Comunicaciones Mercedes vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Feb 2024

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 74-80

21-19 18-18 16-23 19-20

Position#20

Record7-13

FormLWLWW

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game83.1

Comunicaciones Mercedes

Penarol 🏆

Position#11

Record6-13

FormWLWLL

Points / game77.9

Allowed / game84.8

Liga A

Other2023-24

Meetings · Comunicaciones Mercedes v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Comunicaciones Mercedes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Comunicaciones Mercedes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMercedes

Date

Competition

Independiente de Oliva

#18

85-88

-3

76avg 71

A30/11

Liga A

Ferro

#13

87-89 OT

-2

no box

H04/12

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

71-78

-7

60avg 71

H09/12

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

93-94

-1

92avg 71

H12/12

Liga A

Penarol

#11

76-92

-16

66avg 71

A20/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

80-95

-15

72avg 71

A22/12

Liga A

Zarate

#15

75-70

60avg 71

H13/01

Liga A

Quimsa

89-96

-7

76avg 71

H18/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

96-85

+11

91avg 71

H02/02

Liga A

Regatas

#10

81-73

73avg 71

H06/02

Liga A

18-26

17-21

26-21

24-20

26-20

24-26

14-20

18-16

17-20

11-15

27-22

16-21

25-14

25-23

21-25

22-32

19-18

19-25

19-30

19-19

22-24

20-25

18-22

20-24

22-20

23-17

14-22

16-11

29-20

14-24

24-32

22-20

29-20

24-32

22-24

21-9

25-19

23-20

15-25

18-9

169.3Avg total

83.3Scored

86.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	79.9	83.1	163.0	-3.2	35%
Season at home (12)	82.8	81.0	163.8	+1.8	58%
Season away (8)	75.5	86.2	161.8	-10.8	0%
Last 10 (10)	83.3	86.0	169.3	-2.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	83.8	168.0	+0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	81.2	86.5	167.8	-5.3	25%
vs Similar (5)	78.8	78.6	157.4	+0.2	60%
vs Weaker (1)	90.0	81.0	171.0	+9.0	100%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPenarol

Date

Competition

Independiente de Oliva

#18

75-83

-8

67avg 68

A02/12

Liga A

Quimsa

75-98

-23

61avg 68

H06/12

Liga A

Riachuelo

#14

87-74

+13

81avg 68

H08/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

87-85

74avg 68

H17/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

92-76

+16

88avg 68

H20/12

Liga A

Zarate

#15

84-77

70avg 68

A17/01

Liga A

Platense

86-87

-1

75avg 68

A18/01

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

103-75

103

+28

105avg 68

H24/01

Liga A

San Martin

56-73

-17

50avg 68

A03/02

Liga A

La Union

#16

79-83

-4

70avg 68

A05/02

Liga A

17-18

17-25

16-21

25-19

19-22

14-23

30-23

12-30

20-14

23-23

25-23

19-14

29-12

16-29

18-25

24-19

18-19

25-19

30-19

19-19

23-23

22-11

21-15

18-28

22-16

20-29

19-26

25-16

43-13

19-17

22-22

19-23

15-18

14-14

14-22

13-19

25-21

17-23

15-19

22-20

163.5Avg total

82.4Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	77.9	84.8	162.7	-6.9	32%
Season at home (8)	84.0	85.6	169.6	-1.6	50%
Season away (11)	73.5	84.2	157.6	-10.7	18%
Last 10 (10)	82.4	81.1	163.5	+1.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	79.0	160.6	+2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	74.8	88.1	162.9	-13.3	18%
vs Similar (17)	82.8	88.5	171.4	-5.7	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	93.5	81.0	174.5	+12.5	100%

