2	+8.5
3	Svendborg	14	11	3	79%	85.1	81.4	+3.7
4	Herlev Wolfpack	15	10	5	67%	89.4	81.7	+7.7
5	Randers	14	8	6	57%	91.1	86.2	+4.9
6	Team FOG Naestved	15	8	7	53%	81.1	80.5	+0.7
7	Sisu	14	6	8	43%	87.1	87.6	-0.6
8	Vaerlose	14	3	11	21%	72.4	78.9	-6.5
9	Horsholm	14	2	12	14%	81.3	91.3	-10.0
10	Aalborg	15	0	15	0%	73.1	96.7	-23.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bakken Bears	22	22	28	16	88
Vaerlose	22	14	15	15	66

← all games of the day

Bakken Bears vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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