Rapla vs Tallinna Kalev Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Apr 2018

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 73-71

19-14 17-21 17-15 20-21

Position#3

Record15-13

FormLLWLL

Points / game77.8

Allowed / game76.1

Rapla 🏆

Tallinna Kalev

Position#6

Record12-16

FormLWLWW

Points / game74.1

Allowed / game79.1

Korvpalli MeistriliigaKorvpalli Meistriliiga - Quarter-finals

Other2017-18

Meetings · Rapla v Tallinna Kalev

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tallinna Kalev winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rapla

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tallinna Kalev

65-64

H02/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

92-76

+16

H11/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

65-77

-12

A17/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Audentese

103-80

103

+23

A24/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valga

91-75

+16

H31/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

70-84

-14

A04/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

73-80

-7

H10/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

94-64

+30

H14/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

69-73

-4

H18/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

70-72

-2

A22/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

17-17

15-15

22-10

11-22

29-28

25-12

19-18

17-22

11-18

18-23

19-14

22-22

28-20

26-17

27-21

20-14

18-23

19-22

34-16

20-18

17-27

17-20

16-19

15-18

17-16

19-20

22-26

23-11

29-19

18-13

24-21

20-21

21-20

11-15

17-17

11-21

15-19

26-13

18-19

153.7Avg total

79.2Scored

74.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	77.8	76.1	153.9	+1.7	54%
Season at home (14)	78.0	77.9	155.9	+0.1	57%
Season away (14)	77.6	74.4	151.9	+3.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	79.2	74.5	153.7	+4.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	74.6	149.8	+0.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	66.7	86.7	153.3	-20.0	0%
vs Similar (8)	73.2	76.6	149.9	-3.4	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	83.0	72.9	155.9	+10.1	69%

This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tallinna Kalev Estonia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valga

87-68

+19

H17/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

85-91

-6

H20/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

64-95

-31

H25/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

64-97

-33

A29/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

63-76

-13

H02/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

68-75

-7

H06/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Audentese

108-66

108

+42

H10/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

64-94

-30

A14/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

73-69

A18/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

72-70

H22/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

22-17

19-18

27-23

19-10

25-20

15-17

22-25

23-29

17-24

14-16

15-23

18-32

15-25

18-28

23-22

8-22

14-9

16-22

19-18

14-27

16-21

13-21

21-14

18-19

23-14

20-14

36-20

29-18

11-23

19-29

13-18

21-24

21-20

20-21

15-11

17-17

21-11

19-15

13-26

19-18

154.9Avg total

74.8Scored

80.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	74.1	79.1	153.3	-5.0	43%
Season at home (14)	75.6	77.8	153.4	-2.2	43%
Season away (14)	72.7	80.5	153.2	-7.8	43%
Last 10 (10)	74.8	80.1	154.9	-5.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	74.8	151.8	+2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	68.9	81.2	150.1	-12.2	30%
vs Similar (8)	77.5	79.0	156.5	-1.5	50%
vs Weaker (2)	101.0	64.5	165.5	+36.5	100%

This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RaplaTallinna Kalev

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	20.2	37.9	-2.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.8	35.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.8	21.3	38.2	-4.5	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.9	19.1	37.0	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.1	38%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.1	36.4	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	16.5	35.1	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	19.7	37.7	-1.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.4	36.9	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.8	36.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	16.8	18.4	35.2	-1.6	35%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.1	75%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	14.5	38.5	+9.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.7	38.0	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	18.1	37.1	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.9	38.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.5	21.5	37.0	-6.0	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	16.8	19.9	36.6	-3.1	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.1	17.0	39.1	+5.1	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.1	36.9	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.9	18.5	35.5	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	20.1	37.4	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.0	20.6	37.6	-3.6	30%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.0	17.1	36.1	+1.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	11.5	33.5	+10.5	100%	-

RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tallinna Kalev

32-32

H02/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

54-40

+14

H11/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

28-40

-12

A17/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Audentese

50-42

A24/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valga

38-37

H31/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

37-45

-8

A04/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

32-34

-2

H10/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

52-30

+22

H14/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

41-41

H18/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

26-40

-14

A22/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

77.1Avg total

39.0Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	38.5	76.5	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.2	38.6	77.8	+0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.7	38.4	75.1	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	38.1	77.1	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	38.0	75.6	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	32.3	42.8	75.2	-10.5	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	34.6	39.0	73.6	-4.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	41.9	36.6	78.5	+5.2	56%	-

This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valga

41-35

H17/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

40-37

H20/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

31-40

-9

H25/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

33-53

-20

A29/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

30-31

-1

H02/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

29-42

-13

H06/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Audentese

43-28

+15

H10/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

30-52

-22

A14/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

41-41

A18/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

40-26

+14

H22/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

74.3Avg total

35.8Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	37.2	73.3	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.5	35.1	70.5	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	39.3	76.1	-2.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	38.5	74.3	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	37.8	74.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	33.8	39.0	72.8	-5.2	35%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.4	35.4	74.8	+4.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	26.0	72.0	+20.0	100%	-

