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The NBA lost its home court. The EuroLeague never did.

Fifteen seasons and 25,780 games. NBA home teams win less often than they used to. EuroLeague home teams win as often as ever, except in the one season their fans were locked out.
Home teams win, last 5 seasons
63.6%
EuroLeague
Home teams win, last 5 seasons
55.5%
NBA
Empty arenas
56.7%
EuroLeague, 2020-21
Wins at home v away
65% v 22%
Baskonia

The short version

  • EuroLeague home teams win 63.6% of games, about 2 in every 3. NBA home teams win 55.5%, a little over half. Both over the last five seasons.
  • The NBA's home advantage has shrunk. From 2010 to 2019 its home teams won 59.1% of games. The EuroLeague's figure has hardly moved (62.9% then, 63.6% now).
  • In 2020-21, with no fans, EuroLeague home teams won only 56.7%. The next season, with fans back, it was 64.9% again.
  • The NBA's drop started before the empty arenas. In 2019-20, before the pandemic stopped play, home teams already won only 53.9%.
  • Baskonia win 64.8% at home and 21.6% away, the biggest gap in the EuroLeague. The biggest in the NBA is Utah Jazz's: 47.9% against 28.6%.

Home teams win 63.6% of EuroLeague games: about 2 in every 3. In the NBA they win 55.5%, only a little more than half. NBA games are 48 minutes long and EuroLeague games 40, yet the EuroLeague home side wins by more points.

It was not always so far apart. Ten years ago NBA home teams won about 59% of the time. Then the number fell, and it has not come back.

63.6%EuroLeague home wins1,673 games, 2021-26
55.5%NBA home wins6,903 games, 2021-26
+3.8EuroLeague home marginpoints a game, 40 minutes
+2.1NBA home marginpoints a game, 48 minutes (+1.7 per 40)
All numbers are from 9 November 2026: 25,780 NBA and EuroLeague games, seasons 2010-11 to 2025-26. Regular season and playoffs; no preseason, friendlies or All-Star games; the NBA's 2020 Orlando bubble left out (no home court).

1. The NBA's home advantage shrank. The EuroLeague's did not

Home teams' share of wins, every season since 2010-11.

A home team that wins half its games has no home advantage at all. Every point above 50% is the advantage of playing at home.

NBAEuroLeague
2010-11
61.3%65.1%
2011-12
59.4%63.4%
2012-13
61.4%60.4%
2013-14
57.4%62.7%
2014-15
57.5%62.4%
2015-16
59.4%64.4%
2016-17
58.1%62.2%
2017-18
58.2%63.5%
2018-19
59.0%62.7%
2019-20
53.9%cancelled
2020-21
54.5%56.7%
2021-22
55.3%64.9%
2022-23
57.3%62.5%
2023-24
54.9%64.5%
2024-25
54.7%62.0%
2025-26
55.4%64.1%
Home teams' share of wins by season. NBA 59.1% in 2010-19, 55.5% since 2021. EuroLeague 62.9% then, 63.6% now. The 2019-20 EuroLeague season was cancelled.
The gap between the two leagues has grown to 8.1 points

From 2010 to 2019 the EuroLeague's home teams won 3.8 points more often than the NBA's. Over the last five seasons the gap is 8.1 points.

What it means

With no home advantage, home teams would win 50 games in every 100. NBA home teams now win about 6 more than that. EuroLeague home teams win about 14 more.

Result split
54%
46%
■ Home wins   ■ Away wins (overtime included; basketball has no draws)
This EuroLeague season, home and away wins. Live page, it will have changed since. Open the EuroLeague page.
Result split
52%
48%
■ Home wins   ■ Away wins (overtime included; basketball has no draws)
The same split for this NBA season. Open the NBA page.

2. Take the fans away and the EuroLeague's home advantage goes

2020-21: most of the season was played in empty arenas.

The EuroLeague played 2020-21 almost entirely behind closed doors. Its home teams won 56.7% of games, the lowest in our 15 seasons. The next season the fans came back, and so did the advantage: 64.9%.

