Riachuelo vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Apr 2024

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 82-77

29-18 16-21 23-18 14-20

Position#14

Record13-16

FormLLLWW

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game81.9

Riachuelo 🏆

Boca Juniors

Position#4

Record17-10

FormLWLLW

Points / game81.0

Allowed / game75.1

Liga A

Other2023-24

Meetings · Riachuelo v Boca Juniors

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Riachuelo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Boca Juniors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Riachuelo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormRiachuelo

Date

Competition

Quimsa

73-85

-12

59avg 74

A08/02

Liga A

Olimpico

71-72

-1

64avg 74

A10/02

Liga A

Zarate

#15

89-74

+15

86avg 74

H15/02

Liga A

San Martin

67-81

-14

57avg 74

A01/03

Liga A

Regatas

#10

90-88 OT

no box

A03/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

77-81

-4

71avg 74

H08/03

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

101-108

101

108

-7

90avg 74

H09/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

72-94

-22

65avg 74

A26/03

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

80-76

80avg 74

A28/03

Liga A

Penarol

#11

93-78

+15

86avg 74

H06/04

Liga A

25-22

20-18

12-25

16-20

23-22

16-19

19-16

13-15

19-12

16-20

26-22

28-20

19-27

18-15

9-19

21-20

14-23

21-17

26-13

7-15

12-21

20-22

23-20

22-18

24-29

29-25

25-29

23-25

24-17

11-28

23-23

14-26

24-23

16-20

13-16

27-17

21-19

19-17

27-25

26-17

165.0Avg total

81.3Scored

83.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	81.5	81.9	163.4	-0.3	45%
Season at home (13)	87.5	84.2	171.6	+3.3	46%
Season away (16)	76.7	80.0	156.7	-3.3	44%
Last 10 (10)	81.3	83.7	165.0	-2.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	87.4	172.0	-2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	80.1	88.9	169.0	-8.8	12%
vs Similar (19)	81.2	77.2	158.4	+3.9	58%
vs Weaker (3)	91.3	98.7	190.0	-7.3	33%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormJuniors

Date

Competition

Zarate

#15

88-66

+22

88avg 74

H06/02

Liga A

Flamengo

79-87

-8

72avg 74

H10/02

Champions League Americas

Hebraica y Macabi

89-76

+13

91avg 74

H12/02

Champions League Americas

Obras Sanitarias

86-72

+14

92avg 74

H17/02

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

98-73

+25

95avg 74

H02/03

Liga A

Quimsa

53-71

-18

38avg 74

A18/03

Liga A

Olimpico

77-75

70avg 74

A20/03

Liga A

Platense

69-82

-13

56avg 74

A23/03

Liga A

La Union

#16

81-83

-2

70avg 74

A29/03

Liga A

Ferro

#13

70-69

60avg 74

A04/04

Liga A

17-20

18-16

18-14

35-16

20-21

18-20

15-20

26-26

26-23

14-23

26-19

23-11

24-23

30-17

13-11

19-21

30-24

13-18

28-17

27-14

20-19

15-18

11-21

7-13

18-24

15-19

22-16

21-21

15-21

18-22

15-18

21-22

24-24

17-19

19-18

15-16

18-21

15-20

22-12

154.4Avg total

79.0Scored

75.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	81.0	75.1	156.1	+6.0	63%
Season at home (14)	82.0	74.3	156.3	+7.7	64%
Season away (13)	80.0	75.9	155.9	+4.1	62%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	75.4	154.4	+3.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	70.0	76.0	146.0	-6.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	73.7	71.3	145.0	+2.3	33%
vs Similar (7)	75.1	78.3	153.4	-3.1	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	82.0	75.6	157.6	+6.4	65%

This opponent (Riachuelo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RiachueloBoca Juniors