This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Comunicaciones MercedesPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.4	42.7	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.7	19.6	42.3	+3.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	23.7	43.2	-4.2	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	20.1	43.3	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	20.6	46.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	21.8	21.3	43.1	+0.4	42%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	26.0	50.0	-2.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.6	40.3	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.3	18.5	42.8	+5.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.9	20.5	38.4	-2.6	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	17.6	40.7	+5.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	18.2	43.8	+7.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.5	18.9	39.5	+1.6	55%	-
vs Similar (17)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	35%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	24.0	20.0	44.0	+4.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.4	19.5	38.9	-0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	22.8	42.8	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	23.6	44.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.5	21.2	40.7	-1.8	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	19.0	46.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.1	21.8	39.8	-3.7	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.6	21.9	40.5	-3.2	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.3	40.0	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.9	22.4	39.3	-5.5	18%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	24%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	21.5	19.0	40.5	+2.5	50%	-

Comunicaciones MercedesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Independiente de Oliva

#18

35-47

-12

A30/11

Liga A

Ferro

#13

50-46

H04/12

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

28-35

-7

H09/12

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

50-37

+13

H12/12

Liga A

Penarol

#11

38-43

-5

A20/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

42-49

-7

A22/12

Liga A

Zarate

#15

45-37

H13/01

Liga A

Quimsa

43-44

-1

H18/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

53-52

H02/02

Liga A

Regatas

#10

48-39

H06/02

Liga A

86.1Avg total

43.2Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	41.9	82.9	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.6	40.9	83.6	+1.7	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.8	43.2	82.1	-4.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	42.9	86.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	44.2	90.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	41.2	42.5	83.8	-1.3	46%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.0	38.4	76.4	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	51.0	45.0	96.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Independiente de Oliva

#18

34-43

-9

A02/12

Liga A

Quimsa

33-45

-12

H06/12

Liga A

Riachuelo

#14

43-37

H08/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

45-41

H17/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

43-38

H20/12

Liga A

Zarate

#15

45-34

+11

A17/01

Liga A

Platense

42-45

-3

A18/01

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

62-30

+32

H24/01

Liga A

San Martin

29-32

-3

A03/02

Liga A

La Union

#16

42-44

-2

A05/02

Liga A

80.7Avg total

41.8Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	41.4	80.5	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.4	40.2	82.6	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.5	42.4	78.9	-5.8	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	38.9	80.7	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	37.0	81.0	+7.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	37.5	41.3	78.7	-3.8	27%	-
vs Similar (17)	39.4	41.8	81.2	-2.5	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	45.5	39.0	84.5	+6.5	100%	-

This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	22.3	42.1	-2.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.6	21.8	41.4	-2.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	22.8	43.0	-2.7	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	24.3	44.3	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	25.0	43.6	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.5	22.6	42.1	-3.0	17%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.8	21.8	43.6	+0.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	17.0	34.0	+0.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	22.8	41.7	-3.9	20%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	24.4	43.6	-5.2	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.6	21.6	40.3	-3.0	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.9	24.2	41.1	-7.3	9%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.4	22.1	41.5	-2.8	24%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	26.0	21.5	47.5	+4.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.6	40.7	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.4	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.0	22.5	43.5	-1.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.1	37.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	14.6	34.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	20.3	21.1	41.4	-0.8	42%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	22.5	44.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.4	21.4	42.8	+0.0	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.9	23.4	45.2	-1.5	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.7	40.3	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.5	22.6	43.1	-2.2	36%	-
vs Similar (17)	22.4	22.6	45.1	-0.2	41%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	22.0	20.5	42.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	42.9	82.8	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.1	40.9	80.0	-1.9	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.2	45.4	86.5	-4.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	42.4	82.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	39.6	77.6	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	39.8	43.7	83.5	-3.9	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	40.8	40.2	81.0	+0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	36.0	75.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	45.3	85.9	-4.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.6	45.8	86.4	-5.2	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.5	45.0	85.5	-4.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	42.2	82.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	42.0	79.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	37.4	46.8	84.2	-9.5	9%	-
vs Similar (17)	41.8	44.8	86.5	-3.0	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	48.0	42.0	90.0	+6.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Comunicaciones Mercedes wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
20/12/23	Penarol v Comunicaciones Mercedes	92-76
20/03/23	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Penarol	99-78
17/02/23	Penarol v Comunicaciones Mercedes	85-70
08/03/22	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Penarol	71-68
21/12/21	Penarol v Comunicaciones Mercedes	84-68
08/02/21	Penarol v Comunicaciones Mercedes	86-83
10/12/20	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Penarol	64-58
12/12/19	Penarol v Comunicaciones Mercedes	81-89
16/11/19	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Penarol	81-63
05/04/19	Penarol v Comunicaciones Mercedes	71-64