EuroLeague
2016-19
62.8%
2020-21
56.7%
2021-26
63.6%
Liga ACB (Spain)
2016-19
62.3%
2020-21
56.1%
2021-26
60.0%
ABA League (Adriatic)
2016-19
64.4%
2020-21
57.9%
2021-26
61.3%
Lega A (Italy)
2016-19
63.4%
2020-21
56.4%
2021-26
61.6%
Greek Basket League
2016-19
63.9%
2020-21
63.4%
2021-26
62.7%
LNB Elite (France)
2016-19
61.5%
2020-21
60.7%
2021-26
60.3%
Champions League (FIBA)
2016-19
57.8%
2020-21
61.0%
2021-26
58.4%
Home teams' share of wins: 2016-19, the 2020-21 season, and 2021-26. Red is 2020-21.
Some leagues dipped. Some did not
  • Dipped in 2020-21: Liga ACB (56.1%), ABA League (57.9%), Lega A (56.4%).
  • Hardly moved: Greek Basket League (63.4%), LNB Elite (60.7%), Champions League (61.0%).
The NBA had already dropped

NBA home teams won 59.0% in 2018-19. In 2019-20, before the pandemic stopped play, it was 53.9%. In 2020-21, mostly without fans, 54.5%. The fall came first, the empty arenas second.

What it means

In the EuroLeague the crowd looks like most of the home advantage. In the NBA, something else was already changing.

Winning margin, home side

6%11%17%22%13%-189%-1222%-610%+020%+66%+1215%+184%+24
% of games; positive = home win. Average home margin +3.1, average winning margin 10.7.
How much EuroLeague home sides win by, this season. Open the EuroLeague page.

Winning margin, home side

4%8%12%16%2%-362%-305%-248%-1814%-1216%-611%+015%+610%+128%+183%+242%+302%+360%+42
% of games; positive = home win. Average home margin +1.7, average winning margin 13.3.
The same for the NBA: narrower, and more often a loss. Open the NBA page.

3. Where it lives: Baskonia win 65% at home and 22% away

EuroLeague teams with 40 or more home games, 2021-22 to 2025-26.
  • Home wins: the share of home games the team won.
  • Away wins: the share of away games it won.
  • Gap: home wins minus away wins, in percentage points.
#TeamHomeAwayGapGames
1Baskonia
64.8%
21.6%
43.2
176
2Maccabi Tel Aviv
69.2%
29.8%
39.4
185
3Bayern
60.5%
26.4%
34.1
177
4Fenerbahce
74.2%
42.1%
32.1
188
5Anadolu Efes
64.4%
34.0%
30.4
184
6Zalgiris Kaunas
59.6%
30.3%
29.3
178
7Real Madrid
81.2%
52.6%
28.6
196
8Panathinaikos
65.3%
37.4%
27.9
186
9Olympiacos
80.2%
54.1%
26.1
199
10Olimpia Milano
62.1%
36.0%
26.1
176
11Partizan
61.1%
35.6%
25.5
145
12Crvena zvezda
59.3%
34.1%
25.2
174
13Barcelona
74.3%
49.5%
24.8
196
14Valencia
62.5%
38.9%
23.6
110
15Monaco
70.3%
47.5%
22.8
200
16Virtus Bologna
50.0%
27.8%
22.2
142
17Alba Berlin
33.8%
17.6%
16.2
136
18Lyon-Villeurbanne
35.6%
20.0%
15.6
172
All 18 teams, ordered by the gap: home wins minus away wins, in percentage points. Longer, darker bars are bigger numbers.
16 of 18 EuroLeague teams win at least 20 points more often at home

The biggest NBA gap over the same seasons is Utah Jazz's: 47.9% at home, 28.6% away, 19.3 points. Baskonia's is 43.2.

What it means

The best teams win anywhere: Real Madrid win 52.6% away and Olympiacos 54.1%. Even Alba Berlin, who win only 33.8% at home, win about half as often on the road.

Home v away – all metrics
HOME n=22AWAY n=22
99.2
Points / game
86.2
85.0
Allowed / game
87.2
184.2
Game total
173.4
86%
Win %
55%
+14.1
Margin
-1.0
47.8
1st half scored
39.9
68%
Won the 1st half
41%
59%
Won by 10+
9%
Baskonia this season, home against away on every measure. Live page. Open Baskonia's page.
Home v away – all metrics
HOME n=19AWAY n=20
97.4
Points / game
91.0
80.8
Allowed / game
73.5
178.2
Game total
164.4
100%
Win %
90%
+16.6
Margin
+17.5
49.4
1st half scored
44.3
89%
Won the 1st half
85%
79%
Won by 10+
75%
Olympiacos: a strong team at home and away. Open Olympiacos's page.

