Tartu Ulikool vs Rigas Zelli Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Oct 2023

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 63-56

12-11 15-19 20-16 16-10

Position#5

Record0-2

FormLLLLL

Points / game77.0

Allowed / game81.0

Tartu Ulikool 🏆

Rigas Zelli

Position#6

Record2-0

FormWW

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game63.5

Latvia-Estonian League· Tartu Ulikooli spordihoone (Tartu)

Other2023

Meetings · Tartu Ulikool v Rigas Zelli

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tartu Ulikool winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Rigas Zelli winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormUlikool

Date

Competition

Parnu

56-71

-15

50avg 72

H02/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

95-81

+14

86avg 72

A05/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

72-71

72avg 72

H08/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

79-85

-6

75avg 72

A10/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

78-68

+10

72avg 72

H12/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

65-71

-6

60avg 72

A18/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

73-90

-17

62avg 72

H23/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

82-89

-7

79avg 72

A27/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

71-74

-3

64avg 72

A21/09

Latvia-Estonian League

Ventspils

83-88 OT

-5

72avg 72

H29/09

Latvia-Estonian League

15-19

17-21

13-15

11-16

26-30

20-19

24-12

25-20

20-23

20-16

14-17

18-15

15-19

29-17

20-28

15-21

14-10

22-18

17-25

25-15

18-13

14-23

21-16

12-19

17-24

18-31

23-17

15-18

19-16

24-20

19-26

20-27

20-17

11-20

15-21

25-16

19-16

23-17

18-18

16-25

154.2Avg total

75.4Scored

78.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	77.0	81.0	158.0	-4.0	0%
Season at home (1)	83.0	88.0	171.0	-5.0	0%
Season away (1)	71.0	74.0	145.0	-3.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	75.4	78.8	154.2	-3.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	82.4	157.2	-7.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	71.2	81.2	152.4	-10.0	10%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	80.1	77.3	157.4	+2.8	60%
vs Weaker (10)	83.1	70.8	153.9	+12.3	80%

This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormZelli

Date

Competition

Keila KK

#12

77-56

+21

73avg 77

H30/09

Latvia-Estonian League

Valmiera Glass Via

#13

78-71

81avg 77

A03/10

Latvia-Estonian League

19-12

7-17

29-9

22-18

21-21

21-14

24-15

12-21

141.0Avg total

77.5Scored

63.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	77.5	63.5	141.0	+14.0	100%
Season at home (1)	77.0	56.0	133.0	+21.0	100%
Season away (1)	78.0	71.0	149.0	+7.0	100%
Last 10 (2)	77.5	63.5	141.0	+14.0	100%
Last 5 (2)	77.5	63.5	141.0	+14.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀	no games
vs Weaker (2)	77.5	63.5	141.0	+14.0	100%

This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tartu UlikoolRigas Zelli

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.3	38.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.2	18.2	37.5	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	20.7	39.2	-2.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.2	35.8	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.9	17.7	34.6	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.8	21.1	40.9	-1.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.0	19.1	39.1	+0.9	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (2)	20.0	16.5	36.5	+3.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	19.0	12.0	31.0	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (1)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	0%	-
Last 10 (2)	20.0	16.5	36.5	+3.5	50%	-
Last 5 (2)	20.0	16.5	36.5	+3.5	50%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀	no games
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	16.5	36.5	+3.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.4	18.9	39.2	+1.5	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.3	18.9	40.2	+2.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.2	40.2	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.3	22.5	40.8	-4.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.7	17.1	37.8	+3.6	80%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.3	17.1	40.4	+6.2	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (2)	14.0	15.5	29.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	7.0	17.0	24.0	-10.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (1)	21.0	14.0	35.0	+7.0	100%	-
Last 10 (2)	14.0	15.5	29.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (2)	14.0	15.5	29.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀	no games
vs Weaker (2)	14.0	15.5	29.5	-1.5	50%	-

Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Parnu

32-40

-8

H02/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

46-49

-3

A05/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

40-39

H08/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

44-36

A10/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

36-28

H12/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

32-36

-4

A18/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

35-55

-20

H23/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

43-36

A27/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

31-37

-6

A21/09

Latvia-Estonian League

Ventspils

42-33

H29/09

Latvia-Estonian League

77.0Avg total

38.1Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	38.2	77.9	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.6	37.1	76.7	+2.5	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.8	39.6	79.4	+0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	38.9	77.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	39.4	76.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.2	40.2	75.4	-5.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	40.5	38.2	78.7	+2.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.3	36.2	79.5	+7.1	70%	-

This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keila KK

#12

26-29

-3

H30/09

Latvia-Estonian League

Valmiera Glass Via

#13

42-35

A03/10

Latvia-Estonian League

66.0Avg total

34.0Scored

32.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (2)	34.0	32.0	66.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	26.0	29.0	55.0	-3.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (1)	42.0	35.0	77.0	+7.0	100%	-
Last 10 (2)	34.0	32.0	66.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (2)	34.0	32.0	66.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀	no games
vs Weaker (2)	34.0	32.0	66.0	+2.0	50%	-

