PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Real Esteli vs Paisas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:40
Final 79-70
20-17 22-12 19-20 18-21
Position#5
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game68.0
vs
Position#7
Record0-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game102.0
EuropeChampions League Americas· Polideportivo Alexis Argüello
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Esteli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paisas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real EsteliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsteli
Date
Competition
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
80-70
80
70
+10
no box
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
no box
H19/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
L
63-71
63
71
-8
50avg 70
A21/01
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
79-104
79
104
-25
77avg 70
H22/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
89-84
89
84
+5
84avg 70
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
75-100
75
100
-25
70avg 70
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
68-98
68
98
-30
60avg 70
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
95-94
95
94
+1
92avg 70
A10/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
69-99
69
99
-30
no box
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
87-68
87
68
+19
57avg 70
H17/01
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
22-15
16-20
27-17
19-16
29-26
20-27
18-17
18-21
16-16
22-14
7-20
22-33
21-25
16-14
20-32
25-14
19-27
22-19
23-24
20-26
25-23
21-25
9-26
20-20
19-22
20-34
9-22
25-24
26-26
22-20
22-24
21-28
25-23
11-21
12-27
29-9
26-27
18-16
14-16
168.2Avg total
80.2Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.068.0155.0+19.0100%
Season at home (1)87.068.0155.0+19.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.288.0168.2-7.850%
Last 5 (5)78.891.8170.6-13.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.990.7171.6-9.831%
vs Similar (7)87.179.9167.0+7.386%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)92.183.7175.9+8.471%
This opponent (Paisas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaisasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaisas
Date
Competition
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
69-72
69
72
-3
62avg 66
H12/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
L
75-106
75
106
-31
66avg 66
A16/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
L
79-94
79
94
-15
71avg 66
A16/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
85-55
85
55
+30
92avg 66
A20/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
109-96
109
96
+13
110avg 66
A21/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
87-86
87
86
+1
74avg 66
H25/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
88avg 66
H25/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
67avg 66
H28/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
100-88
100
88
+12
100avg 66
H29/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#8
L
68-102
68
102
-34
48avg 66
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
8-27
23-18
13-12
21-19
21-30
16-28
17-29
22-24
21-17
25-29
11-24
19-17
32-14
13-14
21-10
23-24
29-28
30-19
27-25
24-23
32-16
17-26
14-21
33-17
13-27
24-17
24-26
18-22
17-21
13-22
29-23
30-20
26-20
27-21
17-27
18-28
17-23
16-28
17-23
171.7Avg total
84.3Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.0102.0170.0-34.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)68.0102.0170.0-34.00%
Last 10 (10)84.387.4171.7-3.150%
Last 5 (5)85.290.2175.4-5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.680.3151.9-8.822%
vs Similar (12)76.382.6158.9-6.242%
vs Weaker (4)97.271.0168.2+26.2100%
This opponent (Real Esteli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: -3.0-3.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: -3.0-3.0
Real EsteliPaisas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real EsteliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H19/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A21/01
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H22/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A10/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H17/01
Champions League Americas
88.1Avg total
44.2Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.144.586.6-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.943.786.6-0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)41.145.486.5-4.443%-
Last 10 (10)44.243.988.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)47.245.692.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.246.887.1-6.631%-
vs Similar (7)46.340.987.1+5.486%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.042.984.9-0.943%-
This opponent (Paisas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaisasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H12/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A16/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A16/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A20/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A21/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H25/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H25/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H28/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H29/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#8
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A18/01
Champions League Americas
88.1Avg total
44.9Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)39.439.578.9-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.638.578.1+1.150%-
Last 30 away (13)39.240.579.7-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)44.943.288.1+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.643.489.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.838.972.7-5.111%-
vs Similar (12)41.040.781.7+0.350%-
vs Weaker (4)47.237.584.8+9.875%-
This opponent (Real Esteli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Estelitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Esteli: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.8
53.2%
49.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.46.7
28.6%
33.9%20.1
🏀 Free throws22.715.5
68.3%
71.9%15.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paisastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paisas: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.5
53.0%
49.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.1
32.8%
33.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.011.6
68.2%
71.9%11.6
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Esteli
WLWLLWLLWW
Paisas
LWLWWWWLLL
#5
League position
#7
-9.8
Net rating
-0.3
99.7
Offensive rating
106.8
109.5
Defensive rating
107.1
49.5%
Effective FG%
51.5%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.3%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.6%
3-point %
32.8%
64.2%
Assist %
62.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 106.8Defence109.5 · 107.1Shooting49.5% · 51.5%3-point %28.6% · 32.8%Ball care17.6% · 18.3%Off. rebounds24.5% · 33.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Real Esteli   ■ Paisas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Real Esteli wins
0
Paisas wins
No previous meetings.
Real Estelilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25HToros del Valle87-68
12/03/24AQuimsa69-99
10/03/24AQuimsa95-94
07/03/24HQuimsa68-98
10/02/24AHalcones de Xalapa75-100
09/02/24AGladiadores89-84
22/01/24HHalcones de Xalapa79-104
21/01/24AGladiadores63-71
19/12/23HGladiadores97-92 OT
17/12/23HHalcones de Xalapa80-70
Paisaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25AToros del Valle68-102
29/11/24HCaribbean Storm Islands100-88
28/11/24HCaribbean Storm Islands77-88
25/11/24HPiratas de Bogota94-87
25/11/24HPiratas de Bogota87-86
21/11/24ASabios de Manizales109-96
20/11/24ASabios de Manizales85-55
16/11/24AToros del Valle79-94
16/11/24AToros del Valle75-106
12/11/24HCimarrones del Choco69-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Esteli
Champions League Americas 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game87.087.0-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential+19.0+19.0-
Avg total155.0155.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Paisas
Champions League Americas 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game68.0-68.0
Allowed / game102.0-102.0
Point differential-34.0--34.0
Avg total170.0-170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo440100%90.263.0+27.2
2 Real Esteli110100%87.068.0+19.0
3 Franca440100%85.873.5+12.2
4 Minas440100%80.569.8+10.8
5 Toros del Valle21150%85.077.5+7.5
6 Boca Juniors42250%76.275.0+1.2
7 Instituto de Cordoba42250%79.279.2+0.0
8 Quimsa41325%72.875.5-2.8
9 Bigua41325%68.876.8-8.0
10 Leones Quilpue4040%70.082.2-12.2
11 Toros del Chiriqui4040%64.092.5-28.5
12 Paisas1010%68.0102.0-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Esteli2022191879
Paisas1712202170
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.