Real Valladolid vs Melilla Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 18:15

Final 85-66

16-19 23-16 17-14 29-17

Position#4

Record15-8

FormLWLWL

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game72.5

Real Valladolid 🏆

Melilla

Position#16

Record4-19

FormLLLLL

Points / game74.6

Allowed / game81.0

Primera FEBRound 24

Other2022-23

Meetings · Real Valladolid v Melilla

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Valladolid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melilla winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real Valladolid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Castello

77-80

-3

A27/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

67-60

H07/01

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

68-61

A14/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

90-86 OT

H21/01

Primera FEB

Palencia

76-70

H28/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

58-77

-19

A01/02

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

80-61

+19

H05/02

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

77-85

-8

A17/02

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

81-75

H05/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

71-102

102

-31

A10/03

Primera FEB

18-21

18-25

20-17

21-17

14-14

15-20

16-10

22-16

15-15

20-15

19-7

14-24

17-22

25-13

8-19

23-19

10-14

22-21

14-19

30-16

17-18

6-14

14-25

21-20

23-13

19-17

18-15

20-16

13-19

21-28

19-23

24-15

21-20

19-17

17-18

24-20

12-27

16-21

18-30

25-24

150.2Avg total

74.5Scored

75.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	75.6	72.5	148.1	+3.1	65%
Season at home (12)	79.1	66.8	145.8	+12.3	100%
Season away (11)	71.8	78.8	150.6	-7.0	27%
Last 10 (10)	74.5	75.7	150.2	-1.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	80.0	153.4	-6.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	65.3	72.6	137.9	-7.2	33%
vs Similar (11)	79.2	73.2	152.4	+6.0	73%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	77.9	71.1	149.0	+6.8	80%

This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melilla

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estela

#11

80-83 OT

-3

A28/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

61-70

-9

H08/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

85-92

-7

A13/01

Primera FEB

Palencia

78-89

-11

H20/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

67-88

-21

H27/01

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

86-97

-11

A01/02

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

62-74

-12

H05/02

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

64-75

-11

A17/02

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

79-86

-7

H05/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

54-74

-20

A11/03

Primera FEB

17-15

16-15

20-21

17-19

18-12

15-23

18-13

10-22

16-19

26-28

22-20

21-25

25-26

13-22

10-21

30-20

19-24

10-19

17-22

21-23

22-16

32-26

15-24

17-31

17-22

23-11

9-20

13-21

8-18

20-22

13-14

23-21

15-23

19-25

21-21

24-17

11-20

8-21

14-15

21-18

154.4Avg total

71.6Scored

82.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	74.6	81.0	155.7	-6.4	17%
Season at home (12)	77.2	80.1	157.3	-2.8	33%
Season away (11)	71.7	82.1	153.8	-10.4	0%
Last 10 (10)	71.6	82.8	154.4	-11.2	0%
Last 5 (5)	69.0	81.2	150.2	-12.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	74.7	80.8	155.4	-6.1	22%
vs Similar (11)	75.7	76.7	152.5	-1.0	27%
vs Weaker (1)	62.0	74.0	136.0	-12.0	0%

This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real ValladolidMelilla

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.6	36.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	16.7	35.6	+2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.4	37.1	+0.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	18.3	34.3	-2.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.6	15.6	31.1	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	19.3	18.2	37.5	+1.1	30%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	19.9	38.7	-1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.2	18.3	35.5	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	19.5	36.3	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	19.8	34.4	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	17.9	20.6	38.4	-2.7	22%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.1	16.5	35.6	+2.5	73%	-
vs Weaker (1)	10.0	22.0	32.0	-12.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.0	36.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	16.9	35.7	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	19.1	36.7	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	19.4	35.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.9	18.2	34.1	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+0.9	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	18.9	17.3	36.2	+1.6	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.7	39.5	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	21.1	40.1	-2.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	21.2	39.4	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.1	20.8	38.9	-2.7	39%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	27%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	13.0	29.0	+3.0	100%	-

Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Castello

36-46

-10

A27/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

29-34

-5

H07/01

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

35-30

A14/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

42-35

H21/01

Primera FEB

Palencia

32-35

-3

H28/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

23-32

-9

A01/02

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

42-30

+12

H05/02

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

34-47

-13

A17/02

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

40-37

H05/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

28-48

-20

A10/03

Primera FEB

71.5Avg total

34.1Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	35.6	72.6	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.7	33.7	71.3	+4.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.3	37.5	73.9	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.1	37.4	71.5	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	38.8	72.2	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	31.4	33.8	65.2	-2.3	11%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.5	37.2	77.6	+3.3	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	38.2	35.5	73.7	+2.7	60%	-

This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estela

#11

33-30

A28/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

33-35

-2

H08/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

42-47

-5

A13/01

Primera FEB

Palencia

38-48

-10

H20/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

29-43

-14

H27/01

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

54-42

+12

A01/02

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

40-33

H05/02

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

28-40

-12

A17/02

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

34-48

-14

H05/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

19-41

-22

A11/03

Primera FEB

75.7Avg total

35.0Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	39.8	76.7	-3.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.5	40.2	77.7	-2.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.1	39.4	75.6	-3.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	40.7	75.7	-5.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	40.8	75.8	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	36.0	41.4	77.4	-5.4	22%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.3	37.7	77.0	+1.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	35.0	61.0	-9.0	0%	-

