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Rice vs South Florida Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 56-75
31-39 25-36
Position#268
Record11-16
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Position#40
Record19-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game78.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Rice v South Florida
25 Feb 2026
RICE56
SOUT75
10 Feb 2024
RICE65
SOUT69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rice winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RiceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
89-73
89
73
+16
A15/01
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H22/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H24/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A29/01
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A31/01
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
H05/02
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H12/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H14/02
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
51-40
38-33
32-33
33-36
31-51
50-36
33-33
50-44
30-37
40-43
25-34
40-31
33-34
32-37
40-27
41-46
34-38
41-47
33-36
42-45
154.9Avg total
77.0Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)74.775.1149.9-0.441%
Season at home (15)78.971.8150.7+7.153%
Season away (12)69.579.3148.8-9.825%
Last 10 (10)77.077.9154.9-0.940%
Last 5 (5)76.478.6155.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.381.2153.5-8.940%
vs Similar (14)68.473.1141.6-4.721%
vs Weaker (6)85.367.3152.7+18.067%
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#71
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
H18/01
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A23/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H25/01
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
97-83
97
83
+14
A29/01
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A01/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
109-88
109
88
+21
H05/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H08/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A12/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
A15/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
87-66
87
66
+21
H20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-37
41-40
45-34
37-35
33-36
56-39
52-39
45-44
38-39
40-40
48-50
61-38
39-35
41-39
26-33
40-25
36-38
36-34
47-31
40-35
161.5Avg total
85.6Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)88.778.0166.7+10.770%
Season at home (16)89.474.6164.0+14.975%
Season away (11)87.683.0170.6+4.664%
Last 10 (10)85.675.9161.5+9.780%
Last 5 (5)85.073.4158.4+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.084.0152.0-16.00%
vs Similar (9)80.778.3159.0+2.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.978.6167.5+10.374%
This opponent (Rice) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +6.8+6.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +6.8+6.8
RiceSouth Florida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
RiceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A15/01
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H22/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H24/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A29/01
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A31/01
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H05/02
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H12/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A22/02
NCAA
70.5Avg total
34.2Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.132.466.5+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.031.667.6+4.453%-
Last 30 away (13)31.533.565.0-1.938%-
Last 10 (10)34.236.370.5-2.120%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.866.8-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)31.536.167.6-4.630%-
vs Similar (14)31.930.162.0+1.957%-
vs Weaker (6)43.331.775.0+11.750%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#71
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/01
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A23/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H25/01
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A29/01
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A01/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H05/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A12/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A15/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H20/02
NCAA
77.2Avg total
40.0Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.636.276.7+4.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.234.675.8+6.659%-
Last 30 away (13)39.738.277.9+1.538%-
Last 10 (10)40.037.277.2+2.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.476.6+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.035.070.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (9)37.935.373.2+2.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.136.977.9+4.253%-
This opponent (Rice) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rice wins
3
South Florida wins
DateGameScore
29/01/25South Florida v Rice69-64
10/02/24Rice v South Florida65-69
13/01/24South Florida v Rice81-73
Ricelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26ATulane75-81
14/02/26HEast Carolina75-85
12/02/26HFlorida Atlantic81-73
08/02/26AUAB65-71
05/02/26HNorth Texas86-83 OT
31/01/26ACharlotte70-80
29/01/26AEast Carolina83-77
24/01/26HTulsa81-87
22/01/26HTemple65-69
15/01/26AUTSA Roadrunners89-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26HMemphis87-66
15/02/26AFlorida Atlantic83-81 OT
12/02/26AWichita State66-58
08/02/26HTulsa80-74
05/02/26HUTSA Roadrunners109-88
01/02/26ATemple78-79
29/01/26ATulane97-83
25/01/26HFlorida Atlantic89-75
23/01/26AUAB82-69
18/01/26HWichita State85-86 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rice
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL41%
HomeLLWWL53%
AwayWWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %41%53%25%
Points / game74.778.969.5
Allowed / game75.171.879.3
Point differential-0.4+7.1-9.8
Avg total149.9150.7148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %11%7%17%
South Florida
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %70%75%64%
Points / game88.789.487.6
Allowed / game78.074.683.0
Point differential+10.7+14.9+4.6
Avg total166.7164.0170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%56%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %15%19%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa2923679%86.072.5+13.6
2 South Florida2719870%88.778.0+10.7
3 Wichita State28181064%77.470.2+7.1
4 UAB28181064%79.673.5+6.1
5 Tulane28171161%72.574.1-1.6
6 Temple27151256%73.970.6+3.3
7 North Texas29161355%71.067.2+3.8
8 Florida Atlantic28151354%80.074.4+5.6
9 Charlotte28151354%73.673.8-0.2
10 Memphis27121544%74.274.4-0.3
11 Rice27111641%74.775.1-0.4
12 East Carolina2791833%70.476.6-6.2
13 UTSA Roadrunners2752219%69.180.6-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Rice312556
South Florida393675
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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