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Rayos de Hermosillo vs Halcones de Obregon Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 May 2024
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 73-82
15-20 19-12 21-23 18-27
Position#3
Record24-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Position#6
Record17-20
FormWLLLL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game91.0
MexicoCIBACOPACIBACOPA - Quarter-finals· Arena Sonora
Other2024
Meetings · Rayos de Hermosillo v Halcones de Obregon
02 Apr 2025
RAYO75
HALC94
01 Apr 2025
RAYO74
HALC73
05 Jun 2024
RAYO84
HALC72
04 Jun 2024
RAYO87
HALC83
24 May 2024
RAYO73
HALC82
23 May 2024
RAYO99
HALC84
16 Mar 2024
RAYO90
HALC67
15 Mar 2024
RAYO83
HALC79
20 May 2023
RAYO86
HALC82
19 May 2023
RAYO90
HALC87
09 May 2023
RAYO88
HALC83
08 May 2023
RAYO97
HALC105
12 Apr 2023
RAYO80
HALC72
11 Apr 2023
RAYO86
HALC78
13 Jun 2022
RAYO64
HALC72
12 Jun 2022
RAYO79
HALC77
11 Jun 2022
RAYO67
HALC61
21 May 2022
RAYO88
HALC96
20 May 2022
RAYO80
HALC65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rayos de Hermosillo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Halcones de Obregon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rayos de HermosilloMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermosillo
Date
Competition
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
91-75
91
75
+16
89avg 84
A28/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
96-80
96
80
+16
76avg 84
H04/05
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
L
94-96
94
96
-2
90avg 84
H05/05
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
74-65
74
65
+9
73avg 84
H12/05
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
88-71
88
71
+17
93avg 84
H13/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
84-78
84
78
+6
72avg 84
A15/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
94-72
94
72
+22
92avg 84
A16/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
98-88
98
88
+10
98avg 84
H18/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
L
97-104
97
104
-7
90avg 84
A19/05
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
99-84
99
84
+15
100avg 84
H24/05
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
15-22
21-19
26-21
22-20
23-16
21-19
30-25
23-18
28-15
17-27
26-36
20-16
17-21
18-8
19-20
21-19
28-13
20-25
19-14
18-18
25-17
20-25
21-18
27-19
20-18
27-14
20-21
28-16
22-24
29-20
19-28
20-26
14-18
30-35
33-25
22-18
25-16
31-32
21-18
172.8Avg total
91.5Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)89.586.3175.8+3.365%
Season at home (19)87.983.7171.6+4.268%
Season away (18)91.389.0180.3+2.361%
Last 10 (10)91.581.3172.8+10.280%
Last 5 (5)94.485.2179.6+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.889.8172.5-7.050%
vs Similar ◀ (12)88.288.7176.8-0.533%
vs Weaker (14)92.583.5176.0+9.086%
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de ObregonMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormObregon
Date
Competition
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
91-79
91
79
+12
85avg 84
A02/05
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
112-97
112
97
+15
107avg 84
H04/05
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
88-90
88
90
-2
81avg 84
H05/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
L
92-95
92
95
-3
93avg 84
A12/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
103-81
103
81
+22
100avg 84
A13/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
96-93
96
93
+3
92avg 84
H15/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
103-116
103
116
-13
94avg 84
H16/05
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
L
85-103
85
103
-18
69avg 84
A18/05
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
L
100-104
100
104
-4
91avg 84
A19/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
84-99
84
99
-15
72avg 84
A24/05
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
14-18
32-18
14-18
34-28
17-25
27-24
34-20
15-22
24-23
23-22
26-23
24-27
21-17
23-24
24-27
33-23
24-24
28-19
18-15
19-23
19-26
28-25
30-19
22-30
27-23
27-32
27-31
26-31
14-25
19-25
26-22
21-23
33-19
21-31
25-31
18-22
16-25
32-31
18-21
191.1Avg total
95.4Scored
95.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)91.091.0181.9+0.046%
Season at home (18)97.992.3190.3+5.672%
Season away (19)84.489.7174.1-5.321%
Last 10 (10)95.495.7191.1-0.340%
Last 5 (5)93.6103.0196.6-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)90.894.4185.2-3.640%
vs Similar ◀ (13)89.091.8180.8-2.831%
vs Weaker (12)96.390.0186.3+6.358%
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
Rayos de HermosilloHalcones de Obregon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rayos de HermosilloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A28/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H04/05
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H05/05
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H12/05
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H13/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A15/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A16/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H18/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A19/05
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/05
