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Reggiana vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 79-70
25-24 17-19 20-13 17-14
Position#4
Record7-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#7
Record7-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game73.8
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4
European cup2021
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Reggiana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ReggianaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#10
W
72-56
72
56
+16
65avg 71
H12/12
Lega A
Kyiv Basket
#21
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
no box
A15/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#9
W
72-69
72
69
+3
62avg 71
A19/12
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
84-89
84
89
-5
79avg 71
H06/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
81-90
81
90
-9
74avg 71
H09/01
Lega A
Antwerp Giants
#23
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
H12/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#7
W
85-83 OT
85
83
+2
no box
A16/01
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
no box
A30/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
75-89
75
89
-14
57avg 71
A06/02
Lega A
Antwerp Giants
#23
L
59-101
59
101
-42
no box
A08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
15-15
25-9
14-16
13-11
20-15
14-21
23-23
20-7
19-23
13-23
20-16
22-20
20-20
19-20
23-29
23-19
26-23
16-27
16-21
20-18
25-19
21-21
20-14
18-17
15-23
15-15
22-15
18-12
26-24
13-30
25-16
14-23
17-17
16-19
28-30
16-28
9-16
10-32
24-25
161.3Avg total
79.2Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.678.9159.5+1.770%
Season at home (4)83.871.5155.2+12.2100%
Season away (6)78.583.8162.3-5.350%
Last 10 (10)79.282.1161.3-2.960%
Last 5 (5)80.687.6168.2-7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.679.1156.7-1.629%
vs Similar ◀ (16)79.682.5162.1-2.950%
vs Weaker (7)85.371.6156.9+13.786%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#10
L
76-83
76
83
-7
68avg 79
A18/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
93-79
93
79
+14
86avg 79
H23/12
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
77-68
77
68
+9
77avg 79
H26/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
W
92-82
92
82
+10
86avg 79
A30/12
BBL
Bonn
#2
W
81-76
81
76
+5
73avg 79
H02/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#14
L
91-100
91
100
-9
no box
A07/01
BBL
Kyiv Basket
#21
L
71-73
71
73
-2
no box
A12/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#11
W
97-86
97
86
+11
100avg 79
H22/01
BBL
Antwerp Giants
#23
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
A02/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Kyiv Basket
#21
W
82-62
82
62
+20
no box
H08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
28-24
11-21
16-16
20-21
23-22
26-16
24-20
22-11
18-26
20-13
17-18
27-20
23-21
24-18
18-23
9-26
28-21
21-11
23-18
15-17
25-41
28-17
23-25
16-20
23-16
19-14
13-23
31-17
22-24
19-14
25-31
17-15
31-21
20-18
11-15
28-8
11-15
16-14
27-25
161.7Avg total
83.9Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.573.8155.4+7.764%
Season at home (6)80.875.7156.5+5.250%
Season away (5)82.471.6154.0+10.880%
Last 10 (10)83.977.8161.7+6.170%
Last 5 (5)84.078.0162.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.471.4151.8+9.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (11)87.483.5170.8+3.964%
vs Weaker (13)85.577.9163.5+7.654%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
ReggianaCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#10
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H12/12
Lega A
Kyiv Basket
#21
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A15/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#9
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A19/12
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H06/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H09/01
Lega A
Antwerp Giants
#23
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H12/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#7
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A16/01
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A30/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/02
Lega A
Antwerp Giants
#23
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
74.0Avg total
37.4Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.837.776.5+1.160%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.537.476.9+2.269%-
Last 30 away (17)38.237.976.1+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)37.436.674.0+0.870%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.475.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.339.980.1+0.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.538.976.4-1.450%-
vs Weaker (7)40.132.772.9+7.4100%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#10
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A18/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H23/12
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H26/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A30/12