4. The NBA sits near the bottom of 13 leagues

Home teams' share of wins, 2021-22 to 2025-26.

The same measure for the leagues we cover most closely. Each name opens that league's page.

Highest: EuroLeague, Greek Basket League, Lega A (Italy). Lowest: the NBA and VTB United League and LKL (Lithuania).
Three European competitions lead. The NBA is in the bottom three

EuroLeague, Greek Basket League, Lega A (Italy) are all above 62%. The NBA (55.5%) is third from bottom, just above the VTB League and Lithuania's LKL.

What it means

Each league's own page shows its home win share season by season, so you can watch the number move.

Metric2022-232023-242024-252025-262026-27Trend
Points / game155.6157.3163.3168.0157.2
Home win %69%62%63%60%62%
Home margin4.93.25.82.44.7
Overtime %3%4%4%4%5%
Blowouts (15+)41%43%34%35%38%
Close games (5 or fewer)22%23%24%22%24%
1st half total77.678.781.384.378.0
3-point attempt rate42%40%42%41%42%
Pace73.473.673.674.7-
Every season with the same three lines; the current season so far. Trend = left to right, oldest to newest.
The Greek league, season by season: its home win share sits above 60%. Open the Greek league page.
Metric2022-232023-242024-252025-262026-27Trend
Points / game156.2159.4160.3162.2168.3
Home win %55%55%55%53%65%
Home margin2.01.22.71.56.7
Overtime %6%4%2%5%4%
Blowouts (15+)43%30%50%42%58%
Close games (5 or fewer)27%27%20%24%15%
1st half total78.580.381.182.184.6
Every season with the same three lines; the current season so far. Trend = left to right, oldest to newest.
The VTB League, one of the lowest in Europe. Open the VTB League page.

5. Our own record: does Pythia expect the right home advantage?

Our forecasts made before each game, 28 October to 8 November 2026.

Our model learns home advantage from the past, league by league. Before each game it gave the home team a chance of winning. On average that was 58.6% for EuroLeague home teams and 53.8% for NBA home teams. So it already expects a bigger home advantage in Europe.

EuroLeague
Pythia expected
58.6%
Home teams won
50.0%
NBA
Pythia expected
53.8%
Home teams won
51.1%
EuroLeague: 24 games. NBA: 90 games. Both too few to judge.
So far, home teams have won less often than we expected

EuroLeague home teams won 50.0% of 24 games, and NBA home teams 51.1% of 90. That is two weeks of games. A run of 24 games can swing this much by chance.

What it means

We publish this every day, good weeks and bad. See how we score ourselves.

Is the EuroLeague's home advantage finally slipping? In the first 100 games of this season, home teams have won only 52.0%. NBA home teams are at 52.4% after 212. A hundred games is a small sample, and it was 64.9% the season the fans came back. We will check again at the halfway point.
Metric20222023202420252026Trend
Points / game161.5163.2167.8172.0173.9
Home win %62%65%62%64%54%
Home margin4.44.03.43.53.1
Overtime %5%5%4%4%5%
Blowouts (15+)25%26%23%23%32%
Close games (5 or fewer)35%34%30%30%31%
1st half total80.982.183.386.386.4
3-point attempt rate41%41%41%42%41%
Pace70.671.972.674.3-
Every season with the same three lines; the current season so far. Trend = left to right, oldest to newest.
The EuroLeague season by season, including this one. Live page. Open the EuroLeague page.

Want to see home court in tonight's games? Every game on PythiaBasketball has its own page with both teams' home and away form, their head-to-head record, and Pythia's forecast, made before the game and never changed after it. They are free to read. Today's games · EuroLeague · NBA.

The next EuroLeague games, each with its own page. See every upcoming game.

How we count. Finished games only, regular season and playoffs, from the 2010-11 season to the 2025-26 season; the current season is shown on its own. A neutral-venue game counts as a home game for the team listed first, except the NBA's 2020 Orlando bubble, which is left out. The 2019-20 EuroLeague season was cancelled. Winning margins include overtime. Team tables need 40 or more home games. Causes are offered as questions, not facts. Everything here is free to use with a link.

18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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