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Crailsheim Merlins vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 77-68
22-11 18-26 20-13 17-18
Position#8
Record7-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Position#3
Record10-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game73.7
GermanyBBLRound 13
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Bayern
22 Oct 2023
CME62
BAY97
23 Apr 2023
CME69
BAY78
26 Dec 2021
CME77
BAY68
25 May 2021
CME72
BAY86
23 May 2021
CME96
BAY82
21 Mar 2021
CME74
BAY79
26 Oct 2020
CME63
BAY80
08 Jun 2020
CME79
BAY110
15 Apr 2020
CME v BAY
upcoming
04 Nov 2018
CME71
BAY96
22 Apr 2016
CME78
BAY89
23 Nov 2014
CME66
BAY103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Minsk
#33
W
95-72
95
72
+23
no box
A10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#6
W
82-79
82
79
+3
no box
H14/11
German Cup
Peristeri
#30
W
78-55
78
55
+23
no box
H17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#7
W
90-73
90
73
+17
94avg 79
H20/11
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
73-80
73
80
-7
60avg 79
A05/12
BBL
Reggiana
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
no box
H08/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
72-61
72
61
+11
66avg 79
H11/12
BBL
Antwerp Giants
#23
W
91-86
91
86
+5
no box
H15/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#10
L
76-83
76
83
-7
68avg 79
A18/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
93-79
93
79
+14
86avg 79
H23/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
32-16
19-18
16-15
23-16
20-23
24-14
15-26
22-17
22-8
16-15
18-15
17-18
34-12
17-21
22-22
21-14
14-21
18-20
20-25
17-22
20-16
22-23
21-23
22-13
16-15
19-11
15-22
21-19
23-26
27-29
20-12
21-22
28-24
11-21
16-16
20-21
23-22
26-16
24-20
158.2Avg total
83.0Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.282.1170.2+6.158%
Season at home (6)88.280.0168.2+8.283%
Season away (6)88.284.2172.3+4.033%
Last 10 (10)83.075.2158.2+7.870%
Last 5 (5)82.478.6161.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)82.475.8158.2+6.680%
vs Similar (14)83.483.4166.8+0.150%
vs Weaker (10)86.877.8164.6+9.060%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#6
L
74-77
74
77
-3
66avg 74
A25/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
73-65
73
65
+8
68avg 74
H02/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
82-68
82
68
+14
75avg 74
A04/12
BBL
Heidelberg
#14
W
77-71
77
71
+6
74avg 74
H06/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
83-71
83
71
+12
84avg 74
H09/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
W
80-73
80
73
+7
77avg 74
A12/12
BBL
Olympiacos
#5
L
60-83
60
83
-23
44avg 74
A15/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#12
L
78-81
78
81
-3
no box
A17/12
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
75avg 74
H19/12
BBL
Baskonia
#15
L
76-81
76
81
-5
65avg 74
H23/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
17-14
16-24
17-21
12-20
27-18
19-16
15-11
20-23
27-17
20-12
15-16
20-16
13-17
19-25
25-13
27-23
17-15
22-26
17-7
16-22
25-16
19-18
20-17
10-26
14-23
13-16
23-18
21-20
24-26
22-19
11-16
23-15
19-25
18-15
19-23
13-25
29-21
13-21
21-14
151.0Avg total
76.2Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.373.7155.0+7.783%
Season at home (6)83.276.5159.7+6.783%
Season away (6)79.570.8150.3+8.783%
Last 10 (10)76.274.8151.0+1.460%
Last 5 (5)74.679.2153.8-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.079.0151.0-7.025%
vs Similar (12)75.576.0151.5-0.542%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)80.272.9153.2+7.385%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
Crailsheim MerlinsBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#33
W
60-39
60
39
+21
A10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H14/11
German Cup
Peristeri
#30
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#7
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H20/11
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A05/12
BBL
Reggiana
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H08/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H11/12
BBL
Antwerp Giants
#23
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H15/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#10
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A18/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H23/12
BBL
81.2Avg total
44.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.183.1+2.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.839.981.8+1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)44.340.384.6+4.050%-
