Regatas vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 May 2019

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 79-70

24-13 17-18 21-17 17-22

Position#7

Record19-15

FormWLLLL

Points / game83.7

Allowed / game81.8

Regatas 🏆

Libertad

Position#14

Record17-17

FormLLLWW

Points / game80.7

Allowed / game81.7

Liga A

Other2018-19

Meetings · Regatas v Libertad

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Regatas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Regatas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

#16

81-76

H21/03

Liga A

Argentino

#17

97-91

H24/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#20

87-80 OT

A28/03

Liga A

Penarol

#16

84-68

+16

A30/03

Liga A

Estudiantes

85-86

-1

H06/04

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

74-56

+18

H13/04

Liga A

Ferro

74-80

-6

H17/04

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

82-87

-5

H20/04

Liga A

Quimsa

#13

88-98

-10

A28/04

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

83-88

-5

A30/04

Liga A

11-20

17-24

17-16

36-16

16-18

29-20

19-30

33-23

16-15

14-22

28-16

13-18

19-16

31-20

16-22

18-10

28-19

20-16

18-23

19-28

15-21

19-8

19-17

21-10

20-23

25-17

11-14

18-26

16-17

26-14

16-33

24-23

22-19

21-19

27-27

18-33

17-22

19-17

22-25

25-24

164.5Avg total

83.5Scored

81.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	83.7	81.8	165.5	+1.9	56%
Season at home (16)	83.2	79.2	162.4	+4.1	62%
Season away (18)	84.1	84.2	168.2	-0.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	83.5	81.0	164.5	+2.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	81.8	162.0	-1.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	80.5	92.2	172.7	-11.7	0%
vs Similar (14)	82.3	80.6	162.9	+1.7	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	85.8	79.4	165.2	+6.4	80%

This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

74-101

101

-27

A26/03

Liga A

La Union

#11

91-76

+15

H30/03

Liga A

Quimsa

#13

94-93 OT

A06/04

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

71-81

-10

A08/04

Liga A

Quilmes

#20

92-84

H11/04

Liga A

Penarol

#16

79-81

-2

H13/04

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

78-82

-4

A17/04

Liga A

Atenas

#19

85-97

-12

A19/04

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

87-72

+15

H22/04

Liga A

La Union

#11

90-86

A01/05

Liga A

19-23

21-26

18-31

16-21

25-9

23-23

15-28

28-16

8-18

22-25

23-12

21-19

15-21

12-17

24-20

20-23

15-23

25-23

27-21

25-17

17-22

22-20

17-19

23-20

20-26

21-14

16-25

21-17

18-20

20-30

20-25

27-22

14-21

19-9

34-17

20-25

30-32

20-15

18-21

22-18

169.4Avg total

84.1Scored

85.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	80.7	81.7	162.4	-0.9	50%
Season at home (17)	83.5	77.6	161.2	+5.9	71%
Season away (17)	77.9	85.7	163.6	-7.8	29%
Last 10 (10)	84.1	85.3	169.4	-1.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	83.6	167.4	+0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	80.6	83.1	163.7	-2.5	40%
vs Similar (16)	83.9	85.4	169.3	-1.6	50%
vs Weaker (4)	75.8	70.8	146.5	+5.0	75%

This opponent (Regatas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RegatasLibertad

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	19.8	38.7	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	19.8	39.7	+0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.4	38.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.8	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.7	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	21.3	39.6	-3.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	19.2	38.5	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	23.1	40.5	-5.6	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.5	39.6	-3.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	24.2	44.0	-4.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.7	21.8	41.5	-2.1	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.4	21.7	40.1	-3.3	12%	-
vs Weaker (4)	14.5	18.2	32.8	-3.8	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.9	39.1	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	17.1	38.1	+3.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	17.7	39.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	15.0	37.0	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.8	20.7	42.5	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.1	19.0	40.1	+2.1	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	18.9	39.0	+1.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	19.8	37.4	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.6	38.0	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	60%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.2	17.5	36.8	+1.8	75%	-

RegatasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

#16

28-44

-16

H21/03

Liga A

Argentino

#17

45-38

H24/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#20

30-37

-7

A28/03

Liga A

Penarol

#16

50-36

+14

A30/03

Liga A

Estudiantes

48-35

+13

H06/04

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

34-29

H13/04

Liga A

Ferro

45-40

H17/04

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

42-31

+11

H20/04

Liga A

Quimsa

#13

43-38

A28/04

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

36-39

-3

A30/04

Liga A

76.8Avg total

40.1Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	38.7	78.4	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	36.9	76.9	+3.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.5	40.2	79.7	-0.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	36.7	76.8	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	35.4	75.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	42.8	42.5	85.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.7	36.9	75.6	+1.8	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	39.2	38.8	78.0	+0.4	50%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

40-49

-9

A26/03

Liga A

La Union

#11

48-32

+16

H30/03

Liga A

Quimsa

#13

30-43

-13

A06/04

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

27-38

-11

A08/04

Liga A

Quilmes

#20

40-46

-6

H11/04

Liga A

Penarol

#16

39-42

-3

H13/04

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

41-40

A17/04

Liga A

Atenas

#19

38-50

-12

A19/04

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

33-30

H22/04

Liga A

La Union

#11

50-47

A01/05

Liga A

80.3Avg total

38.6Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	40.6	77.7	-3.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.4	38.1	77.5	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.1	42.8	77.9	-7.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	41.7	80.3	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	41.8	82.0	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	38.2	40.3	78.5	-2.1	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	37.2	42.0	79.2	-4.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	33.8	35.8	69.5	-2.0	50%	-