This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.9	37.2	+1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.4	19.3	36.7	-1.9	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	16.3	37.8	+5.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.1	36.6	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.2	34.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.5	21.2	36.7	-5.7	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.6	12%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.3	15.8	37.1	+5.6	69%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	21.1	38.9	-3.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	23.6	42.5	-4.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.6	18.7	35.3	-2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	15.9	21.2	37.1	-5.3	35%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.5	21.2	40.8	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	29.5	20.0	49.5	+9.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.9	39.4	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.5	21.0	38.5	-3.5	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.5	17.9	38.4	+2.6	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	19.8	20.5	40.3	-0.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.1	40.6	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	20.2	40.9	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	22.1	40.3	-3.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.6	40.2	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.2	20.9	40.1	-1.7	30%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.6	22.4	41.0	-3.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.5	18.5	44.0	+7.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	37.8	76.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.6	40.0	77.6	-2.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.3	35.3	75.6	+5.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	36.4	76.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	36.6	74.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	33.0	42.2	75.2	-9.2	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.6	37.6	76.2	+1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	41.1	36.2	77.4	+4.9	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	42.3	79.5	-5.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.6	43.8	83.4	-4.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.9	40.7	75.6	-5.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	41.6	80.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	37.0	77.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	35.1	42.1	77.2	-7.0	20%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.1	43.6	81.8	-5.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	55.0	38.5	93.5	+16.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Rapla wins

Tallinna Kalev wins

Date	Game	Score
22/04/18	Tallinna Kalev v Rapla	72-70
18/04/18	Rapla v Tallinna Kalev	69-73
14/04/18	Rapla v Tallinna Kalev	94-64
02/03/18	Rapla v Tallinna Kalev	65-64
11/11/17	Tallinna Kalev v Rapla	76-70
09/10/17	Tallinna Kalev v Rapla	56-78
28/03/17	Tallinna Kalev v Rapla	76-72
25/02/17	Tallinna Kalev v Rapla	74-98
04/02/17	Rapla v Tallinna Kalev	63-70
12/11/16	Rapla v Tallinna Kalev	79-76

Raplalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/04/18	A	Tallinna Kalev	70-72
18/04/18	H	Tallinna Kalev	69-73
14/04/18	H	Tallinna Kalev	94-64
10/04/18	H	Parnu	73-80
04/04/18	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	70-84
31/03/18	H	Valga	91-75
24/03/18	A	Audentese	103-80
17/03/18	A	Tartu Ulikool	65-77
11/03/18	H	Tal Tech	92-76
02/03/18	H	Tallinna Kalev	65-64

Tallinna Kalevlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/04/18	H	Rapla	72-70
18/04/18	A	Rapla	73-69
14/04/18	A	Rapla	64-94
10/04/18	H	Audentese	108-66
06/04/18	H	Parnu	68-75
02/04/18	H	Tal Tech	63-76
29/03/18	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	64-97
25/03/18	H	Tartu Ulikool	64-95
20/03/18	H	Tal Tech	85-91
17/03/18	H	Valga	87-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla

Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2017-18

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	54%
Home	WWLWL	57%
Away	WLWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	54%	57%	50%
Points / game	77.8	78.0	77.6
Allowed / game	76.1	77.9	74.4
Point differential	+1.7	+0.1	+3.2
Avg total	153.9	155.9	151.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	29%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	67% (3)	60% (5)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

Tallinna Kalev

Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2017-18

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	43%
Home	LLLWW	43%
Away	WLLLW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	43%	43%	43%
Points / game	74.1	75.6	72.7
Allowed / game	79.1	77.8	80.5
Point differential	-5.0	-2.2	-7.8
Avg total	153.3	153.4	153.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	21%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	50% (2)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	BC Kalev/Cramo	26	25	1	96%	91.0	67.5	+23.6
2	Tartu Ulikool	26	19	7	73%	83.5	74.6	+8.9
3	Rapla	28	15	13	54%	77.8	76.1	+1.7
4	Parnu	29	13	16	45%	78.0	76.7	+1.3
5	Valga	29	13	16	45%	80.9	82.4	-1.6
6	Tallinna Kalev	28	12	16	43%	74.1	79.1	-5.0
7	Tal Tech	26	6	20	23%	76.5	81.5	-5.0
8	Audentese	14	0	14	0%	59.6	103.4	-43.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Rapla	19	17	17	20	73
Tallinna Kalev	14	21	15	21	71

← all games of the day

Rapla vs Tallinna Kalev Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature