Regatas vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Dec 2013

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 86-76

24-8 18-16 22-23 22-29

Position#1

Record16-3

FormWWLWW

Points / game83.5

Allowed / game72.8

Regatas 🏆

Libertad

Position#6

Record10-9

FormLLWWL

Points / game75.3

Allowed / game73.4

Liga ARound 6

Other2013-14

Meetings · Regatas v Libertad

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Regatas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Regatas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#16

87-71

+16

H11/11

Liga A

Sionista

#12

81-64

+17

A16/11

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

80-76

A18/11

Liga A

Quimsa

81-76

H22/11

Liga A

Atenas

93-64

+29

H25/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

90-59

+31

H30/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

67-63

H03/12

Liga A

Penarol

86-90

-4

A07/12

Liga A

Argentino

88-80

A09/12

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

99-76

+23

H14/12

Liga A

27-15

19-14

17-19

24-23

14-20

20-17

23-15

24-12

25-30

13-13

22-18

20-15

11-11

24-22

23-25

23-18

23-17

19-13

24-14

27-20

19-13

23-10

27-17

21-19

27-13

8-14

18-22

14-14

24-23

19-18

18-31

25-18

24-16

16-15

25-18

23-31

18-19

24-12

32-17

25-28

157.1Avg total

85.2Scored

71.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	83.5	72.8	156.4	+10.7	84%
Season at home (10)	82.3	66.5	148.8	+15.8	100%
Season away (9)	84.9	79.9	164.8	+5.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	85.2	71.9	157.1	+13.3	90%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	73.6	159.6	+12.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	74.6	70.6	145.2	+4.0	70%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	83.5	73.2	156.7	+10.2	85%

This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#13

81-64

+17

H11/11

Liga A

Atenas

67-69

-2

A14/11

Liga A

Quimsa

95-86

A16/11

Liga A

Sionista

#12

83-66

+17

H21/11

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

83-81

H25/11

Liga A

Quimsa

74-82

-8

A30/11

Liga A

Atenas

73-88

-15

A02/12

Liga A

Lanus

#15

81-65

+16

H07/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

69-61

H09/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

69-81

-12

A14/12

Liga A

22-9

16-16

30-18

13-21

15-15

19-22

15-12

18-20

31-20

21-22

25-24

22-15

15-12

21-10

25-29

25-21

14-17

18-24

26-19

18-20

16-20

14-22

26-20

15-23

13-24

26-22

19-19

27-14

13-13

22-23

19-15

22-15

11-16

19-18

17-12

8-16

19-27

22-15

20-23

151.8Avg total

77.5Scored

74.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	75.3	73.4	148.7	+1.8	53%
Season at home (9)	80.8	68.0	148.8	+12.8	100%
Season away (10)	70.3	78.3	148.6	-8.0	10%
Last 10 (10)	77.5	74.3	151.8	+3.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	73.2	75.4	148.6	-2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	73.2	79.0	152.2	-5.8	25%
vs Similar (22)	75.2	74.6	149.9	+0.6	50%
vs Weaker (4)	76.5	71.8	148.2	+4.8	50%

This opponent (Regatas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RegatasLibertad

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.9	37.9	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	16.3	35.7	+3.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	19.7	40.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	17.7	38.9	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	16.8	39.2	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	18.9	18.5	37.4	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.0	55%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.7	16.2	37.8	+5.5	83%	-
Last 30 away (18)	16.4	20.1	36.4	-3.7	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.6	35.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	15.8	21.2	37.0	-5.5	25%	-
vs Similar (22)	18.7	18.5	37.2	+0.3	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	15.0	32.6	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	13.4	31.9	+5.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.7	16.8	33.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	14.8	33.3	+3.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	13.8	31.8	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	15.9	13.0	28.9	+2.9	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	18.5	16.0	34.5	+2.5	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.2	17.8	34.0	-1.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	14.6	14.8	29.3	-0.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (18)	17.2	19.9	37.1	-2.7	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	18.7	35.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	20.0	34.4	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	16.2	17.5	33.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (22)	16.4	17.7	34.1	-1.4	23%	-
vs Weaker (4)	15.0	18.8	33.8	-3.8	0%	-

RegatasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#16

46-29

+17

H11/11

Liga A

Sionista

#12

34-37

-3

A16/11

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

38-43

-5

A18/11

Liga A

Quimsa

35-33

H22/11

Liga A

Atenas

42-30

+12

H25/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

42-23

+19

H30/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

35-27

H03/12

Liga A

Penarol

43-41

A07/12

Liga A

Argentino

40-31

A09/12

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

42-31

+11

H14/12

Liga A

72.2Avg total

39.7Scored

32.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	32.9	70.6	+4.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.8	29.8	67.6	+8.1	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.5	36.5	74.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	32.5	72.2	+7.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	30.6	71.0	+9.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	34.8	31.5	66.3	+3.3	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	39.1	33.6	72.7	+5.5	75%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#13

