Rigas Zelli vs Ventspils Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Oct 2023

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 89-86

23-28 18-14 25-23 23-21

Position#6

Record4-1

FormWWLWW

Points / game75.2

Allowed / game60.4

Rigas Zelli 🏆

Ventspils

Position#4

Record3-3

FormLLWLW

Points / game91.0

Allowed / game90.2

Latvia-Estonian League· Arena Riga (Riga)

Other2023

Meetings · Rigas Zelli v Ventspils

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rigas Zelli winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ventspils winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormZelli

Date

Competition

Keila KK

#12

77-56

+21

73avg 69

H30/09

Latvia-Estonian League

Valmiera Glass Via

#13

78-71

81avg 69

A03/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Tartu Ulikool

56-63

-7

41avg 69

A06/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Latvijas Universitate

#14

87-62

+25

78avg 69

H14/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Tallinna Kalev

#16

78-50

+28

71avg 69

H21/10

Latvia-Estonian League

19-12

7-17

29-9

22-18

21-21

21-14

24-15

12-21

11-12

19-15

16-20

10-16

17-16

19-22

20-14

31-10

16-12

15-6

24-12

23-20

135.6Avg total

75.2Scored

60.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	75.2	60.4	135.6	+14.8	80%
Season at home (3)	80.7	56.0	136.7	+24.7	100%
Season away (2)	67.0	67.0	134.0	+0.0	50%
Last 10 (5)	75.2	60.4	135.6	+14.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	60.4	135.6	+14.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	56.0	63.0	119.0	-7.0	0%
vs Weaker (4)	80.0	59.8	139.8	+20.2	100%

This opponent (Ventspils) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormVentspils

Date

Competition

VEF Riga

74-91

-17

no box

H07/05

LBL

VEF Riga

69-84

-15

no box

A11/05

LBL

VEF Riga

74-89

-15

no box

H14/05

LBL

VEF Riga

61-79

-18

no box

A16/05

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

88-83 OT

78avg 82

A29/09

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Liepaja

#11

96-102 OT

102

-6

82avg 82

H06/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Tal Tech

98-100 OT

100

-2

90avg 82

A14/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Viimsi

#15

104-75

104

+29

105avg 82

A15/10

Latvia-Estonian League

VEF Riga

68-107

107

-39

51avg 82

H21/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Valmiera Glass Via

#13

92-74

+18

88avg 82

A24/10

Latvia-Estonian League

18-24

22-26

24-25

10-16

9-17

20-25

18-18

22-24

18-24

16-20

15-24

25-21

17-18

16-20

13-21

15-20

16-19

17-23

18-18

25-16

23-28

18-22

23-14

23-23

19-22

19-26

22-18

26-20

19-27

31-13

26-21

28-14

22-25

11-30

21-25

14-27

24-14

23-23

23-22

22-15

170.8Avg total

82.4Scored

88.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	91.0	90.2	181.2	+0.8	50%
Season at home (2)	82.0	104.5	186.5	-22.5	0%
Season away (4)	95.5	83.0	178.5	+12.5	75%
Last 10 (10)	82.4	88.4	170.8	-6.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	91.6	91.6	183.2	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	77.1	90.4	167.6	-13.3	22%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	84.2	80.3	164.6	+3.9	67%
vs Weaker (12)	93.7	82.2	175.8	+11.5	67%

This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Rigas ZelliVentspils

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	16.8	14.6	31.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	17.3	13.3	30.7	+4.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (2)	16.0	16.5	32.5	-0.5	0%	-
Last 10 (5)	16.8	14.6	31.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	14.6	31.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	11.0	12.0	23.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.2	15.2	33.5	+3.0	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	22.0	42.2	-1.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	22.2	22.3	44.5	-0.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (19)	19.1	21.9	40.9	-2.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.8	40.3	-3.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	23.2	44.6	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.1	23.6	42.7	-4.4	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.4	22.1	44.6	+0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.3	20.8	40.2	-1.5	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	16.2	14.8	31.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	13.7	15.0	28.7	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (2)	20.0	14.5	34.5	+5.5	100%	-
Last 10 (5)	16.2	14.8	31.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	14.8	31.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	19.0	15.0	34.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (4)	15.5	14.8	30.2	+0.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.1	41.6	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.2	21.3	41.5	-1.1	45%	-
Last 30 away (19)	22.3	19.4	41.7	+2.9	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	22.8	42.1	-3.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.8	43.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.2	23.0	43.2	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.1	19.2	41.3	+2.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.1	18.5	40.6	+3.6	67%	-

Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keila KK

#12

26-29

-3

H30/09

Latvia-Estonian League

Valmiera Glass Via

#13

42-35

A03/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Tartu Ulikool

30-27

A06/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Latvijas Universitate

#14

36-38

-2

H14/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Tallinna Kalev

#16

31-18

+13

H21/10

Latvia-Estonian League

62.4Avg total

33.0Scored

29.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	33.0	29.4	62.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	31.0	28.3	59.3	+2.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (2)	36.0	31.0	67.0	+5.0	100%	-
Last 10 (5)	33.0	29.4	62.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	29.4	62.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	30.0	27.0	57.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (4)	33.8	30.0	63.8	+3.8	50%	-

This opponent (Ventspils) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

VEF Riga

40-50

-10

H07/05

LBL

VEF Riga

29-42

-13

A11/05

LBL

VEF Riga

34-44

-10

H14/05

LBL

VEF Riga

33-38

-5

A16/05

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

33-42

-9

A29/09

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Liepaja

#11

41-50

-9

H06/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Tal Tech

38-48

-10

A14/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Viimsi

#15

50-40

+10

A15/10

Latvia-Estonian League

VEF Riga

33-55

-22

H21/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Valmiera Glass Via

#13

47-37

+10

A24/10

Latvia-Estonian League

82.4Avg total

37.8Scored

44.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	42.1	83.8	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	42.4	43.5	85.9	-1.2	55%	-
Last 30 away (19)	41.4	41.3	82.6	+0.1	37%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	44.6	82.4	-6.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	46.0	87.8	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	39.3	46.6	85.9	-7.2	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	44.6	41.3	85.9	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (12)	41.4	39.3	80.8	+2.1	50%	-

This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	22.6	14.0	36.6	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	24.3	11.7	36.0	+12.7	100%	-
Last 30 away (2)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.5	50%	-
Last 10 (5)	22.6	14.0	36.6	+8.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	14.0	36.6	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.2	12.5	36.8	+11.8	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.4	18.3	39.6	+3.1	55%	-
Last 30 away (19)	19.5	20.8	40.3	-1.4	32%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.4	22.0	40.4	-3.6	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.0	18.1	37.1	+0.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.3	19.7	42.0	+2.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	19.6	17.0	36.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	25.3	16.0	41.3	+9.3	100%	-
Last 30 away (2)	11.0	18.5	29.5	-7.5	0%	-
Last 10 (5)	19.6	17.0	36.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.0	36.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	10.0	16.0	26.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	17.2	39.2	+4.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.9	21.1	43.0	+0.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (19)	22.7	20.3	43.1	+2.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.8	42.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.3	21.9	41.2	-2.6	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.3	20.1	39.4	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (12)	27.1	20.0	47.1	+7.1	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	42.2	31.0	73.2	+11.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	49.7	27.7	77.3	+22.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (2)	31.0	36.0	67.0	-5.0	0%	-
Last 10 (5)	42.2	31.0	73.2	+11.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	31.0	73.2	+11.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	26.0	36.0	62.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	46.2	29.8	76.0	+16.5	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	40.5	83.1	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	43.3	39.4	82.6	+3.9	55%	-
Last 30 away (19)	42.2	41.2	83.4	+1.1	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	40.2	81.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	39.8	85.4	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	37.8	43.9	81.7	-6.1	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	38.3	38.2	76.6	+0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (12)	49.4	39.7	89.1	+9.8	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 74.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 13% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	18.8	47.5%	50.5%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	9.0	31.0%	32.1%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	15.6	9.8	62.8%	70.5%	9.8

They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 89.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀27%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers48.3 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.0	24.2	51.4%	50.5%	48.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	8.0	30.6%	32.1%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	21.7	17.3	80.0%	70.5%	17.3

