PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ventspils vs VEF Riga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 68-107
22-25 11-30 21-25 14-27
Position#4
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game96.5
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#3
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game73.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Olimpiskais centrs Ventspils (Ventspils)
Other2023
Meetings · Ventspils v VEF Riga
14 Nov 2026
VET v VRI
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
VET72
VRI69
13 Feb 2026
VET78
VRI87
22 May 2025
VET91
VRI93
17 May 2025
VET106
VRI114
15 Mar 2025
VET84
VRI89
27 Jan 2024
VET97
VRI91
21 Oct 2023
VET68
VRI107
14 May 2023
VET74
VRI89
07 May 2023
VET74
VRI91
11 Mar 2023
VET99
VRI92
17 May 2022
VET74
VRI98
11 May 2022
VET93
VRI88
19 Feb 2022
VET87
VRI81
17 May 2021
VET90
VRI99
11 May 2021
VET81
VRI99
28 Mar 2021
VET59
VRI103
30 Jan 2021
VET87
VRI99
20 Nov 2020
VET84
VRI97
17 May 2019
VET69
VRI82
11 May 2019
VET77
VRI81
05 May 2019
VET75
VRI81
06 Apr 2019
VET102
VRI80
29 Dec 2018
VET61
VRI59
04 Jun 2018
VET96
VRI73
21 May 2018
VET71
VRI81
19 May 2018
VET94
VRI87
14 Apr 2018
VET87
VRI80
21 Mar 2018
VET63
VRI82
21 May 2017
VET76
VRI84
19 May 2017
VET66
VRI76
14 Jan 2017
VET81
VRI73
19 May 2016
VET73
VRI75
15 May 2016
VET86
VRI80
11 May 2016
VET65
VRI76
12 Mar 2016
VET80
VRI92
26 May 2015
VET63
VRI75
21 May 2015
VET87
VRI82
17 May 2015
VET77
VRI81
18 Feb 2015
VET67
VRI75
16 May 2014
VET81
VRI59
11 May 2014
VET69
VRI61
07 May 2014
VET90
VRI61
07 Dec 2013
VET61
VRI62
25 May 2013
VET69
VRI78
12 May 2013
VET42
VRI69
03 Mar 2013
VET61
VRI73
17 May 2012
VET97
VRI90
10 May 2012
VET67
VRI85
28 Mar 2012
VET66
VRI77
11 Dec 2010
VET93
VRI89
31 Mar 2010
VET81
VRI80
24 Mar 2010
VET75
VRI66
10 Nov 2009
VET77
VRI53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VEF Riga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#3
W
93-79
93
79
+14
no box
A27/04
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
W
83-80
83
80
+3
no box
A03/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
no box
H07/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
69-84
69
84
-15
no box
A11/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
no box
H14/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
61-79
61
79
-18
no box
A16/05
LBL
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
88-83 OT
88
83
+5
78avg 89
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
96-102 OT
96
102
-6
82avg 89
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
90avg 89
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
104-75
104
75
+29
105avg 89
A15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
24-17
25-14
17-24
20-20
21-23
16-17
26-20
18-24
22-26
24-25
10-16
9-17
20-25
18-18
22-24
18-24
16-20
15-24
25-21
17-18
16-20
13-21
15-20
16-19
17-23
18-18
25-16
23-28
18-22
23-14
23-23
19-22
19-26
22-18
26-20
19-27
31-13
26-21
28-14
170.2Avg total
84.0Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)96.590.0186.5+6.550%
Season at home (1)96.0102.0198.0-6.00%
Season away (3)96.786.0182.7+10.767%
Last 10 (10)84.086.2170.2-2.240%
Last 5 (5)89.487.8177.2+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.288.4166.6-10.125%
vs Similar (9)84.280.3164.6+3.967%
vs Weaker (13)93.182.5175.5+10.669%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#4
L
80-83
80
83
-3
no box
H03/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
91-74
91
74
+17
no box
A07/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
84-69
84
69
+15
no box
H11/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
A14/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
79-61
79
61
+18
no box
H16/05
LBL
Tal Tech
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
65avg 67
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
94-74
94
74
+20
90avg 67
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
80-64
80
64
+16
73avg 67
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
72-74
72
74
-2
62avg 67
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Darussafaka
#31
L
75-84
75
84
-9
64avg 67
H17/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
23-21
17-16
20-26
24-18
26-22
25-24
16-10
17-9
25-20
18-18
24-22
24-18
20-16
24-15
21-25
18-17
20-16
21-13
20-15
20-15
16-28
21-20
21-17
17-22
27-14
27-20
23-18
17-13
11-16
33-15
19-20
12-13
14-22
16-22
30-17
18-33
25-24
14-14
18-13
155.9Avg total
82.2Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.073.0154.0+8.050%
Season at home (1)80.064.0144.0+16.0100%
Season away (3)81.376.0157.3+5.333%
Last 10 (10)82.273.7155.9+8.560%
Last 5 (5)79.875.2155.0+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.584.5152.0-17.00%
vs Similar (2)79.074.5153.5+4.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)82.070.0152.0+12.073%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
VentspilsVEF Riga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#3
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A27/04