This opponent (Regatas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	22.6	42.1	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	22.4	41.0	-3.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	22.7	43.0	-2.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	22.3	41.6	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	23.2	42.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.0	27.7	42.7	-12.7	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.4	21.9	42.4	-1.5	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.5	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.4	40.9	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	19.2	40.3	+1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	21.4	41.5	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.9	43.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.4	42.4	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	40%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.5	43.3	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.8	18.7	42.5	+5.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	22.1	43.9	-0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.1	43.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	23.2	44.4	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.7	22.0	44.7	+0.7	67%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.9	20.7	42.6	+1.1	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	24.1	19.3	43.4	+4.8	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.7	43.6	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.3	20.5	44.8	+3.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	20.9	42.5	+0.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	19.8	42.1	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.4	43.0	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	21.2	22.0	43.2	-0.8	40%	-
vs Similar (16)	23.8	21.4	45.2	+2.4	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.0	15.0	38.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	43.1	85.3	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	41.1	83.5	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.2	44.8	86.9	-2.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	43.4	85.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	46.4	86.6	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.7	49.7	87.3	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	42.3	42.6	84.9	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	45.0	39.7	84.7	+5.3	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	41.1	84.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.4	39.7	85.1	+5.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.7	42.3	84.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	41.7	85.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	41.8	85.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	42.4	42.8	85.2	-0.4	40%	-
vs Similar (16)	44.4	41.6	85.9	+2.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.0	35.0	77.0	+7.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Regatas wins

Libertad wins

Date	Game	Score
15/01/19	Libertad v Regatas	95-84
30/05/17	Libertad v Regatas	76-82
28/05/17	Libertad v Regatas	93-90
25/05/17	Regatas v Libertad	82-77
23/05/17	Regatas v Libertad	92-69
09/04/17	Regatas v Libertad	79-92
04/12/16	Libertad v Regatas	75-84
02/11/16	Regatas v Libertad	90-81
20/10/16	Libertad v Regatas	85-94
02/03/16	Libertad v Regatas	89-80

Regataslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/19	A	Olimpico	83-88
28/04/19	A	Quimsa	88-98
20/04/19	H	Instituto de Cordoba	82-87
17/04/19	H	Ferro	74-80
13/04/19	H	Weber Bahia	74-56
06/04/19	H	Estudiantes	85-86
30/03/19	A	Penarol	84-68
28/03/19	A	Quilmes	87-80 OT
24/03/19	H	Argentino	97-91
21/03/19	H	Penarol	81-76

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/05/19	A	La Union	90-86
22/04/19	H	Hispano Americano	87-72
19/04/19	A	Atenas	85-97
17/04/19	A	Instituto de Cordoba	78-82
13/04/19	H	Penarol	79-81
11/04/19	H	Quilmes	92-84
08/04/19	A	Olimpico	71-81
06/04/19	A	Quimsa	94-93 OT
30/03/19	H	La Union	91-76
26/03/19	A	Obras Sanitarias	74-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Regatas

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	56%
Home	WLWLL	62%
Away	WWWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	16	18
Win %	56%	62%	50%
Points / game	83.7	83.2	84.1
Allowed / game	81.8	79.2	84.2
Point differential	+1.9	+4.1	-0.1
Avg total	165.5	162.4	168.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	19%	28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	64% (11)	62% (8)	67% (3)
Overtime %	6%	6%	6%

Libertad

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	50%
Home	WWWLW	71%
Away	WLLLW	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	50%	71%	29%
Points / game	80.7	83.5	77.9
Allowed / game	81.7	77.6	85.7
Point differential	-0.9	+5.9	-7.8
Avg total	162.4	161.2	163.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	47%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (14)	50% (6)	62% (8)
Overtime %	6%	6%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	33	28	5	85%	88.5	77.6	+10.9
2	Instituto de Cordoba	34	23	11	68%	83.9	77.9	+6.0
3	Ferro	35	22	13	63%	83.1	76.7	+6.4
4	Obras Sanitarias	34	21	13	62%	80.7	79.7	+0.9
5	Gimnasia	34	20	14	59%	83.3	79.8	+3.5
6	Comunicaciones Mercedes	34	20	14	59%	81.6	78.2	+3.4
7	Regatas	34	19	15	56%	83.7	81.8	+1.9
8	Quimsa	34	18	16	53%	83.8	80.9	+2.8
9	Estudiantes	34	18	16	53%	79.7	79.9	-0.2
10	Libertad	34	17	17	50%	80.7	81.7	-0.9
11	San Martin	34	17	17	50%	79.0	81.5	-2.5
12	Boca Juniors	35	17	18	49%	77.6	77.7	-0.0
13	Olimpico	35	16	19	46%	78.5	79.5	-1.0
14	La Union	34	15	19	44%	82.3	83.0	-0.7
15	Hispano Americano	33	13	20	39%	81.7	84.5	-2.8
16	Weber Bahia	33	12	21	36%	71.3	77.9	-6.6
17	Penarol	35	12	23	34%	78.3	83.0	-4.7
18	Argentino	35	12	23	34%	78.8	84.5	-5.8
19	Quilmes	33	11	22	33%	79.0	84.8	-5.8
20	Atenas	35	10	25	29%	81.0	85.5	-4.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Regatas	24	17	21	17	79
Libertad	13	18	17	22	70

← all games of the day

Regatas vs Libertad Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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