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Penarol vs Zarate Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 64-78
15-22 16-25 17-15 16-16
Position#11
Record9-15
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Zarate 🏆
Argentina
Position#15
Record10-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game77.7
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2023-24
Meetings · Penarol v Zarate
09 May 2025
PENA110
ZARA81
10 Mar 2024
PENA64
ZARA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zarate winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Zarate
#15
W
84-77
84
77
+7
70avg 67
A17/01
Liga A
Platense
#8
L
86-87
86
87
-1
75avg 67
A18/01
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#19
W
103-75
103
75
+28
105avg 67
H24/01
Liga A
San Martin
#6
L
56-73
56
73
-17
50avg 67
A03/02
Liga A
La Union
#16
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 67
A05/02
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#20
W
80-74
80
74
+6
65avg 67
A11/02
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#19
W
83-74
83
74
+9
68avg 67
A13/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
67-74
67
74
-7
61avg 67
A15/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#2
L
73-82
73
82
-9
59avg 67
H05/03
Liga A
La Union
#16
W
79-61
79
61
+18
82avg 67
H07/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
22-11
21-15
18-28
22-16
20-29
19-26
25-16
43-13
19-17
22-22
19-23
15-18
14-14
14-22
13-19
25-21
17-23
15-19
22-20
19-21
18-18
23-16
20-19
23-14
24-24
16-20
20-16
24-16
15-22
18-27
10-9
18-16
23-17
19-24
13-25
21-11
17-18
16-15
25-17
155.0Avg total
79.0Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.682.3159.9-4.838%
Season at home (10)82.482.8165.2-0.450%
Season away (14)74.182.0156.1-7.929%
Last 10 (10)79.076.0155.0+3.050%
Last 5 (5)76.473.0149.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.685.3157.9-12.811%
vs Similar ◀ (19)82.686.3168.9-3.737%
vs Weaker (2)86.075.0161.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Zarate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZarateArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZarate
Date
Competition
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#20
L
70-75
70
75
-5
69avg 66
A13/01
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
77-84
77
84
-7
66avg 66
H17/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
69-92
69
92
-23
64avg 66
H19/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
78-82
78
82
-4
70avg 66
A25/01
Liga A
Argentino
#17
L
60-65
60
65
-5
52avg 66
A30/01
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
66-88
66
88
-22
56avg 66
A06/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
W
79-70
79
70
+9
83avg 66
A10/02
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#18
L
62-68
62
68
-6
52avg 66
A13/02
Liga A
Riachuelo
#14
L
74-89
74
89
-15
68avg 66
A15/02
Liga A
Obera TC
#12
W
88-68
88
68
+20
90avg 66
H04/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
17-23
22-14
11-16
23-23
11-22
15-21
28-18
26-22
16-34
17-15
10-21
16-24
19-19
27-24
16-15
17-27
15-15
17-9
11-14
20-17
16-18
14-18
16-35
19-15
17-18
19-14
24-23
15-17
12-18
16-16
19-17
12-19
20-16
22-26
20-28
22-18
13-17
28-14
25-19
150.4Avg total
72.3Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.777.7150.4-5.042%
Season at home (10)75.275.9151.1-0.760%
Season away (14)70.978.9149.9-8.029%
Last 10 (10)72.378.1150.4-5.820%
Last 5 (5)73.876.6150.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)71.283.0154.2-11.825%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.272.3146.5+1.858%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.6-2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.6-2.6
PenarolZarate
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zarate
#15
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A17/01
Liga A
Platense
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A18/01
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#19
W
62-30
62
30
+32
H24/01
Liga A
San Martin
#6
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A03/02
Liga A
La Union
#16
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A05/02
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#20
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A11/02
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#19
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A13/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H05/03
Liga A
La Union
#16
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H07/03
Liga A
78.4Avg total
42.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.479.4-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (11)42.738.481.1+4.473%-
Last 30 away (19)36.941.678.5-4.721%-
Last 10 (10)42.236.278.4+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.475.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.439.777.1-2.244%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.740.980.6-1.337%-
vs Weaker (2)40.038.578.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Zarate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZarateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#20
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A13/01
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H17/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H19/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A25/01
Liga A
Argentino
#17
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A30/01
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A06/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A10/02
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#18
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A13/02
Liga A
Riachuelo
#14
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A15/02
Liga A
Obera TC
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H04/03
Liga A
75.0Avg total
34.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)36.240.276.5-4.029%-
Last 30 at home (10)36.938.975.8-2.040%-
Last 30 away (14)35.741.276.9-5.521%-
Last 10 (10)34.640.475.0-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)33.234.667.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.243.479.6-7.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.237.173.3-0.833%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penarol wins
0
Zarate wins
DateGameScore
17/01/24Zarate v Penarol77-84
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24HLa Union79-61
05/03/24HOlimpico73-82
15/02/24AInstituto de Cordoba67-74
13/02/24AUnion De Santa Fe83-74
11/02/24AComunicaciones Mercedes80-74
05/02/24ALa Union79-83
03/02/24ASan Martin56-73
24/01/24HUnion De Santa Fe103-75
18/01/24APlatense86-87
17/01/24AZarate84-77
Zaratelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/24HObera TC88-68
15/02/24ARiachuelo74-89
13/02/24AIndependiente de Oliva62-68
10/02/24AInstituto de Cordoba79-70
06/02/24ABoca Juniors66-88
30/01/24AArgentino60-65
25/01/24AObras Sanitarias78-82
19/01/24HInstituto de Cordoba69-92
17/01/24HPenarol77-84
13/01/24AComunicaciones Mercedes70-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW38%
HomeWWWLW50%
AwayLLWWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %38%50%29%
Points / game77.682.474.1
Allowed / game82.382.882.0
Point differential-4.8-0.4-7.9
Avg total159.9165.2156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zarate
Liga A 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW42%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %42%60%29%
Points / game72.775.270.9
Allowed / game77.775.978.9
Point differential-5.0-0.7-8.0
Avg total150.4151.1149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%10%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %4%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa2321291%86.579.3+7.2
2 Olimpico2319483%85.475.4+10.0
3 Instituto de Cordoba2317674%80.473.3+7.1
4 Platense2316770%80.478.2+2.2
5 Boca Juniors2215768%83.574.9+8.7
6 Obras Sanitarias2112957%84.185.7-1.6
7 San Lorenzo23131057%74.972.2+2.7
8 Gimnasia22121055%82.180.7+1.4
9 San Martin24131154%77.073.4+3.6
10 Regatas24121250%79.276.7+2.5
11 Obera TC23101343%79.981.5-1.6
12 Independiente de Oliva23101343%78.780.5-1.8
13 Riachuelo26111542%81.581.8-0.3
14 Ferro24101442%76.279.9-3.8
15 Zarate24101442%72.777.7-5.0
16 Penarol2491538%77.682.3-4.8
17 Comunicaciones Mercedes2381535%80.183.3-3.3
18 La Union2361726%77.081.4-4.4
19 Argentino2451921%73.381.6-8.3
20 Union De Santa Fe2231914%76.286.4-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol1516171664
Zarate2225151678
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