Comunicaciones Mercedeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/02/24	H	Regatas	81-73
02/02/24	H	Obras Sanitarias	96-85
18/01/24	H	Quimsa	89-96
13/01/24	H	Zarate	75-70
22/12/23	A	Boca Juniors	80-95
20/12/23	A	Penarol	76-92
12/12/23	H	Obera TC	93-94
09/12/23	H	Union De Santa Fe	71-78
04/12/23	H	Ferro	87-89 OT
30/11/23	A	Independiente de Oliva	85-88

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/02/24	A	La Union	79-83
03/02/24	A	San Martin	56-73
24/01/24	H	Union De Santa Fe	103-75
18/01/24	A	Platense	86-87
17/01/24	A	Zarate	84-77
20/12/23	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	92-76
17/12/23	H	Gimnasia	87-85
08/12/23	H	Riachuelo	87-74
06/12/23	H	Quimsa	75-98
02/12/23	A	Independiente de Oliva	75-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Comunicaciones Mercedes

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	35%
Home	LWLWW	58%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	12	8
Win %	35%	58%	0%
Points / game	79.9	82.8	75.5
Allowed / game	83.1	81.0	86.2
Point differential	-3.2	+1.8	-10.8
Avg total	163.0	163.8	161.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	67% (6)	0% (3)
Overtime %	5%	8%	0%

Penarol

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	32%
Home	LWWWW	50%
Away	LWLLL	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	8	11
Win %	32%	50%	18%
Points / game	77.9	84.0	73.5
Allowed / game	84.8	85.6	84.2
Point differential	-6.9	-1.6	-10.7
Avg total	162.7	169.6	157.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	38%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	100% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	20	19	1	95%	86.0	78.0	+8.0
2	Olimpico	20	16	4	80%	85.0	74.9	+10.1
3	Instituto de Cordoba	21	15	6	71%	81.0	74.1	+6.9
4	Platense	19	13	6	68%	79.9	77.9	+1.9
5	Boca Juniors	20	13	7	65%	82.7	75.1	+7.6
6	San Lorenzo	19	11	8	58%	74.8	69.8	+5.0
7	San Martin	19	11	8	58%	78.2	73.8	+4.4
8	Obras Sanitarias	19	11	8	58%	84.7	86.6	-1.9
9	Regatas	21	11	10	52%	78.7	77.0	+1.7
10	Obera TC	20	10	10	50%	81.1	80.2	+0.8
11	Gimnasia	19	9	10	47%	82.1	81.6	+0.5
12	Riachuelo	21	9	12	43%	80.7	80.7	+0.0
13	Ferro	21	9	12	43%	75.2	78.9	-3.7
14	Zarate	21	9	12	43%	72.4	78.0	-5.6
15	Independiente de Oliva	20	8	12	40%	78.5	81.8	-3.4
16	Comunicaciones Mercedes	20	7	13	35%	79.9	83.1	-3.2
17	Penarol	19	6	13	32%	77.9	84.8	-6.9
18	La Union	19	5	14	26%	76.9	81.5	-4.6
19	Argentino	21	4	17	19%	72.5	80.9	-8.4
20	Union De Santa Fe	19	3	16	16%	75.9	85.3	-9.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Comunicaciones Mercedes	21	18	16	19	74
Penarol	19	18	23	20	80

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Comunicaciones Mercedes vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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