Estudiantes vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Oct 2016

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 88-96

17-22 25-15 26-33 20-26

Position#11

Record2-2

FormWWLWW

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game78.0

Estudiantes

Real Madrid 🏆

Position#1

Record3-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game96.0

Allowed / game83.7

ACBRound 5

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Estudiantes v Real Madrid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Real Madrid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Betis

#16

82-95

-13

H01/10

ACB

Atenas

#16

79-73

H03/10

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

58-71

-13

H05/10

Liga A

Bilbao

#10

74-79

-5

A07/10

ACB

San Martin

89-78

+11

H08/10

Liga A

Obradoiro CAB

#14

73-64

A09/10

ACB

Instituto de Cordoba

84-68

+16

A11/10

Liga A

Atenas

#16

65-73

-8

A13/10

Liga A

Fuenlabrada

#12

86-74

+12

H16/10

ACB

Olimpico

105-84

105

+21

H21/10

Liga A

11-22

22-26

21-27

28-20

21-13

17-16

18-19

23-25

15-19

9-15

18-17

16-20

25-22

12-20

23-21

14-16

21-18

17-20

31-19

20-21

9-13

16-14

19-17

29-20

25-17

14-18

18-17

27-16

15-16

15-20

19-17

16-20

23-25

14-11

27-25

22-13

28-19

19-20

33-19

25-26

155.4Avg total

79.5Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	78.8	78.0	156.8	+0.8	50%
Season at home (2)	84.0	84.5	168.5	-0.5	50%
Season away (2)	73.5	71.5	145.0	+2.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	75.9	155.4	+3.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	72.6	155.2	+10.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	77.9	81.0	158.9	-3.1	38%
vs Similar (14)	77.2	80.1	157.3	-2.9	57%
vs Weaker (8)	75.1	76.4	151.5	-1.2	38%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

99-100

100

-1

A15/06

ACB

Barcelona

90-70

+20

A17/06

ACB

Barcelona

91-74

+17

H20/06

ACB

Barcelona

91-84

H22/06

ACB

Barcelona

93-99

-6

H23/09

Supercopa ACB

Unicaja

101-90

101

+11

H30/09

ACB

Valencia

94-75

+19

A06/10

ACB

Olympiacos

83-65

+18

H12/10

Euroleague

Murcia

93-86

H16/10

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#14

89-82

A20/10

Euroleague

22-22

26-25

27-33

24-20

28-12

16-20

22-26

24-12

29-21

25-20

23-17

14-16

19-26

26-21

27-18

19-19

26-26

22-21

22-26

23-26

26-24

31-26

14-23

30-17

23-17

19-19

34-18

18-21

24-17

18-23

20-13

21-12

22-19

20-17

26-28

25-22

20-16

26-17

16-24

27-25

174.9Avg total

92.4Scored

82.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	96.0	83.7	179.7	+12.3	100%
Season at home (2)	97.0	88.0	185.0	+9.0	100%
Season away (1)	94.0	75.0	169.0	+19.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	92.4	82.5	174.9	+9.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	92.0	79.6	171.6	+12.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	70.0	83.3	153.3	-13.3	0%
vs Similar (8)	90.2	78.0	168.2	+12.2	88%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	96.2	83.0	179.2	+13.2	89%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.8	37.5	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	21.6	39.9	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.4	37.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.2	20.6	37.9	-3.4	12%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.0	38%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.1	42.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.5	19.7	43.2	+3.8	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	20.0	43.9	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.6	41.6	+4.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	12.7	20.0	32.7	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	24.4	21.1	45.5	+3.2	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	23.2	19.3	42.6	+3.9	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	17.7	34.8	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	17.0	34.9	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.2	18.5	34.7	-2.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.5	18.0	33.5	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	16.6	32.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.1	16.2	33.4	+0.9	75%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.6	18.9	37.6	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	14.2	17.1	31.4	-2.9	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	20.6	43.9	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.5	19.9	44.4	+4.6	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.7	21.5	43.2	+0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	20.9	43.8	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.4	43.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.7	21.7	37.3	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.1	21.9	44.0	+0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	25.2	19.8	44.9	+5.4	78%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Betis

#16

33-48

-15

H01/10

ACB

Atenas

#16

38-29

H03/10

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

24-34

-10

H05/10

Liga A

Bilbao

#10

37-42

-5

A07/10

ACB

San Martin

38-38

H08/10

Liga A

Obradoiro CAB

#14

25-27

-2

A09/10

ACB

Instituto de Cordoba

39-35

A11/10

Liga A

Atenas

#16

30-36

-6

A13/10

Liga A

Fuenlabrada

#12

37-36

H16/10

ACB

Olimpico

47-39

H21/10

Liga A

71.2Avg total

34.8Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	37.9	73.5	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.7	35.8	72.5	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.5	40.1	74.6	-5.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.8	36.4	71.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	34.6	70.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	34.4	36.9	71.2	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.4	39.3	76.6	-1.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (8)	33.8	36.6	70.4	-2.9	50%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