They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.6	13.6	39.3%	50.5%	27.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	6.8	28.3%	32.1%	20.4
🏀 Free throws	17.6	11.6	65.9%	70.5%	11.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	20.0	50.2%	50.5%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	10.2	38.1%	32.1%	30.5
🏀 Free throws	25.3	19.0	75.0%	70.5%	19.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.6	13.6	39.3%	50.5%	27.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	6.8	28.3%	32.1%	20.4
🏀 Free throws	17.6	11.6	65.9%	70.5%	11.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	20.0	50.2%	50.5%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	10.2	38.1%	32.1%	30.5
🏀 Free throws	25.3	19.0	75.0%	70.5%	19.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/6 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Rigas Zelli

WWLWW

Ventspils

WLWLLWLLLL

League position

+19.9

Net rating

+0.2

97.4

Offensive rating

105.1

77.5

Defensive rating

104.9

47.1%

Effective FG%

49.4%

40.6%

Opp. effective FG%

53.0%

19.7%

Turnover %

20.7%

33.8%

Off. rebound %

35.8%

0.23

Free-throw rate

0.30

31.0%

3-point %

30.6%

71.2%

Assist %

56.0%

80%

Form (last 5/10)

30%

Profile

■ Rigas Zelli ■ Ventspils

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Rigas Zelli wins

Ventspils wins

No previous meetings.

Rigas Zellilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/10/23	H	Tallinna Kalev	78-50
14/10/23	H	Latvijas Universitate	87-62
06/10/23	A	Tartu Ulikool	56-63
03/10/23	A	Valmiera Glass Via	78-71
30/09/23	H	Keila KK	77-56

Ventspilslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/10/23	A	Valmiera Glass Via	92-74
21/10/23	H	VEF Riga	68-107
15/10/23	A	Viimsi	104-75
14/10/23	A	Tal Tech	98-100 OT
06/10/23	H	BK Liepaja	96-102 OT
29/09/23	A	Tartu Ulikool	88-83 OT
16/05/23	A	VEF Riga	61-79
14/05/23	H	VEF Riga	74-89
11/05/23	A	VEF Riga	69-84
07/05/23	H	VEF Riga	74-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rigas Zelli

Latvia-Estonian League 2023

Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Losses (last 5)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	80%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	80%	100%	50%
Points / game	75.2	80.7	67.0
Allowed / game	60.4	56.0	67.0
Point differential	+14.8	+24.7	+0.0
Avg total	135.6	136.7	134.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ventspils

Latvia-Estonian League 2023

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	50%
Home	LL	0%
Away	WLWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	50%	0%	75%
Points / game	91.0	82.0	95.5
Allowed / game	90.2	104.5	83.0
Point differential	+0.8	-22.5	+12.5
Avg total	181.2	186.5	178.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	50%	50%	50%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Prometey	4	4	0	100%	97.0	67.8	+29.2
2	BC Kalev/Cramo	6	6	0	100%	91.3	67.2	+24.2
3	Tal Tech	6	5	1	83%	87.2	78.7	+8.5
4	Rigas Zelli	5	4	1	80%	75.2	60.4	+14.8
5	Parnu	6	4	2	67%	74.7	68.3	+6.3
6	Tartu Ulikool	6	4	2	67%	76.8	71.0	+5.8
7	VEF Riga	5	3	2	60%	86.2	72.0	+14.2
8	BK Ogre	8	4	4	50%	79.2	73.6	+5.6
9	Ventspils	6	3	3	50%	91.0	90.2	+0.8
10	BK Liepaja	6	3	3	50%	85.8	89.3	-3.5
11	Tallinna Kalev	5	2	3	40%	64.4	79.2	-14.8
12	Rapla	8	3	5	38%	74.4	75.9	-1.5
13	Keila KK	7	2	5	29%	76.4	82.4	-6.0
14	Valmiera Glass Via	8	2	6	25%	74.2	86.1	-11.9
15	Latvijas Universitate	8	1	7	12%	66.1	85.1	-19.0
16	Viimsi	8	1	7	12%	65.6	88.8	-23.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Rigas Zelli	23	18	25	23	89
Ventspils	28	14	23	21	86

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Rigas Zelli vs Ventspils Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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