Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Oct 2016

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 75-94

17-23 19-19 18-34 21-18

Position#2

Record1-0

FormLLWLW

Points / game80.0

Allowed / game68.0

Valencia

Real Madrid 🏆

Position#1

Record1-0

FormWWWLW

Points / game101.0

Allowed / game90.0

ACBRound 2

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Valencia v Real Madrid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Real Madrid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#12

78-75

A11/05

ACB

Unicaja

65-77

-12

A14/05

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

81-67

+14

H22/05

ACB

Unicaja

79-75

H27/05

ACB

Unicaja

88-59

+29

A29/05

ACB

Real Madrid

57-82

-25

A02/06

ACB

Real Madrid

88-97

-9

A04/06

ACB

Real Madrid

87-86 OT

H07/06

ACB

Real Madrid

80-82

-2

H09/06

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#15

80-68

+12

A02/10

ACB

19-17

24-21

20-19

15-18

20-19

17-23

15-20

13-15

11-16

27-16

21-21

22-14

21-25

14-12

21-12

23-26

20-12

14-17

33-21

21-9

19-14

7-17

16-16

15-35

10-19

29-22

24-21

25-35

25-19

22-26

17-11

10-18

18-25

20-19

15-9

27-29

24-18

18-25

15-9

23-16

155.1Avg total

78.3Scored

76.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	80.0	68.0	148.0	+12.0	100%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	80.0	68.0	148.0	+12.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	78.3	76.8	155.1	+1.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	83.0	161.4	-4.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	81.2	88.4	169.6	-7.2	20%
vs Similar ◀ (3)	80.7	78.3	159.0	+2.3	67%
vs Weaker (21)	80.0	72.6	152.7	+7.4	67%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valencia

82-57

+25

H02/06

ACB

Valencia

97-88

H04/06

ACB

Valencia

86-87 OT

-1

A07/06

ACB

Valencia

82-80

A09/06

ACB

Barcelona

99-100

100

-1

A15/06

ACB

Barcelona

90-70

+20

A17/06

ACB

Barcelona

91-74

+17

H20/06

ACB

Barcelona

91-84

H22/06

ACB

Barcelona

93-99

-6

H23/09

Supercopa ACB

Unicaja

101-90

101

+11

H30/09

ACB

14-19

17-7

16-16

35-15

19-10

22-29

21-24

35-25

19-25

26-22

11-17

18-10

25-18

19-20

9-15

29-27

22-22

26-25

27-33

24-20

28-12

16-20

22-26

24-12

29-21

25-20

23-17

14-16

19-26

26-21

27-18

19-19

26-26

22-21

22-26

23-26

26-24

31-26

14-23

30-17

174.1Avg total

91.2Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	101.0	90.0	191.0	+11.0	100%
Season at home (1)	101.0	90.0	191.0	+11.0	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	91.2	82.9	174.1	+8.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	93.2	83.4	176.6	+9.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	70.0	83.3	153.3	-13.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	89.6	84.0	173.6	+5.6	62%
vs Weaker (18)	96.1	83.5	179.6	+12.6	83%

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValenciaReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	17.9	38.2	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	18.9	40.4	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	17.0	36.3	+2.3	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.4	37.1	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	19.7	19.7	39.3	+0.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.2	17.2	37.4	+3.0	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.3	42.6	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	19.8	43.1	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	20.9	42.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	20.3	43.0	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	21.8	47.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	12.7	20.0	32.7	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	23.2	21.1	44.4	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	23.3	19.7	43.0	+3.7	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.4	38.9	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	17.8	38.3	+2.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	16.7	16.3	33.0	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.7	19.2	38.9	+0.5	52%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	21.5	44.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.4	19.6	45.0	+5.8	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	23.6	44.8	-2.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	21.1	44.1	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	21.6	45.6	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.7	21.7	37.3	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	22.6	23.5	46.1	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (18)	25.1	20.6	45.7	+4.5	72%	-

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#12

43-38

A11/05

ACB

Unicaja

37-42

-5

A14/05

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

38-32

H22/05

ACB

Unicaja

35-37

-2

H27/05

ACB

Unicaja

34-29

A29/05

ACB

Real Madrid

26-31

-5

A02/06

ACB

Real Madrid

39-41

-2

A04/06

ACB

Real Madrid

47-45

H07/06

ACB

Real Madrid

38-44

-6

H09/06

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#15

42-43

-1

A02/10

ACB

76.1Avg total

37.9Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	37.3	77.1	+2.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	36.7	78.6	+5.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	37.8	75.7	+0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	38.2	76.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	40.8	79.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	40.8	41.0	81.8	-0.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	36.3	36.0	72.3	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (21)	39.9	36.4	76.3	+3.5	48%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valencia

