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Real Madrid vs Galatasaray Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 90-81
19-22 26-25 21-17 24-17
Position#2
Record3-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game82.0
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Galatasaray
Position#12
Record0-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game98.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 5
European cup2016
Meetings · Real Madrid v Galatasaray
03 Nov 2016
MAD90
GAL81
08 Jan 2015
MAD93
GAL78
10 Jan 2014
MAD89
GAL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Galatasaray winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
93-99
93
99
-6
H23/09
Supercopa ACB
Unicaja
#6
W
101-90
101
90
+11
H30/09
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
94-75
94
75
+19
A06/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
83-65
83
65
+18
H12/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H16/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
89-82
89
82
+7
A20/10
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#11
W
96-88
96
88
+8
A23/10
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
87-91
87
91
-4
H25/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
101-90
101
90
+11
A27/10
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#15
W
94-68
94
68
+26
H30/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
22-21
22-26
23-26
26-24
31-26
14-23
30-17
23-17
19-19
34-18
18-21
24-17
18-23
20-13
21-12
22-19
20-17
26-28
25-22
20-16
26-17
16-24
27-25
22-17
15-25
33-26
26-20
19-32
24-22
23-15
21-22
26-20
26-21
23-25
26-24
21-21
16-16
25-11
32-20
176.5Avg total
93.1Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.082.0172.0+8.075%
Season at home (2)85.078.0163.0+7.050%
Season away (2)95.086.0181.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)93.183.4176.5+9.780%
Last 5 (5)93.483.8177.2+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.587.5158.0-17.00%
vs Similar (7)91.379.1170.4+12.186%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)95.282.6177.8+12.685%
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalatasarayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#14
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A22/04
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#14
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H27/04
Eurocup
Best Balikesir
#15
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H09/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
84-109
84
109
-25
H13/10
Euroleague
Tofas
#9
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H21/10
Euroleague
Banvit
#5
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H23/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
92-98
92
98
-6
A26/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#3
L
87-103
87
103
-16
H28/10
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-7
16-16
21-20
17-23
27-16
16-19
18-19
17-13
23-22
19-17
18-14
21-19
18-27
27-30
26-24
13-28
24-15
22-23
25-21
11-21
30-17
17-30
20-22
16-16
19-13
14-23
19-21
22-26
24-18
23-26
18-25
27-29
19-22
22-26
23-22
23-33
14-19
23-22
21-15
21-16
163.7Avg total
80.2Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.598.8185.2-12.20%
Season at home (3)84.799.0183.7-14.30%
Season away (1)92.098.0190.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)80.283.5163.7-3.340%
Last 5 (5)83.088.2171.2-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)84.799.0183.7-14.30%
vs Similar (8)81.879.2161.0+2.550%
vs Weaker (18)81.874.0155.8+7.861%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -3.6-3.6
Real MadridGalatasaray
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H23/09
Supercopa ACB
Unicaja
#6
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H30/09
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A06/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H12/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H16/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A20/10
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A23/10
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H25/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A27/10
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H30/10
ACB
86.2Avg total
44.6Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.240.685.8+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.439.485.8+6.971%-
Last 30 away (13)43.742.185.8+1.669%-
Last 10 (10)44.641.686.2+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.484.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)28.042.070.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (7)45.442.187.6+3.371%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.739.586.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalatasarayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#14
W
24-23
24
23
+1
A22/04
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#14
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H27/04
Eurocup
Best Balikesir
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H13/10
Euroleague
Tofas
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#7
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H21/10
Euroleague
Banvit
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H23/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A26/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H28/10
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.3Avg total
40.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.280.9+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.839.483.2+4.362%-
Last 30 away (14)39.438.978.3+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.881.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.284.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)44.350.795.0-6.30%-
vs Similar (8)40.839.980.6+0.950%-
vs Weaker (18)42.137.179.1+5.072%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.5 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.223.2
56.4%
50.7%46.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.5
32.7%
37.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.017.0
77.3%
75.6%17.0
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Galatasaraytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galatasaray: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.5 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.8
54.9%
50.7%39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.0
36.7%
37.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.216.5
74.2%
75.6%16.5
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWLWWWWWWL
Galatasaray
WLLLLWLWWL
#2
League position
#12
+10.4
Net rating
-15.4
116.0
Offensive rating
112.5
105.6
Defensive rating
127.8
53.5%
Effective FG%
54.9%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
62.2%
14.2%
Turnover %
16.5%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.7%
3-point %
36.7%
55.1%
Assist %
65.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 112.5Defence105.6 · 127.8Shooting53.5% · 54.9%3-point %32.7% · 36.7%Ball care14.2% · 16.5%Off. rebounds32.3% · 28.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Galatasaray
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Real Madrid wins
0
Galatasaray wins
DateGameScore
06/03/15Galatasaray v Real Madrid71-107
08/01/15Real Madrid v Galatasaray93-78
07/03/14Galatasaray v Real Madrid74-85
10/01/14Real Madrid v Galatasaray89-84
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/16HTecnyconta Zaragoza94-68
27/10/16AOlimpia Milano101-90
25/10/16HBaskonia87-91
23/10/16AEstudiantes96-88
20/10/16AMaccabi Tel Aviv89-82
16/10/16HMurcia93-86
12/10/16HOlympiacos83-65
06/10/16AValencia94-75
30/09/16HUnicaja101-90
23/09/16HBarcelona93-99
Galatasaraylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/16AGaziantep79-72
28/10/16HFenerbahce87-103
26/10/16AMaccabi Tel Aviv92-98
23/10/16HBanvit74-83
21/10/16HCrvena zvezda83-85
16/10/16ATofas82-80
13/10/16HCSKA Moscow84-109
09/10/16HBest Balikesir81-72
27/04/16HStrasbourg78-67
22/04/16AStrasbourg62-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game90.085.095.0
Allowed / game82.078.086.0
Point differential+8.0+7.0+9.0
Avg total172.0163.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Galatasaray
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game86.584.792.0
Allowed / game98.899.098.0
Point differential-12.2-14.3-6.0
Avg total185.2183.7190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow550100%92.480.6+11.8
2 Fenerbahce54180%79.674.8+4.8
3 Real Madrid43175%90.082.0+8.0
4 Panathinaikos43175%78.874.8+4.0
5 Olympiacos53260%83.280.2+3.0
6 Barcelona53260%72.671.0+1.6
7 Darussafaka42250%81.580.5+1.0
8 Crvena zvezda42250%72.572.8-0.2
9 Baskonia42250%84.886.0-1.2
10 Bamberg52340%83.683.4+0.2
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv52340%86.686.6+0.0
12 Olimpia Milano52340%90.695.0-4.4
13 Anadolu Efes41325%80.286.8-6.5
14 Zalgiris Kaunas41325%74.081.5-7.5
15 Unics Kazan51420%79.484.6-5.2
16 Galatasaray4040%86.598.8-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1926212490
Galatasaray2225171781
← all games of the day
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