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H02/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#14
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A07/01
BBL
Kyiv Basket
#21
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A12/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#11
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H22/01
BBL
Antwerp Giants
#23
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A02/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Kyiv Basket
#21
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
84.6Avg total
43.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.439.883.2+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.539.480.9+2.147%-
Last 30 away (13)45.840.486.2+5.569%-
Last 10 (10)43.840.884.6+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.882.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.836.278.0+5.680%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)45.043.588.5+1.536%-
vs Weaker (13)43.238.681.8+4.662%-
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.016.6
46.1%
52.5%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.3
33.9%
34.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.412.9
74.1%
73.2%12.9
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.420.1
58.4%
52.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.9
38.5%
34.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.215.6
81.2%
73.2%15.6
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Reggiana
LLWWWLLWWW
Crailsheim Merlins
WWWLLWWWWL
#4
League position
#7
-5.6
Net rating
+7.1
104.0
Offensive rating
116.0
109.6
Defensive rating
109.0
48.2%
Effective FG%
58.2%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
16.1%
Turnover %
16.2%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.9%
3-point %
38.5%
69.1%
Assist %
62.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 116.0Defence109.6 · 109.0Shooting48.2% · 58.2%3-point %33.9% · 38.5%Ball care16.1% · 16.2%Off. rebounds30.4% · 22.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Reggiana   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Reggiana wins
0
Crailsheim Merlins wins
DateGameScore
08/12/21Crailsheim Merlins v Reggiana80-84
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/22AAntwerp Giants59-101
06/02/22ABrindisi75-89
30/01/22ATortona98-93 OT
16/01/22ATrieste85-83 OT
12/01/22HAntwerp Giants86-72
09/01/22HVirtus Bologna81-90
06/01/22HTortona84-89
19/12/21APesaro72-69
15/12/21AKyiv Basket80-79 OT
12/12/21HBrindisi72-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/22HKyiv Basket82-62
02/02/22AAntwerp Giants79-69
22/01/22HOldenburg97-86
12/01/22AKyiv Basket71-73
07/01/22AHeidelberg91-100
02/01/22HBonn81-76
30/12/21AChemnitz92-82
26/12/21HBayern77-68
23/12/21HBamberg93-79
18/12/21AGottingen76-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Reggiana
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL70%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %70%100%50%
Points / game80.683.878.5
Allowed / game78.971.583.8
Point differential+1.7+12.2-5.3
Avg total159.5155.2162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %10%0%17%
Crailsheim Merlins
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%50%80%
Points / game81.580.882.4
Allowed / game73.875.771.6
Point differential+7.7+5.2+10.8
Avg total155.4156.5154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%33%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.1211192%84.173.9+10.2
2 Saratov119282%92.480.3+12.1
3 Legia119282%77.870.9+6.9
4 Sporting CP118373%78.669.7+8.9
5 Reggiana107370%80.678.9+1.7
6 Leiden128467%79.879.8-0.1
7 Benfica149564%78.976.2+2.6
8 Crailsheim Merlins117464%81.573.8+7.7
9 Parma Perm117464%83.977.5+6.5
10 CSM Oradea117464%71.670.6+1.0
11 Kyiv Basket116555%74.676.2-1.5
12 Szedeak21150%84.580.0+4.5
13 Bayreuth147750%83.181.4+1.6
14 FC Porto84450%70.570.0+0.5
15 Ironi Eilat63350%82.882.3+0.5
16 Parnu21150%77.076.5+0.5
17 Hapoel Haifa21150%80.080.0+0.0
18 London Lions126650%80.382.1-1.8
19 Swans Gmunden21150%68.070.0-2.0
20 Nes Ziona21150%78.080.5-2.5
21 Ionikos63350%78.382.8-4.5
22 Bakken Bears115645%86.485.0+1.4
23 Antwerp Giants125742%80.378.9+1.4
24 Donar Groningen83538%72.474.6-2.2
25 Iraklis83538%74.078.8-4.8
26 Trefl Sopot145936%75.776.6-0.9
27 Mornar Bar62433%80.778.3+2.3
28 Belfius Mons62433%72.376.8-4.5
29 Basket Zaragoza62433%80.785.8-5.2
30 Peristeri62433%74.379.5-5.2
31 Den Bosch62433%73.380.0-6.7
32 Rilski Sportist62433%79.285.8-6.7
33 Minsk62433%80.588.5-8.0
34 Szolnoki Olaj61517%68.575.2-6.7
35 Opava61517%81.788.7-7.0
36 Gilboa Galil61517%73.891.8-18.0
37 Enisey1010%80.085.0-5.0
38 Vienna Basket1010%67.072.0-5.0
39 BC Dnipro1010%82.088.0-6.0
40 Voluntari1010%77.083.0-6.0
41 Keravnos1010%58.070.0-12.0
42 Kapfenberg Bulls6060%72.087.5-15.5
43 TFT Skopje1010%76.092.0-16.0
44 Academic Plovdiv1010%75.095.0-20.0
45 Kumanovo1010%60.083.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 45 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Reggiana2517201779
Crailsheim Merlins2419131470
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