31-26

H02/06

ACB

Valencia

41-39

H04/06

ACB

Valencia

45-47

-2

A07/06

ACB

Valencia

44-38

A09/06

ACB

Barcelona

48-47

A15/06

ACB

Barcelona

44-32

+12

A17/06

ACB

Barcelona

54-41

+13

H20/06

ACB

Barcelona

45-47

-2

H22/06

ACB

Barcelona

48-47

H23/09

Supercopa ACB

Unicaja

57-50

H30/09

ACB

87.1Avg total

45.7Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.7	41.8	87.5	+3.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	48.6	39.4	88.1	+9.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.4	44.5	86.9	-2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.7	41.4	87.1	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.6	43.4	93.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	28.3	41.7	70.0	-13.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	45.9	44.6	90.5	+1.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (18)	48.4	40.3	88.7	+8.2	83%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	17.8	38.5	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	16.4	36.0	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	19.1	40.7	+2.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	15.9	35.6	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	13.2	30.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.4	16.6	36.0	+2.8	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	16.0	17.7	33.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (21)	21.5	18.3	39.8	+3.2	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.0	42.1	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	20.4	42.4	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	21.7	41.9	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.5	40.7	-2.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.3	19.3	37.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.6	21.6	43.2	+0.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.3	20.7	42.1	+0.6	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.3	39.3	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	20.9	38.9	-2.8	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	19.9	39.6	-0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.5	40.9	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	26.6	46.6	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	28.4	46.8	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	24.3	21.7	46.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (21)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.7	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.0	20.7	44.7	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.6	21.6	46.2	+2.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.4	19.6	43.1	+3.8	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	18.7	43.8	+6.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.3	22.3	45.7	+1.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	22.1	17.8	39.9	+4.4	62%	-
vs Weaker (18)	25.1	21.4	46.5	+3.6	61%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	38.2	77.8	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.7	37.2	74.9	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.3	39.0	80.3	+2.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	37.4	76.5	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	39.8	77.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.8	45.0	82.8	-7.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	40.3	39.3	79.7	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (21)	40.1	36.2	76.4	+3.9	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.2	41.7	86.9	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.6	42.0	88.6	+4.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.6	41.4	84.9	+2.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	40.2	84.5	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	40.0	83.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.7	41.7	83.3	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	43.8	39.4	83.1	+4.4	75%	-
vs Weaker (18)	46.4	42.2	88.6	+4.2	61%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valencia wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
09/06/16	Valencia v Real Madrid	80-82
07/06/16	Valencia v Real Madrid	87-86 OT
04/06/16	Real Madrid v Valencia	97-88
02/06/16	Real Madrid v Valencia	82-57
28/02/16	Valencia v Real Madrid	94-95
11/10/15	Real Madrid v Valencia	82-88
11/06/15	Valencia v Real Madrid	84-90
09/06/15	Valencia v Real Madrid	100-103 OT
07/06/15	Real Madrid v Valencia	89-93
04/06/15	Real Madrid v Valencia	81-71

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/10/16	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	80-68
09/06/16	H	Real Madrid	80-82
07/06/16	H	Real Madrid	87-86 OT
04/06/16	A	Real Madrid	88-97
02/06/16	A	Real Madrid	57-82
29/05/16	A	Unicaja	88-59
27/05/16	H	Unicaja	79-75
22/05/16	H	MoraBanc Andorra	81-67
14/05/16	A	Unicaja	65-77
11/05/16	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	78-75

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/09/16	H	Unicaja	101-90
23/09/16	H	Barcelona	93-99
22/06/16	H	Barcelona	91-84
20/06/16	H	Barcelona	91-74
17/06/16	A	Barcelona	90-70
15/06/16	A	Barcelona	99-100
09/06/16	A	Valencia	82-80
07/06/16	A	Valencia	86-87 OT
04/06/16	H	Valencia	97-88
02/06/16	H	Valencia	82-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia

ACB 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	-	-
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	100%	-	100%
Points / game	80.0	-	80.0
Allowed / game	68.0	-	68.0
Point differential	+12.0	-	+12.0
Avg total	148.0	-	148.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	-	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Real Madrid

ACB 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	101.0	101.0	-
Allowed / game	90.0	90.0	-
Point differential	+11.0	+11.0	-
Avg total	191.0	191.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Baskonia	1	1	0	100%	92.0	76.0	+16.0
2	Real Betis	1	1	0	100%	95.0	82.0	+13.0
3	Valencia	1	1	0	100%	80.0	68.0	+12.0
4	Real Madrid	1	1	0	100%	101.0	90.0	+11.0
5	Tenerife	1	1	0	100%	92.0	81.0	+11.0
6	Bilbao	1	1	0	100%	89.0	80.0	+9.0
7	Barcelona	1	1	0	100%	56.0	50.0	+6.0
8	Murcia	1	1	0	100%	67.0	65.0	+2.0
9	Joventut Badalona	1	0	1	0%	65.0	67.0	-2.0
10	Manresa	1	0	1	0%	50.0	56.0	-6.0
11	Fuenlabrada	1	0	1	0%	80.0	89.0	-9.0
12	Gran Canaria	1	0	1	0%	81.0	92.0	-11.0
13	Unicaja	1	0	1	0%	90.0	101.0	-11.0
14	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	1	0	1	0%	68.0	80.0	-12.0
15	Estudiantes	1	0	1	0%	82.0	95.0	-13.0
16	Obradoiro CAB	1	0	1	0%	76.0	92.0	-16.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valencia	17	19	18	21	75
Real Madrid	23	19	34	18	94

← all games of the day

Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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