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Real Valladolid vs Forca Lleida Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-74
19-24 27-13 15-18 19-19
Position#9
Record4-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#1
Record3-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game78.4
SpainPrimera FEBRound 8
Other2023-24
Meetings · Real Valladolid v Forca Lleida
18 Nov 2023
REAL80
FLL74
27 May 2023
REAL86
FLL83
25 May 2023
REAL73
FLL66
22 Oct 2022
REAL97
FLL57
20 Mar 2022
REAL78
FLL64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Valladolid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forca Lleida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real ValladolidSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValladolid
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#6
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
A01/06
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#6
W
90-83
90
83
+7
no box
A03/06
Primera FEB
Palencia
#2
L
60-90
60
90
-30
no box
A17/06
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
86-92
86
92
-6
82avg 71
A06/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
W
70-66
70
66
+4
60avg 71
H14/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
75-54
75
54
+21
70avg 71
A20/10
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
94-111
94
111
-17
85avg 71
H28/10
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
69-94
69
94
-25
59avg 71
A31/10
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
W
72-66
72
66
+6
70avg 71
H04/11
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
82-81
82
81
+1
74avg 71
A12/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
16-24
11-14
31-19
25-22
22-22
20-21
23-18
8-19
24-17
12-31
16-23
33-20
16-20
21-26
16-26
22-14
12-21
25-15
11-16
21-13
9-6
18-20
27-15
30-32
23-26
19-20
22-33
25-29
7-18
18-23
19-24
23-14
16-19
12-17
21-16
15-20
25-27
24-18
18-16
158.3Avg total
76.9Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.380.6158.9-2.357%
Season at home (3)78.781.0159.7-2.367%
Season away (4)78.080.2158.2-2.250%
Last 10 (10)76.981.4158.3-4.550%
Last 5 (5)78.481.2159.6-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.881.7155.4-7.933%
vs Similar (11)78.779.1157.8-0.473%
vs Weaker (10)80.974.8155.7+6.170%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
Real Valladolid
#4
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
no box
A27/05
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
77-71
77
71
+6
no box
H01/06
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
H03/06
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
W
75-68
75
68
+7
63avg 68
H06/10
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
66-79
66
79
-13
53avg 68
A14/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
66-86
66
86
-20
52avg 68
H20/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
63-75
63
75
-12
49avg 68
A28/10
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
96-62
96
62
+34
94avg 68
H01/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
81-97
81
97
-16
69avg 68
A05/11
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
W
97-82
97
82
+15
99avg 68
H12/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
12-21
27-17
22-21
20-13
24-16
14-11
19-31
22-25
22-22
21-20
18-23
15-17
21-15
19-19
20-17
22-19
17-16
17-28
10-16
13-24
21-18
16-17
16-27
12-20
10-25
25-14
16-16
19-21
20-14
31-21
26-6
20-16
21-23
24-39
16-19
32-21
22-16
30-22
13-23
158.3Avg total
78.7Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.778.4156.1-0.743%
Season at home (4)83.574.5158.0+9.075%
Season away (3)70.083.7153.7-13.70%
Last 10 (10)78.779.6158.3-0.940%
Last 5 (5)80.680.4161.0+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.783.7168.3+1.067%
vs Similar (12)74.881.7156.5-6.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)80.071.2151.2+8.867%
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
Real ValladolidForca Lleida
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#6
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A01/06
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#6
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A03/06
Primera FEB
Palencia
#2
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A17/06
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A06/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H14/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
30-19
30
19
+11
A20/10
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H28/10
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A31/10
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H04/11
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A12/11
Primera FEB
78.8Avg total
38.5Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.376.1-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.737.678.4+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)35.238.874.1-3.644%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.378.8-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.879.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.438.274.7-1.833%-
vs Similar (11)37.140.377.4-3.245%-
vs Weaker (10)39.836.175.9+3.780%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Valladolid
#4
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A27/05
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H01/06
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H03/06
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H06/10
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A14/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H20/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A28/10
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H01/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A05/11
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H12/11
Primera FEB
76.7Avg total
38.4Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.977.5-0.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.537.379.8+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)34.740.575.1-5.840%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.376.7+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.677.6-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.043.087.0+1.067%-
vs Similar (12)38.138.176.2+0.058%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)37.938.776.6-0.953%-
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Real Valladolid wins
3
Forca Lleida wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23AEstela82-81
04/11/23HReal Betis72-66
31/10/23ASan Pablo Burgos69-94
28/10/23HLeyma Coruna94-111
20/10/23AAlicante75-54
14/10/23HHestia Menorca70-66
06/10/23ATizona Burgos86-92
17/06/23APalencia60-90
03/06/23AForca Lleida90-83
01/06/23AForca Lleida71-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HCastello97-82
05/11/23ALeyma Coruna81-97
01/11/23HMelilla96-62
28/10/23AEstela63-75
20/10/23HTizona Burgos66-86
14/10/23ASan Pablo Burgos66-79
06/10/23HGipuzkoa75-68
03/06/23HReal Valladolid83-90
01/06/23HReal Valladolid77-71
27/05/23AReal Valladolid83-86 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Valladolid
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game78.378.778.0
Allowed / game80.681.080.2
Point differential-2.3-2.3-2.2
Avg total158.9159.7158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forca Lleida
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game77.783.570.0
Allowed / game78.474.583.7
Point differential-0.7+9.0-13.7
Avg total156.1158.0153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos87188%83.671.5+12.1
2 Estudiantes76186%85.473.1+12.3
3 Tizona Burgos86275%89.584.9+4.6
4 Leyma Coruna75271%88.479.4+9.0
5 Ourense75271%76.369.3+7.0
6 Gipuzkoa75271%78.775.9+2.9
7 Alicante85362%76.475.0+1.4
8 Real Valladolid74357%78.380.6-2.3
9 Castello84450%82.284.1-1.9
10 Forca Lleida73443%77.778.4-0.7
11 Caceres73443%79.081.9-2.9
12 Oviedo73443%79.383.1-3.9
13 Hestia Menorca72529%65.370.6-5.3
14 Fuenlabrada82625%74.178.1-4.0
15 Estela82625%79.485.4-6.0
16 Melilla82625%74.582.8-8.2
17 Clavijo82625%65.274.4-9.1
18 Real Betis71614%75.478.9-3.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Valladolid1927151980
Forca Lleida2413181974
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