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Pesaro vs Reggiana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-72
7-20 23-19 23-13 16-20
Position#9
Record4-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#8
Record5-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game77.8
ItalyLega ARound 12
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Pesaro v Reggiana
24 Mar 2024
PES69
REG87
05 Feb 2023
PES85
REG74
19 Dec 2021
PES69
REG72
22 Nov 2020
PES84
REG63
27 Oct 2019
PES65
REG90
05 May 2019
PES73
REG100
27 Jan 2018
PES96
REG104
19 Mar 2017
PES81
REG91
14 Feb 2016
PES90
REG80
15 Feb 2015
PES75
REG74
26 Dec 2013
PES66
REG99
03 Mar 2013
PES65
REG68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Reggiana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Trieste
#7
W
74-61
74
61
+13
70avg 73
H06/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
66-87
66
87
-21
58avg 73
A10/10
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
81-90
81
90
-9
72avg 73
H17/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
68-77
68
77
-9
65avg 73
A23/10
Lega A
Trento
#14
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 73
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
68avg 73
A06/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
L
83-100
83
100
-17
64avg 73
H13/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
88-84
88
84
+4
89avg 73
A21/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
94-75
94
75
+19
84avg 73
H05/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
73-63
73
63
+10
70avg 73
A11/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
18-15
20-18
20-14
15-20
15-17
16-21
20-29
19-26
20-26
12-12
30-26
19-14
21-16
19-21
9-26
17-15
10-25
26-21
22-18
21-18
20-30
18-17
16-23
15-25
30-28
15-23
23-24
19-18
19-20
25-18
25-28
25-19
28-18
23-22
18-16
26-17
17-15
12-19
18-12
158.1Avg total
77.7Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.379.9157.2-2.636%
Season at home (5)81.481.0162.4+0.440%
Season away (6)73.879.0152.8-5.233%
Last 10 (10)77.780.4158.1-2.740%
Last 5 (5)82.682.0164.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.182.9154.0-11.89%
vs Similar ◀ (17)82.683.7166.3-1.147%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
Gilboa Galil
#36
W
87-70
87
70
+17
no box
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#6
L
74-94
74
94
-20
60avg 68
A07/11
Lega A
Saratov
#2
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
H10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A14/11
Lega A
Basket Zaragoza
#29
L
77-82
77
82
-5
no box
A17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
W
80-61
80
61
+19
67avg 68
H21/11
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
76-86
76
86
-10
68avg 68
A05/12
Lega A
Crailsheim Merlins
#7
W
84-80
84
80
+4
no box
A08/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#10
W
72-56
72
56
+16
65avg 68
H12/12
Lega A
Kyiv Basket
#21
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
no box
A15/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
26-18
20-19
22-15
17-25
16-28
12-24
29-17
18-15
18-24
21-21
23-17
24-17
21-32
18-18
11-17
22-14
14-16
21-28
20-24
26-13
14-15
23-12
17-21
13-16
24-22
14-16
25-32
22-17
16-20
23-22
23-21
18-16
15-15
25-9
14-16
13-11
20-15
14-21
23-23
155.3Avg total
78.4Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.977.8158.7+3.145%
Season at home (5)77.269.8147.0+7.460%
Season away (6)84.084.5168.5-0.533%
Last 10 (10)78.476.9155.3+1.560%
Last 5 (5)78.472.4150.8+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.679.3154.9-3.822%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.778.6158.3+1.154%
vs Weaker (8)84.671.0155.6+13.688%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
PesaroReggiana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#7
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H06/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A10/10
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H17/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A23/10
Lega A
Trento
#14
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A06/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H13/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H05/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A11/12
Lega A
78.6Avg total
39.0Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.279.8-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.841.379.1-3.546%-
Last 30 away (17)39.241.180.3-1.841%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.678.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.685.6+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.039.575.5-3.545%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.141.482.5-0.247%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gilboa Galil
#36
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#6
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A07/11
Lega A
Saratov
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A14/11
Lega A
Basket Zaragoza
#29
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H21/11
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A05/12
Lega A
Crailsheim Merlins
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A08/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#10
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H12/12
Lega A
Kyiv Basket
#21
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A15/12
FIBA Europe Cup
74.3Avg total
37.6Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.877.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.937.575.4+0.457%-
Last 30 away (16)40.338.178.4+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)37.636.774.3+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.068.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.041.380.3-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.538.777.2-0.246%-
vs Weaker (8)40.432.472.8+8.0100%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.3
49.9%
51.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.6
33.9%
35.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.912.5
74.0%
74.7%12.5
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.1
50.0%
51.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.9
36.6%
35.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.614.0
79.5%
74.7%14.0
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WWWLLLLLLW
Reggiana
WWWLWLLWLW
#9
League position
#8
-3.4
Net rating
+4.9
104.6
Offensive rating
110.4
108.0
Defensive rating
105.5
50.2%
Effective FG%
51.9%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
18.0%
Turnover %
14.9%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.9%
3-point %
36.6%
55.6%
Assist %
68.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 110.4Defence108.0 · 105.5Shooting50.2% · 51.9%3-point %33.9% · 36.6%Ball care18.0% · 14.9%Off. rebounds31.0% · 28.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Pesaro   ■ Reggiana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
7
Reggiana wins
DateGameScore
29/03/21Reggiana v Pesaro91-79
22/11/20Pesaro v Reggiana84-63
27/10/19Pesaro v Reggiana65-90
05/05/19Pesaro v Reggiana73-100
06/01/19Reggiana v Pesaro108-66
27/01/18Pesaro v Reggiana96-104
08/10/17Reggiana v Pesaro95-102
19/03/17Pesaro v Reggiana81-91
20/11/16Reggiana v Pesaro87-80
14/02/16Pesaro v Reggiana90-80
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/21ATreviso73-63
05/12/21HVarese94-75
21/11/21ACremona88-84
13/11/21HBasket Napoli83-100
06/11/21AVirtus Bologna75-88
31/10/21HTrento75-79
23/10/21AVenezia68-77
17/10/21HTortona81-90
10/10/21AFortitudo Bologna66-87
06/10/21HTrieste74-61
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/21AKyiv Basket80-79 OT
12/12/21HBrindisi72-56
08/12/21ACrailsheim Merlins84-80
05/12/21ATreviso76-86
21/11/21HBrescia80-61
17/11/21ABasket Zaragoza77-82
14/11/21AOlimpia Milano74-84
10/11/21HSaratov80-77
07/11/21AVenezia74-94
03/11/21AGilboa Galil87-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW36%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game77.381.473.8
Allowed / game79.981.079.0
Point differential-2.6+0.4-5.2
Avg total157.2162.4152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Reggiana
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW45%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game80.977.284.0
Allowed / game77.869.884.5
Point differential+3.1+7.4-0.5
Avg total158.7147.0168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1211192%82.667.3+15.2
2 Virtus Bologna1210283%90.779.1+11.6
3 Trento128467%79.478.3+1.1
4 Basket Napoli127558%84.083.6+0.4
5 Trieste127558%75.077.6-2.6
6 Brindisi116555%79.780.0-0.3
7 Treviso116555%77.478.1-0.7
8 Tortona126650%79.680.9-1.3
9 Reggiana115645%80.977.8+3.1
10 Venezia125742%77.278.2-0.9
11 Pesaro114736%77.379.9-2.6
12 Brescia114736%76.579.5-3.0
13 Sassari114736%77.381.7-4.5
14 Cremona113827%80.083.7-3.7
15 Varese113827%76.388.1-11.8
16 Fortitudo Bologna123925%80.182.0-1.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro723231669
Reggiana2019132072
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