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Forli vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 65-96
15-21 20-30 9-22 21-23
Position#17
Record13-23
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#4
Record24-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game72.8
ItalySerie A2Round 38· PalaGalassi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Forli v Fortitudo Bologna
20 Dec 2026
FORL v FBO
upcoming
26 Apr 2026
FORL65
FBO96
13 Apr 2025
FORL67
FBO58
10 Dec 2023
FORL77
FBO74
18 Dec 2022
FORL88
FBO66
07 Apr 2019
FORL88
FBO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A15/02
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H25/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A07/03
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A22/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H25/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
72-96
72
96
-24
A29/03
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H04/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
56-89
56
89
-33
A08/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H12/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A19/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
17-16
8-24
21-16
29-23
16-22
11-21
18-13
25-31
12-13
21-13
26-23
28-15
18-28
19-25
19-19
18-19
15-15
26-16
14-21
18-25
20-21
28-28
6-22
22-25
23-24
23-15
21-17
8-22
21-27
13-26
14-14
29-21
19-30
23-22
20-13
17-20
24-27
19-23
13-15
159.1Avg total
75.9Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)76.781.6158.3-5.036%
Season at home (17)79.880.1159.9-0.353%
Season away (19)73.883.0156.8-9.221%
Last 10 (10)75.983.2159.1-7.340%
Last 5 (5)76.287.4163.6-11.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)74.882.5157.3-7.830%
vs Similar (10)83.279.8163.0+3.460%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A15/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H22/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A06/03
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H11/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
78-76 OT
78
76
+2
H21/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A25/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H29/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
48-70
48
70
-22
A04/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H08/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A12/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
18-17
29-24
18-14
22-19
14-17
28-9
15-20
13-22
11-32
22-19
27-18
17-24
19-16
24-20
18-10
15-24
13-17
22-16
18-11
26-19
17-21
21-20
22-24
25-17
15-15
16-15
15-15
14-15
11-10
19-20
4-25
22-15
21-15
17-16
13-16
22-15
27-23
16-20
16-13
149.1Avg total
75.7Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)76.372.8149.1+3.667%
Season at home (18)79.267.3146.6+11.994%
Season away (18)73.478.2151.6-4.839%
Last 10 (10)75.773.4149.1+2.380%
Last 5 (5)71.869.8141.6+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)70.173.3143.4-3.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)79.969.3149.2+10.787%
This opponent (Forli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
ForliFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A15/02
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H25/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A07/03
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A22/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H25/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A29/03
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H04/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A08/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H12/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A19/04
Serie A2
84.2Avg total
39.6Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.082.0-2.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.141.883.9+0.436%-
Last 30 away (16)38.142.180.2-4.025%-
Last 10 (10)39.644.684.2-5.010%-
Last 5 (5)40.248.488.6-8.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.941.479.3-3.520%-
vs Similar (10)44.243.187.3+1.150%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A15/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H22/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
24-54
24
54
-30
A06/03
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H11/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H21/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A25/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H29/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A04/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H08/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A12/04
Serie A2
74.8Avg total
36.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.635.171.7+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.332.469.7+4.973%-
Last 30 away (15)35.937.873.7-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)36.738.174.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.033.073.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)33.737.170.9-3.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.433.172.5+6.373%-
This opponent (Forli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.8
52.4%
50.8%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.3
32.7%
34.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.613.0
69.9%
74.4%13.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.815.4
47.0%
50.8%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.310.0
30.0%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.014.7
81.7%
74.4%14.7
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
LWLWLWLWLL
Fortitudo Bologna
WWLWWWWLWW
#17
League position
#4
-8.6
Net rating
+2.9
91.8
Offensive rating
90.0
100.5
Defensive rating
87.2
51.0%
Effective FG%
46.0%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
13.6%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.7%
3-point %
30.0%
53.1%
Assist %
65.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence91.8 · 90.0Defence100.5 · 87.2Shooting51.0% · 46.0%3-point %32.7% · 30.0%Ball care13.6% · 13.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Forli   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Forli wins
5
Fortitudo Bologna wins
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26APesaro73-85
12/04/26HLibertas Livorno91-86
08/04/26AVerona56-89
04/04/26HRoseto89-81
29/03/26AScafati72-96
25/03/26HAvellino Basket73-71
22/03/26ARuvo Di Puglia84-87
07/03/26ACividale84-80
25/02/26HBrindisi74-79
15/02/26ARimini63-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26ABrindisi81-71
08/04/26HJuVi Cremona73-62
04/04/26ACividale48-70
29/03/26HAvellino Basket71-62
25/03/26APesaro86-84
21/03/26HRimini78-76 OT
11/03/26HCento78-70
06/03/26ALibertas Livorno73-91
22/02/26HSebastiani Rieti79-65
15/02/26ARuvo Di Puglia90-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL36%
HomeWLWWW53%
AwayWLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %36%53%21%
Points / game76.779.873.8
Allowed / game81.680.183.0
Point differential-5.0-0.3-9.2
Avg total158.3159.9156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)56% (9)50% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWLWLW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %67%94%39%
Points / game76.379.273.4
Allowed / game72.867.378.2
Point differential+3.6+11.9-4.8
Avg total149.1146.6151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)100% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %8%6%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro37271073%82.879.1+3.7
2 Scafati37261170%83.677.5+6.0
3 Fortitudo Bologna36241267%76.372.8+3.6
4 Verona37241365%78.973.4+5.6
5 Cividale37241365%78.874.4+4.5
6 Brindisi36221461%77.874.1+3.7
7 Rimini36211558%82.178.8+3.2
8 Avellino Basket36211558%81.379.1+2.2
9 Libertas Livorno37211657%79.373.9+5.4
10 Sebastiani Rieti37211657%79.877.7+2.1
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 Basket Torino36171947%73.373.9-0.6
13 JuVi Cremona36171947%75.677.3-1.7
14 Urania Milano36162044%79.581.7-2.2
15 Mestre36142239%78.181.4-3.3
16 Forli36132336%76.781.6-5.0
17 Ruvo Di Puglia36112531%77.187.1-9.9
18 Cento37102727%77.281.2-4.0
19 Pistoia3692725%76.682.9-6.3
20 Roseto3672919%77.785.0-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli152092165
Fortitudo Bologna2130222396
← all games of the day
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