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	20.2	39.9	-0.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	21.8	21.5	43.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.1	68%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.7	28.0	45.7	-10.3	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.9	40.2	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.3	39.7	+1.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.3	42.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	20.0	37.3	-2.7	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.9	18.6	37.4	+0.3	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.2	20.4	41.5	+0.8	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.2	38.9	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	20.1	41.1	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	18.4	36.9	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.1	38.7	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	28.0	19.7	47.7	+8.3	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.9	37.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	19.1	37.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	19.7	37.7	-1.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.6	38.0	-3.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	19.0	36.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.9	20.6	38.4	-2.7	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.4	18.4	37.7	+1.0	55%	-

RiachueloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

45-40

A08/02

Liga A

Olimpico

39-41

-2

A10/02

Liga A

Zarate

#15

35-32

H15/02

Liga A

San Martin

37-42

-5

A01/03

Liga A

Regatas

#10

35-40

-5

A03/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

32-43

-11

H08/03

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

53-54

-1

H09/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

35-45

-10

A26/03

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

40-43

-3

A28/03

Liga A

Penarol

#11

40-36

H06/04

Liga A

80.7Avg total

39.1Scored

41.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	39.5	79.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.3	40.6	81.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.3	38.6	76.9	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	41.6	80.7	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	44.2	84.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	39.5	41.5	81.0	-2.0	38%	-
vs Similar (19)	38.8	37.4	76.2	+1.5	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	45.7	47.7	93.3	-2.0	33%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zarate

#15

35-36

-1

H06/02

Liga A

Flamengo

38-41

-3

H10/02

Champions League Americas

Hebraica y Macabi

40-46

-6

H12/02

Champions League Americas

Obras Sanitarias

54-40

+14

H17/02

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

43-42

H02/03

Liga A

Quimsa

35-37

-2

A18/03

Liga A

Olimpico

33-43

-10

A20/03

Liga A

Platense

36-42

-6

A23/03

Liga A

La Union

#16

45-46

-1

A29/03

Liga A

Ferro

#13

33-37

-4

A04/04

Liga A

80.2Avg total

39.2Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	38.8	77.9	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.3	38.1	77.5	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.8	39.5	78.3	-0.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	41.0	80.2	-1.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	41.0	77.4	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.7	39.0	73.7	-4.3	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	36.7	39.1	75.9	-2.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	40.5	38.7	79.2	+1.8	50%	-

This opponent (Riachuelo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.6	42.4	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	21.6	43.7	+0.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	21.6	41.3	-1.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.6	44.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.6	22.5	42.1	-2.9	25%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	53%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.0	28.3	53.3	-3.3	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.7	36.9	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	17.8	37.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	17.6	36.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.9	36.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	19.6	36.2	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	15.0	32.0	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+1.9	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.9	40.0	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	21.9	45.9	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	18.1	34.9	-1.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.1	22.8	42.9	-2.6	12%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.1	18.2	38.3	+1.9	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	22.7	43.3	-2.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.9	37.9	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	18.5	39.7	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	17.3	36.1	+1.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	16.5	38.0	+5.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	15.4	32.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.0	17.3	39.3	+4.7	67%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.0	16.9	33.9	+0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	41.4	82.5	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.1	43.5	89.6	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.6	39.6	76.2	-3.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	40.1	80.1	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	43.2	87.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	39.8	45.2	85.0	-5.5	25%	-
vs Similar (19)	40.8	38.3	79.2	+2.5	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	45.7	51.0	96.7	-5.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	35.6	74.8	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	36.3	77.3	+4.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	34.9	72.3	+2.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	34.4	74.2	+5.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	35.0	68.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.0	32.3	71.3	+6.7	67%	-
vs Similar (7)	36.0	35.9	71.9	+0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	40.4	36.0	76.3	+4.4	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Riachuelotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 71.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.3	16.0	51.1%	53.8%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.7	9.5	31.0%	32.9%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	14.2	11.2	78.8%	71.7%	11.2

