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Boca Juniors vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 14:10
Final 79-87
20-21 18-20 15-20 26-26
Position#10
Record1-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game69.5
vs
Position#1
Record3-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game73.5
EuropeChampions League Americas· Estadio Luis Conde
Other2023-24
Meetings · Boca Juniors v Flamengo
18 Apr 2026
BOCA81
FLAM58
09 Feb 2025
BOCA96
FLAM71
10 Feb 2024
BOCA79
FLAM87
18 Jan 2024
BOCA62
FLAM65
30 Jan 2022
BOCA71
FLAM68
25 Nov 2010
BOCA70
FLAM80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#1
W
80-62
80
62
+18
80avg 74
A16/12
Champions League Americas
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#20
W
95-80
95
80
+15
93avg 74
H22/12
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#19
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
no box
A09/01
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#18
W
97-74
97
74
+23
102avg 74
A10/01
Liga A
San Martin
#6
W
86-71
86
71
+15
85avg 74
H13/01
Liga A
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
L
64-82
64
82
-18
56avg 74
A17/01
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
62-65
62
65
-3
53avg 74
H18/01
Champions League Americas
La Union
#16
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
no box
H22/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#2
L
73-82
73
82
-9
65avg 74
H29/01
Liga A
Zarate
#15
W
88-66
88
66
+22
88avg 74
H06/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
19-18
18-10
24-12
24-22
25-20
22-18
24-20
21-20
20-14
19-23
18-21
30-19
28-18
15-18
24-19
21-29
26-21
18-5
21-16
24-12
16-24
19-21
5-25
13-17
15-19
18-15
16-14
23-15
22-15
16-18
16-29
19-18
17-28
19-15
18-21
17-20
18-16
18-14
35-16
157.7Avg total
82.2Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)67.069.5136.5-2.525%
Season at home (1)62.065.0127.0-3.00%
Season away (3)68.771.0139.7-2.333%
Last 10 (10)82.275.5157.7+6.760%
Last 5 (5)75.275.6150.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)68.373.9142.1-5.629%
vs Similar (6)78.579.0157.5-0.533%
vs Weaker (17)81.473.6155.0+7.871%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
70avg 81
A11/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
91-97 OT
91
97
-6
no box
A13/01
NBB
Boca Juniors
#10
W
65-62
65
62
+3
52avg 81
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
W
78-65
78
65
+13
72avg 81
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
105-62
105
62
+43
120avg 81
H23/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
89-71
89
71
+18
92avg 81
H25/01
NBB
Bauru
#8
W
86-67
86
67
+19
82avg 81
H28/01
Super 8
Paulistano
#3
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 81
H31/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#2
W
83-77
83
77
+6
78avg 81
H03/02
Super 8
Botafogo
#15
W
102-78
102
78
+24
111avg 81
A06/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
18-28
22-23
19-14
17-21
20-20
26-19
18-21
17-13
19-15
15-18
14-16
17-20
19-16
22-10
20-19
30-19
34-12
22-11
19-20
33-15
21-13
23-13
12-30
25-19
30-12
12-21
19-15
22-20
18-10
16-19
27-33
23-19
20-19
24-14
16-25
31-22
21-21
26-22
24-13
160.7Avg total
86.0Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.273.5147.8+0.875%
Season at home (2)77.083.5160.5-6.550%
Season away (2)71.563.5135.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.074.7160.7+11.380%
Last 5 (5)88.675.0163.6+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)84.778.3163.0+6.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.074.0158.9+11.088%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
Boca JuniorsFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/12
Champions League Americas
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#20
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H22/12
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#19
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A09/01
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#18
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A10/01
Liga A
San Martin
#6
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H13/01
Liga A
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A17/01
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H18/01
Champions League Americas
La Union
#16
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H22/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H29/01
Liga A
Zarate
#15
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H06/02
Liga A
80.4Avg total
41.7Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.438.175.6-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.536.773.3-0.240%-
Last 30 away (15)38.339.577.9-1.240%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.780.4+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.873.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.140.773.9-7.60%-
vs Similar (6)36.839.576.3-2.733%-
vs Weaker (17)39.436.676.0+2.859%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A11/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A13/01
NBB
Boca Juniors
#10
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
64-31
64
31
+33
H23/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H25/01
NBB
Bauru
#8
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H28/01
Super 8
Paulistano
#3
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H31/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H03/02
Super 8
Botafogo
#15
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A06/02
NBB
80.9Avg total
45.4Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.836.579.3+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.235.180.2+10.181%-
Last 30 away (14)40.138.278.3+1.957%-
Last 10 (10)45.435.580.9+9.970%-
Last 5 (5)48.834.082.8+14.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)41.038.079.0+3.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)42.536.679.1+6.069%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 65.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.5 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.514.2
46.7%
52.9%28.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.88.8
29.4%
33.2%26.2
🏀 Free throws13.810.8
78.2%
73.9%10.8
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.8
55.3%
52.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.7
34.4%
33.2%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.317.0
76.2%
73.9%17.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boca Juniors
WLWLLWWLWW
Flamengo
WWWWWWWWLL
#10
League position
#1
-4.8
Net rating
+17.7
90.3
Offensive rating
115.5
95.1
Defensive rating
97.7
45.4%
Effective FG%
53.8%
43.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.0%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.4%
3-point %
34.4%
66.3%
Assist %
69.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 115.5Defence95.1 · 97.7Shooting45.4% · 53.8%3-point %29.4% · 34.4%Ball care18.3% · 17.0%Off. rebounds20.3% · 32.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Boca Juniors   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Boca Juniors wins
4
Flamengo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/24HZarate88-66
29/01/24HOlimpico73-82
22/01/24HLa Union89-83 OT
18/01/24HFlamengo62-65
17/01/24AHebraica y Macabi64-82
13/01/24HSan Martin86-71
10/01/24AIndependiente de Oliva97-74
09/01/24AUnion De Santa Fe88-90 OT
22/12/23HComunicaciones Mercedes95-80
16/12/23AFlamengo80-62
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/24ABotafogo102-78
03/02/24HUnifacisa83-77
31/01/24HPaulistano83-82
28/01/24HBauru86-67
25/01/24HUniao Corinthians89-71
23/01/24HCaxias do Sul105-62
19/01/24AHebraica y Macabi78-65
18/01/24ABoca Juniors65-62
13/01/24APato91-97 OT
11/01/24AMinas78-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game67.062.068.7
Allowed / game69.565.071.0
Point differential-2.5-3.0-2.3
Avg total136.5127.0139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Flamengo
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game74.277.071.5
Allowed / game73.583.563.5
Point differential+0.8-6.5+8.0
Avg total147.8160.5135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca65183%97.282.7+14.5
2 Quimsa43175%92.077.0+15.0
3 Flamengo43175%74.273.5+0.8
4 Halcones de Xalapa64267%88.879.5+9.3
5 Obras Sanitarias64267%91.085.8+5.2
6 Hebraica y Macabi42250%75.874.0+1.8
7 Nacional42250%82.884.5-1.8
8 Real Esteli63350%80.586.8-6.3
9 Gladiadores62433%81.784.7-3.0
10 Boca Juniors41325%67.069.5-2.5
11 Sao Paulo41325%79.592.8-13.2
12 U. De Concepcion6060%70.890.5-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boca Juniors2018152679
Flamengo2120202687
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