This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.4	37.9	-0.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.0	19.9	37.9	-1.9	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.5	37.9	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.2	21.8	39.0	-4.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.3	19.8	38.1	-1.5	10%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.2	16.5	36.7	+3.7	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (2)	26.5	12.0	38.5	+14.5	100%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	29.0	9.0	38.0	+20.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (1)	24.0	15.0	39.0	+9.0	100%	-
Last 10 (2)	26.5	12.0	38.5	+14.5	100%	-
Last 5 (2)	26.5	12.0	38.5	+14.5	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀	no games
vs Weaker (2)	26.5	12.0	38.5	+14.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.5	38.1	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.9	18.1	37.0	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.6	18.1	38.7	+2.5	70%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.6	18.1	37.7	+1.5	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (2)	17.0	19.5	36.5	-2.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (1)	12.0	21.0	33.0	-9.0	0%	-
Last 10 (2)	17.0	19.5	36.5	-2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (2)	17.0	19.5	36.5	-2.5	50%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀	no games
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	19.5	36.5	-2.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	37.8	76.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	36.9	38.0	74.9	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.9	37.6	77.5	+2.3	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	38.7	75.3	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	40.6	77.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	36.0	41.0	77.0	-5.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.9	37.9	76.8	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	39.8	34.6	74.4	+5.2	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (2)	43.5	31.5	75.0	+12.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	51.0	27.0	78.0	+24.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (1)	36.0	36.0	72.0	+0.0	0%	-
Last 10 (2)	43.5	31.5	75.0	+12.0	50%	-
Last 5 (2)	43.5	31.5	75.0	+12.0	50%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀	no games
vs Weaker (2)	43.5	31.5	75.0	+12.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 74.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.7	18.1	48.0%	50.5%	36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.3	33.6%	32.1%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	19.4	13.5	69.6%	70.5%	13.5

They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 76.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀61%

🏀🏀🏀24%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 61% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.5	23.5	52.8%	50.5%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	6.0	23.1%	32.1%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	15.5	11.5	74.2%	70.5%	11.5

They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.0	21.1	46.9%	50.5%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.9	6.7	30.6%	32.1%	20.1
🏀 Free throws	21.9	15.5	70.8%	70.5%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.0	16.0	39.0%	50.5%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.5	6.5	27.7%	32.1%	19.5
🏀 Free throws	19.5	11.0	56.4%	70.5%	11.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	18.8	49.5%	50.5%	37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	8.2	32.7%	32.1%	24.7
🏀 Free throws	19.7	13.7	69.5%	70.5%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.6	19.9	45.7%	50.5%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.2	6.9	28.6%	32.1%	20.8
🏀 Free throws	19.8	13.9	70.4%	70.5%	13.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.0	16.0	39.0%	50.5%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.5	6.5	27.7%	32.1%	19.5
🏀 Free throws	19.5	11.0	56.4%	70.5%	11.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Tartu Ulikool

LLLLLWLWWL

Rigas Zelli

League position

-4.3

Net rating

+18.2

100.6

Offensive rating

99.4

104.9

Defensive rating

81.2

49.0%

Effective FG%

46.1%

46.6%

Opp. effective FG%

39.9%

21.2%

Turnover %

22.8%

33.3%

Off. rebound %

42.9%

0.31

Free-throw rate

0.22

33.6%

3-point %

23.1%

57.6%

Assist %

72.9%

30%

Form (last 10/2)

100%

Profile

■ Tartu Ulikool ■ Rigas Zelli

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tartu Ulikool wins

Rigas Zelli wins

No previous meetings.

Tartu Ulikoollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/09/23	H	Ventspils	83-88 OT
21/09/23	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	71-74
27/05/23	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	82-89
23/05/23	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	73-90
18/05/23	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	65-71
12/05/23	H	Parnu	78-68
10/05/23	A	Parnu	79-85
08/05/23	H	Parnu	72-71
05/05/23	A	Parnu	95-81
02/05/23	H	Parnu	56-71

Rigas Zellilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/10/23	A	Valmiera Glass Via	78-71
30/09/23	H	Keila KK	77-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tartu Ulikool

Latvia-Estonian League 2023

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LL	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	77.0	83.0	71.0
Allowed / game	81.0	88.0	74.0
Point differential	-4.0	-5.0	-3.0
Avg total	158.0	171.0	145.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	50%	100%	0%

Rigas Zelli

Latvia-Estonian League 2023

Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Losses (last 2)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	77.5	77.0	78.0
Allowed / game	63.5	56.0	71.0
Point differential	+14.0	+21.0	+7.0
Avg total	141.0	133.0	149.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Prometey	1	1	0	100%	106.0	61.0	+45.0
2	BC Kalev/Cramo	2	2	0	100%	89.0	63.5	+25.5
3	BK Liepaja	1	1	0	100%	92.0	70.0	+22.0
4	Rigas Zelli	2	2	0	100%	77.5	63.5	+14.0
5	Parnu	2	2	0	100%	80.0	70.5	+9.5
6	Tallinna Kalev	2	2	0	100%	82.5	75.5	+7.0
7	Ventspils	1	1	0	100%	88.0	83.0	+5.0
8	Tal Tech	3	2	1	67%	83.7	71.3	+12.3
9	VEF Riga	2	1	1	50%	86.0	77.0	+9.0
10	Rapla	2	1	1	50%	74.5	76.5	-2.0
11	Keila KK	3	1	2	33%	70.7	77.3	-6.7
12	Tartu Ulikool	2	0	2	0%	77.0	81.0	-4.0
13	Valmiera Glass Via	2	0	2	0%	75.0	82.5	-7.5
14	BK Ogre	2	0	2	0%	74.5	85.5	-11.0
15	Viimsi	3	0	3	0%	64.0	97.3	-33.3
16	Latvijas Universitate	2	0	2	0%	63.0	98.0	-35.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tartu Ulikool	12	15	20	16	63
Rigas Zelli	11	19	16	10	56

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Tartu Ulikool vs Rigas Zelli Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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