38-25

+13

H11/11

Liga A

Atenas

34-37

-3

A14/11

Liga A

Quimsa

49-40

A16/11

Liga A

Sionista

#12

37-27

+10

H21/11

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

39-38

H25/11

Liga A

Quimsa

34-40

-6

A30/11

Liga A

Atenas

28-47

-19

A02/12

Liga A

Lanus

#15

40-27

+13

H07/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

33-31

H09/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

27-43

-16

A14/12

Liga A

71.4Avg total

35.9Scored

35.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.7	36.3	71.0	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	36.2	30.9	67.2	+5.3	83%	-
Last 30 away (18)	33.6	39.9	73.6	-6.3	11%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	35.5	71.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.4	37.6	70.0	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	32.0	38.8	70.8	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar (22)	35.1	36.2	71.3	-1.1	41%	-
vs Weaker (4)	35.0	34.8	69.8	+0.2	50%	-

This opponent (Regatas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.3	40.1	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	17.7	39.8	+4.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	21.2	40.4	-2.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	19.6	42.5	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	21.0	45.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.3	19.7	41.0	+1.6	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.1	38.8	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.8	18.1	39.8	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.9	18.1	38.1	+1.8	61%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	21.2	15.5	36.8	+5.8	100%	-
vs Similar (22)	20.6	18.5	39.1	+2.0	59%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	18.2	38.8	+2.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.7	41.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.8	42.4	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.1	19.3	41.5	+2.8	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.2	39.5	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.1	19.3	40.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.2	20.7	38.9	-2.6	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	20.0	24.8	44.8	-4.8	0%	-
vs Similar (22)	18.9	19.6	38.5	-0.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	39.0	81.3	+3.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	37.5	80.7	+5.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	40.8	81.9	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.5	39.4	84.9	+6.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	43.0	88.6	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	39.8	39.1	78.9	+0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.5	39.0	82.5	+4.5	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	38.3	78.3	+1.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.8	37.4	80.2	+5.4	92%	-
Last 30 away (18)	38.1	38.8	76.9	-0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	38.8	80.4	+2.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	37.8	78.6	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	41.2	40.2	81.5	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (22)	39.5	38.1	77.6	+1.4	59%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.5	37.0	78.5	+4.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Regatas wins

Libertad wins

Date	Game	Score
02/11/13	Libertad v Regatas	81-75
24/10/13	Regatas v Libertad	67-58
28/02/13	Regatas v Libertad	76-72
19/01/13	Libertad v Regatas	95-83
22/11/12	Regatas v Libertad	78-72
08/11/12	Libertad v Regatas	74-81
29/10/12	Libertad v Regatas	66-75
24/09/12	Regatas v Libertad	78-79 OT
06/02/12	Libertad v Regatas	82-69
21/11/11	Regatas v Libertad	80-77 OT

Regataslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/13	H	Olimpico	99-76
09/12/13	A	Argentino	88-80
07/12/13	A	Penarol	86-90
03/12/13	H	Boca Juniors	67-63
30/11/13	H	Obras Sanitarias	90-59
25/11/13	H	Atenas	93-64
22/11/13	H	Quimsa	81-76
18/11/13	A	Estudiantes	80-76
16/11/13	A	Sionista	81-64
11/11/13	H	La Union	87-71

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/13	A	La Union	69-81
09/12/13	H	Gimnasia	69-61
07/12/13	H	Lanus	81-65
02/12/13	A	Atenas	73-88
30/11/13	A	Quimsa	74-82
25/11/13	H	Estudiantes	83-81
21/11/13	H	Sionista	83-66
16/11/13	A	Quimsa	95-86
14/11/13	A	Atenas	67-69
11/11/13	H	Olimpico	81-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Regatas

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	84%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	84%	100%	67%
Points / game	83.5	82.3	84.9
Allowed / game	72.8	66.5	79.9
Point differential	+10.7	+15.8	+5.0
Avg total	156.4	148.8	164.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	60%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	5%	0%	11%

Libertad

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	53%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWLLL	10%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	53%	100%	10%
Points / game	75.3	80.8	70.3
Allowed / game	73.4	68.0	78.3
Point differential	+1.8	+12.8	-8.0
Avg total	148.7	148.8	148.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	100% (1)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	19	16	3	84%	83.5	72.8	+10.7
2	Penarol	20	15	5	75%	80.8	73.8	+7.0
3	Gimnasia	19	13	6	68%	74.2	71.7	+2.4
4	Atenas	18	12	6	67%	77.0	76.3	+0.7
5	Quilmes	19	11	8	58%	75.6	76.6	-1.0
6	Boca Juniors	20	11	9	55%	76.2	72.1	+4.2
7	Sionista	19	10	9	53%	72.7	70.7	+2.1
8	Libertad	19	10	9	53%	75.3	73.4	+1.8
9	Obras Sanitarias	19	10	9	53%	72.5	72.8	-0.4
10	Quimsa	19	9	10	47%	77.7	79.1	-1.4
11	Estudiantes	19	7	12	37%	73.5	74.9	-1.5
12	La Union	19	7	12	37%	73.2	78.7	-5.5
13	Argentino	19	7	12	37%	71.2	76.8	-5.6
14	Olimpico	19	6	13	32%	74.6	77.6	-3.0
15	Weber Bahia	19	5	14	26%	72.5	77.9	-5.4
16	Lanus	20	4	16	20%	69.0	74.4	-5.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Regatas	24	18	22	22	86
Libertad	8	16	23	29	76

← all games of the day

Regatas vs Libertad Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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