CIBACOPA
81.0Avg total
44.7Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.739.683.3+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.338.282.5+6.165%-
Last 30 away (13)42.841.584.4+1.362%-
Last 10 (10)44.736.381.0+8.480%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.082.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.538.882.2+4.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.142.185.2+1.042%-
vs Weaker (14)44.237.882.0+6.479%-
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de ObregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A02/05
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H04/05
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H05/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A12/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A13/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H15/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H16/05
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A18/05
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A19/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A24/05
CIBACOPA
93.1Avg total
45.2Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.244.387.5-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.745.790.4-0.933%-
Last 30 away (15)41.742.984.7-1.253%-
Last 10 (10)45.247.993.1-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.049.492.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)46.446.092.4+0.460%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.646.487.0-5.831%-
vs Weaker (12)44.841.386.1+3.450%-
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rayos de Hermosillotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rayos de Hermosillo: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.8
55.3%
52.6%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.0
36.1%
36.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws16.912.0
71.0%
72.4%12.0
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Halcones de Obregontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Obregon: 94.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.522.9
51.5%
52.6%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.7
36.1%
36.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws21.016.3
77.6%
72.4%16.3
They take 74.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rayos de Hermosillo
WLWWWWWLWW
Halcones de Obregon
LLLLWWLLWW
#3
League position
#6
+11.9
Net rating
-1.1
110.1
Offensive rating
112.4
98.2
Defensive rating
113.5
54.8%
Effective FG%
52.6%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
16.9%
Turnover %
14.6%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.1%
3-point %
36.1%
72.2%
Assist %
61.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 112.4Defence98.2 · 113.5Shooting54.8% · 52.6%3-point %36.1% · 36.1%Ball care16.9% · 14.6%Off. rebounds27.5% · 27.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Rayos de Hermosillo   ■ Halcones de Obregon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/24HHalcones de Obregon99-84
19/05/24AOstioneros de Guaymas97-104
18/05/24HOstioneros de Guaymas98-88
16/05/24ACaballeros de Culiacan94-72
15/05/24ACaballeros de Culiacan84-78
13/05/24HVenados de Mazatlan88-71
12/05/24HVenados de Mazatlan74-65
05/05/24HFrayles de Guasave94-96
04/05/24HFrayles de Guasave96-80
28/04/24AAngeles CDMX91-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/24ARayos de Hermosillo84-99
19/05/24AAstros100-104
18/05/24AAstros85-103
16/05/24HAngeles CDMX103-116
15/05/24HAngeles CDMX96-93
13/05/24AOstioneros de Guaymas103-81
12/05/24AOstioneros de Guaymas92-95
05/05/24HPioneros de Los Mochis88-90
04/05/24HPioneros de Los Mochis112-97
02/05/24ACaballeros de Culiacan91-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rayos de Hermosillo
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW65%
HomeLWWWW68%
AwayLWWWL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %65%68%61%
Points / game89.587.991.3
Allowed / game86.383.789.0
Point differential+3.3+4.2+2.3
Avg total175.8171.6180.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%37%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)50% (6)67% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Halcones de Obregon
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL46%
HomeWWLWL72%
AwayLWLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %46%72%21%
Points / game91.097.984.4
Allowed / game91.092.389.7
Point differential+0.0+5.6-5.3
Avg total181.9190.3174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%28%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)67% (6)17% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zonkeys de Tijuana3829976%91.383.8+7.5
2 Astros38281074%96.487.3+9.2
3 Rayos de Hermosillo37241365%89.586.3+3.3
4 Angeles CDMX38231561%92.891.8+1.1
5 Venados de Mazatlan38182047%89.390.3-1.0
6 Halcones de Obregon37172046%91.091.0+0.0
7 Ostioneros de Guaymas38162242%90.993.0-2.2
8 Pioneros de Los Mochis38152339%88.892.6-3.7
9 Caballeros de Culiacan3692725%85.992.6-6.7
10 Frayles de Guasave3682822%92.7100.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rayos de Hermosillo1519211873
Halcones de Obregon2012232782
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