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Rimini vs Forli Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record6-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.9/10
Above normal
6.0/10
Above normal
Position#9
Record5-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game77.6
ItalySerie A2Round 27· Palasport Flaminio
Other2026-27
Meetings · Rimini v Forli
14 Feb 2027
RIMI v FORL
upcoming
15 Feb 2026
RIMI78
FORL63
27 May 2025
RIMI83
FORL78
25 May 2025
RIMI75
FORL69
27 Oct 2024
RIMI81
FORL73
23 Dec 2023
RIMI68
FORL80
09 Oct 2022
RIMI79
FORL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rimini win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Forli win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RiminiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRimini
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
75-83
75
83
-8
66avg 76
H14/06
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
W
84-59
84
59
+25
79avg 76
A27/09
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
21avg 76
H04/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
66-78
66
78
-12
62avg 76
A11/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
W
91-76
91
76
+15
99avg 76
H18/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
W
84-67
84
67
+17
97avg 76
A21/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
96-73
96
73
+23
96avg 76
H25/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A30/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
76-68
76
68
+8
no box
H08/11
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
70-81
70
81
-11
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-30
28-16
17-15
14-22
20-21
14-18
28-13
22-7
23-23
22-11
11-21
16-18
16-28
19-4
21-22
10-24
20-16
26-23
29-17
16-20
22-20
28-16
16-14
18-17
32-25
28-14
10-14
26-20
24-16
25-12
17-22
19-21
23-24
14-18
22-12
17-14
24-21
21-15
12-21
13-24
152.8Avg total
79.9Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.471.8152.2+8.767%
Season at home (4)83.872.5156.2+11.275%
Season away (5)77.871.2149.0+6.660%
Last 10 (10)79.972.9152.8+7.060%
Last 5 (5)82.272.0154.2+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)80.881.3162.1-0.540%
vs Weaker (10)87.674.6162.2+13.090%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
65-96
65
96
-31
55avg 69
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
85-68
85
68
+17
78avg 69
A26/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
80-73
80
73
+7
70avg 69
H03/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
81-94
81
94
-13
66avg 69
A11/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
93-71
93
71
+22
93avg 69
H18/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
74-79
74
79
-5
66avg 69
A21/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
74avg 69
H25/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
H01/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
A07/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
W
81-70
81
70
+11
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
20-30
9-22
21-23
27-15
21-8
16-23
21-22
31-18
16-19
18-19
15-17
19-25
21-24
23-24
18-21
25-11
30-33
13-15
25-12
20-20
20-23
21-17
13-19
19-31
22-26
23-23
23-12
28-24
15-14
19-14
24-19
20-23
9-15
23-29
22-13
21-24
15-21
21-12
24-13
160.0Avg total
80.6Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.377.6159.9+4.856%
Season at home (5)85.475.4160.8+10.080%
Season away (4)78.580.2158.8-1.825%
Last 10 (10)80.679.4160.0+1.250%
Last 5 (5)80.478.4158.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)74.984.7159.6-9.825%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.980.3163.2+2.650%
vs Weaker (4)81.272.8154.0+8.575%
This opponent (Rimini) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +7.8+7.8Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +3.5+3.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +7.8+7.8Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +3.5+3.5
RiminiForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RiminiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H14/06
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/09
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H04/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A11/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H18/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A21/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H25/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A30/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H08/11
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A11/11
Serie A2
81.6Avg total
44.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.741.485.1+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.142.387.4+2.947%-
Last 30 away (15)42.340.582.8+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)44.537.181.6+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)48.236.284.4+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)42.641.884.4+0.945%-
vs Weaker (10)45.840.786.5+5.160%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A26/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H03/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A11/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H18/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A21/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H25/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H01/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A07/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H11/11
Serie A2
83.9Avg total
41.4Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.883.2-2.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.943.285.1-1.333%-
Last 30 away (15)38.942.581.4-3.520%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.583.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.844.282.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.344.082.3-5.712%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.144.086.1-1.930%-
vs Weaker (4)44.535.279.8+9.275%-
This opponent (Rimini) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Riminitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rimini: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.1
50.1%
51.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.8
37.0%
34.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.312.5
72.3%
71.0%12.5
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.7
53.3%
51.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.6
35.0%
34.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.914.9
65.1%
71.0%14.9
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rimini
LWWWWWLLWL
Forli
WLWLLWLWWL
#5
League position
#9
+6.2
Net rating
-1.3
101.1
Offensive rating
98.1
94.9
Defensive rating
99.4
52.3%
Effective FG%
53.0%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
9.5%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.40
37.0%
3-point %
35.0%
51.3%
Assist %
51.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 98.1Defence94.9 · 99.4Shooting52.3% · 53.0%3-point %37.0% · 35.0%Ball care9.5% · 13.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Rimini   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Rimini wins
4
Forli wins
DateGameScore
11/11/26Forli v Rimini81-70
15/02/26Rimini v Forli78-63
21/12/25Forli v Rimini77-86
01/06/25Forli v Rimini64-76
30/05/25Forli v Rimini87-78
27/05/25Rimini v Forli83-78
25/05/25Rimini v Forli75-69
19/01/25Forli v Rimini78-73
27/10/24Rimini v Forli81-73
23/12/23Rimini v Forli68-80
Riminilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AForli70-81
08/11/26HVigevano76-68
30/10/26AUrania Milano85-71
25/10/26HSebastiani Rieti96-73
21/10/26ASassari84-67
18/10/26HMestre91-76
11/10/26AFortitudo Bologna66-78
04/10/26HAvellino Basket72-73
27/09/26AMontecatini84-59
14/06/26HVerona75-83
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HRimini81-70
07/11/26ABrindisi74-80
01/11/26HRuvo Di Puglia86-71
25/10/26HLibertas Livorno87-92
21/10/26AVigevano74-79
18/10/26HSebastiani Rieti93-71
11/10/26AAvellino Basket81-94
03/10/26HCento80-73
26/09/26ACividale85-68
26/04/26HFortitudo Bologna65-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rimini
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game80.483.877.8
Allowed / game71.872.571.2
Point differential+8.7+11.2+6.6
Avg total152.2156.2149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game82.385.478.5
Allowed / game77.675.480.2
Point differential+4.8+10.0-1.8
Avg total159.9160.8158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
20 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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