Rapla vs Tallinna Kalev Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2015

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 68-57

16-16 21-17 14-13 17-11

Position#7

Record2-2

FormWWLWW

Points / game71.2

Allowed / game80.0

Rapla 🏆

Tallinna Kalev

Position#10

Record2-2

FormLWWWL

Points / game73.8

Allowed / game73.8

Baltic League

Other2015

Meetings · Rapla v Tallinna Kalev

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tallinna Kalev winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RaplaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tal Tech

72-80

-8

H04/10

Estonia Cup

Rakvere Tarvas

92-86

H10/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valmiera/ORDO

59-90

-31

A13/10

Baltic League

Lietkabelis

84-78

H21/10

Baltic League

Tallinna Kalev

76-97

-21

H24/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Barons Kvartals

#13

72-64

A28/10

Baltic League

Parnu

86-65

+21

A31/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Nevezis

#12

70-88

-18

H04/11

Baltic League

Tal Tech

63-47

+16

A06/11

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

74-63

+11

H14/11

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

23-15

16-17

15-20

18-28

20-30

23-17

29-17

20-22

14-26

12-16

17-24

16-24

20-15

12-25

25-18

27-20

15-32

26-13

12-20

23-32

14-17

33-23

7-14

18-10

24-11

19-15

18-14

25-25

19-31

19-18

13-19

19-20

13-12

14-21

24-4

12-10

19-13

24-10

17-19

14-21

150.6Avg total

74.8Scored

75.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	71.2	80.0	151.2	-8.8	50%
Season at home (2)	77.0	83.0	160.0	-6.0	50%
Season away (2)	65.5	77.0	142.5	-11.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	74.8	75.8	150.6	-1.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	65.4	138.4	+7.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	69.7	83.3	153.0	-13.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	73.4	74.1	147.6	-0.7	44%
vs Weaker (12)	78.1	67.4	145.5	+10.7	83%

This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tallinna KalevLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BC Kalev/Cramo

59-99

-40

H13/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

84-71

+13

H17/10

Estonia Cup

Lietkabelis

67-75

-8

H20/10

Baltic League

Rapla

97-76

+21

A24/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valmiera/ORDO

65-72

-7

A27/10

Baltic League

Tartu Ulikool

76-82

-6

H30/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Nevezis

#12

82-74

H03/11

Baltic League

Valga

104-96

104

H07/11

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

#17

81-74

A10/11

Baltic League

Rakvere Tarvas

72-74

-2

A13/11

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

17-20

20-24

7-22

15-33

23-17

22-20

17-14

22-20

15-26

17-12

19-22

16-15

32-15

13-26

20-12

32-23

11-18

19-22

17-7

18-25

16-18

22-25

18-15

20-24

21-17

17-25

24-9

20-23

21-29

27-22

25-24

31-21

17-18

18-24

27-16

19-16

20-17

20-22

13-22

19-13

158.0Avg total

78.7Scored

79.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	73.8	73.8	147.5	+0.0	50%
Season at home (2)	74.5	74.5	149.0	+0.0	50%
Season away (2)	73.0	73.0	146.0	+0.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	78.7	79.3	158.0	-0.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	80.0	163.0	+3.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	69.4	84.7	154.1	-15.3	22%
vs Similar ◀ (2)	89.5	75.0	164.5	+14.5	100%
vs Weaker (5)	91.0	82.0	173.0	+9.0	100%

This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RaplaTallinna Kalev

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.4	37.9	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	21.6	39.6	-3.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	17.0	35.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	20.2	38.3	-2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.8	34.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.4	20.7	39.1	-2.2	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.9	21.3	39.2	-3.4	11%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.8	17.1	35.9	+1.8	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.6	40.3	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	22.2	40.9	-3.6	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	20.8	39.7	-1.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.5	38.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	17.2	21.4	38.6	-4.2	13%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	26.5	16.0	42.5	+10.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.0	24.6	47.6	-1.6	20%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.9	36.5	+0.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	17.2	37.1	+2.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	18.6	35.7	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.5	37.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	17.4	39.2	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.7	19.3	36.0	-2.7	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.2	17.7	38.9	+3.6	78%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.1	16.9	35.0	+1.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.4	39.8	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.4	22.6	38.1	-7.2	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	22.2	41.7	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	23.6	44.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.0	21.6	39.6	-3.6	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	15.0	25.5	40.5	-10.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.4	80%	-

RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tal Tech

39-32

H04/10

Estonia Cup

Rakvere Tarvas

43-47

-4

H10/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valmiera/ORDO

26-42

-16

A13/10

Baltic League

Lietkabelis

32-40

-8

H21/10

Baltic League

Tallinna Kalev

41-45

-4

H24/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Barons Kvartals

#13

47-40

A28/10

Baltic League

Parnu

43-26

+17

A31/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Nevezis

#12

38-49

-11

H04/11

Baltic League

Tal Tech

27-33

-6

A06/11

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

43-23

+20

H14/11

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

75.6Avg total

37.9Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	37.3	74.3	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.9	38.8	76.8	-0.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.0	35.6	71.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	37.7	75.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	34.2	73.8	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	35.1	40.0	75.1	-4.9	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	39.1	39.0	78.1	+0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (12)	36.9	34.0	70.9	+2.9	50%	-