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A03/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H07/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A11/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H14/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A16/05
LBL
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
82.8Avg total
39.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.283.1+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (11)44.341.986.2+2.464%-
Last 30 away (19)40.640.781.3-0.237%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.882.8-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.682.6-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.145.585.6-5.412%-
vs Similar (9)44.641.385.9+3.267%-
vs Weaker (13)41.238.479.6+2.854%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H03/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A07/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H11/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A14/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H16/05
LBL
Tal Tech
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Darussafaka
#31
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H17/10
Champions League
77.1Avg total
39.4Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.535.576.0+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.934.574.4+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)41.136.477.5+4.662%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.777.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)35.440.075.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.543.586.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (2)38.545.083.5-6.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)40.534.274.7+6.369%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 95.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.5 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.025.2
50.5%
50.5%50.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.2
34.9%
32.1%27.8
🏀 Free throws20.816.8
80.7%
70.5%16.8
They take 76.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.015.5
45.6%
50.5%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.5
35.8%
32.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.912.7
75.1%
70.5%12.7
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ventspils
WLLWLLLLWW
VEF Riga
LLWWLWWWWL
#4
League position
#3
+6.1
Net rating
-4.7
106.2
Offensive rating
100.3
100.0
Defensive rating
105.0
51.1%
Effective FG%
49.2%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
21.5%
Turnover %
22.7%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.9%
3-point %
35.8%
56.5%
Assist %
62.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 100.3Defence100.0 · 105.0Shooting51.1% · 49.2%3-point %34.9% · 35.8%Ball care21.5% · 22.7%Off. rebounds35.7% · 34.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Ventspils   ■ VEF Riga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ventspils wins
8
VEF Riga wins
DateGameScore
16/05/23VEF Riga v Ventspils79-61
14/05/23Ventspils v VEF Riga74-89
11/05/23VEF Riga v Ventspils84-69
07/05/23Ventspils v VEF Riga74-91
03/05/23VEF Riga v Ventspils80-83
11/03/23Ventspils v VEF Riga99-92
07/10/22VEF Riga v Ventspils100-81
19/05/22VEF Riga v Ventspils93-92
17/05/22Ventspils v VEF Riga74-98
14/05/22VEF Riga v Ventspils89-65
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23AViimsi104-75
14/10/23ATal Tech98-100 OT
06/10/23HBK Liepaja96-102 OT
29/09/23ATartu Ulikool88-83 OT
16/05/23AVEF Riga61-79
14/05/23HVEF Riga74-89
11/05/23AVEF Riga69-84
07/05/23HVEF Riga74-91
03/05/23AVEF Riga83-80
27/04/23ABK Ogre93-79
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/23HDarussafaka75-84
14/10/23ATartu Ulikool72-74
11/10/23HParnu80-64
04/10/23ABK Ogre94-74
30/09/23ATal Tech78-80
16/05/23HVentspils79-61
14/05/23AVentspils89-74
11/05/23HVentspils84-69
07/05/23AVentspils91-74
03/05/23HVentspils80-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%0%67%
Points / game96.596.096.7
Allowed / game90.0102.086.0
Point differential+6.5-6.0+10.7
Avg total186.5198.0182.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %75%100%67%
VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game81.080.081.3
Allowed / game73.064.076.0
Point differential+8.0+16.0+5.3
Avg total154.0144.0157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prometey330100%95.067.0+28.0
2 BC Kalev/Cramo440100%92.267.0+25.2
3 Rigas Zelli43175%74.563.0+11.5
4 Tal Tech43175%87.878.0+9.8
5 Parnu53260%73.869.4+4.4
6 VEF Riga42250%81.073.0+8.0
7 BK Ogre63350%79.272.7+6.5
8 Ventspils42250%96.590.0+6.5
9 BK Liepaja42250%86.586.2+0.2
10 Tartu Ulikool42250%72.872.5+0.2
11 Tallinna Kalev42250%68.079.5-11.5
12 Valmiera Glass Via52340%75.879.0-3.2
13 Rapla52340%72.276.6-4.4
14 Keila KK52340%73.278.4-5.2
15 Viimsi61517%65.890.5-24.7
16 Latvijas Universitate71614%65.484.4-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ventspils2211211468
VEF Riga25302527107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.