Riachuelo vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Apr 2024

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 93-78

21-19 19-17 27-25 26-17

Position#14

Record12-16

FormWLLLW

Points / game81.1

Allowed / game82.0

Riachuelo 🏆

Penarol

Position#11

Record10-16

FormLLWLW

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game81.9

Liga A

Other2023-24

Meetings · Riachuelo v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Riachuelo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Riachuelo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormRiachuelo

Date

Competition

Platense

72-76

-4

62avg 73

H02/02

Liga A

Quimsa

73-85

-12

59avg 73

A08/02

Liga A

Olimpico

71-72

-1

64avg 73

A10/02

Liga A

Zarate

#15

89-74

+15

86avg 73

H15/02

Liga A

San Martin

67-81

-14

57avg 73

A01/03

Liga A

Regatas

#10

90-88 OT

no box

A03/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

77-81

-4

71avg 73

H08/03

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

101-108

101

108

-7

90avg 73

H09/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

72-94

-22

65avg 73

A26/03

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

80-76

80avg 73

A28/03

Liga A

19-16

15-19

22-21

16-20

25-22

20-18

12-25

16-20

23-22

16-19

19-16

13-15

19-12

16-20

26-22

28-20

19-27

18-15

9-19

21-20

14-23

21-17

26-13

7-15

12-21

20-22

23-20

22-18

24-29

29-25

25-29

23-25

24-17

11-28

23-23

14-26

24-23

16-20

13-16

27-17

162.7Avg total

79.2Scored

83.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	81.1	82.0	163.1	-0.9	43%
Season at home (12)	87.0	84.7	171.7	+2.3	42%
Season away (16)	76.7	80.0	156.7	-3.3	44%
Last 10 (10)	79.2	83.5	162.7	-4.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	89.4	173.4	-5.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	82.3	89.8	172.1	-7.4	22%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	80.5	77.2	157.7	+3.3	56%
vs Weaker (3)	91.3	98.7	190.0	-7.3	33%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPenarol

Date

Competition

Union De Santa Fe

#19

103-75

103

+28

105avg 67

H24/01

Liga A

San Martin

56-73

-17

50avg 67

A03/02

Liga A

La Union

#16

79-83

-4

70avg 67

A05/02

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

80-74

65avg 67

A11/02

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

83-74

68avg 67

A13/02

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

67-74

-7

61avg 67

A15/02

Liga A

Olimpico

73-82

-9

59avg 67

H05/03

Liga A

La Union

#16

79-61

+18

82avg 67

H07/03

Liga A

Zarate

#15

64-78

-14

56avg 67

H10/03

Liga A

Regatas

#10

88-76

+12

79avg 67

H24/03

Liga A

43-13

19-17

22-22

19-23

15-18

14-14

14-22

13-19

25-21

17-23

15-19

22-20

19-21

18-18

23-16

20-19

23-14

24-24

16-20

20-16

24-16

15-22

18-27

10-9

18-16

23-17

19-24

13-25

21-11

17-18

16-15

25-17

15-22

16-25

17-15

16-16

27-22

19-25

24-21

18-8

152.2Avg total

77.2Scored

75.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	77.5	81.9	159.4	-4.5	38%
Season at home (12)	81.3	81.8	163.2	-0.5	50%
Season away (14)	74.1	82.0	156.1	-7.9	29%
Last 10 (10)	77.2	75.0	152.2	+2.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	74.2	74.2	148.4	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	70.4	84.0	154.4	-13.6	12%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	82.0	85.1	167.1	-3.1	40%
vs Weaker (2)	86.0	75.0	161.0	+11.0	100%

This opponent (Riachuelo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RiachueloPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	20.2	39.9	-0.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.2	41.5	-0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.6	42.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.7	21.2	42.9	+0.4	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.6	18.6	38.1	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.7	28.0	45.7	-10.3	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.1	40.0	+1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.7	17.8	41.5	+5.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.8	20.1	38.9	-1.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	17.4	40.4	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.4	38.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.5	17.6	39.1	+3.9	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	20.0	38.5	-1.5	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.1	38.9	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	19.9	41.2	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	18.4	36.9	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.3	38.5	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.4	41.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.3	19.3	37.7	-1.0	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	28.0	19.7	47.7	+8.3	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.6	40.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.5	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.4	21.4	39.8	-2.9	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.3	38.5	-2.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.4	39.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.1	21.1	37.2	-5.0	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.0	22.1	41.0	-3.1	20%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.0	50%	-

RiachueloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Platense

34-35

-1

H02/02

Liga A

Quimsa

45-40

A08/02

Liga A

Olimpico

39-41

-2

A10/02

Liga A

Zarate

#15

35-32

H15/02

Liga A

San Martin

37-42

-5

A01/03

Liga A

Regatas

#10

35-40

-5

A03/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

32-43

-11

H08/03

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

53-54

-1

H09/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

35-45

-10

A26/03

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

40-43

-3

A28/03

Liga A

80.0Avg total

38.5Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	39.4	79.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	40.4	81.9	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.3	38.6	76.9	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	41.5	80.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	45.0	84.0	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.0	40.6	80.6	-0.6	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	38.8	37.4	76.2	+1.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	45.7	47.7	93.3	-2.0	33%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Union De Santa Fe

