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Rio Claro vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 98-95
26-27 27-29 31-19 14-20
Position#15
Record3-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game88.6
vs
Position#19
Record3-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game86.4
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Felipe Karam
Other2025-26
Meetings · Rio Claro v Cearense
06 Dec 2025
RIO 98
CEAR95
15 Nov 2022
RIO 57
CEAR72
05 Apr 2022
RIO 82
CEAR66
28 Feb 2020
RIO 86
CEAR79
09 Dec 2015
RIO 68
CEAR77
25 Feb 2015
RIO 92
CEAR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rio Claro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rio ClaroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormClaro
Date
Competition
Osasco
#18
L
103-104
103
104
-1
94avg 67
H30/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
79-92
79
92
-13
76avg 67
A03/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
61-68
61
68
-7
53avg 67
A05/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
74-108
74
108
-34
56avg 67
H08/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
99-77
99
77
+22
94avg 67
H12/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
55-95
55
95
-40
38avg 67
A14/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
61-74
61
74
-13
47avg 67
A20/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
72-84
72
84
-12
64avg 67
A22/11
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
84-81
84
81
+3
76avg 67
A25/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
78-85
78
85
-7
73avg 67
H04/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
26-30
36-25
20-26
18-24
29-23
9-18
23-27
10-14
11-23
19-14
21-17
19-27
20-26
18-30
17-25
24-17
26-11
27-32
22-17
11-24
24-32
11-22
9-17
23-19
7-13
17-24
14-18
17-25
22-20
19-18
14-21
15-16
24-22
23-16
22-27
22-20
22-20
17-30
17-15
163.4Avg total
76.6Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.888.6165.4-11.823%
Season at home (6)88.291.5179.7-3.333%
Season away (7)67.086.1153.1-19.114%
Last 10 (10)76.686.8163.4-10.220%
Last 5 (5)70.083.8153.8-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)74.491.4165.8-17.014%
vs Similar (7)82.979.7162.6+3.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)103.0104.0207.0-1.00%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#16
W
84-80
84
80
+4
84avg 68
A20/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
73-102
73
102
-29
61avg 68
A23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
71-85
71
85
-14
66avg 68
A31/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
82-98
82
98
-16
59avg 68
H05/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
76-80
76
80
-4
66avg 68
H10/11
NBB
Pato
#17
L
79-82
79
82
-3
70avg 68
A14/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
67avg 68
H18/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
91-72
91
72
+19
85avg 68
H20/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 68
H23/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
90-105
90
105
-15
76avg 68
A04/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
14-19
27-13
21-22
25-19
18-22
13-33
17-28
12-29
24-18
19-17
16-21
24-27
14-24
22-30
22-17
21-17
16-27
19-13
20-23
19-21
18-26
13-12
29-23
23-27
23-19
20-14
11-26
21-22
20-23
26-12
24-15
16-18
20-21
14-17
20-26
18-22
26-28
22-22
24-33
166.5Avg total
79.3Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.186.4166.5-6.327%
Season at home (5)79.283.6162.8-4.420%
Season away (6)80.888.7169.5-7.833%
Last 10 (10)79.387.2166.5-7.920%
Last 5 (5)81.485.4166.8-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)77.083.1160.1-6.124%
vs Similar (9)77.477.2154.7+0.256%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rio Claro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
Rio ClaroCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rio ClaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osasco
#18
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H30/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A03/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
21-37
21
37
-16
A05/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H08/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H12/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A14/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A20/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/11
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A25/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H04/12
NBB
82.0Avg total
39.1Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.743.682.3-4.927%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.744.886.5-3.231%-
Last 30 away (17)36.442.679.0-6.224%-