They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	18.0	47.6%	53.8%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	7.2	29.1%	32.9%	21.5
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.3	75.4%	71.7%	15.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	18.0	47.6%	53.8%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	7.2	29.1%	32.9%	21.5
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.3	75.4%	71.7%	15.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Riachuelo wins

Boca Juniors wins

Date	Game	Score
05/12/23	Boca Juniors v Riachuelo	64-70
22/03/23	Boca Juniors v Riachuelo	95-86
18/12/22	Riachuelo v Boca Juniors	87-91
01/03/22	Boca Juniors v Riachuelo	70-71
08/02/22	Riachuelo v Boca Juniors	81-86

Riachuelolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/04/24	H	Penarol	93-78
28/03/24	A	Independiente de Oliva	80-76
26/03/24	A	Instituto de Cordoba	72-94
09/03/24	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	101-108
08/03/24	H	San Lorenzo	77-81
03/03/24	A	Regatas	90-88 OT
01/03/24	A	San Martin	67-81
15/02/24	H	Zarate	89-74
10/02/24	A	Olimpico	71-72
08/02/24	A	Quimsa	73-85

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/04/24	A	Ferro	70-69
29/03/24	A	La Union	81-83
23/03/24	A	Platense	69-82
20/03/24	A	Olimpico	77-75
18/03/24	A	Quimsa	53-71
02/03/24	H	Obera TC	98-73
17/02/24	H	Obras Sanitarias	86-72
12/02/24	H	Hebraica y Macabi	89-76
10/02/24	H	Flamengo	79-87
06/02/24	H	Zarate	88-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Riachuelo

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	45%
Home	LWLLW	46%
Away	LLWLW	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	13	16
Win %	45%	46%	44%
Points / game	81.5	87.5	76.7
Allowed / game	81.9	84.2	80.0
Point differential	-0.3	+3.3	-3.3
Avg total	163.4	171.6	156.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	38%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (10)	25% (4)	50% (6)
Overtime %	10%	8%	12%

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	63%
Home	WLWWW	64%
Away	LWLLW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	63%	64%	62%
Points / game	81.0	82.0	80.0
Allowed / game	75.1	74.3	75.9
Point differential	+6.0	+7.7	+4.1
Avg total	156.1	156.3	155.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	48%	57%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	0% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	11%	14%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	28	24	4	86%	85.3	78.7	+6.6
2	Olimpico	29	21	8	72%	84.1	76.3	+7.8
3	Instituto de Cordoba	30	21	9	70%	80.4	74.9	+5.4
4	Platense	27	18	9	67%	79.6	76.6	+3.0
5	Boca Juniors	27	17	10	63%	81.0	75.1	+6.0
6	San Lorenzo	28	17	11	61%	74.9	71.9	+3.0
7	Obras Sanitarias	28	17	11	61%	84.5	84.5	+0.0
8	San Martin	29	17	12	59%	76.8	72.3	+4.5
9	Gimnasia	28	16	12	57%	82.5	81.0	+1.5
10	Obera TC	29	15	14	52%	80.9	80.9	+0.1
11	Riachuelo	29	13	16	45%	81.5	81.9	-0.3
12	Regatas	30	13	17	43%	78.4	77.4	+1.0
13	Independiente de Oliva	28	12	16	43%	79.0	81.0	-2.1
14	Zarate	30	12	18	40%	72.1	77.4	-5.3
15	Ferro	29	11	18	38%	76.2	80.0	-3.9
16	Penarol	27	10	17	37%	77.5	82.3	-4.9
17	Comunicaciones Mercedes	29	9	20	31%	80.4	83.9	-3.5
18	La Union	29	8	21	28%	77.3	81.4	-4.2
19	Argentino	29	8	21	28%	73.6	80.5	-6.9
20	Union De Santa Fe	29	7	22	24%	78.3	85.6	-7.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Riachuelo	29	16	23	14	82
Boca Juniors	18	21	18	20	77

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Riachuelo vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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