This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BC Kalev/Cramo

37-44

-7

H13/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

45-37

H17/10

Estonia Cup

Lietkabelis

32-38

-6

H20/10

Baltic League

Rapla

45-41

A24/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valmiera/ORDO

30-40

-10

A27/10

Baltic League

Tartu Ulikool

38-43

-5

H30/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Nevezis

#12

38-42

-4

H03/11

Baltic League

Valga

48-51

-3

H07/11

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

#17

35-42

-7

A10/11

Baltic League

Rakvere Tarvas

40-39

A13/11

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

80.5Avg total

38.8Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	43.0	80.2	-5.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.6	42.6	82.2	-3.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.4	43.4	77.8	-9.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	41.7	80.5	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	43.4	83.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	35.2	43.0	78.1	-7.8	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	41.5	41.5	83.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	44.6	43.8	88.4	+0.8	40%	-

This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	17.9	35.9	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	17.4	35.1	+0.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	16.9	34.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	14.0	29.8	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.0	22.3	40.3	-4.3	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	15.7	15.9	31.6	-0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.7	16.1	35.8	+3.6	58%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	19.5	36.6	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.2	18.4	35.6	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	20.9	37.8	-3.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	16.3	35.0	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.2	38.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	15.5	20.0	35.5	-4.6	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	22.0	10.5	32.5	+11.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.4	20.8	43.2	+1.6	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.2	34.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.6	21.0	37.6	-4.4	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.7	19.2	37.9	-0.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.5	17.3	38.8	+4.2	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	21.8	41.8	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	19.3	38.6	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.3	42.5	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.2	21.1	39.3	-2.9	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	26.0	23.0	49.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.0	17.4	41.4	+6.6	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	36.9	74.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.7	37.6	75.2	+0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.5	36.1	72.6	+0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	38.1	75.0	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	31.2	64.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	34.6	43.3	77.9	-8.8	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	34.3	35.1	69.4	-0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (12)	41.2	33.4	74.6	+7.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	40.1	76.9	-3.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.2	40.1	77.3	-2.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.3	40.1	76.4	-3.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	37.6	77.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	36.6	79.8	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	33.7	41.1	74.8	-7.4	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	48.0	33.5	81.5	+14.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (5)	46.4	38.2	84.6	+8.2	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Rapla wins

Tallinna Kalev wins

Date	Game	Score
24/10/15	Rapla v Tallinna Kalev	76-97
07/03/15	Rapla v Tallinna Kalev	93-81
31/01/15	Rapla v Tallinna Kalev	86-65
14/01/15	Tallinna Kalev v Rapla	63-81
18/10/14	Tallinna Kalev v Rapla	54-68
08/03/14	Rapla v Tallinna Kalev	82-63
30/01/14	Tallinna Kalev v Rapla	75-68
29/11/13	Tallinna Kalev v Rapla	73-69
21/11/13	Rapla v Tallinna Kalev	76-70
09/10/13	Tallinna Kalev v Rapla	88-86 OT

Raplalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/11/15	H	Tartu Ulikool	74-63
06/11/15	A	Tal Tech	63-47
04/11/15	H	Nevezis	70-88
31/10/15	A	Parnu	86-65
28/10/15	A	Barons Kvartals	72-64
24/10/15	H	Tallinna Kalev	76-97
21/10/15	H	Lietkabelis	84-78
13/10/15	A	Valmiera/ORDO	59-90
10/10/15	H	Rakvere Tarvas	92-86
04/10/15	H	Tal Tech	72-80

Tallinna Kalevlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/11/15	A	Rakvere Tarvas	72-74
10/11/15	A	Parnu	81-74
07/11/15	H	Valga	104-96
03/11/15	H	Nevezis	82-74
30/10/15	H	Tartu Ulikool	76-82
27/10/15	A	Valmiera/ORDO	65-72
24/10/15	A	Rapla	97-76
20/10/15	H	Lietkabelis	67-75
17/10/15	H	Rakvere Tarvas	84-71
13/10/15	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	59-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla

Baltic League 2015

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWL	50%
Home	WL	50%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	71.2	77.0	65.5
Allowed / game	80.0	83.0	77.0
Point differential	-8.8	-6.0	-11.5
Avg total	151.2	160.0	142.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Tallinna Kalev

Baltic League 2015

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWW	50%
Home	LW	50%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	73.8	74.5	73.0
Allowed / game	73.8	74.5	73.0
Point differential	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
Avg total	147.5	149.0	146.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valmiera/ORDO	4	4	0	100%	80.2	63.2	+17.0
2	BK Liepaja	4	4	0	100%	85.2	71.8	+13.5
3	Skycop	4	4	0	100%	90.0	79.2	+10.8
4	Lietkabelis	5	4	1	80%	80.8	73.0	+7.8
5	Rakvere Tarvas	4	3	1	75%	75.5	68.0	+7.5
6	Atyrau	4	2	2	50%	80.2	76.0	+4.2
7	Tallinna Kalev	4	2	2	50%	73.8	73.8	+0.0
8	Rapla	4	2	2	50%	71.2	80.0	-8.8
9	Nevezis	5	2	3	40%	76.4	72.0	+4.4
10	Jekabpils	5	2	3	40%	72.6	76.8	-4.2
11	Jurmala	5	1	4	20%	67.4	75.4	-8.0
12	Parnu	3	0	3	0%	74.0	85.0	-11.0
13	Tal Tech	6	0	6	0%	71.5	85.3	-13.8
14	Barons Kvartals	3	0	3	0%	61.3	81.7	-20.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Rapla	16	21	14	17	68
Tallinna Kalev	16	17	13	11	57

← all games of the day

Rapla vs Tallinna Kalev Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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