Last 10 (10)39.142.982.0-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.442.279.6-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)38.444.883.2-6.418%-
vs Similar (7)38.438.376.7+0.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)47.053.0100.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#16
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A20/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A31/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H05/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H10/11
NBB
Pato
#17
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A14/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H18/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H20/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H23/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A04/12
NBB
84.9Avg total
39.4Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.779.1-2.327%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.541.079.5-2.515%-
Last 30 away (17)38.440.578.9-2.135%-
Last 10 (10)39.445.584.9-6.110%-
Last 5 (5)40.845.486.2-4.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)39.140.079.1-0.833%-
vs Similar (9)36.842.479.2-5.711%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rio Claro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rio Clarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rio Claro: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.7
49.2%
52.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.3
32.5%
32.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.015.1
75.5%
72.8%15.1
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.5
49.9%
52.2%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.0
30.8%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.115.5
73.5%
72.8%15.5
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rio Claro
LWLLLWLLLL
Cearense
LLWLLLLLLW
#15
League position
#19
-14.1
Net rating
-9.8
100.3
Offensive rating
100.0
114.4
Defensive rating
109.8
49.0%
Effective FG%
48.4%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
18.8%
Turnover %
21.9%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.5%
3-point %
30.8%
52.7%
Assist %
56.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 100.0Defence114.4 · 109.8Shooting49.0% · 48.4%3-point %32.5% · 30.8%Ball care18.8% · 21.9%Off. rebounds25.0% · 33.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Rio Claro   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Rio Claro wins
4
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
16/02/23Cearense v Rio Claro75-99
15/11/22Rio Claro v Cearense57-72
05/04/22Rio Claro v Cearense82-66
03/01/22Cearense v Rio Claro20-0
28/02/20Rio Claro v Cearense86-79
14/10/19Cearense v Rio Claro87-90
24/02/16Cearense v Rio Claro64-67
09/12/15Rio Claro v Cearense68-77
25/02/15Rio Claro v Cearense92-83
10/12/14Cearense v Rio Claro68-60
Rio Clarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25HUnifacisa78-85
25/11/25AVasco84-81
22/11/25AFlamengo72-84
20/11/25ABotafogo61-74
14/11/25AMogi55-95
12/11/25HCruzeiro99-77
08/11/25HMinas74-108
05/11/25AUniao Corinthians61-68
03/11/25ACaxias do Sul79-92
30/10/25HOsasco103-104
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25ABrasilia90-105
23/11/25HFranca70-82
20/11/25HBauru91-72
18/11/25HSao Jose77-86
14/11/25APato79-82
10/11/25HMogi76-80
05/11/25HCorinthians Paulista82-98
31/10/25AUnifacisa71-85
23/10/25AFlamengo73-102
20/10/25ABotafogo84-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rio Claro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL23%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %23%33%14%
Points / game76.888.267.0
Allowed / game88.691.586.1
Point differential-11.8-3.3-19.1
Avg total165.4179.7153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cearense
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%20%33%
Points / game80.179.280.8
Allowed / game86.483.688.7
Point differential-6.3-4.4-7.8
Avg total166.5162.8169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1412286%87.673.8+13.8
2 Minas1412286%85.476.4+9.0
3 Brasilia1311285%84.972.2+12.7
4 Pinheiros119282%84.275.6+8.5
5 Franca1411379%86.973.7+13.2
6 Mogi129375%83.666.2+17.3
7 Corinthians Paulista118373%83.575.1+8.5
8 Paulistano138562%81.576.0+5.5
9 Sao Jose127558%79.278.2+1.1
10 Unifacisa126650%79.879.3+0.4
11 Caxias do Sul125742%71.778.2-6.6
12 Uniao Corinthians125742%76.283.4-7.2
13 Bauru135838%73.676.8-3.2
14 Osasco1441029%75.585.9-10.4
15 Cearense113827%80.186.4-6.3
16 Botafogo1331023%71.281.6-10.4
17 Rio Claro1331023%76.888.6-11.8
18 Cruzeiro1431121%76.486.7-10.4
19 Pato1221017%70.381.0-10.7
20 Vasco120120%66.080.2-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rio Claro2627311498
Cearense2729192095
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