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Cearense vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 77-86
23-27 23-19 20-14 11-26
Position#19
Record2-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Position#9
Record4-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game75.2
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cearense v Sao Jose
18 Nov 2025
CEAR77
SAO 86
09 Dec 2024
CEAR55
SAO 75
27 Apr 2024
CEAR90
SAO 66
22 Jan 2024
CEAR99
SAO 95
16 Jan 2023
CEAR71
SAO 90
14 Nov 2019
CEAR77
SAO 81
13 Feb 2019
CEAR76
SAO 86
06 Nov 2015
CEAR80
SAO 91
27 Nov 2014
CEAR70
SAO 76
08 Mar 2014
CEAR74
SAO 64
24 Jan 2013
CEAR73
SAO 63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
79-67
79
67
+12
70avg 67
H07/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
73-82
73
82
-9
65avg 67
H10/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
81-73
81
73
+8
79avg 67
H17/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
88-78
88
78
+10
74avg 67
A18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
84-80
84
80
+4
84avg 67
A20/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
73-102
73
102
-29
61avg 67
A23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
71-85
71
85
-14
66avg 67
A31/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
82-98
82
98
-16
59avg 67
H05/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
76-80
76
80
-4
66avg 67
H10/11
NBB
Pato
#17
L
79-82
79
82
-3
70avg 67
A14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-10
22-13
25-25
17-19
19-17
23-21
13-16
18-28
17-20
17-16
29-17
18-20
19-17
23-15
20-20
26-26
22-26
14-19
27-13
21-22
25-19
18-22
13-33
17-28
12-29
24-18
19-17
16-21
24-27
14-24
22-30
22-17
21-17
16-27
19-13
20-23
19-21
18-26
13-12
29-23
161.3Avg total
78.6Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.086.4165.4-7.429%
Season at home (2)79.089.0168.0-10.00%
Season away (5)79.085.4164.4-6.440%
Last 10 (10)78.682.7161.3-4.140%
Last 5 (5)76.289.4165.6-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)74.983.2158.1-8.320%
vs Similar (10)77.376.4153.7+0.960%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
W
81-78
81
78
+3
67avg 72
A28/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
83-88
83
88
-5
72avg 72
H02/05
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
85-62
85
62
+23
83avg 72
A18/10
NBB
Minas
#3
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
74avg 72
A20/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
61-57
61
57
+4
60avg 72
H27/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
72-88
72
88
-16
59avg 72
H29/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
77-64
77
64
+13
78avg 72
H01/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
71-80
71
80
-9
66avg 72
A04/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
64-78
64
78
-14
52avg 72
A11/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
77avg 72
A15/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
20-17
23-21
21-23
28-29
19-25
18-20
18-14
17-18
25-10
16-15
27-19
21-20
16-16
13-17
25-22
10-20
19-13
19-11
13-13
19-20
19-24
11-19
23-25
19-10
23-26
12-14
23-14
15-18
13-19
26-17
17-26
19-15
20-26
9-21
16-16
15-21
19-23
25-17
18-16
153.5Avg total
76.7Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.475.2150.6+0.150%
Season at home (3)70.069.7139.7+0.367%
Season away (5)78.678.6157.2+0.040%
Last 10 (10)76.776.8153.5-0.150%
Last 5 (5)74.279.0153.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.690.2172.8-7.640%
vs Similar (18)79.681.1160.7-1.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)77.970.7148.6+7.171%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
CearenseSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H07/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H10/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H17/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A20/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A31/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H05/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H10/11
NBB
Pato
#17
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A14/11
NBB
78.6Avg total
38.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.540.277.8-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.839.476.2-2.625%-
Last 30 away (18)38.040.878.8-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)38.240.478.6-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.246.084.2-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.839.677.3-1.935%-
vs Similar (10)37.141.578.6-4.420%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A28/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H02/05
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A18/10
NBB
Minas
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A20/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H27/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H29/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H01/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A04/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A11/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A15/11
NBB
76.0Avg total
37.3Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.839.678.4-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.240.779.9-1.450%-
Last 30 away (18)38.538.977.4-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)37.338.776.0-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.240.476.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.840.880.6-1.060%-
vs Similar (18)38.640.579.1-1.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)38.736.475.1+2.343%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.417.7
48.6%
52.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.1
35.5%
32.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.014.9
74.5%
72.8%14.9
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.6
50.1%
52.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.38.8
28.1%
32.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.913.9
73.5%
72.8%13.9
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
LLLLLWWWLW
Sao Jose
WLLWLWLWLW
#19
League position
#9
-5.7
Net rating
-0.7
103.6
Offensive rating
98.9
109.4
Defensive rating
99.6
50.6%
Effective FG%
46.4%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
19.9%
Turnover %
16.1%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.5%
3-point %
28.1%
63.8%
Assist %
70.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 98.9Defence109.4 · 99.6Shooting50.6% · 46.4%3-point %35.5% · 28.1%Ball care19.9% · 16.1%Off. rebounds29.2% · 26.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Cearense   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cearense wins
5
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
31/03/25Sao Jose v Cearense84-71
09/12/24Cearense v Sao Jose55-75
27/04/24Cearense v Sao Jose90-66
21/04/24Sao Jose v Cearense70-73
22/01/24Cearense v Sao Jose99-95 OT
27/10/23Sao Jose v Cearense78-82
16/01/23Cearense v Sao Jose71-90
27/10/22Sao Jose v Cearense83-74
30/01/20Sao Jose v Cearense83-104
14/11/19Cearense v Sao Jose77-81
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/25APato79-82
10/11/25HMogi76-80
05/11/25HCorinthians Paulista82-98
31/10/25AUnifacisa71-85
23/10/25AFlamengo73-102
20/10/25ABotafogo84-80
18/10/25AVasco88-78
17/04/25HUnifacisa81-73
10/04/25HPinheiros73-82
07/04/25HCorinthians Paulista79-67
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25AUnifacisa87-85 OT
11/11/25ACorinthians Paulista64-78
04/11/25APaulistano71-80
01/11/25HBotafogo77-64
29/10/25HFlamengo72-88
27/10/25HVasco61-57
20/10/25AMinas86-88 OT
18/10/25ACruzeiro85-62
02/05/25HVasco83-88
28/04/25AVasco81-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLL0%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %29%0%40%
Points / game79.079.079.0
Allowed / game86.489.085.4
Point differential-7.4-10.0-6.4
Avg total165.4168.0164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sao Jose
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game75.470.078.6
Allowed / game75.269.778.6
Point differential+0.1+0.3+0.0
Avg total150.6139.7157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %25%0%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo10100100%90.172.7+17.4
2 Minas109190%86.275.7+10.5
3 Mogi97278%82.465.1+17.3
4 Brasilia86275%83.469.5+13.9
5 Corinthians Paulista86275%86.476.4+10.0
6 Pinheiros86275%82.574.9+7.6
7 Franca107370%85.872.5+13.3
8 Bauru95456%71.970.8+1.1
9 Paulistano105550%77.575.9+1.6
10 Sao Jose84450%75.475.2+0.1
11 Unifacisa84450%78.078.9-0.9
12 Uniao Corinthians84450%76.283.9-7.6
13 Caxias do Sul73443%71.377.9-6.6
14 Cruzeiro103730%75.584.1-8.6
15 Cearense72529%79.086.4-7.4
16 Botafogo92722%70.682.0-11.4
17 Rio Claro92722%78.192.0-13.9
18 Pato102820%70.579.9-9.4
19 Osasco102820%75.688.4-12.8
20 Vasco100100%65.279.7-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense2323201177
Sao Jose2719142686
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