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Forli vs Rimini Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-86
19-18 22-21 22-20 14-27
Position#17
Record6-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#8
Record11-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game76.4
ItalySerie A2Round 18· PalaGalassi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Forli v Rimini
11 Nov 2026
FORL81
RIMI70
21 Dec 2025
FORL77
RIMI86
01 Jun 2025
FORL64
RIMI76
30 May 2025
FORL87
RIMI78
19 Jan 2025
FORL78
RIMI73
22 Oct 2023
FORL76
RIMI68
04 Jan 2023
FORL87
RIMI65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rimini winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Mestre
#15
W
85-80
85
80
+5
79avg 70
H29/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
73-62
73
62
+11
69avg 70
A02/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
80-70
80
70
+10
76avg 70
H09/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
59-86
59
86
-27
52avg 70
A12/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 70
H16/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 70
A23/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
88-91
88
91
-3
81avg 70
H26/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
82-88
82
88
-6
79avg 70
A30/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 70
H08/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
79-90
79
90
-11
64avg 70
A14/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
26-27
19-19
15-15
21-18
23-11
12-14
17-19
26-20
11-8
21-23
22-19
5-16
20-23
17-26
17-21
17-21
22-22
17-24
18-18
15-19
20-23
21-15
16-24
24-24
20-23
17-24
27-20
19-26
26-22
13-15
24-25
19-27
29-18
21-19
16-8
11-23
23-18
21-22
24-27
158.2Avg total
77.7Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.180.8156.9-4.835%
Season at home (8)79.879.6159.4+0.150%
Season away (9)72.881.9154.7-9.122%
Last 10 (10)77.780.5158.2-2.840%
Last 5 (5)81.284.4165.6-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)72.682.5155.2-9.918%
vs Similar (18)78.877.1155.9+1.756%
vs Weaker (1)67.086.0153.0-19.00%
This opponent (Rimini) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiminiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRimini
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
85-78
85
78
+7
78avg 72
H29/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
83-84
83
84
-1
74avg 72
A02/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
75-72
75
72
+3
68avg 72
H09/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
78-85
78
85
-7
72avg 72
A12/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
84-58
84
58
+26
85avg 72
H16/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
78-87
78
87
-9
64avg 72
A22/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
78-73
78
73
+5
69avg 72
A26/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
92-79
92
79
+13
84avg 72
A06/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
83-68
83
68
+15
78avg 72
H14/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
74-67
74
67
+7
68avg 72
H17/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
23-15
26-27
16-15
18-13
21-25
16-24
28-22
22-20
17-18
22-18
14-16
17-17
24-26
16-20
21-22
19-13
20-22
27-7
18-16
24-21
17-22
17-10
20-34
24-10
17-20
13-24
24-19
31-19
26-12
18-25
17-23
20-23
28-15
11-18
24-12
17-18
20-19
18-17
19-13
156.1Avg total
81.0Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.976.4158.3+5.565%
Season at home (8)80.172.2152.4+7.975%
Season away (9)83.480.1163.6+3.356%
Last 10 (10)81.075.1156.1+5.970%
Last 5 (5)81.074.8155.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (22)77.777.0154.7+0.745%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)83.073.0156.0+10.088%
This opponent (Forli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
ForliRimini
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mestre
#15
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H29/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A02/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H09/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A12/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H26/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A30/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H08/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A14/12
Serie A2
81.0Avg total
40.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.278.7-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.139.680.7+1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)36.440.677.0-4.238%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.881.0-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.685.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.538.674.2-3.127%-
vs Similar (18)40.940.381.2+0.656%-
vs Weaker (1)30.054.084.0-24.00%-
This opponent (Rimini) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiminiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H29/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A02/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H09/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A12/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H16/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A22/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A26/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
57-31
57
31
+26
A06/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H14/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/12
Serie A2
79.4Avg total
42.5Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.836.379.1+6.477%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.837.980.6+4.975%-
Last 30 away (14)42.834.677.4+8.279%-
Last 10 (10)42.536.979.4+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)44.835.880.6+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (22)42.237.079.1+5.268%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.434.679.0+9.8100%-
This opponent (Forli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.214.8
44.6%
50.8%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.411.6
42.3%
34.6%34.8
🏀 Free throws16.412.3
75.0%
74.4%12.3
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Riminitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rimini: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.3
50.3%
50.8%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.4
38.0%
34.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.314.2
70.0%
74.4%14.2
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
LWLLLLLWWW
Rimini
WWWWLWLWLW
#17
League position
#8
-4.2
Net rating
+8.2
108.1
Offensive rating
111.8
112.3
Defensive rating
103.5
53.1%
Effective FG%
53.2%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.5%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
42.3%
3-point %
38.0%
55.7%
Assist %
56.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 111.8Defence112.3 · 103.5Shooting53.1% · 53.2%3-point %42.3% · 38.0%Ball care15.3% · 15.5%Off. rebounds22.3% · 28.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Forli   ■ Rimini
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Forli wins
4
Rimini wins
DateGameScore
01/06/25Forli v Rimini64-76
30/05/25Forli v Rimini87-78
27/05/25Rimini v Forli83-78
25/05/25Rimini v Forli75-69
19/01/25Forli v Rimini78-73
27/10/24Rimini v Forli81-73
23/12/23Rimini v Forli68-80
22/10/23Forli v Rimini76-68 OT
04/01/23Forli v Rimini87-65
09/10/22Rimini v Forli79-84
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25AAvellino Basket79-90
08/12/25HPistoia85-72
30/11/25ARoseto82-88
26/11/25HPesaro88-91
23/11/25AFortitudo Bologna72-81
16/11/25HVerona74-85
12/11/25ALibertas Livorno59-86
09/11/25HUrania Milano80-70
02/11/25ABasket Torino73-62
29/10/25HMestre85-80
Riminilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25HCividale74-67
14/12/25HFortitudo Bologna83-68
06/12/25AScafati92-79
26/11/25ACento78-73
22/11/25AAvellino Basket78-87
16/11/25HRuvo Di Puglia84-58
12/11/25ABrindisi78-85
09/11/25HBasket Torino75-72
02/11/25ALibertas Livorno83-84
29/10/25HRoseto85-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL35%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%50%22%
Points / game76.179.872.8
Allowed / game80.879.681.9
Point differential-4.8+0.1-9.1
Avg total156.9159.4154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rimini
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW65%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %65%75%56%
Points / game81.980.183.4
Allowed / game76.472.280.1
Point differential+5.5+7.9+3.3
Avg total158.3152.4163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro1712571%81.976.9+4.9
2 Rimini1711665%81.976.4+5.5
3 Brindisi1711665%78.273.1+5.1
4 Verona1711665%77.973.9+4.0
5 Libertas Livorno1811761%77.672.3+5.3
6 Avellino Basket1811761%81.077.0+4.0
7 Cividale1811761%77.675.6+2.0
8 Sebastiani Rieti1710759%80.377.6+2.7
9 Fortitudo Bologna1710759%75.172.7+2.4
10 Scafati179853%82.479.4+3.0
11 Basket Torino179853%73.573.8-0.3
12 Blu Basket Bergamo168850%82.481.1+1.3
13 Cento178947%78.679.4-0.7
14 Mestre178947%78.880.7-1.9
15 Pistoia1761135%78.881.9-3.1
16 Forli1761135%76.180.8-4.8
17 Urania Milano1761135%77.583.6-6.2
18 JuVi Cremona1761135%73.279.6-6.4
19 Ruvo Di Puglia1741324%74.685.0-10.4
20 Roseto1731418%79.886.8-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli1922221477
Rimini1821202786
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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