This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	17.8	34.6	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.8	15.4	32.2	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	20.1	37.1	-3.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	18.3	34.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.2	39.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.2	21.2	38.4	-4.0	11%	-
vs Similar (11)	16.6	17.5	34.1	-0.8	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	16.8	15.0	31.8	+1.8	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.3	37.6	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	18.3	37.4	+0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	20.4	37.9	-3.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	19.1	35.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	18.8	33.2	-4.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.7	39%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	27%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	17.0	31.0	-3.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.1	37.9	+1.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	17.0	38.3	+4.3	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	18.7	41.1	+3.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.0	41.8	+3.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.7	17.6	34.2	-0.9	56%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.1	18.5	40.6	+3.5	73%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	19.9	18.2	38.1	+1.7	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	19.9	37.9	-1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.7	41.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	56%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.5	18.5	36.0	-0.9	45%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	35.9	72.5	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	32.4	70.5	+5.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.1	39.4	74.5	-4.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	37.0	75.7	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	41.2	81.2	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	33.9	38.8	72.7	-4.9	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	38.7	36.0	74.7	+2.7	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	36.7	33.2	69.9	+3.5	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	38.8	76.2	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.2	37.5	76.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.4	40.3	75.7	-4.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	40.8	76.4	-5.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	40.4	74.4	-6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	38.7	39.4	78.1	-0.7	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	35.5	37.8	73.4	-2.3	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	36.0	39.0	75.0	-3.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Valladolid wins

Melilla wins

Date	Game	Score
20/11/22	Melilla v Real Valladolid	80-75
25/03/22	Melilla v Real Valladolid	60-79
19/11/21	Real Valladolid v Melilla	68-72
28/02/21	Melilla v Real Valladolid	77-80
13/12/20	Real Valladolid v Melilla	89-84 OT

Real Valladolidlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/03/23	A	Leyma Coruna	71-102
05/03/23	H	Estudiantes	81-75
17/02/23	A	Forca Lleida	77-85
05/02/23	H	Iraurgi SB	80-61
01/02/23	A	San Pablo Burgos	58-77
28/01/23	H	Palencia	76-70
21/01/23	H	Caceres	90-86 OT
14/01/23	A	Albacete	68-61
07/01/23	H	Estela	67-60
27/12/22	A	Castello	77-80

Melillalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/23	A	Ourense	54-74
05/03/23	H	Leyma Coruna	79-86
17/02/23	A	Estudiantes	64-75
05/02/23	H	Forca Lleida	62-74
01/02/23	A	Iraurgi SB	86-97
27/01/23	H	San Pablo Burgos	67-88
20/01/23	H	Palencia	78-89
13/01/23	A	Caceres	85-92
08/01/23	H	Albacete	61-70
28/12/22	A	Estela	80-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Valladolid

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	65%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWLLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	65%	100%	27%
Points / game	75.6	79.1	71.8
Allowed / game	72.5	66.8	78.8
Point differential	+3.1	+12.3	-7.0
Avg total	148.1	145.8	150.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	50%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	100% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	9%	17%	0%

Melilla

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	17%
Home	LLLLL	33%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	17%	33%	0%
Points / game	74.6	77.2	71.7
Allowed / game	81.0	80.1	82.1
Point differential	-6.4	-2.8	-10.4
Avg total	155.7	157.3	153.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	50% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	4%	0%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	MoraBanc Andorra	24	22	2	92%	83.4	69.4	+14.0
2	Palencia	24	20	4	83%	81.9	71.8	+10.2
3	Leyma Coruna	24	17	7	71%	84.3	76.5	+7.9
4	Estudiantes	24	16	8	67%	78.6	73.0	+5.7
5	Forca Lleida	24	16	8	67%	80.1	77.3	+2.8
6	Real Valladolid	23	15	8	65%	75.6	72.5	+3.1
7	Alicante	24	15	9	62%	75.7	75.2	+0.5
8	San Pablo Burgos	23	14	9	61%	80.4	75.4	+5.0
9	Gipuzkoa	23	13	10	57%	77.6	72.7	+4.8
10	Estela	23	12	11	52%	73.3	75.6	-2.3
11	Castello	24	11	13	46%	75.0	76.2	-1.2
12	Ourense	23	7	16	30%	73.0	79.3	-6.2
13	Almansa	24	7	17	29%	72.2	80.0	-7.8
14	Oviedo	24	7	17	29%	68.7	77.0	-8.4
15	Caceres	23	6	17	26%	71.9	78.3	-6.4
16	Albacete	23	5	18	22%	70.4	76.8	-6.4
17	Iraurgi SB	24	5	19	21%	71.7	81.0	-9.4
18	Melilla	23	4	19	17%	74.6	81.0	-6.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Valladolid	16	23	17	29	85
Melilla	19	16	14	17	66

← all games of the day

Real Valladolid vs Melilla Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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