48-47

A15/06

ACB

Barcelona

44-32

+12

A17/06

ACB

Barcelona

54-41

+13

H20/06

ACB

Barcelona

45-47

-2

H22/06

ACB

Barcelona

48-47

H23/09

Supercopa ACB

Unicaja

57-50

H30/09

ACB

Valencia

42-36

A06/10

ACB

Olympiacos

42-40

H12/10

Euroleague

Murcia

42-36

H16/10

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#14

46-33

+13

A20/10

Euroleague

87.7Avg total

46.8Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.9	40.7	86.5	+5.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	48.0	39.6	87.6	+8.4	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.1	42.1	85.2	+1.0	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.8	40.9	87.7	+5.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	39.0	84.8	+6.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	28.3	41.7	70.0	-13.3	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	46.5	43.0	89.5	+3.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	48.4	39.1	87.5	+9.3	89%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	20.7	42.3	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	19.3	40.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.8	42.5	+2.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.0	42.2	+4.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	21.5	20.1	41.6	+1.4	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.6	19.9	41.4	+1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.1	20.1	40.2	+0.0	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.5	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	22.6	45.7	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.3	19.3	37.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.1	19.1	42.2	+4.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.3	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.1	40.9	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	22.5	44.9	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	19.7	36.9	-2.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.7	41.7	+2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	19.0	42.8	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	21.2	22.8	44.0	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.3	20.9	39.2	-2.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.2	19.6	40.9	+1.6	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.0	20.3	44.4	+3.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.8	21.1	45.9	+3.8	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.0	19.4	42.4	+3.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.0	41.5	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	19.4	43.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.3	22.3	45.7	+1.0	67%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.6	15.9	36.5	+4.8	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	25.7	21.7	47.4	+4.1	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	41.1	82.1	-0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.0	43.2	87.2	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	38.9	77.0	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	39.5	84.2	+5.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	38.0	85.0	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	42.8	42.9	85.6	-0.1	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.9	40.8	80.6	-0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (8)	41.4	39.8	81.1	+1.6	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.3	40.9	86.2	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	46.3	41.0	87.3	+5.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.9	40.8	84.8	+3.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	41.6	87.2	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	40.6	86.8	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.7	41.7	83.3	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.8	35.0	78.8	+8.8	88%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	46.6	42.8	89.4	+3.7	61%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.8 points a game

42%

38%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	20.5	50.6%	50.7%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	10.0	35.1%	41.4%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	17.5	14.0	80.0%	74.8%	14.0

They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	19.5	49.4%	50.7%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	7.5	33.3%	41.4%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	15.5	11.0	71.0%	74.8%	11.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	19.5	49.4%	50.7%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	7.5	33.3%	41.4%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	15.5	11.0	71.0%	74.8%	11.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
07/02/16	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	97-79
08/11/15	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	75-80
29/03/15	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	92-66
07/12/14	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	89-84
13/04/14	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	64-71
24/11/13	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	72-57
05/05/13	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	93-82
09/12/12	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	74-87
22/04/12	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	85-80
11/12/11	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	90-85

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/10/16	H	Olimpico	105-84
16/10/16	H	Fuenlabrada	86-74
13/10/16	A	Atenas	65-73
11/10/16	A	Instituto de Cordoba	84-68
09/10/16	A	Obradoiro CAB	73-64
08/10/16	H	San Martin	89-78
07/10/16	A	Bilbao	74-79
05/10/16	H	Instituto de Cordoba	58-71
03/10/16	H	Atenas	79-73
01/10/16	H	Real Betis	82-95

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/10/16	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	89-82
16/10/16	H	Murcia	93-86
12/10/16	H	Olympiacos	83-65
06/10/16	A	Valencia	94-75
30/09/16	H	Unicaja	101-90
23/09/16	H	Barcelona	93-99
22/06/16	H	Barcelona	91-84
20/06/16	H	Barcelona	91-74
17/06/16	A	Barcelona	90-70
15/06/16	A	Barcelona	99-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

ACB 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWW	50%
Home	LW	50%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	78.8	84.0	73.5
Allowed / game	78.0	84.5	71.5
Point differential	+0.8	-0.5	+2.0
Avg total	156.8	168.5	145.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Real Madrid

ACB 2016-17

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	96.0	97.0	94.0
Allowed / game	83.7	88.0	75.0
Point differential	+12.3	+9.0	+19.0
Avg total	179.7	185.0	169.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	50%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	100%	96.0	83.7	+12.3
2	Tenerife	5	4	1	80%	81.6	71.2	+10.4
3	Baskonia	5	4	1	80%	91.2	81.8	+9.4
4	Bilbao	5	4	1	80%	83.2	77.4	+5.8
5	Barcelona	4	3	1	75%	78.2	73.0	+5.2
6	Valencia	4	3	1	75%	82.8	78.0	+4.8
7	MoraBanc Andorra	4	3	1	75%	87.8	84.5	+3.2
8	Unicaja	5	3	2	60%	84.2	83.2	+1.0
9	Estudiantes	4	2	2	50%	78.8	78.0	+0.8
10	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	5	2	3	40%	79.2	78.0	+1.2
11	Murcia	5	2	3	40%	78.0	80.2	-2.2
12	Real Betis	5	2	3	40%	77.8	84.4	-6.6
13	Manresa	4	1	3	25%	67.2	74.5	-7.2
14	Gran Canaria	5	1	4	20%	86.8	84.4	+2.4
15	Obradoiro CAB	5	1	4	20%	70.4	81.0	-10.6
16	Fuenlabrada	5	1	4	20%	76.2	89.8	-13.6
17	Joventut Badalona	5	0	5	0%	71.8	81.8	-10.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	17	25	26	20	88
Real Madrid	22	15	33	26	96

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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