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Real Esteli vs Toros del Valle Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:40
Final 87-68
29-9 26-27 18-16 14-16
Position#5
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#8
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeChampions League Americas· Polideportivo Alexis Argüello
Other2024-25
Meetings · Real Esteli v Toros del Valle
07 Feb 2025
REAL85
TORO81
17 Jan 2025
REAL87
TORO68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Esteli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toros del Valle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real EsteliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsteli
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
L
67-103
67
103
-36
no box
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
80-70
80
70
+10
no box
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
no box
H19/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
L
63-71
63
71
-8
50avg 72
A21/01
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
79-104
79
104
-25
77avg 72
H22/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
89-84
89
84
+5
84avg 72
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
75-100
75
100
-25
70avg 72
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
68-98
68
98
-30
60avg 72
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
95-94
95
94
+1
92avg 72
A10/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
69-99
69
99
-30
no box
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-31
14-26
22-29
18-17
15-18
22-15
16-20
27-17
19-16
29-26
20-27
18-17
18-21
16-16
22-14
7-20
22-33
21-25
16-14
20-32
25-14
19-27
22-19
23-24
20-26
25-23
21-25
9-26
20-20
19-22
20-34
9-22
25-24
26-26
22-20
22-24
21-28
25-23
11-21
12-27
169.7Avg total
78.2Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.291.5169.7-13.340%
Last 5 (5)79.295.0174.2-15.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.990.7171.6-9.831%
vs Similar ◀ (7)84.184.1168.3+0.071%
vs Weaker (7)92.183.7175.9+8.471%
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros del ValleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValle
Date
Competition
Paisas
#6
W
94-79
94
79
+15
86avg 78
H16/11
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
112-108
112
108
+4
109avg 78
H19/11
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
90-94
90
94
-4
94avg 78
H20/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
88-117
88
117
-29
73avg 78
A30/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
87-90
87
90
-3
76avg 78
A01/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
76-90
76
90
-14
64avg 78
A03/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
97-71
97
71
+26
95avg 78
A04/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
82-84
82
84
-2
75avg 78
H07/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
85-66
85
66
+19
79avg 78
H08/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
55avg 78
H09/12
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
17-21
29-25
24-11
27-37
28-27
32-23
25-21
21-22
27-17
24-33
18-22
23-26
15-29
21-35
29-27
31-23
27-31
18-13
11-23
27-22
14-17
21-20
14-31
27-17
19-18
30-17
21-19
20-27
21-13
29-20
12-24
16-20
17-17
24-13
28-16
19-17
21-32
13-23
17-16
176.8Avg total
88.1Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.188.7176.8-0.640%
Last 5 (5)82.079.8161.8+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.893.2172.0-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (14)85.078.1163.1+6.957%
vs Weaker (12)95.082.6177.6+12.467%
This opponent (Real Esteli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
Real EsteliToros del Valle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real EsteliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
L
27-57
27
57
-30
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H19/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A21/01
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H22/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A10/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A12/03
Champions League Americas
87.4Avg total
41.4Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.245.086.2-3.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.144.286.3-2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.345.886.1-5.540%-
Last 10 (10)41.446.087.4-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)45.046.691.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.246.887.1-6.631%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.743.085.7-0.371%-
vs Weaker (7)42.042.984.9-0.943%-
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros del ValleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paisas
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H16/11
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H19/11
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H20/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A30/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A01/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A03/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A04/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H07/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H08/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H09/12
LBP
89.6Avg total
44.1Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.641.286.8+4.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.544.190.6+2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)44.838.383.1+6.567%-
Last 10 (10)44.145.589.6-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.080.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.848.294.0-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.639.180.8+2.550%-
vs Weaker (12)50.241.291.5+9.067%-
This opponent (Real Esteli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Estelitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Esteli: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.8
53.1%
49.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.2
27.2%
33.9%18.7
🏀 Free throws23.916.1
67.4%
71.9%16.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toros del Valletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros del Valle: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.5
56.1%
49.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.1
35.4%
33.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.512.2
65.9%
71.9%12.2
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Esteli
LWLLWLLWWL
Toros del Valle
LWLWLLLLWW
#5
League position
#8
-13.9
Net rating
-1.1
98.7
Offensive rating
107.9
112.5
Defensive rating
109.0
48.7%
Effective FG%
54.9%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
17.7%
Turnover %
18.9%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.27
27.2%
3-point %
35.4%
63.5%
Assist %
53.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 107.9Defence112.5 · 109.0Shooting48.7% · 54.9%3-point %27.2% · 35.4%Ball care17.7% · 18.9%Off. rebounds24.6% · 28.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Real Esteli   ■ Toros del Valle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Real Esteli wins
0
Toros del Valle wins
No previous meetings.
Real Estelilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/24AQuimsa69-99
10/03/24AQuimsa95-94
07/03/24HQuimsa68-98
10/02/24AHalcones de Xalapa75-100
09/02/24AGladiadores89-84
22/01/24HHalcones de Xalapa79-104
21/01/24AGladiadores63-71
19/12/23HGladiadores97-92 OT
17/12/23HHalcones de Xalapa80-70
11/03/23AQuimsa67-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/24HCaribbean Storm Islands70-88
08/12/24HCaribbean Storm Islands85-66
07/12/24HCaribbean Storm Islands82-84
04/12/24ACaribbean Storm Islands97-71
03/12/24ACaribbean Storm Islands76-90
01/12/24AMotilones del Norte87-90
30/11/24AMotilones del Norte88-117
20/11/24HCimarrones del Choco90-94
19/11/24HCimarrones del Choco112-108
16/11/24HPaisas94-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Esteli
Champions League Americas 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Toros del Valle
Champions League Americas 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo440100%90.263.0+27.2
2 Franca440100%85.873.5+12.2
3 Minas440100%80.569.8+10.8
4 Boca Juniors42250%76.275.0+1.2
5 Instituto de Cordoba42250%79.279.2+0.0
6 Quimsa41325%72.875.5-2.8
7 Bigua41325%68.876.8-8.0
8 Leones Quilpue4040%70.082.2-12.2
9 Toros del Chiriqui4040%64.092.5-28.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Esteli2926181487
Toros del Valle927161668
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