Last 10 (10)44.436.881.2+7.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.082.2+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)44.434.879.2+9.680%-
vs Similar (14)42.043.685.6-1.621%-
vs Weaker (10)44.438.582.9+5.960%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#6
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A25/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H02/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A04/12
BBL
Heidelberg
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H06/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H09/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A12/12
BBL
Olympiacos
#5
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A15/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#12
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A17/12
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H19/12
BBL
Baskonia
#15
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H23/12
Euroleague
79.8Avg total
39.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.478.3-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.238.577.7+0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)38.640.278.8-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)39.840.079.8-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.843.882.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.543.576.0-11.025%-
vs Similar (12)39.339.278.6+0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.237.878.1+2.454%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.920.9
61.7%
54.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.510.3
40.4%
35.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.914.1
78.8%
73.1%14.1
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.0
53.1%
54.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.3
34.4%
35.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.214.3
78.6%
73.1%14.3
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
WLWWLLWWWW
Bayern
LWLLWWWWWL
#8
League position
#3
+9.9
Net rating
+2.0
119.4
Offensive rating
109.7
109.5
Defensive rating
107.6
61.2%
Effective FG%
52.5%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
17.7%
Turnover %
19.7%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
40.4%
3-point %
34.4%
57.7%
Assist %
50.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence119.4 · 109.7Defence109.5 · 107.6Shooting61.2% · 52.5%3-point %40.4% · 34.4%Ball care17.7% · 19.7%Off. rebounds25.9% · 33.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Crailsheim Merlins wins
8
Bayern wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/21HBamberg93-79
18/12/21AGottingen76-83
15/12/21HAntwerp Giants91-86
11/12/21HLudwigsburg72-61
08/12/21HReggiana80-84
05/12/21AFrankfurt73-80
20/11/21HHamburg90-73
17/11/21HPeristeri78-55
14/11/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg82-79
10/11/21AMinsk95-72
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/21HBaskonia76-81
19/12/21HLudwigsburg79-78
17/12/21ACrvena zvezda78-81
15/12/21AOlympiacos60-83
12/12/21AAlba Berlin80-73
09/12/21HAnadolu Efes83-71
06/12/21HHeidelberg77-71
04/12/21ASyntainics MBC82-68
02/12/21HLyon-Villeurbanne73-65
25/11/21ACSKA Moscow74-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%83%33%
Points / game88.288.288.2
Allowed / game82.180.084.2
Point differential+6.1+8.2+4.0
Avg total170.2168.2172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %17%17%17%
Bayern
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%83%83%
Points / game81.383.279.5
Allowed / game73.776.570.8
Point differential+7.7+6.7+8.7
Avg total155.0159.7150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern1210283%81.373.7+7.7
2 Bonn1210283%87.079.5+7.5
3 Gottingen107370%78.678.5+0.1
4 Hamburg128467%84.878.3+6.4
5 Alba Berlin117464%82.174.0+8.1
6 Ulm117464%83.079.6+3.4
7 Chemnitz117464%79.379.7-0.5
8 Crailsheim Merlins127558%88.282.1+6.1
9 Ludwigsburg127558%79.975.7+4.2
10 Bayreuth115645%79.683.1-3.5
11 Basketball Braunschweig125742%86.687.3-0.8
12 Bamberg125742%82.987.5-4.6
13 Syntainics MBC114736%85.490.1-4.7
14 Heidelberg124833%75.477.7-2.2
15 s.Oliver Wurzburg113827%80.886.3-5.5
16 Frankfurt123925%71.683.8-12.2
17 Giessen1331023%78.284.2-6.1
18 Oldenburg112918%80.784.3-3.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins2218201777
Bayern1126131868
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