#19

62-30

+32

H24/01

Liga A

San Martin

29-32

-3

A03/02

Liga A

La Union

#16

42-44

-2

A05/02

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

37-39

-2

A11/02

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

47-38

A13/02

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

39-38

A15/02

Liga A

Olimpico

41-33

H05/03

Liga A

La Union

#16

38-29

H07/03

Liga A

Zarate

#15

31-47

-16

H10/03

Liga A

Regatas

#10

46-47

-1

H24/03

Liga A

78.9Avg total

41.2Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	40.7	80.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.1	39.7	81.8	+2.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.2	41.5	78.6	-4.3	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	37.7	78.9	+3.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	38.8	77.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	37.6	38.8	76.4	-1.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	39.9	41.7	81.6	-1.8	35%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.0	38.5	78.5	+1.5	50%	-

This opponent (Riachuelo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	22.1	44.0	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	21.6	41.3	-1.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.1	23.6	43.7	-3.4	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.0	28.3	53.3	-3.3	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	21.6	40.6	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.7	22.5	42.2	-2.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.6	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.1	38.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.2	24.6	41.9	-7.4	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.9	20.9	39.7	-2.0	35%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.5	17.5	44.0	+9.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	22.0	45.1	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	18.1	34.9	-1.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.6	38.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.6	22.2	41.8	-2.7	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.8	18.3	38.1	+1.5	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	22.7	43.3	-2.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.7	40.7	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	19.5	39.1	+0.0	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.3	21.6	41.9	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	17.2	34.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	15.0	31.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.5	20.6	36.1	-5.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	41.7	82.3	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.1	44.1	89.1	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.6	39.6	76.2	-3.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	40.0	78.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	40.4	81.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	39.7	45.8	85.4	-6.1	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	40.2	38.1	78.3	+2.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	45.7	51.0	96.7	-5.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	42.3	81.2	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.2	42.1	81.3	-2.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.6	42.5	81.2	-3.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	37.3	73.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	35.4	70.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	32.8	45.2	78.0	-12.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	40.6	41.8	82.4	-1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	36.5	82.5	+9.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Riachuelo wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
08/12/23	Penarol v Riachuelo	87-74
05/02/23	Riachuelo v Penarol	92-87
03/12/22	Penarol v Riachuelo	80-88
06/01/22	Penarol v Riachuelo	92-80
13/11/21	Riachuelo v Penarol	80-75

Riachuelolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/03/24	A	Independiente de Oliva	80-76
26/03/24	A	Instituto de Cordoba	72-94
09/03/24	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	101-108
08/03/24	H	San Lorenzo	77-81
03/03/24	A	Regatas	90-88 OT
01/03/24	A	San Martin	67-81
15/02/24	H	Zarate	89-74
10/02/24	A	Olimpico	71-72
08/02/24	A	Quimsa	73-85
02/02/24	H	Platense	72-76

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/03/24	H	Regatas	88-76
10/03/24	H	Zarate	64-78
07/03/24	H	La Union	79-61
05/03/24	H	Olimpico	73-82
15/02/24	A	Instituto de Cordoba	67-74
13/02/24	A	Union De Santa Fe	83-74
11/02/24	A	Comunicaciones Mercedes	80-74
05/02/24	A	La Union	79-83
03/02/24	A	San Martin	56-73
24/01/24	H	Union De Santa Fe	103-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Riachuelo

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	43%
Home	WLWLL	42%
Away	LLWLW	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	12	16
Win %	43%	42%	44%
Points / game	81.1	87.0	76.7
Allowed / game	82.0	84.7	80.0
Point differential	-0.9	+2.3	-3.3
Avg total	163.1	171.7	156.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	33%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (10)	25% (4)	50% (6)
Overtime %	11%	8%	12%

Penarol

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	38%
Home	WLWLW	50%
Away	LLWWL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	38%	50%	29%
Points / game	77.5	81.3	74.1
Allowed / game	81.9	81.8	82.0
Point differential	-4.5	-0.5	-7.9
Avg total	159.4	163.2	156.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	42%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	100% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	28	24	4	86%	85.3	78.7	+6.6
2	Olimpico	29	21	8	72%	84.1	76.3	+7.8
3	Instituto de Cordoba	30	21	9	70%	80.4	74.9	+5.4
4	Platense	27	18	9	67%	79.6	76.6	+3.0
5	Boca Juniors	27	17	10	63%	81.0	75.1	+6.0
6	San Lorenzo	28	17	11	61%	74.9	71.9	+3.0
7	Obras Sanitarias	27	16	11	59%	84.6	85.1	-0.5
8	San Martin	29	17	12	59%	76.8	72.3	+4.5
9	Gimnasia	28	16	12	57%	82.5	81.0	+1.5
10	Obera TC	29	15	14	52%	80.9	80.9	+0.1
11	Independiente de Oliva	27	12	15	44%	79.4	81.0	-1.6
12	Riachuelo	28	12	16	43%	81.1	82.0	-0.9
13	Regatas	29	12	17	41%	78.7	78.0	+0.8
14	Zarate	29	12	17	41%	72.5	77.7	-5.2
15	Penarol	26	10	16	38%	77.5	81.9	-4.5
16	Ferro	29	11	18	38%	76.2	80.0	-3.9
17	Comunicaciones Mercedes	29	9	20	31%	80.4	83.9	-3.5
18	La Union	29	8	21	28%	77.3	81.4	-4.2
19	Argentino	29	8	21	28%	73.6	80.5	-6.9
20	Union De Santa Fe	29	7	22	24%	78.3	85.6	-7.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Riachuelo	21	19	27	26	93
Penarol	19	17	25	17	78

← all games of the day

Riachuelo vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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